The Arizona Diamondbacks host the New York Mets at Chase Field for the MLB matchup on May 7, 2025. The Diamondbacks defeated the Mets 5-1 on May 6, showing strong offensive and pitching performances. Key players like Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have been impactful recently, and the Mets have struggled somewhat against Arizona’s pitching. The game is expected to be competitive given recent outcomes but leans slightly towards the Diamondbacks due to momentum and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Arizona Diamondbacks have shown solid form with a convincing win over the Mets in the previous game (5-1), highlighted by effective hitting and pitching. The Mets, despite their strong overall roster, have struggled to contain key Diamondbacks hitters like Gurriel Jr. Recent games indicate the Mets have trouble covering the spread against Arizona's pitching.
In the last two meetings (May 5 and May 6), Arizona won both games. On May 6, the Diamondbacks scored 5 runs to the Mets’ 1, controlling the game largely from the middle innings. Spread results favored Arizona once and Mets once, indicating close contests but a slight edge to Arizona recently.
No specific injury updates for key players from either team were reported in the available data leading into the game, implying both sides should be near full strength.
The game is played at Chase Field, giving Arizona home-field advantage. Weather or other external impacts were not noted, so neutral playing conditions are expected.
Arizona looks motivated to continue their winning streak against the Mets and leverage home advantage. Mets aim to rebound from recent defeats, particularly looking to improve pitching and limit big hits from Gurriel Jr. and other Diamondbacks hitters.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks: 108, New York Mets: -126
New York Mets underdog despite recent losses, but Arizona Diamondbacks favored due to home advantage and momentum
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.5 -146, New York Mets: -1.5 122
Arizona Diamondbacks to cover +1.5 spread, given Mets struggled to cover -1.5 in previous games
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over: 9 -102, Under: 9 -120
Under 9 runs total expected due to strong pitching performances and moderate scoring in recent games
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks will likely win the game based on form, home advantage, and pitching strength. Expect a moderately close game with Arizona covering the run line and the total score hovering around 9 runs.
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4, New York Mets 2
The St. Louis Cardinals host the New York Mets in a May matchup. The Mets are currently performing well with a record of 22-11, while the Cardinals are at 14-19. Recent games between these teams have seen the Mets dominating, which could influence the odds.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have shown strong performance with a better record, while the Cardinals' recent losses might affect their confidence and game strategy.
Recent head-to-heads favor the Mets, indicating their strength against the Cardinals.
Without specific injury reports, this factor remains neutral unless there are last-minute updates.
Home-field advantage might boost the Cardinals, but the Mets' momentum could counter this.
Both teams are motivated to win, especially the Cardinals to improve their season standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
NYM -140, STL 127
New York Mets
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
NYM -1.5 117, STL 1.5 -137
New York Mets
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 8.5 105, Under 8.5 -125
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Mets are likely to win given their recent form and past performance against the Cardinals.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 5, St. Louis Cardinals 3
Final game of a three-game series between the New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks, with the Mets favored at home. The Diamondbacks are positioned as underdogs, attempting to avoid a series sweep or secure a road victory.
Key Factors to Consider
Limited current-season data available, but Mets favored at home with stronger moneyline odds (-162). Diamondbacks' recent performance (as underdogs) suggests potential resilience.
No specific head-to-head stats provided, but Mets hold home-field advantage with odds reflecting stronger confidence in their lineup.
No injury reports available in provided data.
Game played at Citi Field (hitter-friendly dimensions may influence scoring). Weather conditions unstated but presumed neutral.
Mets aim to leverage home advantage to close the series; Diamondbacks seek to avoid back-to-back losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
NYM: -162 | ARI: +136
Mets ML
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
NYM -1.5 (+130) | ARI +1.5 (-156)
Diamondbacks +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 7.5 (-118) | Under 7.5 (-104)
Under 7.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 46%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mets win by a narrow margin (1-2 runs), with moderate confidence due to home advantage and slightly superior pitching matchups implied by odds.
The Washington Nationals are set to face the New York Mets in a closely contested matchup. The Mets currently lead the NL East with a strong record, while the Nationals are third but have shown resilience in recent games, including a dramatic comeback win against the Mets.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have been performing well, but the Nationals have demonstrated an ability to win tight games, including a recent walk-off victory over the Mets. This series has seen significant comebacks from the Nationals.
The Nationals have shown they can compete closely with the Mets, having won two games in the series so far, both of which involved comebacks.
No major injuries affecting the teams' recent performances have been reported.
Given the close nature of the series and the momentum obtained from their recent wins, the Nationals may have an edge in terms of motivation and crowd support at home.
The Nationals are highly motivated after their recent wins, particularly after staged comebacks. This momentum can play a significant role in their performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mets: -158, Nationals: 134
Mets win
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Mets: -1.5 100, Nationals: 1.5 -120
Mets cover
★★☆☆☆ 48%
Over/under
Over: 9.5 100, Under: 9.5 -122
Over
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 33%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Nationals will likely put up a strong fight, but the Mets' overall strength might give them a slight advantage in terms of outright win probability.