Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-04
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union, leading the Supporters Shield race, hosts New York City FC in a crucial late-season MLS matchup. The Union have shown solid consistency and are favored to clinch the title soon, while NYCFC has improved their away form but remain underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Philadelphia Union hold a 19-7-6 overall record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. NYCFC are 17-10-5 but have displayed patchy form recently with a 3-2 run in their last 5. Philadelphia is stronger at home; NYCFC’s away record improved to 6-5-5 after midseason adjustments.
• Historically, NYCFC have a modest advantage in wins (12-11-2) against Philadelphia despite being underdogs. However, most past games have been close, indicating a competitive rivalry. Philadelphia won the recent home meeting earlier this season.
• No critical injury data suggests major key players missing for either team, implying both squads should be near full strength.
• The game at Subaru Park offers Philadelphia home advantage and strong fan support. Weather or other external disruptions are not indicated.
• Philadelphia Union are highly motivated to secure the Supporters Shield with only two games left to play. NYCFC, chasing a seventh away win, have good motivation to upset the home side but are under pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Game Overview

The New York Red Bulls host New York City FC in an MLS match that pits a mid-table home side against a well-performing visiting team. NYCFC leads the league with 53 points and a strong recent form, while Red Bulls have shown inconsistency but have home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• NYCFC holds a superior overall record (16-5-9) and more points (53) compared to Red Bulls (12-7-12, 43 points). NYCFC is undefeated at home and decent away, while Red Bulls are stronger at home but inconsistent overall. Recently, NYCFC has won 4 of their last 6 matches, Red Bulls are inconsistent with mixed results.
• Historically, Red Bulls have a slight edge with 6 wins to NYCFC's 5 in recent matchups, with 1 draw. However, NYCFC has been in better form lately in direct encounters.
• No critical injury information is reported for either team affecting key starters.
• Game is at Red Bulls’ home stadium, which improves Red Bulls' chances. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed normal. There are no notable external disruptions.
• NYCFC is motivated to maintain their top position in the league and is pushing for playoff seeding. Red Bulls seek to improve their position and exploit home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given the odds and analysis, the highest expected value play is a Red Bulls moneyline win, capitalizing on home advantage and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens, USA

Game Overview

New York City FC hosts Inter Miami CF in a tightly contested MLS matchup with NYCFC slightly favored due to home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• NYCFC holds 53 points from 30 games and is unbeaten in 7 meetings versus Inter Miami (3W, 4D). They have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches but have not kept a clean sheet in 12 games. Inter Miami has 49 points in 27 games with a middling recent record.
• NYCFC is undefeated in the last 7 meetings against Inter Miami CF (3 wins, 4 draws), showing psychological edge and tactical matchup advantage.
• NYCFC is missing Keaton Parks, Malachi Jones, and Nico Cavallo due to injuries. Inter Miami is without Telasco Segovia (suspension), Allen Obando, David Ruiz, and Fabrice Picault due to injuries, which significantly impacts their lineup depth.
• The match at Citi Field provides NYCFC home advantage which has been strong (11-0-4 home record). Inter Miami performs less consistently away (6-4-4). Weather and travel do not appear to markedly affect either side.
• NYCFC is motivated to secure a higher playoff seeding with more points after recent mixed results. Inter Miami needs points to maintain playoff position but has a slightly lower urgency and more squad disruptions.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Charlotte FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium

Game Overview

A high-stakes MLS Eastern Conference clash between in-form Charlotte FC and resilient New York City FC, both contending for top playoff positioning with Charlotte currently leading in momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charlotte FC is on a historic 9-game winning streak, their best run ever, having scored 51 goals this season, showing superior offensive power. New York City FC have lost just once in their last eight games, indicating strong form and resilience at home.
• Out of seven prior meetings, Charlotte FC leads with five wins including a recent 2-1 victory in April 2024 at Yankee Stadium. This suggests Charlotte's tactical edge over New York City FC.
• No major injuries reported for either team affecting key players, allowing both squads close to full strength.
• Playing at home provides New York City FC a slight venue advantage, but Charlotte's confidence and recent form mitigate this. Both teams' motivation is high due to playoff implications.
• Both teams are highly motivated; Charlotte aims to extend their winning streak and consolidate a top-four spot, while New York City FC seek to capitalize on home games and close the points gap with matches in hand.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Charlotte FC to win

Predicted Score: New York City FC 1 – 2 Charlotte FC

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-17
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Game Overview

This MLS matchup features New York City FC hosting Columbus Crew SC, a contest between two mid-table competitive teams separated by just two points. Both sides are motivated to secure points late in the season to improve playoff positioning, making this a tightly contested game expected to be decided by fine margins.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC has a slightly better recent record with 14 wins from 28 games and a positive goal difference (+8), whereas Columbus has 13 wins from 29 games and a +5 goal difference. NYCFC shows stronger home form and slightly higher win percentage (approximately 35% vs 30%), but Columbus Crew have been resilient away, drawing 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Historically, the teams are evenly matched with Columbus Crew slightly ahead in points (49 vs 47). The last meetings have produced a mix of draws and narrow wins, suggesting a close tactical battle with few goals.
• No major injury news is reported that would significantly affect the starting lineups of either side, allowing both teams to field balanced squads.
• Playing at Yankee Stadium favors New York City FC, who have a more attacking style suited to their home ground. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for this date and venue.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve playoff seeding. New York City FC has a slight urgency due to being 2 points behind Columbus in standings, likely pushing for a narrow home victory.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC to win the match outright by a narrow margin, given home advantage and motivation edge.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-14
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Soldier Field, Chicago

Game Overview

Crucial Eastern Conference clash between two playoff hopefuls, Chicago Fire (9th place) and New York City FC (8th place), both fighting for postseason positioning with only seven games left in the regular season.

Key Factors to Consider

• New York City FC holds a slight edge in form, sitting two points above Chicago Fire with a game in hand. NYCFC have shown strong performance recently with key victories over Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati, while Chicago Fire have been competitive but trailing just behind in standings.
• Earlier in the season, New York City FC defeated Chicago Fire 3-1 at home in May. Historically and recently, NYCFC have had the upper hand in direct confrontations.
• No significant absences reported that would severely impact either team’s starting XI for this match.
• The match is at Chicago’s home field which slightly favors the Fire. However, NYCFC's motivation due to a home-heavy upcoming schedule may energize their performance here on the road.
• Both teams are deeply motivated, chasing playoff spots with NYCFC aiming to solidify or move up in the table, while Chicago looks to close the gap and improve playoff positioning at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC to win outright

Predicted Score: 2-3

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs D.C. United – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-30
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Game Overview

New York City FC hosts D.C. United in a pivotal MLS match with playoff implications. NYCFC is in solid form, aiming to extend a winning streak at home, while D.C. United struggles, anchored near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Key Factors to Consider

• NYCFC holds a strong home record with 12 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses overall, scoring 36 and conceding 30 goals with a reliable defense and 7 clean sheets. D.C. United has a poor season record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, scoring 23 but conceding nearly 2 goals per match (1.93).
• Recent encounters favor NYCFC given their stronger form and home advantage, while D.C. United has not shown competitive results against NYCFC this season.
• No major injury concerns were reported for either team, with expected starting goalkeepers Matt Freese (NYCFC) and Luis Barraza (DC) set to start.
• The game is at NYCFC's home stadium with local crowd and MLS playoff positioning motivating the home side highly. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
• NYCFC aims to secure a playoff spot and climb standings, while D.C. United looks to avoid relegation pressure and improve morale after recent draws.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

New York City FC to win on the moneyline with a single-goal margin, game ending over 2.5 total goals

Predicted Score: 2-1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +301

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $80.13

Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-23
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, OH, USA

Game Overview

FC Cincinnati hosts New York City FC in a key Eastern Conference MLS clash. Cincinnati currently holds a stronger position in the standings with solid home form and defensive stability, while NYCFC struggles with consistency on the road and a relatively weaker defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• FC Cincinnati is ranked 12th in MLS with 52 points, showing an effective defense conceding 34 goals and averaging 1.93 points per game. NYCFC sits with 41 points, has a save rate of 71.7%, but with weaker away results affecting their season.
• Recent H2H matchups favor FC Cincinnati, who have shown more control and better results at home against NYCFC in past meetings.
• No major injury concerns reported for either team affecting starting goalkeepers Roman Celentano (FCC) and Matt Freese (NYCFC).
• Match played at Cincinnati's home ground, TQL Stadium, with Cincinnati motivated to maintain top Eastern Conference standing. Weather and pitch conditions are standard with no notable external disruptions.
• FC Cincinnati aims to extend their advantage at the top of the Eastern Conference. NYCFC needs points but recent away form issues decrease their motivation confidence for this fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

FC Cincinnati to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to go under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: New York City FC vs Nashville SC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Game Overview

The match features New York City FC hosting Nashville SC in an MLS clash. Nashville SC holds a stronger recent form and higher league standing, while New York City FC plays at home with a solid defensive record but lower offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nashville SC has a better points-per-game average (1.81) and goal difference (+15) compared to NYCFC’s 1.58 points and a goal difference of +5. Nashville boasts a slightly stronger offense at 34 goals scored versus NYCFC's 34 but with better defensive metrics. NYCFC has a 29.2% clean sheet rate with 7 shutouts, while Nashville's defensive record is comparable but less consistent.
• Recent head-to-head matches are competitive with no dominant trend favoring either team, suggesting a balanced tactical contest.
• No major injury setbacks reported for either side impacting key players, both starting goalkeepers are expected to play – Matt Freese for NYCFC and Joe Willis for Nashville.
• Playing at Yankee Stadium provides NYCFC with home advantage; however, the stadium has recently hosted higher scoring games which may encourage offensive play. Weather conditions are expected to be stable.
• Nashville SC is motivated by maintaining their high league position while NYCFC aim to improve their standing and capitalize on home advantage, adding competitive tension.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Nashville SC to win on the moneyline, NYCFC +0.5 on the spread, and over 2.5 goals on total goals market.

Predicted Score: 2-3