Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 17, 2025
- Time: 1:10 AM UTC
- Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Game Overview
The Oklahoma City Thunder (13-1, first in Western Conference) visit the New Orleans Pelicans (2-11, 15th in Western Conference) in a heavily lopsided matchup. The Thunder are on a five-game winning streak with a 7-1 road record, while the Pelicans are struggling with a five-game losing streak and 1-5 home record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Thunder are elite with a 0.929 winning percentage and dominant road form (7-1). Pelicans are among the worst teams in the league at 0.154 winning percentage. Thunder have covered the spread 8-6 ATS this season; Pelicans have covered only 6 times in 13 games. Pelicans have hit the over 50% of the time at home.
- No specific head-to-head data provided in search results.
- No injury information available in provided search results.
- Pelicans' home court provides minimal advantage given their 1-5 home record. Thunder's road success (7-1) suggests they travel well and maintain consistency.
- Thunder aim for their sixth consecutive win and are heavily favored by sportsbooks, suggesting confidence in their ability to dominate. Pelicans are desperate to stop a five-game losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | OKC -2200 | NO +1100 | Oklahoma City Thunder | β β β β β 94% |
| Spread | OKC -17.5 (-110) | Oklahoma City Thunder -17.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | 226.5 (-110 each) | Under 226.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Oklahoma City Thunder to win decisively. This is a classic mismatch between an elite team executing at an elite level and a struggling team in crisis. The Thunder's road dominance combined with the Pelicans' poor home form creates an asymmetric opportunity.
Predicted Score: Thunder 118, Pelicans 98