Match Analysis: Sarek Shields vs Nick Meck – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-01
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 8: 2025 Finals (venue not explicitly stated in sources)

Game Overview

The fight features Welterweights Sarek Shields and Nick Meck competing in the PFL World Tournament 8 Finals, scheduled for August 1, 2025. This match is critical in the championship context, showcasing two skilled fighters with contrasting odds and styles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sarek Shields holds a slight edge as the favorite with moneyline odds of -141 compared to Nick Meck's +121, suggesting stronger recent form and possibly superior stats. Shields is known for solid striking and fight IQ, while Meck’s record shows resilience and adaptability.
• Limited recorded head-to-head data exists for Shields vs Meck prior to this fight, indicating this could be their first official encounter at this competitive level.
• No recent injury reports or concerns for either fighter have been noted leading up to the bout.
• The fight is a high-profile PFL championship bout, likely offering significant financial and career incentives, enhanced media coverage, and strong motivation for both athletes. No environmental or travel issues noted.
• Both fighters are expected to be highly motivated given the importance of the championship and potential career impact, with Shields as the favorite likely motivated to justify his odds, and Meck the underdog aiming to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sarek Shields: -141, Nick Meck: +121	Sarek Shields	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over 2.5: -170, under 2.5: +140	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sarek Shields -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sarek Shields is favored to win given his odds and perceived performance advantages. However, the underdog status of Nick Meck coupled with his resilience means an upset is plausible though less probable.

Predicted Score: Sarek Shields wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Nick Meck vs Alan Domínguez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-20
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas

Game Overview

Welterweight showcase bout in the 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals. Alan Domínguez (Mexico, 11-6) enters after a three-fight win streak ended by Lorenz Larkin in his PFL debut. Nick Meck (USA, Topeka, Kansas, 8-2) is looking for his first PFL win and fights in his home state. Both are determined to make their mark. This is a non-tournament, showcase fight as the main semifinals focus on Lightweight, Bantamweight, and Women's Flyweight[4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

• Alan Domínguez has a solid record but comes off a recent loss in the PFL. Nick Meck is 2-2 in his last four but has never been stopped, showing resilience. Both are motivated to secure their first PFL win[2][5].
• No prior H2H history. Meck fights in his home state, which may provide a slight edge in crowd support[1][5].
• No reported injuries or absences for either fighter as of now.
• Meck will have home crowd advantage in Wichita. The pressure is on both to perform, but Meck is the local favorite[5].
• Both fighters are seeking their first PFL win. Meck is motivated by fighting in front of a home crowd, while Domínguez aims to bounce back from his last loss[2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alan Domínguez: 190, Nick Meck: -240	Nick Meck	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nick Meck -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Meck at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nick Meck is favored by bookmakers and backed by a home crowd. His resilience and local support may give him the edge over Domínguez, who is coming off a loss but is experienced. Expect Meck to utilize a well-rounded approach and capitalize on crowd energy.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Nick Meck (expected to go the distance, with Meck winning via close but unanimous decision).

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Nick Meck vs. Alan Domínguez Prediction	Nick Meck Win	-240	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Darragh Kelly vs. Mike Hamel Prediction	Darragh Kelly Win	-265	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Justin Wetzell vs. Mando Gutierrez Prediction	Justin Wetzell Win	-201	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +192

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $58.44