Match Analysis: Elizeu Zaleski vs Neil Magny – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Game Overview

Veteran welterweights Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Neil Magny face off in a UFC Fight Night bout at UFC Apex. Zaleski is the favorite, known for his finishing ability and higher striking volume, while Magny is a methodical fighter with a strong wrestling and clinch game, favoring decisions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Zaleski comes in with a record of 25-9-1, connecting on 4.26 significant strikes per minute with a 41% accuracy and a 56% strike defense. Magny holds a 29-14-0 record, landing fewer strikes at 3.43 per minute but with higher 46% accuracy and stronger defense, allowing only 2.48 strikes per minute.
• No recorded previous fights between these two fighters; thus, direct H2H data is not available.
• No current injury reports or publicized fitness concerns for either fighter at fight week.
• Fight is at UFC Apex, a familiar venue for both; no travel concerns noted. The fight date allows full training camp completion.
• Both fighters are veterans likely motivated to secure a high-profile win at UFC Fight Night to maintain relevance in the welterweight division. Zaleski’s recent form and finishing upside add extra incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Elizeu Zaleski: -198, Neil Magny: 164	Elizeu Zaleski	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Elizeu Zaleski -3.5: -110, Neil Magny +3.5: -120	Elizeu Zaleski -3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -180, Under 2.5 rounds: 140	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Elizeu Zaleski -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos to win by decision

Predicted Score: Elizeu Zaleski wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)