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Tennessee Volunteers vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Tennessee Volunteers vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 9:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The Tennessee Volunteers (6-3) host the New Mexico State Aggies (3-6) at Neyland Stadium. Tennessee is a heavy favorite with a massive spread and a moderately high total set for scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tennessee has a strong offense averaging 43.6 points per game (4th nationally) and a robust defense allowing just 31.1 points. New Mexico State struggles offensively (21.3 PPG) and defensively (25.2 PPG allowed), with an overall weaker record and lower rankings.
  • Historical data favors Tennessee heavily, and Tennessee has consistently covered large spreads against New Mexico State in past matchups.
  • No significant injuries reported for key Tennessee players; New Mexico State's roster health shows no impactful absences, but depth is a concern.
  • The game is at Tennessee’s home stadium under favorable weather conditions (67Β°F, no rain, low wind), supporting Tennessee’s high-powered offense.
  • Tennessee is motivated to maintain a strong SEC showing and secure bowl eligibility. New Mexico State is underdogs with limited motivation after a tough season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tennessee -2500 / New Mexico State +1200 Tennessee β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Tennessee -39.5 (-112) / New Mexico State +39.5 (-108) Tennessee -39.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 61.5 (-112) / Under 61.5 (-108) Under 61.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 61.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 61.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tennessee Volunteers to win outright and cover the heavy spread; the total points scored will go under 61.5.

Predicted Score: Tennessee 45 – New Mexico State 10


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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owls Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Kennesaw State Owls – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM

Game Overview

The 6-2 Kennesaw State Owls visit the 3-5 New Mexico State Aggies with Kennesaw State heavily favored. The Owls have momentum from a six-game winning streak, while the Aggies are on a three-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kennesaw State Owls hold a superior 6-2 record with recent dominant performances, including a 33-20 win over UTEP. New Mexico State has struggled with a 3-5 record and three consecutive losses, including a recent 35-16 defeat.
  • Limited recent direct matchups; no indication New Mexico State can match Kennesaw's current form and efficiency.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team affecting key players.
  • Game played outdoors at New Mexico State's home field with favorable weather (79Β°F, no rain, light wind). Travel for Kennesaw State is a factor but unlikely to offset form disparity.
  • Kennesaw State motivated to maintain a strong season trajectory and secure a conference advantage; New Mexico State must fight to salvage their campaign and avoid further decline.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -355 for Kennesaw State, +280 for New Mexico State Kennesaw State Owls β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread -9.5 (-110) for Kennesaw State, +9.5 (-110) for New Mexico State Kennesaw State Owls -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 52.5 (-105), Under 52.5 (-115) Over 52.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kennesaw State Owls -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kennesaw State Owls moneyline

Predicted Score: Kennesaw State 35 – New Mexico State 17


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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, Kentucky

Game Overview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (6-2) host New Mexico State Aggies (3-4) in a non-conference college football matchup. Western Kentucky is a strong favorite with a robust offense and solid recent form, while New Mexico State has struggled offensively and lost 4 of its last 5 games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Western Kentucky has a better overall and ATS record (6-2, 6-2 ATS) with consistent offensive production. New Mexico State is weak offensively, ranked 119th in total offense and 107th in scoring offense, with a 3-4 record and recent losses including a close overtime loss.
  • Limited recent H2H data publicly available, but Western Kentucky's recent performances and higher ranking favor them strongly.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players.
  • Game played at Western Kentucky’s home stadium, providing a home-field advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues noted.
  • Western Kentucky aims to strengthen their winning momentum and possibly secure a bowl game positioning, while New Mexico State struggles with morale after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Western Kentucky -325, New Mexico State +260 Western Kentucky β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Western Kentucky -8.5 (-108), New Mexico State +8.5 (-112) Western Kentucky -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 53.5 (-108), Under 53.5 (-112) Over 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Western Kentucky to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the game to go over 53.5 points

Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 35 – New Mexico State 20


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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – November 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Win -325 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Wyoming Cowboys Prediction San Diego State Aztecs Win -480 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction Iowa State Cyclones Win -330 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +106

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $41.18

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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Missouri State Bears Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Missouri State Bears – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 23, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces

Game Overview

This matchup features the Missouri State Bears and New Mexico State Aggies, both with a 3-3 record. It is a closely contested game with Missouri State favored by 1.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown similar strengths, but New Mexico State has a strong defensive performance against the rush and a weaker offensive efficiency. Missouri State faces challenges in closing drives.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available in the search results.
  • Missouri State's WR Jmariyae Robinson is out due to suspension.
  • The weather is expected to be favorable with no rain and a temperature of 76Β°F.
  • Both teams are equally motivated to win, given their current standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -118 for Missouri State, +100 for New Mexico State New Mexico State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Spread -1.5 -110 for Missouri State, +1.5 -110 for New Mexico State New Mexico State +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 51.5 -115, Under 51.5 -105 Under 51.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Missouri State Bears 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Missouri State is favored but New Mexico State has a good chance given their defense.

Predicted Score: Missouri State 24, New Mexico State 23


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Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-14
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA

Game Overview

The Liberty Flames (2-4) host the New Mexico State Aggies (3-2) in a mid-October NCAA Football matchup. Liberty is favored heavily with home advantage and a better defensive profile, while New Mexico State comes in with a superior record and some key players healthy and ready.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State has a 3-2 record, showing better recent form and more consistent play than Liberty, who is 2-4 with a losing trend. Liberty's defense has been solid, holding opponents under 20 points recently, while their offense has struggled to score.
  • Recent head-to-head information is limited, but Liberty has historically had a home-field edge. No recent games available to significantly favor one side based on this factor.
  • New Mexico State’s RB Dijon Stanley is healthy following a concussion, and WR Donovan Faupel is active, which improves their offensive potential. Liberty has no reported key injuries impacting this game.
  • Clear weather conditions expected at Williams Stadium with no rain and mild temperatures around 68Β°F, which favors a normal style of play. Home crowd support favors Liberty.
  • Liberty is motivated to improve their losing record and protect home turf. New Mexico State aims to continue their winning momentum and potentially secure a bowl-eligible season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Liberty Flames: -450, New Mexico State Aggies: +350 Liberty Flames β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Liberty Flames -11.5 (-110), New Mexico State Aggies +11.5 (-110) Liberty Flames -11.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-110), Under 48.5 (-110) Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Liberty Flames -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Liberty Flames to win straight up covering the spread and the game total to go under.

Predicted Score: Liberty Flames 27 – New Mexico State Aggies 17


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Top EV Parlay for American Football – October 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for American Football – October 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction South Alabama Jaguars -295 121%
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction Under 48.5 -110 24%
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Florida International Panthers Prediction Over 55.5 -110 15%

Combined Odds: +388 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $97.6

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3 Pick Parlay for American Football – October 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction Liberty Flames Win -450 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Florida International Panthers Prediction Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Win -330 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72% (72%)
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction Over 58.5 -110 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63% (63%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +204

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $60.81

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New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, New Mexico

Game Overview

Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-4) visit New Mexico State Aggies (2-2) in a CUSA conference matchup at New Mexico State's home field. Both teams have struggled offensively and defensively but present exploitable matchups, especially in the passing game. Sam Houston is favored by a narrow margin despite a winless record, while New Mexico State is seeking to rebound from recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico State has a slightly better record (2-2) but just lost their last two games; their offense is pass-heavy, accounting for 91% of total production but with a weak rushing attack (20 yards/game). Sam Houston averages just 16 points per game under a new pass-focused coach but has defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 37+ points in every game.
  • No recent direct matchup data available, but both teams show balanced vulnerabilities especially in pass defense, suggesting a potentially high-scoring and close contest.
  • No significant injury reports surfaced for either team; both appear to field mostly full-strength rosters.
  • Game played at New Mexico State's home stadium with warm, clear conditions and national TV coverage attracting focused betting interest.
  • Sam Houston is desperate for its first win of the season after a 0-4 start, while New Mexico State aims to stop a two-game losing streak and protect home field advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +108, away: -130 Sam Houston State β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread home: -114, away: -106 Sam Houston State to cover -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 52.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Houston State Bearkats 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Houston State to win on the moneyline, covering the 2.5-point spread, and the game to go over 52.5 points

Predicted Score: Sam Houston State 30 – New Mexico State 24


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New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: University Stadium

Game Overview

The New Mexico Lobos host the New Mexico State Aggies in a heated regional rivalry. Both teams are 2-1, but New Mexico are strong favorites with a -600 moneyline, favored by 14 points on the spread, and a moderately high total points line at 53.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Mexico Lobos have allowed fewer points per game and have shown stronger defense and offense efficiency recent weeks compared to New Mexico State. The Lobos have a more consistent margin of victory and better margin of defeat metrics.
  • Recent H2H matchups favor New Mexico Lobos who have won the majority of these contests convincingly, often covering big spreads against the Aggies.
  • No major injuries reported for key starters on either side, indicating both teams are close to full strength.
  • Game played at Home for New Mexico, providing a significant home-field advantage. Weather and other conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • New Mexico seeks to affirm control of the in-state rivalry and boost Mountain West positioning. New Mexico State aims to upset a heavy favorite but motivation is tempered by underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -600, New Mexico State Aggies +440 New Mexico Lobos β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread New Mexico Lobos -14 -112, New Mexico State Aggies +14 -108 New Mexico Lobos -14 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 53.5 -110, Under 53.5 -110 Under 53.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Mexico Lobos -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 53.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Mexico Lobos to win straight up and cover the 14 point spread. The game is likely to stay under the total of 53.5 due to strong defensive play.

Predicted Score: New Mexico Lobos 27, New Mexico State Aggies 13


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