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Newcastle Knights vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Canberra Raiders in a pivotal Round 17 NRL match at McDonald Jones Stadium. Both teams are competing in the midst of an intense 2025 NRL season, with the Knights looking to capitalize on home advantage and community support during their Beanie for Brain Cancer Round. The Raiders come into the game with the motivation of milestone player Corey Horsburgh, who will play his 100th match for the club.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Newcastle Knights have demonstrated solid performances at home this season, leveraging strong defensive structures and effective attacking plays. The Canberra Raiders have been competitive but less consistent away from home. Recent rest for key players like Tyson Young suggests strategic player management by the Knights, while the Raiders are motivated by Horsburgh's milestone.
  • Historically, encounters between Newcastle and Canberra have been closely contested. Recent form slightly favors the Knights at home, but the Raiders have shown resilience and capacity to pull off upsets. The head-to-head rivalry adds intensity to this clash.
  • The Knights have Saifiti confirmed as fit and ready to play, while Tyson Young has been rested to keep him fresh. No significant injuries have been reported for the Raiders ahead of the match, indicating both teams will likely field close to full-strength squads.
  • The game is part of the Beanie for Brain Cancer Round at McDonald Jones Stadium, contributing added emotional motivation for the Knights and strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be favorable for a high-tempo game.
  • Corey Horsburgh's 100th game for the Raiders provides a strong personal and team incentive. For the Knights, the desire to maintain home dominance and engage the passionate local fanbase during a special charity round boosts their motivation to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -250, Newcastle Knights: 205, Draw: 2300 Newcastle Knights to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders -7.5: -120, Newcastle Knights +7.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 83%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage, recent team management, and emotional stakes, the Newcastle Knights are favored to win this encounter. The Raiders remain a threat but are underdogs on the road.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Canberra Raiders


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Dolphins vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: HBF Park, Perth

Game Overview

The Round 16 NRL match between the Dolphins and Newcastle Knights is set to take place at HBF Park in Perth on June 21, 2025. Both teams are contending in the NRL Premiership season, with the Dolphins hosting the Knights in what promises to be a competitive and strategic encounter. This match is critical in shaping the mid-season table and momentum for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have shown solid form at home this season, leveraging strong defensive structures and effective attacking plays. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent but possess a dangerous edge in attack when their key playmakers perform well. Recent form favors the Dolphins slightly, especially with their home advantage in Perth.
  • Historically, head-to-head encounters have been relatively balanced, but the Dolphins have had an edge in recent clashes, winning most of the encounters in the current season. Newcastle tends to struggle defensively against the Dolphins' fast-paced offense.
  • There are no major injury concerns publicly reported for either team ahead of this match, implying both squads will likely field their best available lineups.
  • Playing in Perth at HBF Park presents travel and adjustment challenges for Newcastle, potentially giving the Dolphins an advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be clear, minimizing environmental impact on the game.
  • The Dolphins, aiming to consolidate their position in the top half of the ladder, are highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage. Newcastle Knights are motivated to break their inconsistent form and gain valuable points away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -375, Newcastle Knights: 290, Draw: 2500 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Dolphins: -11.5 -120, Newcastle Knights: +11.5 -110 Dolphins to cover the -11.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 44.5: -145, Under 44.5: 110 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins are favored to win this match due to their stronger recent form, home advantage, and the Knights' travel fatigue. A competitive game is likely but the Dolphins have the edge in both attack and defense on paper.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24 – 14 Newcastle Knights


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Newcastle Knights vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-14
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The match between Newcastle Knights and Sydney Roosters promises to be intense, with both teams having a strong history in the NRL. Newcastle Knights have shown resilience at home, while Sydney Roosters are known for their consistent performance across seasons.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle Knights have a mixed form recently, but their home games have been more successful. Sydney Roosters, on the other hand, have been consistent performers, especially away from home.
  • Sydney Roosters have historically dominated Newcastle Knights, winning 39 out of 63 matches. However, Newcastle Knights have managed 10 wins at home.
  • No significant injury updates are available for this match. However, any late withdrawals could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game's intensity and strategy.
  • Both teams are eager for a win to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 250, Sydney Roosters: -305, Draw: 2200 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Newcastle Knights: 9.5 -115, Sydney Roosters: -9.5 -115 Sydney Roosters ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are likely to win given their historical dominance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28, Newcastle Knights 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-05
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL season at McDonald Jones Stadium. The Sea Eagles enter as favorites, aiming to secure back-to-back wins for the first time since March. The Knights have struggled offensively this season, averaging just 13.3 points per game, making scoring a key challenge against the solid Manly defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Knights have been underperforming offensively, recently suffering three defeats in four matches. They average only 13.3 points per game, the lowest in the competition this season. Conversely, Manly's defense has been relatively strong, conceding an average of 20.5 points per game but showing defensive resilience with just six points conceded in their last match.
  • Historically, these teams have been competitive but Manly holds a recent advantage in head-to-head encounters and is currently favored to win. Advanced simulations give Manly a 67% probability of victory at Newcastle's home ground.
  • No specific injury updates were listed in the available data, suggesting squads are likely near full strength or no notable absences have been reported impacting this clash.
  • The match is played at home for the Knights at McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have some home-ground advantage and support. It is also a community round, potentially boosting player motivation. Weather and pitch conditions were not indicated but presumed normal.
  • Manly is motivated to maintain their spot in the top eight and seeks momentum with consecutive wins. Newcastle aims to break their poor form and secure a vital home victory to regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -230, Newcastle Knights: 188, Draw: 2400 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Newcastle Knights +5.5: 1.91, Manly Sea Eagles -5.5: 1.91 Manly Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win by approximately 10 points, capitalizing on their stronger defense and Newcastle's offensive struggles.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 24 – Newcastle Knights 14


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to be competitive, given the spread and over/under odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed performances in the current season. The Dragons have been consistent at home, while the Knights have struggled away from their home ground.
  • Historically, the head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of wins.
  • Injuries could play a crucial role in this match, as missing key players can significantly impact team performance.
  • External factors such as weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, though specific details are not available.
  • Motivation levels are high for both teams, as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -186 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 159 for Newcastle Knights, 2200 for a draw St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -5.5 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 5.5 for Newcastle Knights St George Illawarra Dragons to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 44.5 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and team performance, the St George Illawarra Dragons are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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Penrith Panthers vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Carrington Park, Bathurst

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers, four-time consecutive NRL premiers, host the Newcastle Knights at Carrington Park in Bathurst. This match is part of the NRL Telstra Premiership and promises to be an engaging contest between two teams with differing recent success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant in recent seasons, while Newcastle Knights have had mixed results.
  • Historically, Penrith Panthers have had a stronger record against Newcastle Knights.
  • Injury reports are crucial; Penrith typically maintains a strong squad, while Newcastle Knights' performance can be affected by player availability.
  • The game is being played in Bathurst, which is a home-away-from-home venue for Penrith Panthers, potentially providing an advantage.
  • Penrith Panthers' motivation to continue their winning streak could influence the game's outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -205, Newcastle Knights: 170, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -5.5 -115, Newcastle Knights: 5.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -115 Over 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win due to their recent dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 26, Newcastle Knights 17


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Newcastle Knights vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-16
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 11 match between Newcastle Knights and Parramatta Eels is a highly anticipated clash. Newcastle, the home team, aims to leverage home-ground advantage and recent squad enhancements, while Parramatta seeks to maintain its competitive edge after a strong pre-season performance. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities with the Eels having won their recent pre-season encounter decisively. This match will also have an emotional undertone due to Dylan Brown’s impending transfer from Parramatta to Newcastle next season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels showed strong form in pre-season, defeating Newcastle Knights 44-18, indicating offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Newcastle has been reinforcing their squad with high-profile signings such as Dylan Brown, who brings experience and playmaking ability, potentially elevating their performance this season.
  • Recent encounters favor Parramatta, including a convincing 44-18 win in the 2025 pre-season trial. Historical data shows competitive matches with Parramatta frequently holding a slight edge both offensively and defensively.
  • No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the current date, allowing both sides to field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Newcastle’s home ground, McDonald Jones Stadium, where they have crowd support and favorable conditions. The psychological impact of Dylan Brown’s announced move to Newcastle could motivate both teams differently, with Newcastle eager to prove their investment and Parramatta looking to maintain dominance.
  • High for both teams. Newcastle is motivated by recent squad investments and home advantage, seeking redemption from the pre-season loss. Parramatta is motivated to consolidate their superiority and disrupt Newcastle’s momentum ahead of Brown’s transfer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: -132, Parramatta Eels: 112, Draw: 1900 Newcastle Knights win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Newcastle Knights (-2.5): -110, Parramatta Eels (+2.5): -120 Newcastle Knights to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5: 110, Under 48.5: -145 Under 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Parramatta's recent dominant pre-season form and current stronger momentum, combined with Newcastle’s home advantage and high-profile signings, the match is expected to be closely contested. Parramatta holds a slight edge yet Newcastle’s motivation and home crowd support could keep it tight.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Parramatta Eels


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Newcastle Knights vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-09
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Venue unspecified (check updated sources)

Game Overview

Round analysis unavailable for May 9 fixture. Previous 2025 meeting occurred March 22 (Round 3), but no result details available from provided data.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Insufficient recent performance metrics available for analysis
  • Historical H2H data not provided in search results
  • No injury reports accessible from given sources
  • No weather/travel data available for match date
  • Mid-season positioning likely increases stakes for both sides

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Knights -213 / Titans +176 / Draw +2200 Newcastle Knights ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Knights -6.5 (-115) / Titans +6.5 (-115) Knights cover -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-115) / Under 46.5 (-115) Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Knights favored given shorter moneyline odds (-213), but insufficient tactical data limits confidence

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24-18 Gold Coast Titans


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The South Sydney Rabbitohs will face the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 9. The match is set to take place at Suncorp Stadium on May 3, 2025, at 10:00 AEST. The Knights are favored slightly by the bookies, but both teams have a strong chance of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Rabbitohs have named a strong squad with Jack Wighton as captain for the first time. The Knights, meanwhile, are favored with a slight edge in the odds.
  • Previous meetings between the two teams have been competitive, with each side having notable victories. However, recent trends and team dynamics suggest a slight edge for the Knights.
  • As of now, there are no significant injury concerns reported for either team that would dramatically impact the match.
  • The match is part of Magic Round, which could influence team performance due to the unique atmosphere and schedule.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win, given the competitive nature of the NRL and the current standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Knights -118, Rabbitohs +100, Draw 1800 Knights ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Knights -1.5 -110, Rabbitohs +1.5 -120 Knights ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle Knights 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle Knights at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle Knights to win

Predicted Score: Knights 24, Rabbitohs 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 25 April 2025
  • Time: 8:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Apollo Projects Stadium, Christchurch, NZ

Game Overview

The match between the New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights is scheduled for Round 8 of the NRL Premiership, with the Warriors currently positioned higher in the standings. The Warriors have a strong home advantage playing in New Zealand.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors are currently 4th in the standings, while the Knights are 14th. The Warriors have shown more consistent team performance in recent matches.
  • Historically, the Warriors have had mixed results against the Knights, but their recent form suggests an advantage.
  • There is limited information available about current injuries affecting the match outcome.
  • Playing in Christchurch provides the Warriors with a home advantage and potentially supportive crowd.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Warriors face greater pressure to maintain their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -295, away: 225 Warriors ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -112 (44.5), under: -112 (44.5) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to dominate this match due to their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Knights 16


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