Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Delaware St Hornets – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT

Game Overview

The New Haven Chargers (1-3) host the Delaware State Hornets (0-3) in a closely matched NEC conference game. Both teams have struggled early in the season, with New Haven showing a slight edge after a recent win. The Chargers play at home while the Hornets aim to break a four-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• New Haven has a 1-3 record with modest offensive output averaging 74.7 points per game, allowing 101.3 points, while Delaware State has yet to win, averaging 55 points and allowing 78 points. New Haven shows better recent form with a road win versus UMass Lowell and stronger scoring.
• No recent direct matchups data available, but Delaware State historically struggles in Saturday day road games against non-conference opponents (lost 20 of last 21), whereas they have won six of their last eight day games overall.
• No reported injuries on either side, keeping all main players available for the contest.
• Game is played at New Haven’s home court which favors Chargers. Delaware State faces external pressure from a rough early season and fixture congestion with an upcoming game versus Miami, possibly affecting focus.
• New Haven aims to improve its home start and build momentum against a struggling Delaware State, which desires to break its losing streak and regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	New Haven -110, Delaware St -110	New Haven Chargers	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	New Haven -1.5 +105, Delaware St +1.5 -125	New Haven Chargers -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 134.5 -112, Under 134.5 -108	Under 134.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	New Haven Chargers 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 134.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 134.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Take New Haven Chargers to cover the -1.5 spread

Predicted Score: New Haven Chargers 69 – Delaware State Hornets 62

Match Analysis: UMass Lowell River Hawks vs New Haven Chargers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-10
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kennedy Family Athletic Complex, Lowell, MA

Game Overview

UMass Lowell River Hawks (1-1) host New Haven Chargers (0-3) in an early season NCAAB contest. New Haven is struggling heavily as a recent D-II transplant team with little Division I experience and poor defensive metrics, while UMass Lowell, despite a recent blowout loss, should benefit from the talent and experience gap.

Key Factors to Consider

• UMass Lowell has a 1-1 record showing competitive scoring (77 ppg) and solid shooting (43.8%), allowing 82.5 ppg. New Haven is winless, averaging 75.5 points but allowing 118.5 points per game with poor shooting efficiency (37.7%) and weak defense.
• No detailed recent direct matchups available; however, differences in roster experience and Division level suggest UMass Lowell superiority.
• No significant injury reports affecting either team, indicating full rosters available.
• UMass Lowell has home-court advantage at Kennedy Family Athletic Complex; New Haven is traveling and also dealing with early season fatigue after two recent heavy losses.
• UMass Lowell aims to bounce back from a heavy loss to UConn and prove superiority over a struggling New Haven team. New Haven is desperate for a first win but is hampered by roster limitations and adjustment to Division I.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	UMass Lowell -750, New Haven +490	UMass Lowell	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	UMass Lowell -10.5 -110, New Haven +10.5 -110	UMass Lowell -10.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 144.5 -106, Under 144.5 -118	Under 144.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	UMass Lowell River Hawks -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 144.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

UMass Lowell to win comfortably, cover the -10.5 spread, and the total to stay under 144.5 points

Predicted Score: UMass Lowell 78 – New Haven 63

Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Penn State Nittany Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: The Hazell Center, West Haven, CT

Game Overview

The Penn State Nittany Lions, coming off a 1-0 start, face the New Haven Chargers, who are 0-1, in an early season NCAA basketball matchup. Penn State is a clear favorite, both in odds and talent, expected to dominate at the Hazell Center.

Key Factors to Consider

• Penn State has started the season strong with a 1-0 record, showcasing efficient scoring averaging around 75 PPG and solid defense allowing 68 PPG. New Haven is 0-1, showing some defensive struggles and lower offensive output.
• Limited recent head-to-head data, suggesting Penn State’s superior program and recruiting make them the favored team historically.
• No major injuries reported for either team; full lineups expected.
• Game played at New Haven’s home court might give a small advantage to Chargers, but crowd impact likely subdued given the matchup disparity.
• Penn State aims to establish dominance early in the season for tournament positioning; New Haven looks motivated to prove competitive against a Power Five conference opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +1000, away: -1800	Penn State Nittany Lions	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	home: -115, away: -105	Penn State Nittany Lions -16.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	over: -108, under: -112	Under 144.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Penn State Nittany Lions -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 144.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 144.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penn State to win outright and cover the 16.5-point spread; bet on Under 144.5 total points given defensive tendencies and conservative pace.

Predicted Score: Penn State 78 – New Haven 63

Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Columbia Lions – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-07
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT

Game Overview

Columbia Lions visit the New Haven Chargers in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Columbia enters as a heavy favorite, with a significant edge in recent form and roster continuity. New Haven is coming off a loss and has struggled to keep pace with higher-level competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Columbia returns four of their top five scorers from last season, including Kenny Noland (12.7 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 3.3 APG). They started the season strong with wins over Loyola (MD) and Villanova, showing offensive firepower (78.4 PPG last season, 69th nationally). New Haven is 0-1, with their lone game resulting in a loss. Their recent ATS record is 1-0, but they have struggled defensively and offensively against stronger opponents.
• No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, as these teams rarely play each other. No clear historical trend to leverage.
• No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
• Game is being played at New Haven's home venue, which may provide a slight edge for the Chargers. However, Columbia's roster depth and experience should outweigh any home-court advantage in this non-conference setting.
• Columbia is motivated to build on their strong start and establish themselves as a competitive team after a disappointing end to last season. New Haven is looking to bounce back from their opening loss and prove they can compete with higher-level programs.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: 250, away: -320	Columbia Lions	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	away: -6.5 -108, home: 6.5 -112	Columbia Lions -6.5	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	over: 152.5 -105, under: 152.5 -115	Under 152.5	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Columbia Lions -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 152.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbia Lions to win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Columbia Lions 76, New Haven Chargers 72