Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-24
• Time: 12:45 AM UTC
• Location: Subaru Park

Game Overview

This Eastern Conference Semifinal playoff match pits Philadelphia Union against New York City FC at Subaru Park. Both teams are in strong form, with Philadelphia Union having won their last regular season meeting 1-0 and NYCFC advancing with a strong playoff performance. The match is win-or-go-home, adding significant pressure and intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

• Philadelphia Union have shown solid defensive organization and home advantage, with a recent 1-0 win over NYCFC in October. NYCFC have been clinical in attack, highlighted by Nicolás Fernández's recent brace in the playoffs. Union's passing accuracy (70.5%) is lower than NYCFC's (82.3%), but they have more blocked shots (4.5 vs 2), indicating a resilient defense.
• Recent meetings are tightly contested: Philadelphia Union won 1-0 on October 4, 2025, NYCFC won 1-0 on April 12, 2025, and Philadelphia won 1-5 on September 18, 2024. The last five games show a mix of narrow wins and high-scoring matches, with Philadelphia holding a slight edge in recent form.
• No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this crucial playoff fixture.
• The match is at Subaru Park, Philadelphia's home ground, which is known for its strong atmosphere and home advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play.
• Both teams are highly motivated, as this is a win-or-go-home playoff match. Philadelphia Union have the added motivation of home support, while NYCFC are looking to continue their playoff momentum after a strong performance in the previous round.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union are favored to win this match due to their home advantage, recent form, and strong defensive record. However, NYCFC's attacking prowess and playoff experience make them a dangerous opponent. The match is likely to be close, with a narrow win for Philadelphia Union.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 1-0 New York City FC

Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, USA

Game Overview

This match is the decisive Game 3 of the Audi 2025 MLS Cup Playoffs Round One Best-of-3 series between Charlotte FC and New York City FC. The series is tied after Charlotte FC won the second leg 7-6 on penalties following a 0-0 draw in regulation. The winner advances to the next playoff round, making this a high-stakes, winner-take-all encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charlotte FC showed resilience in the previous match, holding New York City FC to a 0-0 draw and winning on penalties. New York City FC had the upper hand in the first leg, winning 1-0. Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive organization, but Charlotte FC has shown greater composure in high-pressure situations, especially at home. The series has been tightly contested, with both teams struggling to break down each other's defenses in regulation.
• In the current playoff series, New York City FC won the first leg 1-0, while Charlotte FC won the second leg 7-6 on penalties after a 0-0 draw. Historically, the teams have played three matches this season, with New York City FC holding a slight edge in regular season results. However, Charlotte FC has performed better in knockout scenarios, especially at home.
• No major injuries or suspensions have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads appear to be at full strength for this crucial match.
• The match is being played at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte FC's home ground, which provides a significant advantage due to home support and familiarity with the pitch. The weather is expected to be mild, with no adverse conditions forecasted.
• Both teams are highly motivated, but Charlotte FC has the added incentive of playing at home in a winner-take-all scenario. The pressure is immense, but Charlotte FC has shown the ability to handle high-stakes matches, especially in front of their home crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given the tight nature of the series and the home advantage for Charlotte FC, this match is expected to be closely contested. Charlotte FC's ability to hold New York City FC to a 0-0 draw in the previous match and win on penalties suggests they have the defensive solidity and mental strength to perform well. However, New York City FC's experience in high-pressure situations cannot be discounted. The match is likely to be decided by a single goal or go to penalties again.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Charlotte FC

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Charlotte FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York, USA

Game Overview

This MLS playoff match features New York City FC, at home, against Charlotte FC. NYCFC enters as the favorite based on recent form and home advantage, but Charlotte has shown resilience in head-to-heads and on the road. The outcome could be pivotal for postseason advancement, with both teams motivated to secure a favorable result.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC has been solid at home, while Charlotte FC has a strong record in their last 18 away matches, winning 13. Charlotte, however, lost their most recent encounter with NYCFC 0-1, ending a positive run of results for the visitors[1]. NYCFC's recent form includes wins against Charlotte and other mid-table sides, but consistency remains a question.
• In their last 8 meetings, Charlotte leads 5 wins to NYCFC's 2, with 1 draw[7]. However, NYCFC won the most recent meeting 1-0[1]. The last four matches have not ended in a draw, suggesting a decisive result is likely[3].
• No major injury updates are available in the provided data. Lineups suggest both teams are at near full strength, with key players like Alonso Martínez (NYCFC) and Liel Abada (Charlotte) expected to feature[3].
• Playoff intensity is a key factor, likely reducing the risk of complacency. Weather and pitch conditions in New York at this time of year are generally neutral but can occasionally affect tempo and ball movement.
• Both teams are highly motivated given the playoff context. NYCFC seeks to leverage home advantage, while Charlotte aims to reverse recent head-to-head fortunes and continue their strong away form.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored at home, but Charlotte FC's historical edge and playoff stakes suggest potential for a tightly contested match. Expect NYCFC to control possession and set the tempo, but Charlotte could counter effectively. A narrow NYCFC win or a draw is most probable, with under 3 goals likely.

Predicted Score: New York City FC 1-0 Charlotte FC

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Seattle Sounders FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, USA

Game Overview

New York City FC is set to face Seattle Sounders FC in a pivotal MLS match. Both teams have been competing well, with New York City FC showing strong form at home and Seattle Sounders possessing a mixed away record. The head-to-head record is evenly split, which could make for an intense matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC has been in good form, winning 11 of their 16 home games, while Seattle Sounders have had a mixed run, winning four away matches. Top scorers for New York City include Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista with 17 goals. For Seattle, Daniel Musovski leads with 14 goals.
• Both teams have won three matches each in their past seven encounters, with one draw. Their head-to-head record suggests a closely contested match.
• Current injury reports are not detailed in the data provided.
• The match at Yankee Stadium is expected to be highly competitive, with both teams vying for better positions in the league.
• Motivation is high for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the MLS standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given New York City FC's strong home record and Seattle's mixed away form, New York City FC are likely to edge this match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 New York City FC

Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Game Overview

The upcoming MLS match between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC is a critical encounter late in the season, with NYCFC holding a higher standing (16W-5L-9D, 53 points) compared to New York Red Bulls (12W-7L-12D, 43 points). NYCFC come off a demoralizing 0-4 home loss to Inter Miami, highlighted by defensive lapses and a collapse in the final 15 minutes. The Red Bulls have shown a more steady but less dominant performance throughout the season. The match is expected to be highly competitive given the local rivalry and the points at stake for playoff positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

• NYCFC has struggled recently, especially after a heavy defeat to Inter Miami where their defense and concentration faltered in the closing stages of the match. Their recent form shows vulnerability, despite a strong overall season. New York Red Bulls have been more consistent but lack the attacking firepower of NYCFC. Key NYCFC players include A Martínez (17 goals) and H Wolf (11 goals), while Red Bulls rely on E Choupo-Moting (16 goals) and E Forsberg (10 goals).
• The two clubs have a heated local rivalry with NYCFC typically performing better in recent encounters. However, recent home advantage by Red Bulls adds to the unpredictability. NYCFC’s defensive issues recently could tip the scales favoring Red Bulls, especially playing at home.
• No specific injuries were reported in the available data for either side before the match, but NYCFC’s coach made notable substitutions attempting to shake up his defense and midfield in previous matches.
• NYCFC is still smarting from the psychological blow of their heavy defeat to Inter Miami, led by Lionel Messi. The match being at the Red Bulls’ Sports Illustrated Stadium gives New York Red Bulls a slight home advantage. Crowd support and stadium conditions may influence the tempo of the game.
• NYCFC aims to rebound quickly from their collapse to secure vital points for a strong playoff run, while the Red Bulls look to capitalize on their opponent’s recent frailty and home advantage to improve their position in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given NYCFC’s recent poor defensive form highlighted by error-prone moments leading to goals, and Red Bulls’ decent home form, a closely contested match is predicted with a slight edge to New York Red Bulls securing a narrow win or draw. A low-scoring tight game is likely reflecting defensive caution by NYCFC and aggressive home tactics by Red Bulls.

Predicted Score: New York Red Bulls 2 – 1 New York City FC

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Neutral or unspecified MLS venue

Game Overview

This Major League Soccer match sees New York City FC host Inter Miami CF. NYCFC have historically dominated the fixture with 8 wins from 13 meetings since 2020, compared to Inter Miami's sole victory. Recent form shows NYCFC with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games, scoring an average 1.2 goals per match and conceding 1.6, while Inter Miami has 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Both teams have seen mixed defensive solidity and attacking output heading into this encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC shows stronger recent performance and scoring potential, with Alonso Martínez as a key attacker (1.8 shots on target per match). Inter Miami relies heavily on top scorer Lionel Messi (22 goals in the MLS season) but struggles defensively, conceding more goals on average. NYCFC's higher possession and passing accuracy in recent meetings highlight better control, although Inter Miami's home stats (59% possession in recent high-profile fixtures) suggest they can compete physically.
• New York City FC leads the head-to-head record substantially with 8 wins out of 13 matches, 4 draws, and only 1 win for Inter Miami. Recent encounters have ended mostly in draws, but NYCFC remains unbeaten in 7 straight meetings (3 wins, 4 draws). The aggregate goals scored are 24 by NYCFC and 12 by Inter Miami, showing a historical goal-scoring edge to the home side.
• Current search data does not provide specific injury updates for either team. Injuries or suspensions could impact key players such as Alonso Martínez or Lionel Messi, but no confirmed reports are available at this time.
• No explicit external factors such as weather or venue advantage detailed beyond typical home advantage for New York City FC. Attendance and fan influence expected normal. No red card suspensions or extraordinary disciplinary penalties announced prior to this match.
• New York City FC aims to maintain dominance over Inter Miami and improve MLS standings, crucial for playoff positioning late in the season. Inter Miami will be motivated to overturn poor recent results and capitalize on Messi's form to regain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored to win given superior head-to-head, current form, and home advantage. A closely contested game is expected based on recent draws but NYCFC's attacking edge should secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, USA

Game Overview

The MLS match between New York City FC (NYCFC) and Columbus Crew SC on September 17, 2025, is a key Eastern Conference clash. NYCFC is currently 7th in the standings with 47 points, while Columbus Crew holds 5th place with 49 points. Columbus come into this match as defending champions, showcasing a potent attacking style evidenced by a recent 5-4 victory, but their defense has vulnerabilities. NYCFC has had an inconsistent season but boasts key players like Alonso Martínez, who leads with 15 goals, and strong home support at Yankee Stadium. This fixture carries significant weight for both teams' playoff momentum and regional pride.

Key Factors to Consider

• Columbus Crew demonstrate a powerful attack but a fragile defense, highlighted by their recent 5-4 win. NYCFC shows inconsistency but has moments of high performance, with Martínez as a standout scorer. NYCFC's midfield will rely on James Sands to control the tempo due to some defensive injuries.
• Recent season meetings show tight competition; historically, NYCFC and Columbus Crew matches are closely contested with dramatic moments. The two teams played two matches last season and once already this season, underlining a balanced rivalry without a clear dominant side.
• NYCFC is missing Malachi Jones due to injury and faces uncertainty with Thiago Martins' fitness. Columbus Crew's injury status is not highlighted as a concern, suggesting a more stable lineup.
• The match was rescheduled from August 9 to September 17 and moved to Yankee Stadium due to pitch conditions at Citi Field. This change means NYCFC will play at a familiar venue with strong fan support. Additionally, the game is NYCFC's annual Noche Latina match, potentially boosting home crowd atmosphere and player motivation.
• Columbus Crew seek to consolidate their position as defending champions and maintain momentum with a recent high-scoring victory. NYCFC aims to stabilize their form and leverage home advantage to disrupt the champions’ confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Considering the attacking strengths and defensive frailties of both sides, alongside NYCFC's home advantage and recent form inconsistency, the most probable outcome is a narrow win for New York City FC, capitalizing on solid defense and key player performances.

Predicted Score: 2-1

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Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Soldier Field

Game Overview

The MLS regular season clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC is a crucial Eastern Conference matchup with playoff implications, as both teams are near the Wild Card positions fighting for postseason qualification. Chicago Fire sits ninth, closely trailing eighth-placed New York City FC by two points but having played one more game. The game is expected to be competitive given the close standings and recent forms.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC currently leads the head-to-head form with a notable 3-1 victory over Chicago Fire in May, has slightly better consistency with 13 wins this season versus Chicago Fire’s 12. Chicago is on a hot streak with only one loss in their last 13 matches, including three consecutive wins heading into this match. New York is eager to bounce back from a recent defeat to D.C. United and capitalize on the remaining fixtures to solidify their playoff position.
• Recent encounters favor New York City FC, including a convincing 3-1 home win in May this year. However, matches have often been tight, with close scorelines and competitive play, underscoring a balanced rivalry at this stage.
• New York City FC had three players unavailable in their last match against D.C. United, though no explicit injury list for this match is reported. Chicago Fire’s injury status is not detailed in current data, suggesting no major absences reported before this key fixture.
• The match is played at Chicago’s home venue, Soldier Field, with potentially high fan support for the home side. Both teams are aware of the playoff stakes, intensifying the competitive environment. Weather and other environmental conditions remain typical for September in Chicago with no major disruptions noted.
• Both teams are highly motivated given the proximity to playoffs and the standings pressure. New York City FC is looking to reclaim momentum after a setback and secure points to improve seeding, while Chicago Fire wants to upset to climb in the table and keep postseason hopes alive.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given New York City FC’s marginally better season performance and previous decisive win against Chicago Fire, coupled with Chicago’s strong recent unbeaten streak, the match is likely to be a close contest. A predicted narrow win for New York City FC is expected, but a draw remains a plausible outcome due to Chicago’s home advantage and form.

Predicted Score: Chicago Fire 2 – 1 New York City FC

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs D.C. United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, New York City

Game Overview

This MLS match features New York City FC hosting D.C. United at Yankee Stadium. New York City FC holds an advantage historically and home-field advantage, coming off moderate recent form with some scoring ability but defensive vulnerabilities. D.C. United has struggled recently but remains competitive, making for a likely close and tactical contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC have scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, with key players like Alonso Martinez leading shots on target (1.8 per match) and Julian Fernandez creating 13 big chances. However, they have conceded in their last 8 games without a clean sheet. D.C. United scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches but haven't won in their last 12 attempts.
• Historically, New York City FC lead the head-to-head with 12 wins vs. 7 for D.C. United and 5 draws in 24 matches with an average of 2.9 goals per match between them. Recent encounters show wins for New York City FC by 2-0 in their last meetings.
• No specific injury data available in current results; lineups expected about an hour before kickoff could reveal last-minute changes.
• Home advantage for New York City FC at Yankee Stadium could play a significant role. No notable weather or external disruptions reported.
• New York City FC, positioned 12th in the league, will seek points to improve standings and break defensive issues. D.C. United, lower at 21st, aims to overcome their winless streak to boost morale.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC is favored to win due to better head-to-head record, home advantage, and stronger recent attacking form despite defensive concerns. Expect a competitive match with low-to-moderate scoring.

Predicted Score: 2-0