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New Zealand Warriors vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between New Zealand Warriors and St George Illawarra Dragons is expected to be a closely contested game, characterized by a defensive struggle and limited scoring opportunities, with the Warriors as slight favorites playing at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have shown moderately stronger form overall, with a home advantage at Go Media Stadium. The Dragons exhibit resilient defensive performances and tend to perform well as underdogs on the road. Both teams' attacks have faced inconsistency recently.
  • Recent encounters have been tight with minimal margins separating winners. Power rankings slightly favor the Warriors (7.83) over the Dragons (12.67), but defensive abilities keep games close.
  • No critical injury reports were available from current data, suggesting broadly full-strength squads with no significant absences impacting the starting lineups.
  • The atmosphere created by the Auckland crowd typically boosts Warriors performances, yet the Dragons’ strong away resilience and motivation to upset the home favorites are notable.
  • The Warriors are motivated to leverage home advantage and maintain their winning momentum, while the Dragons are driven by being underdogs and their consistent defensive mindset, seeking an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -186, Dragons 157, Draw 2100 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Warriors -4.5 -115, Dragons +4.5 -115 New Zealand Warriors -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 42.5 -115, Under 42.5 -115 Under 42.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the total score to go under 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Warriors 22 – Dragons 18


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia, Sydney

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the New Zealand Warriors in a closely matched NRL Round 23 game at Stadium Australia. The Bulldogs are favourites but the Warriors have shown resilience and possess upset potential. This contest is expected to be tight with strong defensive efforts from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have built impressive late-season momentum with solid home performances, whereas the New Zealand Warriors struggle with inconsistency, especially on the road but have shown the capability to compete fiercely.
  • Recent history between the teams is balanced with no clear dominant side. Both teams have similar defensive strength and moderate scoring, projecting a close contest.
  • No major injury updates altering team strengths significantly for either side have been reported in the data.
  • Playing at home gives the Bulldogs a tangible advantage given the momentum they have at Stadium Australia, whereas the Warriors face the challenge of travel and away form.
  • The Bulldogs are positioned to secure a crucial late-season victory with playoff implications, while the Warriors seek to salvage pride toward the end of their campaign, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -275, New Zealand Warriors +225, Draw +2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Bulldogs -8.5 (-115), Warriors +8.5 (-115) Canterbury Bulldogs to cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 42.5 (-105), Under 42.5 (-125) Under 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win moneyline; Bulldogs to cover the -8.5 spread; Under 42.5 total points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 22 – New Zealand Warriors 16


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-01
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors host the Dolphins in a crucial NRL Round 22 clash where the Dolphins are slight favorites based on predictive analytics despite the Warriors holding home ground advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have demonstrated superior recent form with several high-scoring wins, including 43-24 over Cowboys and 50-28 over Rabbitohs, while the Warriors have mixed results recently including a loss to Titans and narrow wins in some matches.
  • Limited history between the teams with no clear dominance; previous meetings have been close contests with recent matches evenly split.
  • No specific major injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team in the available data, suggesting key players should be available for both sides.
  • Playing at Go Media Stadium benefits the Warriors due to strong home support, but Dolphins have shown resilience on the road and in challenging environments.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure finals positions; Warriors aiming to maintain a higher ladder position, Dolphins pushing hard to climb into the Top 8.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -138, Warriors: 120, Draw: 2000 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Dolphins -1.5: -135, Warriors +1.5: 105 Dolphins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dolphins at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

For moneyline, bet on Dolphins to win given better form and statistical edge. For spread, Dolphins -1.5 is favored due to momentum and more reliable attack. For total points, expect over 45.5 as both teams possess firepower and history of high scoring.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 26 – Warriors 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors, back in top-four contention with recent gritty wins, host a Gold Coast Titans side struggling with form, injuries, and off-field issues. The Warriors are strong favorites, but the Titans have a history of troubling them. Key matchup at Go Media Stadium, with both motivation and roster disruptions shaping the contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors are in strong recent form, winning their last two matches, including a tight victory over the Knights. Titans have struggled defensively and are missing several key forwards, which hurts their pack strength[2]. Warriors' attack is bolstered by returning stars and try-scoring momentum.
  • Titans have historically troubled the Warriors, but recent form and venue favor the home side significantly this time[2]. Warriors have the edge in current momentum and roster consistency.
  • Titans are missing key forwards Tino Fa’asuamaleaui and David Fifita, severely weakening their forward pack[2]. Warriors are close to full strength, with Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad returning to boost their backline[2].
  • Game is at Go Media Stadium, a strong home ground for the Warriors. No major external disruptions reported.
  • Warriors are pushing for a top-four spot and have high motivation to secure a big win at home. Titans are outside finals contention and struggling with coaching unrest, which may affect morale[2].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -375 / Titans +275 / Draw +2400 Warriors win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Warriors -10.5 (-120) / Titans +10.5 (-110) Warriors cover (-10.5) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115) / Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1850%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1850% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Warriors to win comfortably, covering the spread, in a higher-scoring game than the bookmaker total, driven by their superior form, home advantage, and Titans' weakened pack.

Predicted Score: Warriors 32 – Titans 18


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Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: McDonald Jones Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming match between Newcastle Knights and New Zealand Warriors is expected to be closely contested despite the Warriors being favored. Recent form and head-to-head statistics play crucial roles in assessing the teams' strengths and weaknesses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors have shown stronger recent form, winning significant matches like against the Wests Tigers and South Sydney Rabbitohs. Newcastle Knights have been inconsistent, struggling against top-tier teams.
  • Historically, head-to-head matchups have favored the Warriors, though recent encounters have been competitive.
  • As of the latest updates, there are no significant injuries reported for either team that would drastically impact the outcome.
  • Weather conditions and home-field advantage could slightly favor the Knights, but not significantly enough to alter the odds dramatically.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure valuable points in the NRL standings, but the Warriors might have an edge in maintaining their stronger season trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle Knights: 1.90, New Zealand Warriors: 1.57 (implied), Draw: 22.00 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 at -115 Newcastle Knights +7.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over: 43.5 at -115, Under: 43.5 at -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win with a close margin.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 22-20 Newcastle Knights


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 13, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GO Media Stadium, Auckland

Game Overview

This match pits two teams fighting for momentum in the NRL season. The Warriors have home advantage, but both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have a marginal edge in attack at home, while both teams struggle defensively under pressure.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight advantage, but recent form suggests a close contest.
  • No significant injury updates that would drastically influence the outcome.
  • The Warriors' home crowd could provide a decisive advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their season standings, but the Tigers have less to lose.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -235, Wests Tigers: 195, Draw: 2300 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -7.5 -115, Wests Tigers: 7.5 -115 Wests Tigers +7.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Warriors are likely to win, but the game could be close. The spread and over/under markets offer more value.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 20, Wests Tigers 16


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Brisbane Broncos vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between Brisbane Broncos and New Zealand Warriors is set at Suncorp Stadium with the Broncos looking to extend their winning streak at home, having scored 78 points in back-to-back wins. The Warriors, ranked 4th, are slightly ahead in the table compared to the Broncos in 5th. Both teams have recent success at this venue, with the Warriors having claimed three of their last four games at Suncorp but not defeating the Broncos there since 2018. Key players such as Reece Walsh and Payne Haas are influential for the Broncos, while the Warriors welcome back Kurt Capewell following injury. The match is anticipated to be highly competitive, featuring solid performances and tactical adjustments from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Broncos have strong momentum, scoring 78 points over their last two home games and successfully overcoming a 16-point deficit against the Sharks recently. Reece Walsh’s return from injury has significantly boosted their attack, and Payne Haas continues to lead their forward pack effectively. The Warriors have won three of their last four games at Suncorp, showing capacity to challenge at this ground, although they have not beaten the Broncos there since 2018. Lineup changes favor the Warriors with Queensland State of Origin star Kurt Capewell returning, and key players like Rocco Berry and Edward Kosi coming back from injury, potentially strengthening their second-row and wings.
  • Historically, the Warriors have struggled to defeat the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium, failing to win there since 2018. However, they have won three of their past four encounters at this venue in recent times, indicating a more competitive edge than in past years. Their last season meetings demonstrated balanced try counts, with Warriors scoring four tries and Broncos three in one match during Round 7 2025.
  • The Warriors are missing Dallin Watene-Zelezniak due to an ankle injury sidelining him for four to six weeks, but have regained Moala Graham-Taufa and welcomed back Kurt Capewell. The Broncos have maintained a consistent lineup with no major changes reported ahead of the match, signaling squad stability. Both teams have deep reserves available on the interchange bench to manage any injuries during the match.
  • The match day features a unique schedule with a double-header at Suncorp Stadium, which may influence atmosphere and pitch conditions slightly. Weather and travel fatigue do not appear to be major concerns as both teams are accustomed to playing at this venue. Referee Adam Gee, experienced in high-stakes games, will officiate, potentially ensuring a well-controlled match environment.
  • The Broncos are motivated to secure their third consecutive home victory and maintain momentum in the competition. The Warriors are driven to rebound strongly from a recent unexpected loss to the Panthers and will look to leverage their recent good form at Suncorp Stadium. Both teams are placed closely in the standings (4th vs 5th), adding competitive tension for valuable table points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -186, New Zealand Warriors: 158, Draw: 2100 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -5.5: -125, New Zealand Warriors +5.5: -105 Brisbane Broncos -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Broncos’ strong recent home performances and the Warriors’ mixed history against them at Suncorp, the Broncos hold a slight advantage. Expect a closely contested match with the Broncos edging out the Warriors by a narrow margin, leveraging home ground momentum and key player form.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 26 – 20 New Zealand Warriors


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers, despite being a dominant NRL team in recent seasons, face a challenging schedule with key players backing up from State of Origin commitments and international travel to New Zealand. The Warriors have home ground advantage and a solid following, but the Panthers have a strong roster when at full strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Panthers have historically performed better, but recent scheduling (travel and Origin player fatigue) could impact their lineup and performance. The Warriors are well-supported at home and have shown flashes of brilliance, especially against fatigued or understrength opponents.
  • Penrith Panthers have had the upper hand in recent head-to-head matchups, but fixtures at Go Media Stadium have seen the Warriors competitive, especially with home crowd support.
  • No major injuries reported for the Warriors. The Panthers may face squad rotation or fatigue for Origin players, potentially weakening their usual lineup.
  • The Panthers have a quick turnaround post-State of Origin, with international travel to New Zealand, which could affect recovery and preparation. The Warriors have no such distractions and are playing in familiar conditions.
  • Warriors are motivated to capitalize on Panthers’ Origin hangover and travel fatigue. The Panthers will be motivated to maintain their top-tier status, but may be physically and mentally drained.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -435, away: 345, draw: 2500 Lean on Warriors, but value lies with either team if Panthers are understrength. However, given current odds, large underdog price on Panthers is notable. ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -13.5 -120, away: 13.5 -110 Warriors are favourites to cover spread, but Panthers with a plus handicap could be value if their stars play and perform. ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 42.5 -145, under: 42.5 110 Lean to under, as Panthers’ fatigue and travel may slow the pace and lower scoring. ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1850%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 42.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1850% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 74% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite being underdogs, the Warriors are well-positioned to cover the spread and possibly upset the moneyline due to Panthers' travel and Origin player fatigue. The game is expected to be closer than usual, with the total points likely to stay under the set line.

Predicted Score: Warriors 24 – Panthers 18


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are hosting the New Zealand Warriors in an NRL match. The Sharks have a strong head-to-head record against the Warriors, having won 19 out of the total matches with no draws. Current odds favor the Sharks across moneyline, spread, and over/under bets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sutherland Sharks have historically performed well against the Warriors, with significant winning margins in recent matches.
  • The Sharks have a 61% win rate against the Warriors, with no draws.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Home advantage and recent form may influence the outcome.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points, but the Sharks' recent form and head-to-head dominance suggest a stronger drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -210 for Cronulla, 175 for Warriors, 2200 for draw Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -6.5 for Cronulla, 6.5 for Warriors Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5 -105, Under 44.5 -125 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are likely to win, given their historical performance against the Warriors.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24 – 18 New Zealand Warriors


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium (Stadium Australia)

Game Overview

The Round 13 NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and New Zealand Warriors is set for June 1, 2025, at Accor Stadium. South Sydney enters the game seeking a third consecutive win after a bye and recent victories against Brisbane Broncos and Wests Tigers. Historically, South Sydney has dominated head-to-head encounters at this venue with eight wins out of the last nine meetings, though the Warriors claimed a heavy 30-point victory in their most recent meeting here. The Warriors come into the game after a five-match winning streak was snapped by Canberra Raiders, suffering their first home defeat of the season. Despite sitting third on the ladder, the Warriors have a negative points differential, which could be a vulnerability in this crucial clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney has been strong recently with an 80% win rate and four wins in the last five head-to-head clashes against the Warriors. The Warriors showed solid form with a five-match winning streak before their recent loss but have inconsistencies related to points differential and recent home defeat.
  • In 41 matches between the two clubs, South Sydney leads narrowly with 21 wins to the Warriors' 20. Recently, South Sydney has dominated, winning eight of the last nine meetings at Accor Stadium. The last match at this venue was a significant 30-point win for the Warriors.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, with the Warriors fielding a full-strength team for the first time in recent matches, suggesting both teams should be at near full capacity.
  • The match is played at Accor Stadium, a home advantage for South Sydney. Weather and other external conditions are typical for the location and time of year, with no major known disruptions.
  • South Sydney is motivated to continue their winning streak and extend dominance over the Warriors at home. The Warriors are motivated to bounce back after their first home loss and improve their points differential to strengthen their position in the top three.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -141, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 122, Draw: 1900 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +1.5 -120 New Zealand Warriors -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite South Sydney's strong home record and recent form, advanced predictive analytics models and betting market sentiment favor New Zealand Warriors to win this match by approximately 8 points, reflecting a slight edge in confidence for the away team.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 24 – 16 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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