Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Game Overview
The New Orleans Pelicans host the Memphis Grizzlies in an NBA Cup group stage matchup. The Pelicans have struggled this season with a 3-15 record and sit last in the Western Conference, while the Grizzlies hold a 6-12 record and rank 10th. The Grizzlies won the previous meeting in this season series 128-122 at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Memphis Grizzlies have shown moderate success with a 6-12 record and moderate away game struggles (2-6). The Pelicans are struggling badly with just 3 wins in 18 games and a poor home record of 2-8. The Grizzlies have a more cohesive offense and better defense rating compared to the Pelicans.
- The Grizzlies and Pelicans met earlier this season on October 22, where Memphis edged out New Orleans 128-122. This is the second matchup of the season, with Memphis holding a slight edge in the series.
- No detailed injury reports were available from the current data, indicating possibly no major injures impacting starting lineups for either team at this time.
- The game is played at Smoothie King Center, giving the Pelicans home-court advantage, but their poor home form diminishes this edge. The Pelicans recently won a game after a long losing streak, potentially slightly boosting morale.
- Memphis seeks to improve their standing with a critical away win while the Pelicans aim to capitalize on home advantage and end their extended losing run. The Grizzlies have more to gain in standings, providing higher motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies: -138, New Orleans Pelicans: 118 | Memphis Grizzlies | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Memphis Grizzlies -2.5: -110, New Orleans Pelicans +2.5: -110 | Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 235.5: -110, Under 235.5: -110 | Over 235.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Memphis Grizzlies 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 235.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 235.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on current form, head-to-head results, and odds, the Memphis Grizzlies are favored to win, but the Pelicans' home court and desperation to avoid further losses indicate a competitive game.
Predicted Score: Memphis Grizzlies 121 – New Orleans Pelicans 116