Match Analysis: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, Louisiana

Game Overview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs host the New Mexico State Aggies in a Conference USA matchup. Louisiana Tech opens as a strong favorite after a mixed start to their season, while New Mexico State remains undefeated but is an underdog on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

• New Mexico State (2-0) is showing a solid defense allowing only 8.5 points per game, while Louisiana Tech (1-1) has struggled offensively averaging 15.5 points but has shown some defensive resilience. New Mexico State's offense is balanced with passing (239.5 ypg) and modest rushing, compared to Louisiana Tech's lower offensive output.
• Recent matchups favor Louisiana Tech, but New Mexico State has had success as underdog in several recent games and the Bulldogs have notable struggles when favored by double digits in September.
• No significant injuries reported for either team to affect starters or key roles. Both teams appear near full strength.
• Louisiana Tech benefits from home field advantage at Joe Aillet Stadium and local fan support. Weather or conditions not currently impacting.
• New Mexico State motivated to maintain undefeated status and prove themselves against a favored opponent. Louisiana Tech motivated to rebound from recent loss and assert conference dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -380, away: +300	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -10 -108, away: +10 -112	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -10	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Under 43.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 43.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Louisiana Tech Bulldogs moneyline and spread. Expect a moderately close game with Bulldogs winning comfortably but the Aggies challenging the spread. Total points should remain under the 43.5 line due to strong defenses and moderate offenses.

Predicted Score: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 27 – New Mexico State Aggies 14

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium

Game Overview

The New Mexico State Aggies host the Tulsa Golden Hurricane in Week 2 of the 2025 NCAA football season. Both teams enter 1-0, but Tulsa is a slight favorite as they have shown stronger recent form and more consistent defensive performance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tulsa’s offense is balanced with QB Kirk Francis showing efficiency (64.5% completion, 218 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) complemented by a strong rushing attack (Dominic Richardson 142 yards, 1 TD). Defensively, Tulsa allows only 7 points and 260 yards/game. New Mexico State has struggled against the spread and not yet hit totals over in recent matches.
• Recent head-to-head matchups and betting trends favor Tulsa, who have covered all games as favorites of 5.5 points or more, while New Mexico State has not covered any spread this season.
• No critical injury updates reported for key offensive or defensive starters on either side, allowing full-strength lineups expected.
• The game is at Aggie Memorial Stadium (home for New Mexico State) but Tulsa’s defensive strength and motivation to maintain winning streak against spread offsets home-field advantage.
• Tulsa aims to build on a snapped losing streak and assert dominance early in the season. New Mexico State tries to capitalize on home advantage but lacks recent success trends.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	New Mexico State +160, Tulsa -192	Tulsa	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	New Mexico State +4.5 -110, Tulsa -4.5 -110	Tulsa -4.5	★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under	Over 51.5 -115, Under 51.5 -105	Under 51.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tulsa Golden Hurricane -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 51.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tulsa Golden Hurricane to win straight up on the moneyline, cover the 4.5 point spread, and the game to stay under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Tulsa 24 – New Mexico State 17

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Bryant Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-31
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM

Game Overview

New Mexico State Aggies host Bryant Bulldogs in the season opener at Aggie Memorial Stadium. New Mexico State is a sizable favorite with strong home advantage and a robust historical performance in simulations against Bryant.

Key Factors to Consider

• New Mexico State is heavily favored with an 89% win probability in extensive simulations, showing superior team depth and experience compared to Bryant’s rebuilding squad under a moderately experienced coach. Bryant returns some key offensive and defensive players but lacks top-tier FBS-level firepower.
• No recent direct matchups found, but statistical simulations show a consistent New Mexico State dominance, projecting a comfortable victory.
• No significant injury concerns reported for either team ahead of the game, implying squads will field near full strength.
• Home field advantage with warm weather (85°F), slight chance of rain (25%), and moderate wind could favor New Mexico State accustomed to local conditions.
• Both teams start 0-0; New Mexico State motivated to assert dominance at home early in the season while Bryant looks to improve on last year’s low win total but faces a tough challenge in an away game.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -1100, away: +680	New Mexico State Aggies	★★★★☆ 88%
Spread	home: -110, away: -110	New Mexico State Aggies -19.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Over 53.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New Mexico State Aggies -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 53.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico State Aggies to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -19.5 spread, and the total points to go over 53.5

Predicted Score: New Mexico State Aggies 37 – Bryant Bulldogs 18