Match Analysis: New Mexico St Aggies vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 21, 2025
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Presley Askew Field, Las Cruces, NM
Game Overview
The New Mexico State Aggies host the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in a Conference USA matchup. Western Kentucky enters as favorites, reflecting their stronger recent performance. However, the Aggies have shown resilience at home, which could impact the outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Western Kentucky has been performing well in recent games, while New Mexico State has experienced some inconsistency. The Aggies have the advantage of playing at home.
- Recent head-to-head data is not available, but the teams have had competitive matches in the past.
- No significant injury reports for either team.
- Weather conditions and crowd support could favor the home team.
- Both teams are motivated to secure wins in the conference standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | New Mexico St Aggies: 420, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -660 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | New Mexico St Aggies: 4.5 -115, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: -4.5 -115 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 12 -115, Under: 12 -115 | Over | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -27% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 12 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 12 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Western Kentucky is expected to win, given their current form and betting odds. However, the spread suggests a competitive game.
Predicted Score: Western Kentucky 9, New Mexico State 6