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Parramatta Eels vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels, in strong form with recent wins over top teams and a confident lineup, face the struggling Newcastle Knights who are on an eight-game losing streak and have poor recent head-to-head results in Sydney.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels are in strong momentum with recent victories including against the Roosters and Warriors. Newcastle Knights have lost their last 8 games, showing defensive vulnerabilities and a late-season collapse.
  • The Eels have dominated recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 8 encounters, including all Sydney-based matches since 2018.
  • No major injuries reported for Parramatta; Dylan Brown returns bolstering the Eels' backline. Newcastle's injury details are minimal but their form decline suggests weakened squad depth.
  • CommBank Stadium favors Parramatta with home ground advantage and supportive crowd. No weather or other external conditions reported to impact play negatively.
  • Parramatta look motivated to finish the season strongly with a farewell game for Dylan Brown, while Newcastle are demoralized due to their long losing streak and poor playoff chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -435, Newcastle Knights +340, Draw +2500 Parramatta Eels ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Parramatta Eels -13.5 -115, Newcastle Knights +13.5 -115 Parramatta Eels -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 51.5 -125, Under 51.5 -105 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels moneyline win, covering the -13.5 spread and game total over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Newcastle Knights in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Sharks clear favourites due to strong recent form and home advantage, while the Knights continue to struggle with a seven-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have won five of their last six games, recently thrashing the Titans 54-22. Newcastle Knights are on a seven-game losing streak and have conceded 176 points in their last four matches.
  • Sharks have dominated recent matchups, winning five of their last six encounters and most recently beating Newcastle 34-14 in April 2025.
  • Cronulla welcome back KL Iro and add Braden Hamlin-Uele to the bench after Cameron McInnes suffered a season-ending injury. Newcastle have no significant changes to their lineup despite poor form.
  • The Sharks benefit from playing at home (Shark Park) with a strong crowd presence. Newcastle face internal turmoil with coach Adam O’Brien reportedly under pressure.
  • Cronulla are motivated to maintain momentum and secure a top-four finish ahead of the finals. Newcastle lack confidence and are under pressure due to their poor form and coaching instability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -725 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -17.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win straight-up, cover the -17.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 36 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Newcastle Knights vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos enter this Round 25 NRL matchup as strong favourites against the Newcastle Knights, showing superior recent form, team structure, and attacking capabilities. The Knights struggle defensively and will find it hard to contain the Broncos' well-organized offense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos are in peak form with a robust defense and high-scoring attack, averaging 13 points more per game than the Knights. The Knights have leaked points consistently and show poor recent form.
  • Broncos have dominated recent clashes, holding a solid advantage in the power rankings (Broncos 4 vs Knights 12) and winning the majority of head-to-head meetings this season.
  • No significant injury reports altering major squads; Broncos maintain full strength while the Knights have minor absences but nothing impacting their already weakened setup.
  • Match is played at McDonald Jones Stadium, traditionally a Knights fortress, but this advantage is minimal against the Broncos’ form and class this season.
  • Broncos motivated to maintain top positioning late in the season, while Knights fight to salvage pride but with less incentive as playoffs odds diminish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -335, Newcastle Knights: +265, Draw: +2300 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -12.5: +105, Newcastle Knights +12.5: -135 Broncos -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos moneyline win, cover -12.5 spread, under 45.5 total points

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – Newcastle Knights 14


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

The North Queensland Cowboys host the Newcastle Knights in Round 24 of the 2025 NRL season. Both teams are out of finals contention, playing mainly for pride and to avoid wooden spoon status. The Cowboys enter as strong favorites with superior recent H2H records and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cowboys have shown defensive improvements and have won 4 straight matches over the Knights, although their overall season form has been poor with 8 losses in 10 games. The Knights remain the league’s lowest-scoring side and have dropped 5 consecutive matches, struggling offensively.
  • The Cowboys boast a dominant recent H2H record with 4 straight victories against the Knights, including last year’s elimination final. They have a 9-game winning streak at home versus Newcastle.
  • The Cowboys have several players returning from injury (McLean, Lawton, Mikaele, Edwards) but are missing Coen Hess due to suspension. Knights are without Phoenix Crossland (head knock) and make debut with rookie Connor Votano. Dane Gagai returns from injury.
  • Playing at home in Townsville gives the Cowboys a strong advantage, amplified by the Knights’ ongoing offensive struggles and recent heavy defeats.
  • Both teams have limited motivation due to eliminated finals hopes, but the Cowboys’ recent defensive improvements and home dominance provide more incentive to maintain pride and momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys -225, Knights 185, Draw 2200 North Queensland Cowboys ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cowboys -7.5 (-115), Knights +7.5 (-115) North Queensland Cowboys -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Queensland Cowboys to win outright with a cover on the -7.5 spread and the game total going over 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: North Queensland Cowboys 28 – 18 Newcastle Knights


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Newcastle Knights vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights host the Penrith Panthers in a Round 23 NRL match. Panthers enter as strong favourites based on recent form, head-to-head dominance, and superior squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers display strong recent form with consistent wins, superior fitness, and tactical execution. Newcastle Knights have been competitive but generally fall short against top-tier teams like the Panthers.
  • Historical data and simulations give Panthers around 80% chance to beat the Knights, usually by a moderate margin. Panthers have held dominance in recent matchups, especially at Newcastle's home ground.
  • No critical injury updates indicate significant absences impacting either side, suggesting both squads likely near full strength.
  • Match played at McDonald Jones Stadium favors Knights slightly due to home advantage, but Panthers’ mental and tactical edge likely neutralizes this factor.
  • Panthers motivated to maintain top-tier momentum heading into finals, while Knights aim to challenge but face a tough test against a dominant side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 305, Penrith Panthers: -400, Draw: 2400 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Newcastle Knights +12.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -12.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win by a margin within 1-12 points, in a controlled, tactical match likely scoring below or near total set line.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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Canberra Raiders vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Newcastle Knights in NRL Round 21 at GIO Stadium. The Raiders, strong favourites, aim to solidify their position towards the minor premiership with recent strong form. The Knights, underdogs, face a challenging away fixture and must cover a significant spread for value.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Raiders exhibit significantly stronger recent form and overall season performance compared to the Knights, with machine learning models giving them an 81% win probability. The Knights have struggled in away fixtures and faced defensive challenges.
  • Historical matchups show Raiders dominance over Knights, especially at home ground GIO Stadium. Recent fixtures trend heavily towards Canberra winning comfortably.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key Raiders players; Knights have minor fitness concerns but no confirmed missing starters, slightly reducing their competitiveness.
  • Playing at home with strong crowd support benefits Canberra. Weather conditions expected favorable and should not impact game flow or scoring significantly.
  • Raiders motivated to maintain winning streak and improve ladder position with potential finals implications. Knights are motivated but less so given form and away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -480, Newcastle Knights +375, Draw +2800 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Canberra Raiders -14.5 -110, Newcastle Knights +14.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -14.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 44.5 -115, Under 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright, cover the -14.5 spread, and the total points to go over 44.5

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing the teams' strengths and weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors have shown stronger recent form, winning significant matches like against the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent, struggling against top-tier teams.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups have favored the Warriors, though recent encounters have been competitive.
  • As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact the outcome.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Knights, but not significantly enough to alter the odds dramatically.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points in the NRL standings, but the Warriors might have an edge in maintaining their stronger season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 1.90, New Zealand Warriors: 1.57 (implied), Draw: 22.00 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 at -115 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over: 43.5 at -115, Under: 43.5 at -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win with a close margin.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-20 Newcastle Knights


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Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm travel to face the Newcastle Knights in a significant NRL match. The Storm are currently in second place, while the Knights are struggling in 13th. The Storm are favored to win, given their strong recent form and the return of key players from Origin duties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Storm have been consistent, winning 12 of their last 14 against the Knights. However, the Knights have won their last two home games against the Storm. The Knights lack consistency, having lost six of their last seven home games.
  • The Storm have a dominant head-to-head record against the Knights, winning 12 of the past 14 matches. However, the Knights' recent home victories against the Storm are noteworthy.
  • Kalyn Ponga remains sidelined for the Knights, while the Storm welcome back their Origin players. The Knights have made some adjustments, including Fletcher Hunt starting at fullback.
  • The Storm's motivation to secure the minor premiership could influence their performance.
  • The Storm's drive for the minor premiership and the Knights' desire to stay in contention for the finals could impact team motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -375 for Storm, 300 for Knights, 2400 for Draw Storm to win High
Spread -10.5 for Storm, +10.5 for Knights Storm to cover Medium-High
Over/under 46.5 Over Medium

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -81%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win, given their recent form and the return of key players. The Knights' inconsistent performance and injury issues make a Storm victory likely.

Predicted Score: Storm 26 – Knights 16


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Newcastle Knights vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle

Game Overview

The Newcastle Knights will host the Canberra Raiders in a pivotal Round 17 NRL match at McDonald Jones Stadium. Both teams are competing in the midst of an intense 2025 NRL season, with the Knights looking to capitalize on home advantage and community support during their Beanie for Brain Cancer Round. The Raiders come into the game with the motivation of milestone player Corey Horsburgh, who will play his 100th match for the club.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Newcastle Knights have demonstrated solid performances at home this season, leveraging strong defensive structures and effective attacking plays. The Canberra Raiders have been competitive but less consistent away from home. Recent rest for key players like Tyson Young suggests strategic player management by the Knights, while the Raiders are motivated by Horsburgh's milestone.
  • Historically, encounters between Newcastle and Canberra have been closely contested. Recent form slightly favors the Knights at home, but the Raiders have shown resilience and capacity to pull off upsets. The head-to-head rivalry adds intensity to this clash.
  • The Knights have Saifiti confirmed as fit and ready to play, while Tyson Young has been rested to keep him fresh. No significant injuries have been reported for the Raiders ahead of the match, indicating both teams will likely field close to full-strength squads.
  • The game is part of the Beanie for Brain Cancer Round at McDonald Jones Stadium, contributing added emotional motivation for the Knights and strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be favorable for a high-tempo game.
  • Corey Horsburgh's 100th game for the Raiders provides a strong personal and team incentive. For the Knights, the desire to maintain home dominance and engage the passionate local fanbase during a special charity round boosts their motivation to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -250, Newcastle Knights: 205, Draw: 2300 Newcastle Knights to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canberra Raiders -7.5: -120, Newcastle Knights +7.5: -110 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 83%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at 83% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage, recent team management, and emotional stakes, the Newcastle Knights are favored to win this encounter. The Raiders remain a threat but are underdogs on the road.

Predicted Score: Newcastle Knights 24 – 20 Canberra Raiders


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Dolphins vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: HBF Park, Perth

Game Overview

The Round 16 NRL match between the Dolphins and Newcastle Knights is set to take place at HBF Park in Perth on June 21, 2025. Both teams are contending in the NRL Premiership season, with the Dolphins hosting the Knights in what promises to be a competitive and strategic encounter. This match is critical in shaping the mid-season table and momentum for both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have shown solid form at home this season, leveraging strong defensive structures and effective attacking plays. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent but possess a dangerous edge in attack when their key playmakers perform well. Recent form favors the Dolphins slightly, especially with their home advantage in Perth.
  • Historically, head-to-head encounters have been relatively balanced, but the Dolphins have had an edge in recent clashes, winning most of the encounters in the current season. Newcastle tends to struggle defensively against the Dolphins' fast-paced offense.
  • There are no major injury concerns publicly reported for either team ahead of this match, implying both squads will likely field their best available lineups.
  • Playing in Perth at HBF Park presents travel and adjustment challenges for Newcastle, potentially giving the Dolphins an advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be clear, minimizing environmental impact on the game.
  • The Dolphins, aiming to consolidate their position in the top half of the ladder, are highly motivated to capitalize on home advantage. Newcastle Knights are motivated to break their inconsistent form and gain valuable points away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -375, Newcastle Knights: 290, Draw: 2500 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Dolphins: -11.5 -120, Newcastle Knights: +11.5 -110 Dolphins to cover the -11.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 44.5: -145, Under 44.5: 110 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins are favored to win this match due to their stronger recent form, home advantage, and the Knights' travel fatigue. A competitive game is likely but the Dolphins have the edge in both attack and defense on paper.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 24 – 14 Newcastle Knights


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