The New York Yankees host the San Diego Padres in a midweek MLB matchup. Both teams are looking to build momentum as the season progresses. The Yankees, playing at home, enter as favorites according to the latest odds.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have generally performed well at home in recent seasons, often with strong pitching and timely hitting. The Padres, while competitive, have had inconsistent road performances and a less dominant starting rotation.
Recent head-to-head matchups have leaned towards the Yankees, especially in games played at Yankee Stadium. Historical records suggest the Yankees have a slight edge, particularly in pitching matchups.
No major injuries reported for either team as of now, but this status can change rapidly leading up to game time. Always check for last-minute roster updates.
Weather is expected to be typical for early May in the Bronx, with moderate temperatures and no significant rain expected. This should not impact the game negatively.
Both teams are highly motivated: the Yankees aim to solidify their standing in the AL East, while the Padres are looking to prove themselves as serious contenders in the NL West despite challenging road series.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Yankees -174, San Diego Padres 146
New York Yankees
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
New York Yankees -1.5 (+120), San Diego Padres +1.5 (-144)
San Diego Padres +1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8 (-106), Under 8 (-114)
Under 8
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Yankees are favored to win at home, with their superior bullpen and recent form expected to edge out the Padres. However, the Padres' lineup can challenge any pitching staff, so a close game is likely.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 4, San Diego Padres 3
AL East clash between first-place Yankees (19-14) and fourth-place Rays (15-18) with series-deciding implications. Yankees hold home-field advantage and stronger recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees demonstrate superior divisional standing (+4 games) and home-record leverage. Rays struggle below .500 with defensive inconsistencies exacerbated by road play.
Recent series parity suggests competitive matchup; winner claims 3-game series momentum.
No specific injury data available in provided results; assume standard roster configurations.
Day game conditions at Yankee Stadium (1:35 PM EDT) potentially favor pitchers early; wind/weather data unavailable but historically favorable for left-handed power hitters.
Yankees seek divisional consolidation; Rays aim to avoid falling deeper into AL East cellar.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
NYY -178 / TB +150
Yankees ML
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
NYY -1.5 (+114) / TB +1.5 (-137)
NYY -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 (+100) / Under 9 (-122)
Over 9
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 58%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 58% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Yankees leverage home dominance and deeper bullpen to cover spread in high-scoring affair.
The Yankees dominated the Orioles 15-3 in the final game of this series, recording a season-high 19 hits and six home runs. Baltimore’s Kyle Gibson allowed four first-inning homers (Grisham, Judge, Rice, Bellinger) in his season debut, while the Yankees became the first AL/NL team to open multiple games with three consecutive homers in a single season.
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees demonstrated explosive offense (6 HRs, 19 hits), while Orioles’ pitching collapsed (9 ER by Gibson).
Yankees secured the series win with this dominant performance.
No specific injury updates mentioned, but Orioles’ bullpen usage (April 30) suggests limited availability.
Yankees’ lineup depth (all starters recorded hits) and Orioles’ rotation instability (Gibson’s rust) proved decisive.
Yankees sought to affirm AL East dominance; Orioles struggled defensively and rotationally.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
NYY -102 | BAL -116 (pre-game)
Yankees moneyline
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
NYY -1.5 (+150) | BAL +1.5 (-182)
Yankees cover -1.5
★★★★★ 90%
Over/under
Over 9.5 (-108) | Under 9.5 (-112)
Over 9.5
★★★★☆ 80%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 29%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 44%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Postgame analysis only (Yankees won 15-3). For hypothetical future odds: Yankees would be heavy favorites given form, but live odds for this game had Yankees at -102 moneyline pre-game.
Predicted Score: Final score: NYY 15-3 BAL (actual result). Hypothetical reopening line: NYY 8-4 BAL predicted.
The New York Yankees are facing the Toronto Blue Jays in a crucial matchup where the Yankees, led by starting pitcher Max Fried (4-0, 1.42 ERA), look to take the series against the Blue Jays. Toronto's Kevin Gausman (2-2, 3.16 ERA) will be on the mound.
Key Factors to Consider
Both teams have shown impressive skills this season, with the Yankees currently having a 15-11 record and the Blue Jays at 13-13. The Yankees' strong pitching, led by Max Fried, is a significant advantage.
Recent head-to-head data suggests Toronto's variable performance against strong opponents like the Yankees.
Injury reports are not detailed in the available data, but typically, significant injuries can impact team performance.
Weather conditions and crowd support at Yankee Stadium might favor the Yankees, but these are not definitive factors.
Both teams are motivated to win, with the Blue Jays looking to upset the series and the Yankees aiming to secure a series victory.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Yankees -158, Toronto Blue Jays 134
Yankees
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
New York Yankees -1.5 126, Toronto Blue Jays 1.5 -152
Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 9 -110, Under 9 -110
Under 9
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Yankees are favored due to Max Fried's strong performance this season and their home-field advantage.