Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison, New Jersey
Game Overview
The MLS regular season match features New York Red Bulls hosting Minnesota United FC at the Sports Illustrated Stadium. Both teams have had a closely contested recent history with the last five head-to-heads showing two wins each and one draw. The match kickoff is scheduled for 11:30 PM local time on June 28th, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- New York Red Bulls have slightly better recent form at home and have secured 2 wins in the last 5 head-to-head encounters with Minnesota United FC, who have also won 2 of those matches. Both teams show competitive balance but NYRB benefit from home advantage.
- In the last five meetings, New York Red Bulls and Minnesota United FC have won 2 matches each with 1 draw, indicating a well-matched rivalry.
- No specific injury reports available from current sources, suggesting squads may be relatively intact.
- Home advantage for New York Red Bulls at Sports Illustrated Stadium could play a significant role. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard with no reported issues.
- Both teams aim to accumulate crucial points in the mid-season MLS standings. New York Red Bulls may have added motivation playing on home turf, while Minnesota United will push to claim points on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Minnesota United FC: 235, New York Red Bulls: 115, Draw: 250 | New York Red Bulls win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Minnesota United FC: 25 -105, New York Red Bulls: -0.25 -115 | New York Red Bulls -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Red Bulls 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Red Bulls at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tightly contested match likely to be decided by small margins. New York Red Bulls given the slight edge due to home advantage and recent form. Expect a close game potentially ending in a draw or narrow win for the home side.
Predicted Score: 1-0