Newcastle United vs. Manchester City Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Manchester City newcastle united November 22, 2025 Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Manchester City – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 5:30 PM UTC
• Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Manchester City on November 22, 2025, at St James' Park in a Premier League clash. Newcastle currently rank 14th, struggling with inconsistent form, while Manchester City hold 2nd place with strong recent performances. Historically, Manchester City have dominated this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manchester City are in good form with 7 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 11 matches, scoring 15 more goals than conceded. Newcastle United have struggled with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, sitting 14th in the table with 12 points and a negative goal difference.
• In recent encounters, Manchester City have been dominant with multiple wins including a 4-0 victory in February 2025 and several 2-0 or larger margin wins. Newcastle's recent results include a 1-1 draw in September 2024 and a rare 1-0 win in September 2023, but overall City lead convincingly in wins and goals scored historically.
• Specific injury data is not available in search results, but absence of key players could impact Newcastle more due to their smaller squad depth compared to Manchester City’s robust roster.
• Match conditions at St James' Park could favor Newcastle somewhat due to home advantage, but Manchester City’s experience and squad quality usually neutralize this. Weather or pitch conditions unknown but assumed normal for November in Newcastle.
• Manchester City, vying to strengthen their title challenge, will be motivated to secure maximum points against mid-table opposition. Newcastle United will look to upset a top team to climb the table and boost morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	manchester_city: -106, newcastle_united: 250, draw: 270	Manchester City Win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	manchester_city: -0.5 -109, newcastle_united: 50 -122	Manchester City -0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_2.5: -159, under_2.5: 119	Over 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manchester City 13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manchester City at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manchester City are favored to win given their superior form, quality, and head-to-head dominance. Expect a controlled City performance with Newcastle putting in a competitive effort but likely falling short.

Predicted Score: Manchester City 2 – 1 Newcastle United

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Brentford vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Brentford newcastle united November 9, 2025 Soccer

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Match Analysis: Brentford vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Brentford Community Stadium, London, ENG

Game Overview

Brentford and Newcastle United face off in a key English Premier League fixture. Brentford has shown resilience at home with a 3-1-1 record and confidence after recent wins over top teams. Newcastle comes in with a solid record but has historically struggled at Brentford’s ground. The match is expected to be competitive given their close league positions and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brentford sits 12th with 13 points after a mixed start but has taken notable scalps at home including Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Manchester United. Newcastle is close behind in 13th with 12 points and has shown strength in away matches but has lost to Brentford at this stadium recently. Both teams have key goal contributors with Brentford’s Igor Thiago scoring 2 goals and Newcastle's Bruno Guimarães with 1 goal, indicating balanced attacking threats.
• Newcastle have won 7 of the last 8 meetings in all competitions but mostly at their home. However, Brentford has won recent home matches against Newcastle, including a 4-2 win about eleven months ago. Last season's Premier League games ended in home wins, showing home advantage plays a major role in this fixture.
• There are no major injuries reported for Brentford with most squad options available, including expected involvement of Benjamin Arthur. Newcastle has no prominent injury concerns announced, suggesting both teams will field strong lineups.
• The fixture has been moved for Sky Sports TV coverage, which might add pressure but also motivation, especially for Brentford playing in front of their home crowd. Weather and pitch conditions are typical for November in London and unlikely to disrupt the game.
• Brentford aims to maintain a safety buffer above relegation and build on recent impressive home performance. Newcastle wants to improve their away gains and break the recent home advantage pattern Brentford holds. Both teams have mid-table motivation to secure valuable points to climb the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brentford: 185, Newcastle United: 145, Draw: 240	Newcastle United win	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Brentford: 110, Newcastle United: -130, spread_value: 0	Newcastle United on spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -122, Under 2.5: 102	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Newcastle United 18%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is likely to be closely contested with Brentford slightly favored due to home advantage and recent form. A draw or narrow win for Brentford is probable, with the game showing tactical balance and competitive intensity.

Predicted Score: 1-1

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West Ham United vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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newcastle united November 2, 2025 Soccer West Ham United

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Match Analysis: West Ham United vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: London Stadium (West Ham United home ground)

Game Overview

West Ham United hosts Newcastle United in a Premier League match that could see a clash of expectations versus reality in terms of squad dynamics. Newcastle enters the fixture as a significant favorite, but recent injury news may complicate expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

• No recent team performance statistics for either West Ham or Newcastle are available in the provided sources. Typically, Newcastle under Eddie Howe have been a team with top-half aspirations, while West Ham have fluctuated between European and mid-table form.
• Limited recent head-to-head analysis is present in the provided results. Past matches show competitive results, but recent forms and squads differ significantly. Newcastle's tactical plan has been impacted by a key absence due to injury.
• Newcastle's £55m star has been ruled out of the match, as confirmed by manager Eddie Howe, potentially disrupting their intended game plan[2]. No direct injury updates are available for West Ham.
• No specific external factors (e.g., weather, audience impact) are detailed in the provided sources.
• Motivation levels are unclear, but both teams are typically competitive in their league matches. The absence of Newcastle's star could shift momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Newcastle United -161, Draw 300, West Ham United 390	Newcastle United win	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	Newcastle United -0.5 (-164), West Ham United +50 (123)	West Ham United +0.5 (cover spread)	★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-137), Under 2.5 (103)	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 56%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Newcastle United -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

With Newcastle favored on paper but hampered by the absence of a key player, this could be a tightly contested match. West Ham may capitalize on Newcastle's weakened setup, but Newcastle's overall squad quality still gives them an edge. Expect a low-scoring, tactical affair.

Predicted Score: West Ham United 1 – Newcastle United 1

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Newcastle United vs. Fulham Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Fulham newcastle united October 25, 2025 Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Fulham – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Fulham in a closely contested Premier League fixture. Both teams sit near the lower mid-table with Newcastle in 14th and Fulham in 15th place, separated by just one point, indicating a critical match for league positioning and momentum. Recent form and player output suggest a competitive match with potential for goals from key forwards.

Key Factors to Consider

• Newcastle United has a moderate record this season, sitting 14th with a mix of draws, wins, and losses. Fulham stands just below them at 15th. Newcastle has shown some resilience at home, while Fulham has managed to score in recent encounters, including a 2-1 away win over Newcastle earlier in the year. Key Newcastle contributors include Woltemade (4 goals in 5 matches) and Guimarães (2 goals), while Fulham has had productive returns from Osula and Iwobi.
• In their last five encounters, Newcastle has won 3 matches, Fulham 2 matches, including recent Premier League games where Fulham beat Newcastle 2-1 away in February 2025 and Newcastle defeated Fulham 3-0 in December 2023. This suggests a somewhat balanced rivalry with Newcastle slightly stronger historically but recent form favoring Fulham.
• No specific up-to-date injury reports were found in the provided data. Both squads appear near full strength with no major absences reported in recent lineups.
• Playing at home gives Newcastle a nominal advantage from crowd support and familiarity with St James' Park conditions. There are no reported weather or extraordinary conditions impacting this match. Both teams are motivated to avoid slipping further down the table, increasing match intensity.
• With Newcastle and Fulham separated by just one league point, motivation is high for both sides to secure maximum points to climb the table and avoid relegation concerns. Newcastle's home advantage increases their urgency to get a positive result, while Fulham will be looking to continue their effective away performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Newcastle United: -165, Fulham: 420, Draw: 290	Newcastle United win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Newcastle United: -0.5, Fulham: 50	Newcastle United -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -106	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Newcastle United -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is favored to win narrowly given home advantage and slightly better historical results, but Fulham's recent success against Newcastle and competitive form suggest a close match likely decided by a single goal.

Predicted Score: 1-0

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Brighton and Hove Albion vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Brighton and Hove Albion newcastle united October 18, 2025 Soccer

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Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: American Express Stadium, Falmer, England

Game Overview

Brighton and Hove Albion will host Newcastle United in a Premier League match at the American Express Stadium. Both teams are mid-table with Brighton ranked 12th and Newcastle 11th, each with similar recent form. Brighton, managed by Roberto De Zerbi, focuses on attacking football with key players like Kaoru Mitoma and João Pedro, while Newcastle under Eddie Howe rely heavily on Bruno Guimarães and N. Woltemade for goals. The fixture promises tactical intensity, attacking intent, and competitive balance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brighton (2-3-2, 9 points) shows a balanced mix of attacking and defensive stats, with notable contributors like forward Welbeck and midfielder Mitoma providing goals and assists. Newcastle (2-3-2, 9 points) exhibits similar form, with N. Woltemade netting 3 goals in 4 matches and Guimarães influential in midfield. Both teams have consistent lineups and moderate goal scoring, indicating a competitive match.
• Recent head-to-head encounters between Brighton and Newcastle have been evenly matched with close scorelines. Both teams have comparable success rates and tend to produce closely contested games at the American Express Stadium.
• No major injuries currently reported for either side that would critically affect first-team selection. Both squads appear near full strength going into the match.
• The game is scheduled for a neutral weather scenario with no reported external disruptions. Home advantage favors Brighton at their familiar stadium, whereas Newcastle looks to capitalize on tactical discipline in an away setting.
• Both clubs seek crucial Premier League points to climb from mid-table, with Newcastle perhaps slightly more motivated due to their higher league position and recent form. Brighton aims to leverage home support to assert themselves.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brighton and Hove Albion: 152, Newcastle United: 160, Draw: 248	Newcastle United win	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Brighton and Hove Albion -0.5: 148, Newcastle United +50: -200	Newcastle United +0.5 (double chance)	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -106	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Newcastle United 9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight encounter leaning slightly towards Newcastle United to edge a narrow away victory due to their potent attackers and recent scoring efficiency.

Predicted Score: 1-2

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Newcastle United vs. Arsenal Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Arsenal newcastle united September 28, 2025 Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Arsenal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-28
• Time: 3:30 PM UTC
• Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United, ranked 13th, host Arsenal, who are 2nd in the Premier League standings, at St James' Park. Newcastle have struggled offensively this season, scoring only six goals across five matches and failing to find the net in five of their last seven league games. Conversely, Arsenal, chasing the title, have been solid but dropped points recently, drawing 1-1 with Manchester City. Arsenal have a strong away record this season with just one loss in 16 away league matches. Newcastle remain defensively resilient, boasting four clean sheets and the fewest shots faced after five rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Newcastle have lacked offensive output this season, scoring infrequently but maintaining a strong defense with four league clean sheets. Arsenal have consistently performed well, currently second in the table with 10 points from five matches, and have a solid away record (W8, D7, L1) but recently dropped points against Manchester City. Newcastle's attack issues persist partly due to the loss of forward Alexander Isak.
• Historically, Arsenal dominate the head-to-head with 23 wins, while Newcastle have won 7 times and there have been 3 draws. In the last five encounters, matches have been closely contested with Arsenal narrowly winning friendlies and league matches, but Newcastle claimed victories in Carabao Cup meetings and a Premier League fixture this season.
• No specific injury updates were available from the sources, but Newcastle's attacking woes suggest missing key forwards including Alexander Isak. Arsenal appear to have a fit squad with key contributors active.
• The match is played at Newcastle's home ground, St James' Park, known for its passionate support and atmosphere, which could boost Newcastle's motivation. Arsenal faces pressure to close the five-point gap to league leaders Liverpool, creating strong motivation to secure an away win.
• Arsenal needs to maintain pressure near the top of the table and improve on dropped points, motivating them to perform strongly. Newcastle aims to overcome offensive struggles and improve their position from 13th, especially at home where St James' Park offers home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arsenal: 110, Newcastle United: 246, Draw: 230	Arsenal win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Arsenal -0.5: 107, Newcastle United +50: -141	Arsenal -0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: 107, Under 2.5: -143	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arsenal 9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arsenal at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal is favored to win due to superior form, league position, and historic dominance. However, Newcastle's home resilience and defensive solidity mean the match could be close, with a likely Arsenal victory by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 2 – 1 Newcastle United

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Bournemouth vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Bournemouth newcastle united September 21, 2025 Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-21
• Time: 1:00 PM UTC
• Location: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Game Overview

Bournemouth hosts Newcastle United at the Vitality Stadium in a Premier League match. Bournemouth currently sit 4th in the table with strong recent form, winning 3 straight league games at home while conceding just one goal in that period. Newcastle United, placed 10th, have shown inconsistency and managed only one win in five matches across all competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bournemouth have started the season strongly under Andoni Iraola, with 9 points from the first fixtures and a home record of 2-0-0 with a 3-1 goal tally. Newcastle United have been inconsistent, winning only once in five matches, including a narrow 1-0 league win last weekend and a recent 2-1 defeat in Europe.
• Historically, the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Newcastle is close with Bournemouth winning 4, Newcastle 5, and 6 matches drawn. Recently, Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five encounters with Newcastle, often performing better at home.
• Adam Smith of Bournemouth is unlikely to return in time for this match. Ryan Christie and Bafode Diakite are doubtful but may be assessed nearer the game. Newcastle have no major reported injury absences but are dealing with general squad rotation impacts.
• The match is at Bournemouth's home stadium which has been a fortress this season. Newcastle's recent midweek European fixture may affect their freshness. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no external disruptions reported.
• Bournemouth aims to consolidate their top-table position after a good start and maintain unbeaten home form. Newcastle looks to find consistency and improve their away record having started the season poorly. The psychological edge leans toward Bournemouth due to recent dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bournemouth: 1.33, Newcastle United: 1.88, Draw: 2.4	Bournemouth win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Bournemouth -0.5: 1.28, Newcastle +50: 1.72	Bournemouth -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: 1.26, Under 2.5: 1.05	Over 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bournemouth 26%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bournemouth at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A narrow home win for Bournemouth is forecast based on form, home advantage, and recent H2H statistics. Scoreline likely close with both sides capable of scoring but Bournemouth favored to edge out.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Newcastle United vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers Prediction EPL in Soccer

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newcastle united September 13, 2025 Soccer Wolverhampton Wanderers

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United will host Wolverhampton Wanderers in a Premier League Round 4 match at St James' Park. Newcastle enter the match with just 2 points from 3 games in the 2025-26 season, seeking their first win after a difficult start to the campaign. Wolves are currently bottom of the table, having lost all three opening fixtures, making them desperate for points. Newcastle have home advantage and a strong recent record against Wolves under Eddie Howe, while Wolves struggle to gain momentum on the road and overall this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Newcastle United have a poor start this season with only 2 points from 9 and have struggled offensively and defensively. Wolves are in an even worse position with zero points from three games and low confidence. Newcastle’s form at home has been relatively better historically, whereas Wolves have been unable to reverse their poor run, especially against Newcastle.
• Eddie Howe’s Newcastle is unbeaten in 7 meetings against Wolves, winning 5 and drawing 2. At St James' Park, Newcastle have a 100% win record against Wolves since Howe’s arrival. Historically, Newcastle lead with 9 wins, 9 draws, and 4 Wolves wins in total H2H fixtures.
• No specific injury updates are detailed from the sources; however, Wolves have difficulty fielding their strongest side and may have at least one new signing ready to start, while Newcastle are focused on integrating their summer arrivals.
• The intense atmosphere of St James' Park is a notable factor, historically intimidating for Wolves. The game kicks off during a UK TV blackout for 3pm Saturday matches, possibly affecting external pressure on players. The international break has just ended, so fitness and freshness could be variables.
• Both teams are highly motivated to avoid a poor start. Newcastle seeks their first victory and to maintain dominance over Wolves, while Wolves aim to secure their first points and break a three-game losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Newcastle United: -236, Wolverhampton Wanderers: 580, Draw: 350	Newcastle United win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Newcastle United: -1.5 (117), Wolverhampton Wanderers: +1.5 (-156)	Newcastle United to cover -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -136, Under 2.5: 103	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Newcastle United -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United are favored to win, based on home advantage, recent head-to-head dominance, and Wolves' poor form and morale. A Newcastle win is the most likely outcome, with a moderate chance of a draw and a low chance of a Wolves victory.

Predicted Score: 2-0

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Leeds United vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

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August 30, 2025 Leeds United newcastle united Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Elland Road

Game Overview

Leeds United hosts Newcastle United in a Premier League matchup where Leeds aims to capitalize on home advantage and Newcastle seeks to rebound from recent injury setbacks. Leeds has shown resilience at home with a solid defensive and counter-attacking style, while Newcastle is missing key players and must rely on top form from Harvey Barnes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Leeds United has a 1-0 home win against Everton and a heavy loss to Arsenal but showed competitiveness. Newcastle United have a mixed start with a loss to Liverpool and a draw at Aston Villa, complicated by the absence of key attackers Anthony Gordon and Alexander Isak.
• Recent head-to-heads have been tight, with three of the last five meetings ending in draws; each team securing one win in the other two matches, reflecting balanced competitiveness.
• Newcastle United is hampered by key injuries to Anthony Gordon and Alexander Isak, reducing their attacking threat. Leeds appears relatively healthy with no major reported absences.
• The match is played at Elland Road, giving Leeds a home advantage. Weather conditions are mild. Media coverage and fan support favor Leeds, amplifying home pressure.
• Leeds is motivated to bounce back from a recent heavy loss and maintain positive momentum at home. Newcastle is motivated to secure their first win of the season to improve their standing after a slow start.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Leeds United: 240, Newcastle United: 105, Draw: 248	Leeds United win	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Leeds United: -0.5 @ -135, Newcastle United: +50 @ 102	Leeds United -0.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -139, Under 2.5: 105	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Newcastle United 53%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Leeds United to win with a tight scoreline due to home strength and Newcastle's injury concerns.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Newcastle United vs. Liverpool Prediction EPL in Soccer

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August 25, 2025 Liverpool newcastle united Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Liverpool – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-25
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: St. James' Park

Game Overview

The Premier League Round 2 match between Newcastle United and Liverpool will be held at St. James' Park. Liverpool enter with a strong recent offensive form, having scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches and maintaining an average of 4 goals per match, but have conceded frequently. Newcastle United have scored only 3 goals in their last 5 matches and have not scored in their last 2 games, struggling offensively. Historically, Liverpool have dominated the head-to-head with 17 wins to Newcastle's 5, along with 7 draws.

Key Factors to Consider

• Liverpool boasts superior recent performance with consistent goal scoring but poor defensive record evidenced by no clean sheets in 12 matches. Newcastle shows offensive struggles with low recent goal output and no goals in the last two matches.
• Liverpool leads historically with 17 wins, Newcastle with 5, and 7 draws out of 29 past encounters.
• Newcastle United has notable absences: Alexander Isak is suspended, and Joseph Willock is doubtful due to an ankle injury. Liverpool currently has no significant injury concerns reported.
• The match will be officiated by Simon Hooper. Newcastle plays at home with the potential advantage of St. James' Park atmosphere.
• Liverpool currently tops the Premier League table with 3 points from one match, while Newcastle has 1 point from one match, suggesting higher motivation from Liverpool to maintain momentum early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Liverpool: 1, Newcastle United: 2.28, Draw: 2.75	Liverpool Win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Liverpool -0.5: -102, Newcastle United +50: -129	Liverpool -0.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5: 1.33, Under 3.5: -1.79	Under 3.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Liverpool 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Liverpool at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liverpool is favored to win due to stronger recent form, superior goal scoring, and historical dominance. However, Newcastle's home advantage and Newcastle's solid defensive motivation could limit the scoreline.

Predicted Score: Liverpool 2 – 1 Newcastle United

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