Match Analysis: Sarek Shields vs Nick Meck – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-01
• Time: 10:30 PM UTC
• Location: PFL World Tournament 8

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Sarek Shields and Nick Meck at PFL World Tournament 8. Both fighters are coming off wins in recent PFL events, with Shields holding a 7-2 career record and Meck showing strong form in 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sarek Shields holds a 7-2 professional MMA record with a balanced finishing ability: 50% decisions and 50% submissions, indicating versatility. Nick Meck has shown consistent wins in 2025 tournaments, winning in the semifinals on June 11 and demonstrating good momentum.
• No clear direct previous encounter records are available, but both fighters have met recently within the tournament circuit, increasing familiarity. Shields appears slightly favored based on stylistic matchups and previous results.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health.
• Fight taking place in a high-stakes PFL semifinal environment which may elevate competitive intensity. Both fighters motivated by tournament progression and prize incentives.
• Both fighters highly motivated; Shields seeking to capitalize on home crowd advantage and momentum from recent submission wins; Meck motivated by recent victories and aim to solidify place in the tournament finals.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sarek Shields -141, Nick Meck +121	Sarek Shields	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Spread (-1.5 Sarek Shields) approx -150, (+1.5 Nick Meck) approx +130	Sarek Shields -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -170, Under 2.5 rounds +140	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sarek Shields 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sarek Shields to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sarek Shields wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Nick Meck vs Alan Domínguez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 20, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout between Nick Meck and Alan Domínguez is set to take place at the INTRUST Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas, as part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Semifinals. This welterweight showdown features Meck, a Kansas native competing in front of his hometown crowd, against Domínguez from Mexico.

Key Factors to Consider

• Alan Domínguez recently had a three-fight win streak before being stopped by Lorenz Larkin, while Nick Meck has a strong record with fewer fights. Domínguez's experience might be a factor, but Meck's home advantage could be significant.
• There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between Nick Meck and Alan Domínguez.
• There are no reported injuries affecting either fighter at this time.
• The event's location in Wichita might favor Meck, given the local support.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, as this bout is part of a tournament with significant career implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Alan Domínguez: 190, Nick Meck: -240	Nick Meck	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nick Meck -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Meck at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and fighter performance, Nick Meck is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Nick Meck

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Roberto Hernandez vs. Ernie Juarez Prediction	Roberto Hernandez Win	-200	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Jacobi Jones vs. Shovkhal Churchaev Prediction	Jacobi Jones Win	-225	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Nick Meck vs. Alan Domínguez Prediction	Nick Meck Win	-240	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +207

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $61.39