Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Riku Urholin – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Nell Ariano faces Riku Urholin in a lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Both fighters are ranked in the top 10 of the CWFC lightweight division. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and is a key matchup on the main card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nell Ariano is undefeated with a 4-0 record, all wins by KO/TKO, showcasing strong striking and finishing ability. Riku Urholin has a 5-2 record, with 3 submission wins and 2 losses, indicating a well-rounded grappling game but less finishing power in recent bouts.
• No previous fights between Ariano and Urholin. This is their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which is neutral territory for both fighters. The event is part of a high-profile double-header, increasing pressure and exposure.
• Ariano is looking to maintain his undefeated streak and climb the rankings. Urholin aims to rebound from recent losses and prove his top-tier status in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nell Ariano: -750, Riku Urholin: 450	Nell Ariano	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	over: 1.5 140, under: 1.5 -185	Under	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nell Ariano -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nell Ariano is favored due to his undefeated record and strong finishing ability. Riku Urholin's grappling skills could pose a challenge, but Ariano's striking and momentum give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by KO/TKO in the second round

Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Charles Joyner – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, England

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner at Cage Warriors 190 represents a clash in the Light-heavyweight division. Ariano enters the fight undefeated at 3-0, showing a strong finish rate of 66.7% with two KO/TKO wins. Joyner, with a professional record of 5-1-1, brings more ring experience and recent intense camp preparations, indicating readiness for a competitive bout. The fight will be contested at 205 lbs, and it is anticipated to showcase a blend of striking power and tactical grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nell Ariano has a flawless professional record (3-0) with a high finishing rate, suggesting strong striking skills and fight-ending capability. Charles Joyner holds a more extensive record (5-1-1), indicating more combat experience and potential resilience. Joyner's last five fights have seen a mix of wins and losses, reflecting a competitive but inconsistent pattern, whereas Ariano is on an upward trajectory.
• No previous meetings have been recorded between Nell Ariano and Charles Joyner, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match based on current available information.
• The fight is set in Manchester, England, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have shown motivation in training camps, with Joyner recently highlighting an intense final training session, suggesting high readiness and focus.
• Nell Ariano, being undefeated, is motivated to maintain his perfect record and establish himself as a rising contender. Charles Joyner appears motivated to rebound and capitalize on his experience, finishing camp with intensity to secure a win that boosts his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charles Joyner: +105, Nell Ariano: -145	Nell Ariano to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	+1.5/-1.5	Nell Ariano -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds / Under 2.5 rounds	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nell Ariano 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nell Ariano at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nell Ariano is predicted to narrowly outpoint Charles Joyner or possibly finish early due to his high finish rate and unbeaten momentum, but Joyner's experience and conditioning may keep it competitive. A decision win or late finish for Ariano is probable.

Predicted Score: Nell Ariano wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or later

Match Analysis: Nell Ariano vs Danny Hartwell – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-14
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Nell Ariano faces Danny Hartwell in a Light Heavyweight Cage Warriors Men's MMA match. The event is highly anticipated, with significant betting interest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Danny Hartwell is favored due to his strong recent performances and higher odds, indicating a perceived advantage over Nell Ariano.
• There is no available head-to-head data between Nell Ariano and Danny Hartwell, making this a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The match is part of a Cage Warriors event, which may attract a strong audience and could influence fighter motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win, given the stakes in professional MMA.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Danny Hartwell: -210, Nell Ariano: 160	Danny Hartwell	★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Danny Hartwell is likely to win based on current odds and perceived performance advantages.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches