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Newcastle Knights vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The match between Newcastle Knights and Sydney Roosters promises to be intense, with both teams having a strong history in the NRL. Newcastle Knights have shown resilience at home, while Sydney Roosters are known for their consistent performance across seasons.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle Knights have a mixed form recently, but their home games have been more successful. Sydney Roosters, on the other hand, have been consistent performers, especially away from home.
  • Sydney Roosters have historically dominated Newcastle Knights, winning 39 out of 63 matches. However, Newcastle Knights have managed 10 wins at home.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match. However, any late withdrawals could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game's intensity and strategy.
  • Both teams are eager for a win to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 250, Sydney Roosters: -305, Draw: 2200 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Newcastle Knights: 9.5 -115, Sydney Roosters: -9.5 -115 Sydney Roosters ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are likely to win given their historical dominance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28, Newcastle Knights 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-05
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Sea Eagles enter as favorites, aiming to secure back-to-back wins for the first time since March. The Knights have struggled offensively this season, averaging just 13.3 points per game, making scoring a key challenge against the solid Manly defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Knights have been underperforming offensively, recently suffering three defeats in four matches. They average only 13.3 points per game, the lowest in the competition this season. Conversely, Manly's defense has been relatively strong, conceding an average of 20.5 points per game but showing defensive resilience with just six points conceded in their last match.
  • Historically, these teams have been competitive but Manly holds a recent advantage in head-to-head encounters and is currently favored to win. Advanced simulations give Manly a 67% probability of victory at Newcastle's home ground.
  • No specific injury updates were listed in the available data, suggesting squads are likely near full strength or no notable absences have been reported impacting this clash.
  • The match is played at home for the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have some home-ground advantage and support. It is also a community round, potentially boosting player motivation. Weather and pitch conditions were not indicated but presumed normal.
  • Manly is motivated to maintain their spot in the top eight and seeks momentum with consecutive wins. Newcastle aims to break their poor form and secure a vital home victory to regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -230, Newcastle Knights: 188, Draw: 2400 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Newcastle Knights +5.5: 1.91, Manly Sea Eagles -5.5: 1.91 Manly Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win by approximately 10 points, capitalizing on their stronger defense and Newcastle's offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 24 – Newcastle Knights 14


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to be competitive, given the spread and over/under odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed performances in the current season. The Dragons have been consistent at home, while the Knights have struggled away from their home ground.
  • Historically, the head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of wins.
  • Injuries could play a crucial role in this match, as missing key players can significantly impact team performance.
  • External factors such as weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, though specific details are not available.
  • Motivation levels are high for both teams, as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -186 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 159 for Newcastle Knights, 2200 for a draw St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -5.5 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 5.5 for Newcastle Knights St George Illawarra Dragons to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 44.5 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and team performance, the St George Illawarra Dragons are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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Penrith Panthers vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Carrington Park, Bathurst

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers, four-time consecutive NRL premiers, host the Newcastle Knights at Carrington Park in Bathurst. This match is part of the NRL Telstra Premiership and promises to be an engaging contest between two teams with differing recent success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant in recent seasons, while Newcastle Knights have had mixed results.
  • Historically, Penrith Panthers have had a stronger record against Newcastle Knights.
  • Injury reports are crucial; Penrith typically maintains a strong squad, while Newcastle Knights' performance can be affected by player availability.
  • The game is being played in Bathurst, which is a home-away-from-home venue for Penrith Panthers, potentially providing an advantage.
  • Penrith Panthers' motivation to continue their winning streak could influence the game's outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -205, Newcastle Knights: 170, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -5.5 -115, Newcastle Knights: 5.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -115 Over 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win due to their recent dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 26, Newcastle Knights 17


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Newcastle Knights vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 11 match between Newcastle Knights and Parramatta Eels is a highly anticipated clash. Newcastle, the home team, aims to leverage home-ground advantage and recent squad enhancements, while Parramatta seeks to maintain its competitive edge after a strong pre-season performance. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities with the Eels having won their recent pre-season encounter decisively. This match will also have an emotional undertone due to Dylan Brown’s impending transfer from Parramatta to Newcastle next season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels showed strong form in pre-season, defeating Newcastle Knights 44-18, indicating offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Newcastle has been reinforcing their squad with high-profile signings such as Dylan Brown, who brings experience and playmaking ability, potentially elevating their performance this season.
  • Recent encounters favor Parramatta, including a convincing 44-18 win in the 2025 pre-season trial. Historical data shows competitive matches with Parramatta frequently holding a slight edge both offensively and defensively.
  • No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the current date, allowing both sides to field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Newcastle’s home ground, McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have crowd support and favorable conditions. The psychological impact of Dylan Brown’s announced move to Newcastle could motivate both teams differently, with Newcastle eager to prove their investment and Parramatta looking to maintain dominance.
  • High for both teams. Newcastle is motivated by recent squad investments and home advantage, seeking redemption from the pre-season loss. Parramatta is motivated to consolidate their superiority and disrupt Newcastle’s momentum ahead of Brown’s transfer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: -132, Parramatta Eels: 112, Draw: 1900 Newcastle Knights win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Newcastle Knights (-2.5): -110, Parramatta Eels (+2.5): -120 Newcastle Knights to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5: 110, Under 48.5: -145 Under 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Parramatta's recent dominant pre-season form and current stronger momentum, combined with Newcastle’s home advantage and high-profile signings, the match is expected to be closely contested. Parramatta holds a slight edge yet Newcastle’s motivation and home crowd support could keep it tight.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Parramatta Eels


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Newcastle Knights vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Venue unspecified (check updated sources)

Game Overview

Round analysis unavailable for May 9 fixture. Previous 2025 meeting occurred March 22 (Round 3), but no result details available from provided data.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient recent performance metrics available for analysis
  • Historical H2H data not provided in search results
  • No injury reports accessible from given sources
  • No weather/travel data available for match date
  • Mid-season positioning likely increases stakes for both sides

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Knights -213 / Titans +176 / Draw +2200 Newcastle Knights ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Knights -6.5 (-115) / Titans +6.5 (-115) Knights cover -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Knights favored given shorter moneyline odds (-213), but insufficient tactical data limits confidence

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24-18 Gold Coast Titans


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The South Sydney Rabbitohs will face the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 9. The match is set to take place at Suncorp Stadium on May 3, 2025, at 10:00 AEST. The Knights are favored slightly by the bookies, but both teams have a strong chance of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rabbitohs have named a strong squad with Jack Wighton as captain for the first time. The Knights, meanwhile, are favored with a slight edge in the odds.
  • Previous meetings between the two teams have been competitive, with each side having notable victories. However, recent trends and team dynamics suggest a slight edge for the Knights.
  • As of now, there are no significant injury concerns reported for either team that would dramatically impact the match.
  • The match is part of Magic Round, which could influence team performance due to the unique atmosphere and schedule.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, given the competitive nature of the NRL and the current standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Knights -118, Rabbitohs +100, Draw 1800 Knights ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Knights -1.5 -110, Rabbitohs +1.5 -120 Knights ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle Knights to win

Predicted Score: Knights 24, Rabbitohs 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 25 April 2025
  • Time: 8:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Apollo Projects Stadium, Christchurch, NZ

Game Overview

The match between the New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights is scheduled for Round 8 of the NRL Premiership, with the Warriors currently positioned higher in the standings. The Warriors have a strong home advantage playing in New Zealand.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors are currently 4th in the standings, while the Knights are 14th. The Warriors have shown more consistent team performance in recent matches.
  • Historically, the Warriors have had mixed results against the Knights, but their recent form suggests an advantage.
  • There is limited information available about current injuries affecting the match outcome.
  • Playing in Christchurch provides the Warriors with a home advantage and potentially supportive crowd.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Warriors face greater pressure to maintain their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 225 Warriors ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -112 (44.5), under: -112 (44.5) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to dominate this match due to their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Knights 16


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Newcastle Knights vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 7 NRL match between Newcastle Knights and Cronulla Sutherland Sharks is set for Easter Sunday, April 20, 2025, kickoff at 4:05 PM local time (06:05 UTC) at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Knights will host the Sharks in what is a key fixture mid-season, with both teams seeking to gain momentum and crucial competition points. This game forms part of a triple header celebrating Easter at the venue.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks enter this match as clear favorites based on form and betting markets, holding a strong recent winning streak and superior standings compared to the Knights who have struggled for consistency. Sharks have demonstrated solid defense and effective attacking plays while the Knights have shown moments of resilience but lack depth and finishing power.
  • Historically, the Sharks have had the upper hand in these matchups, especially in recent seasons, often winning comfortably when playing at Newcastle's home ground. The Knights have occasionally pulled off upsets but the Sharks' head-to-head record suggests psychological and tactical advantage.
  • No specific injury updates were found from the provided data, indicating stable squads with likely full-strength lineups. However, any late changes could impact the Knights more given their thinner roster depth.
  • The match being played on Easter Sunday provides a festive atmosphere. The Knights have home ground advantage but crowd pressure and expectations might weigh heavier on them. Weather conditions at Newcastle are typically mild in April, unlikely to disrupt play.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win; Sharks are pushing to consolidate their position in the top tier, while Knights must win to avoid falling behind in the standings. The Sharks players and fans express a strong determination to win this winnable fixture as part of a critical three-match stretch.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -280, Newcastle Knights: 230, Draw: 2200 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5: -120, Newcastle Knights +8.5: -110 Cronulla Sharks -8.5 points ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 42.5: -120, Under 42.5: -110 Over 42.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 42.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 42.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are favored to win this match given their superior form, head-to-head dominance, and better odds. The expected game will see the Sharks cover the spread and potentially keep the total points around the over/under line, reflecting a moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 26 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Newcastle Knights vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights, currently ninth in the NRL standings, host the eleventh-placed Wests Tigers in a crucial match for both teams. The Knights are looking to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Wests Tigers aim to secure their third away win this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle Knights are the second-best defensive side in the NRL but are struggling with their offense, ranking 17th. Wests Tigers have shown resilience but need to find consistency.
  • The Knights have won their past seven matches against the Wests Tigers. However, the Tigers are bolstered by the return of Jarome Luai, Jeral Skelton, and Samuela Fainu.
  • Newcastle Knights are hit by injuries, with notable absences including Adam Elliott, Jack Cogger, Jacob Saifiti, Jack Hetherington, and James Schiller. Wests Tigers are boosted by key returns while Latu Fainu is out due to injury.
  • Home advantage is significant, but both teams are under pressure after recent losses. The motivation for both teams is high, especially the Wests Tigers, who are underrated by bookmakers.
  • Both teams are highly motivated after their recent losses. The Knights need to prove their defense at home, while the Tigers aim to capitalize on their underrated status in the market.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Despite historical dominance by the Knights, the Wests Tigers are predicted to have a good chance due to their underrated market position and key player returns.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 20, Wests Tigers 22


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