The New York Yankees (72-60) host the struggling Washington Nationals (53-79) in the final game of this series. The Yankees have won the first two games convincingly, including a strong pitching performance by Max Fried who is expected to start again. The Nationals are underperforming and entering a difficult road stretch.
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees have won three in a row, showing strong offense led by Aaron Judge (40 HR, 93 RBIs) and solid pitching with a 4.00 ERA team-wide. Nationals have a 5.34 ERA and 1.45 WHIP with inconsistent batting (.244 average) and appear fatigued with a losing record.
Yankees took the first two games in this series by scores of 10-5 and 5-1, dominating both pitching and hitting matchups thus far.
No significant injuries reported impacting either starting lineup or starting pitchers for this game.
Game at home for the Yankees at Yankee Stadium, where Max Fried has a strong 2.44 ERA and low opponent batting average (.209) in 70 innings. Nationals have struggled on the road and with less playoff motivation.
Yankees are fighting for a higher AL East position and momentum; Nationals are out of contention, likely less motivated.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -270, away: +220
New York Yankees
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
home: -140, away: +116
New York Yankees -1.5
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
over: -115, under: -105
Under 8.5 runs
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run spread; game total expected to go under 8.5 runs due to Fried’s strong pitching and Nationals' weak offense.
Predicted Score: New York Yankees 5 – Washington Nationals 2
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees in a critical AL East matchup. The Rays are slightly underperforming this season at 61-65 but have a stronger pitching edge with Drew Rasmussen (2.60 ERA). The Yankees (68-57) are coming off a dominant 13-3 win with strong offense led by Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger, starting Cam Schlittler (3.94 ERA).
Key Factors to Consider
Yankees are on a hot streak, winning six of their last seven games with dominant offensive output and solid pitching. Rays have an edge on starting pitching but have struggled for consistency this season.
Recent meetings favor the Yankees with a strong offensive showing in their last game (13-3 win) and momentum in the series.
No major injuries reported impacting the starting lineups for either team.
Game played at Yankees’ home ballpark in Tampa, potentially giving Rays moderate home advantage.
Yankees pushing to maintain a strong playoff position in a competitive AL East; Rays fighting to improve their standing despite a losing record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Yankees: -102, Tampa Bay Rays: -116
New York Yankees
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
New York Yankees: -1.5 +158, Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 -192
New York Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -118, Under 8.5: -104
Over 8.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Yankees at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Take the New York Yankees moneyline, as their current form and offensive firepower outweigh the Rays' pitching edge.
The New York Yankees (66-57) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (61-63) for the final game of their three-game series at Busch Stadium. Both teams have similar overall records and are motivated to secure a winning streak after splitting the previous two games. The probable starting pitchers are Will Warren (Yankees) and Miles Mikolas (Cardinals), with Warren having the pitching edge based on season stats.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have a stronger offensive profile, batting .250 with a .330 OBP and .447 slugging, and producing 5.1 runs per game (3rd in MLB). Pitching-wise, they have a 4.04 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. The Cardinals have a .243 team average and a higher pitching ERA of 4.97 (Miles Mikolas).
The teams have split their first two matchups of this series. Historical matchups favor the Yankees slightly, including Warren's positive track record against the Cardinals.
No significant injuries reported impacting either starting lineup or pitching staffs for this game.
The game is played at Busch Stadium, home of the Cardinals, which is moderately pitcher-friendly, but Yankees' offensive depth could mitigate that advantage.
Yankees aim to continue building momentum before a crucial upcoming stretch, while Cardinals look to even the series and improve their .500-ish season record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Yankees -146, Cardinals +124
Yankees
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Yankees -1.5 +112, Cardinals +1.5 -134
Yankees -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 -118, Under 9 -104
Over
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Yankees -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Yankees to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go over 9 total runs.
The New York Yankees host the Minnesota Twins in this MLB matchup. The Yankees hold a better overall record (64-56) compared to the Twins (56-63). Yankees' starting pitcher Cam Schlittler has struggled this season with a 4.38 ERA, while Twins' Joe Ryan boasts a strong 2.79 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. The series so far has been dominated by the Yankees, who are aiming for a sweep.
Key Factors to Consider
The Yankees have been inconsistent but hold home advantage; the Twins have lost 3 of their last 4 but feature solid pitching from Joe Ryan. Twins offense has underperformed recently, scoring limited runs in prior games vs Yankees.
Yankees have won the first two games of the series decisively (6-2 and 9-1). Against Joe Ryan, Twins are 2-2 with a 3.86 ERA. The Yankees have struggled against Ryan but have overall dominated the current series.
No significant injuries reported impacting starting players or key offensive contributors for either team.
Game played at Yankee Stadium favors Yankees. Weather and travel appear neutral with no impactful constraints.
Yankees motivated to sweep the series at home; Twins aiming to avoid sweep and build momentum before upcoming schedule against weaker teams.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins +114, New York Yankees -126
Minnesota Twins
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Minnesota Twins +1.5 -180, New York Yankees -1.5 +157
Minnesota Twins +1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins 13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Minnesota Twins at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Minnesota Twins moneyline pickup offers the highest expected value due to superior pitching by Joe Ryan, value price, and Yankees' pitcher struggles despite home advantage.