New Haven Chargers vs. Columbia Lions Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

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Match Analysis: New Haven Chargers vs Columbia Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT

Game Overview

Columbia Lions visit the New Haven Chargers in a non-conference NCAA Men's Basketball matchup. Columbia enters as a heavy favorite, with a significant edge in recent form and roster continuity. New Haven is coming off a loss and has struggled to keep pace with higher-level competition.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Columbia returns four of their top five scorers from last season, including Kenny Noland (12.7 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 3.3 APG). They started the season strong with wins over Loyola (MD) and Villanova, showing offensive firepower (78.4 PPG last season, 69th nationally). New Haven is 0-1, with their lone game resulting in a loss. Their recent ATS record is 1-0, but they have struggled defensively and offensively against stronger opponents.
  • No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, as these teams rarely play each other. No clear historical trend to leverage.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team at this time.
  • Game is being played at New Haven's home venue, which may provide a slight edge for the Chargers. However, Columbia's roster depth and experience should outweigh any home-court advantage in this non-conference setting.
  • Columbia is motivated to build on their strong start and establish themselves as a competitive team after a disappointing end to last season. New Haven is looking to bounce back from their opening loss and prove they can compete with higher-level programs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 250, away: -320 Columbia Lions ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread away: -6.5 -108, home: 6.5 -112 Columbia Lions -6.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: 152.5 -105, under: 152.5 -115 Under 152.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Columbia Lions -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 152.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 152.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Columbia Lions to win outright and cover the spread, with the game finishing under the total points line.

Predicted Score: Columbia Lions 76, New Haven Chargers 72


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