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New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Australia (Home ground of Penrith Panthers)

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face a daunting challenge visiting the Penrith Panthers, who have dominated this season and hold a significant home advantage. Despite the Warriors' resilience and occasional upset potential, Penrith's form and depth put them as strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers exhibit dominant recent form, consistently winning with strong margin averages, while the New Zealand Warriors have shown sporadic performance with inconsistent results, particularly away from home.
  • Head to head history favors Penrith with a majority of wins in recent NRL encounters. Warriors have managed only occasional competitive performances but lack consistency against Panthers’ tactical style.
  • Penrith Panthers report minimal key injuries allowing a near full-strength squad; New Zealand Warriors have minor injury concerns impacting depth, reducing their ability to sustain pressure over four quarters.
  • Playing in Australia with home crowd support benefits Penrith Panthers. Weather and field conditions are expected to be stable, not favoring the underdog.
  • Penrith Panthers push to solidify top ladder position and momentum into playoffs; Warriors aim to upset but face psychological and strategic pressure given recent losses against strong teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: +218, Penrith Panthers: -333 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread New Zealand Warriors +9.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Penrith Panthers -9.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 42.5: -120, Under 42.5: -120 Over 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 42.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 42.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win straight up with a convincing margin and a moderately high scoring game exceeding 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – New Zealand Warriors 14


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the New Zealand Warriors in an NRL Round 27 clash at Lottoland. The Sea Eagles enter favored based on recent form and statistical models with expectations of a competitive match but a home victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have a strong recent form with a 62% predicted win chance per an independent machine learning model, whereas the Warriors have had some heavy losses including a 36-16 defeat to Manly earlier this season.
  • The Sea Eagles defeated the Warriors 36-16 in their last meeting in March 2025; historical data indicates Manly generally have the edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team have been noted, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
  • Playing at home in Sydney benefits Manly with crowd support and familiar conditions, while the Warriors must travel internationally.
  • With the season nearing the playoffs, the Sea Eagles aim to consolidate their position while the Warriors fight to stay competitive; Manly have slightly higher motivation given their stronger standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -190, Warriors +164, Draw +1900 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Manly -5.5 -115, Warriors +5.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles moneyline win

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – New Zealand Warriors 18


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face the Parramatta Eels in NRL Round 26 at Go Media Stadium, with the Warriors favored to continue their superior season form against a struggling Eels side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors hold a strong season record of 10-5, with recent form showing some inconsistency (LWWLL), while Parramatta Eels have had a challenging season at 5-10 and uneven recent results (WLLWL). Warriors have a 67% win rate overall compared to the Eels' 33%.
  • Historically, Parramatta leads the H2H with 7 wins to Warriors' 3 in their last 10 encounters, but the current season momentum strongly favors the Warriors, and recent simulations give Warriors a 62% chance to win this match.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting key players for this fixture.
  • Playing at home in Go Media Stadium provides a home-ground advantage to the Warriors, including crowd support and familiarity with conditions.
  • The Warriors are motivated to solidify a top-four finish while the Eels look to avoid missing the playoffs, increasing pressure on Parramatta. Warriors have more confidence from recent positive results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -164, away: 142, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Home -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -120 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1264%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1264% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The New Zealand Warriors to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, with the total points going Over 44.5.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Eels 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans will host the New Zealand Warriors in Round 25 of the 2025 NRL season, with both teams keen to secure key competition points as the finals approach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The New Zealand Warriors have demonstrated stronger form recently, including a 62% win probability against the Titans based on extensive simulations. The Titans have had mixed results but recently secured a win over the Warriors in their previous meeting.
  • Recent head-to-head data shows a competitive matchup, with the Titans winning the last meeting 24-16. However, over many simulations, the Warriors hold a historical advantage with better consistency.
  • No critical injuries reported that would significantly weaken either side's core structure heading into this match.
  • The game is played at the Titans' home ground, Cbus Super Stadium, which typically favors the home team. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral without impact.
  • The Warriors are slightly more motivated given their recent form and desire to solidify finals positioning, while the Titans aim to defend their home ground and improve ladder position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans +136, New Zealand Warriors -157, Draw +2100 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Titans +3.5 -115, Warriors -3.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5 -108, Under 48.5 -118 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Titans 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and St George Illawarra Dragons is expected to be a closely contested game, characterized by a defensive struggle and limited scoring opportunities, with the Warriors as slight favorites playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have shown moderately stronger form overall, with a home advantage at Go Media Stadium. The Dragons exhibit resilient defensive performances and tend to perform well as underdogs on the road. Both teams' attacks have faced inconsistency recently.
  • Recent encounters have been tight with minimal margins separating winners. Power rankings slightly favor the Warriors (7.83) over the Dragons (12.67), but defensive abilities keep games close.
  • No critical injury reports were available from current data, suggesting broadly full-strength squads with no significant absences impacting the starting lineups.
  • The atmosphere created by the Auckland crowd typically boosts Warriors performances, yet the Dragons’ strong away resilience and motivation to upset the home favorites are notable.
  • The Warriors are motivated to leverage home advantage and maintain their winning momentum, while the Dragons are driven by being underdogs and their consistent defensive mindset, seeking an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -186, Dragons 157, Draw 2100 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Warriors -4.5 -115, Dragons +4.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 42.5 -115, Under 42.5 -115 Under 42.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total score to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Warriors 22 – Dragons 18


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the New Zealand Warriors in a closely matched NRL Round 23 game at Stadium Australia. The Bulldogs are favourites but the Warriors have shown resilience and possess upset potential. This contest is expected to be tight with strong defensive efforts from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have built impressive late-season momentum with solid home performances, whereas the New Zealand Warriors struggle with inconsistency, especially on the road but have shown the capability to compete fiercely.
  • Recent history between the teams is balanced with no clear dominant side. Both teams have similar defensive strength and moderate scoring, projecting a close contest.
  • No major injury updates altering team strengths significantly for either side have been reported in the data.
  • Playing at home gives the Bulldogs a tangible advantage given the momentum they have at Stadium Australia, whereas the Warriors face the challenge of travel and away form.
  • The Bulldogs are positioned to secure a crucial late-season victory with playoff implications, while the Warriors seek to salvage pride toward the end of their campaign, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -275, New Zealand Warriors +225, Draw +2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Bulldogs -8.5 (-115), Warriors +8.5 (-115) Canterbury Bulldogs to cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 42.5 (-105), Under 42.5 (-125) Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win moneyline; Bulldogs to cover the -8.5 spread; Under 42.5 total points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 22 – New Zealand Warriors 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors host the Dolphins in a crucial NRL Round 22 clash where the Dolphins are slight favorites based on predictive analytics despite the Warriors holding home ground advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have demonstrated superior recent form with several high-scoring wins, including 43-24 over Cowboys and 50-28 over Rabbitohs, while the Warriors have mixed results recently including a loss to Titans and narrow wins in some matches.
  • Limited history between the teams with no clear dominance; previous meetings have been close contests with recent matches evenly split.
  • No specific major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team in the available data, suggesting key players should be available for both sides.
  • Playing at Go Media Stadium benefits the Warriors due to strong home support, but Dolphins have shown resilience on the road and in challenging environments.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure finals positions; Warriors aiming to maintain a higher ladder position, Dolphins pushing hard to climb into the Top 8.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -138, Warriors: 120, Draw: 2000 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dolphins -1.5: -135, Warriors +1.5: 105 Dolphins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dolphins at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

For moneyline, bet on Dolphins to win given better form and statistical edge. For spread, Dolphins -1.5 is favored due to momentum and more reliable attack. For total points, expect over 45.5 as both teams possess firepower and history of high scoring.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Warriors 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors, back in top-four contention with recent gritty wins, host a Gold Coast Titans side struggling with form, injuries, and off-field issues. The Warriors are strong favorites, but the Titans have a history of troubling them. Key matchup at Go Media Stadium, with both motivation and roster disruptions shaping the contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors are in strong recent form, winning their last two matches, including a tight victory over the Knights. Titans have struggled defensively and are missing several key forwards, which hurts their pack strength[2]. Warriors' attack is bolstered by returning stars and try-scoring momentum.
  • Titans have historically troubled the Warriors, but recent form and venue favor the home side significantly this time[2]. Warriors have the edge in current momentum and roster consistency.
  • Titans are missing key forwards Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and David Fifita, severely weakening their forward pack[2]. Warriors are close to full strength, with Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad returning to boost their backline[2].
  • Game is at Go Media Stadium, a strong home ground for the Warriors. No major external disruptions reported.
  • Warriors are pushing for a top-four spot and have high motivation to secure a big win at home. Titans are outside finals contention and struggling with coaching unrest, which may affect morale[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -375 / Titans +275 / Draw +2400 Warriors win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Warriors -10.5 (-120) / Titans +10.5 (-110) Warriors cover (-10.5) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115) / Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1850%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1850% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Warriors to win comfortably, covering the spread, in a higher-scoring game than the bookmaker total, driven by their superior form, home advantage, and Titans' weakened pack.

Predicted Score: Warriors 32 – Titans 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing the teams' strengths and weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors have shown stronger recent form, winning significant matches like against the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent, struggling against top-tier teams.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups have favored the Warriors, though recent encounters have been competitive.
  • As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact the outcome.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Knights, but not significantly enough to alter the odds dramatically.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points in the NRL standings, but the Warriors might have an edge in maintaining their stronger season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 1.90, New Zealand Warriors: 1.57 (implied), Draw: 22.00 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 at -115 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over: 43.5 at -115, Under: 43.5 at -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win with a close margin.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-20 Newcastle Knights


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 13, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GO Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

This match pits two teams fighting for momentum in the NRL season. The Warriors have home advantage, but both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have a marginal edge in attack at home, while both teams struggle defensively under pressure.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight advantage, but recent form suggests a close contest.
  • No significant injury updates that would drastically influence the outcome.
  • The Warriors' home crowd could provide a decisive advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their season standings, but the Tigers have less to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -235, Wests Tigers: 195, Draw: 2300 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 7.5 -115 Wests Tigers +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to win, but the game could be close. The spread and over/under markets offer more value.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 20, Wests Tigers 16


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