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Feyenoord vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-23
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: De Kuip, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

The upcoming Eredivisie match features Feyenoord hosting NEC Nijmegen at De Kuip stadium. Feyenoord currently sits 2nd in the league, demonstrating strong form with 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss out of 10 matches, while NEC Nijmegen holds mid-table with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in 10 games. Historically, Feyenoord dominates the head-to-head record with 13 wins to NEC's 3 and 7 draws, including an undefeated streak of 13 matches against NEC in all competitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Feyenoord is in excellent form, recently undefeated in encounters with NEC and holding a strong league position with +18 goal difference. NEC has a balanced record but is less consistent, showing competitive spirit but fewer dominant wins. Feyenoord’s forward U. Amed is critical with prolific goal scoring, while NEC’s midfield has contributed some assists. Recent domestic league results favor Feyenoord’s offensive and defensive stability.
  • Feyenoord leads 13-3 in wins against NEC with 7 draws. They have not lost in the last 13 meetings, indicating a psychological and tactical edge over NEC in this fixture historically.
  • No specific injury data is available from the search results, implying no major publicized injuries affecting the upcoming match key players for either team.
  • Match played at Feyenoord’s home ground, De Kuip, providing home advantage. No adverse weather or other external disruptions referenced. Motivation remains high with Feyenoord aiming to maintain pressure in the top league spots and NEC seeking to climb the standings.
  • Feyenoord, being 2nd in the league, has strong motivation to secure a win to keep up with the title race. NEC Nijmegen can gain by gaining points against a top team but faces pressure from league position disparities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Feyenoord: -255, NEC Nijmegen: 550, Draw: 415 Feyenoord Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Feyenoord -1.25: -115, NEC Nijmegen +1.25: -105 Feyenoord -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: -105, Under 3.5: -115 Over 3.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Feyenoord -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 17%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord is predicted to win due to superior recent form, strong head-to-head dominance, and home advantage. A high-scoring game is plausible given odds and offensive capabilities.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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NEC Nijmegen vs. Groningen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

The Eredivisie match features NEC Nijmegen, currently 4th in the league, hosting FC Groningen, ranked 6th. Both teams show competitive form in the season with NEC undefeated in the last five home matches against Groningen. The game is expected to be closely contested with moderate scoring based on recent team trends.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen has a solid home record and is undefeated in their last five home encounters against Groningen. Both teams have balanced scoring and conceding patterns, with NEC showing resilience with a series of matches scoring and conceding goals. Groningen's away form shows both scoring and conceding in 80% of their away matches.
  • In their last season, NEC Nijmegen and Groningen faced each other twice. NEC Nijmegen is undefeated against Groningen in the last five home games. Both teams scored in 9 out of 16 total historical meetings. The competitive H2H suggests a tight match with possibilities for both sides scoring.
  • No specific injury information is available from the current data sets. It is assumed that key players from both sides are fit given the absence of notable injury reports.
  • The match is played at NEC Nijmegen's home ground, Stadion de Goffert, providing them home advantage. November weather conditions in Nijmegen can be cool and possibly wet which may impact playing style but no severe external disruptions are expected.
  • With NEC Nijmegen positioned 4th and Groningen 6th, both teams are motivated to secure points to push higher in the Eredivisie standings. NEC’s strong home form and desire to maintain top-table position adds additional motivation, while Groningen will aim to challenge the top teams by getting a positive result away.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -103, away: 275, draw: 245 NEC Nijmegen win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: -0.5 -102, away: 50 -118 NEC Nijmegen -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over: 2.75 -112, under: 2.75 -108 Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A cautious home win is likely, with NEC Nijmegen's undefeated home record against Groningen and the imbalance in recent form. The match should be competitive and relatively low-scoring, with both teams likely to score given their recent scoring and conceding trends.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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FC Utrecht vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, Netherlands

Game Overview

FC Utrecht (9th place) hosts NEC Nijmegen (7th place) in the Eredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard. Both teams are mid-table with recent competitive encounters. The match holds importance for league positioning and momentum in the 2025-2026 season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen currently holds a slightly better league position than FC Utrecht. FC Utrecht has demonstrated good crossing ability and aerial threat with one of the highest numbers of headed goals in the league, while NEC ranks second in crosses delivered. Recent form shows balanced competitiveness with no dominant blowouts.
  • Recent matches are tightly contested: NEC won 1-0 at Utrecht on March 15, 2025, and prior encounters have seen narrow scorelines including a 0-0 draw earlier in 2026. Historical results indicate close fights with multiple 1-goal differences and several draws, suggesting balanced rivalry.
  • No specific injury data was found for this fixture, implying both teams could field strong lineups with the possible return of NEC player Philippe Sandler after a three-week absence earlier in 2025.
  • The match is fully sold out at Stadion Galgenwaard with high fan support for host FC Utrecht. Public transit and stadium access are well-organized, potentially boosting home advantage. Match timing is mid-afternoon, mitigating fatigue concerns from fixture congestion.
  • Both teams aim to improve their mid-table standing. NEC's better league position adds incentive to maintain form, whereas FC Utrecht will seek to capitalize on home advantage to close the points gap. Recent close encounters fuel motivation for a decisive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Utrecht: 1.14, NEC Nijmegen: 2.4, Draw: 2.3 FC Utrecht to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread FC Utrecht -0.25: -118, NEC Nijmegen +25: -102 FC Utrecht -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3: 1.02, Under 3: -1.22 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Utrecht 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC Utrecht at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight match with a slight edge to FC Utrecht due to home advantage and balanced recent form. A low-scoring, competitive game is expected, likely decided by a single goal or a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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FC Zwolle vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MACΒ³PARK Stadion

Game Overview

PEC Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen face off in the Eredivisie with both teams looking to improve their standings. PEC Zwolle has struggled, currently with 8 points, while NEC Nijmegen has 14 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PEC Zwolle has shown some resilience but lacks consistency, while NEC Nijmegen has been more stable in recent performances.
  • Both teams have a history of competitive matches, but recent data isn't available for this specific matchup this season.
  • Injury reports are not specified for this match, but team lineups will be crucial.
  • Weather and other external factors may influence the match but are not detailed here.
  • NEC Nijmegen is more motivated to maintain their standing, while PEC Zwolle seeks to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Zwolle: 220, NEC Nijmegen: 106, Draw: 275 NEC Nijmegen win or draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread FC Zwolle: +25 102, NEC Nijmegen: -0.25 -122 NEC Nijmegen to win or draw with spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 3 -122, Under: 3 102 Over 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 -5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given NEC Nijmegen's stronger performance this season, they are likely to win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-2 in favor of NEC Nijmegen


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NEC Nijmegen vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs FC Twente Enschede – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen, currently 6th in the Eredivisie and aiming for European play, hosts 7th-placed FC Twente in a tightly contested mid-table battle. Both teams are known for inconsistent defenses and goal output, with recent matches between them featuring a high volume of goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen and FC Twente both show recent volatilityβ€”NEC has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5, averaging 1.8 goals scored and conceding only 0.6 per match recently, but overall this season, NEC concedes 1.75 goals per game and scores 2.75[2]. Twente has won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals per match recently, but is usually more reliable defensively over a longer period (1.38 conceded per game this season, 1.75 scored)[2]. Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheetsβ€”Twente in their last 10 matches, NEC in their last 5[3].
  • In all competitions since 2003, Twente has won 24 matches, NEC 10, and there have been 6 draws. Twente has also won the last three meetings between the sides[1][3]. Over the last five encounters, Twente leads 3–2 in wins, but NEC’s recent H2H form is improving[1]. Historically, head-to-head matches average around 3.4 goals per game, and in the last five meetings, totals were consistently in the 2.8–3.4 range[1][3].
  • For NEC, Philippe Sandler is suspended and Bram Nuytinck is injured. FC Twente will miss Max Bruns, Stav Lemkin, Mathias KjΓΈlΓΈ, and Sam Lammers through injury[3].
  • No major reports of weather or venue issues at present. Both teams are at full strength except for the noted absentees. The match is a home fixture for NEC, which could provide a minor edge given their league standing and UEFA Conference League aspirations[4].
  • NEC is in the hunt for European qualification, potentially boosting their drive. Twente’s recent H2H dominance may provide psychological confidence, but their recent form is less consistent. Both teams are likely to play attacking football, as indicated by their high goal averages and porous defenses[1][2][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen: 136, Draw: 270, FC Twente Enschede: 170 Slight value on NEC Nijmegen at home given recent form and motivation, but this is a true coin-flip game with Twente’s H2H dominance counterbalancing. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%
Spread NEC Nijmegen: 0 -125, FC Twente Enschede: 0 105 NEC Nijmegen (PK) is the more likely side to cover a pick’em, but confidence is low due to Twente’s historical success and recent defensive issues. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 3: -122, Under 3: 102 Over 3 goals is the strong lean, given both teams’ attacking tendencies, poor recent clean sheet records, and a H2H average well above 3[1][3]. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a highly unpredictable encounter between two evenly matched, attack-minded teams with shaky defenses. Twente has the historical edge and a slightly better defensive record this season, but NEC’s recent home form and motivation for European football could tip the balance. Expect goals from both sides.

Predicted Score: 2–2


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NEC Nijmegen vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

The upcoming Eredivisie match features NEC Nijmegen hosting AZ Alkmaar. NEC currently stands 7th in the league and AZ Alkmaar holds 5th place. Past head-to-head meetings favor AZ Alkmaar with 10 wins, against NEC’s 5 and 8 draws. NEC has shown a mixed recent form with some losses and a couple of wins, while AZ is seen as a slight favorite with better odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen has had inconsistent results recently, with notable losses against Heerenveen (1-3) and PSV (2-4), but also managed wins against Heracles Almelo (3-1) and NAC Breda (3-1). AZ Alkmaar generally shows stronger form and higher league position.
  • In their historical clashes, AZ Alkmaar leads with 10 wins compared to NEC Nijmegen’s 5 wins, alongside 8 draws. This suggests AZ has a psychological and historical advantage.
  • No specific injury data available from the provided sources; thus, presumed no major injury reports affecting either team.
  • The fixture is played at NEC’s home ground, Goffertstadion, which may provide home advantage. Weather or other external conditions were not detailed.
  • AZ Alkmaar aims to consolidate their higher league standing and assert dominance over a nearby rival, while NEC will be motivated to use home advantage to narrow the gap in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: 1.08, NEC Nijmegen: 1.89, Draw: 2.95 AZ Alkmaar win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread AZ Alkmaar -0.25: -110, NEC Nijmegen +25: -110 AZ Alkmaar -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.25: -108, Under 3.25: -112 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar is predicted to win narrowly due to superior form, head-to-head advantage, and league position, though NEC’s home advantage makes a close match likely.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Heerenveen vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, Netherlands

Game Overview

Heerenveen host NEC Nijmegen in a Netherlands Eredivisie match with the home side struggling near the bottom of the table and NEC Nijmegen in strong form, positioned 5th. Heerenveen have scored 14 goals in 15 matches historically against NEC, who have scored 22. Heerenveen seek their first win this campaign while NEC aims to consolidate a top position and push for European qualification.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen are currently 17th in the Eredivisie with a poor start (0 wins, multiple losses and draws), showing difficulties scoring and defending. NEC Nijmegen, 5th place, started well with a strong offensive output including 3 wins early on but recently showing mixed results (wins and losses). NEC boasts multiple goal-scoring contributors and high attacking efficiency with players like Bryan Linssen leading scoring charts.
  • Over 15 matches, NEC leads with 7 away wins versus Heerenveen's 3 home wins and 5 draws. The last meeting on April 27, 2025, was a 1-0 home win for Heerenveen with close stats: possession 51% to 49% and shots on target 5 to 1 favoring Heerenveen. Recent home advantage for Heerenveen has shifted outcomes in their favor in last three meetings.
  • No specific injury updates found in the data sources for either team prior to match day.
  • Home advantage at Abe Lenstra Stadion may benefit Heerenveen as they seek their first season win. NEC’s recent high-scoring matches suggest potential tiring but also indicate strong offensive momentum. Weather, pitch conditions, and fan presence expected to be normal with no disruptions reported.
  • Heerenveen are motivated to get off the mark with a first win to avoid further relegation zone troubles and to appease home supporters. NEC are focused on extending their good run to secure a higher league position and European competition placement, emphasizing offensive strength and squad depth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heerenveen: 1.34, NEC Nijmegen: 1.59, Draw: 3 NEC Nijmegen win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Heerenveen: -1.22, NEC Nijmegen: 1.02 NEC Nijmegen +0 (Draw no bet) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: -1.12, Under: -1.08 Under 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to edge out a close away win due to stronger recent form and attacking consistency, but expect a competitive match with Heerenveen fighting hard at home.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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NEC Nijmegen vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

This Eredivisie Round 5 match features NEC Nijmegen hosting PSV Eindhoven at Stadion de Goffert. NEC, currently 2nd in the league, are in strong home form and unbeaten at their stadium, while PSV, ranked 4th, also display good form but are considered favorites due to historical dominance and stronger offensive stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches with an average of 3 goals per game, showing strong attacking form. PSV Eindhoven, with higher average goals scored historically (2.44 vs NEC's 0.86 overall in H2H), maintain unbeaten runs and have better defensive records. Both teams are in good form this season.
  • Historically, PSV dominate with 31 wins in 43 meetings versus NEC's 4. NEC has won only 2 of these on home ground. The overall goals record heavily favors PSV (105 goals scored vs 37 by NEC). Recent H2H counts show NEC with 1 win, PSV 17 wins, and 3 draws in their last meetings.
  • NEC Nijmegen will miss Bram Nuytinck due to injury. PSV Eindhoven are without Alassane Plea and Mauro Junior, affecting their squad depth.
  • The match is early season, limiting fatigue or fixture congestion concerns. Venue is neutral, but NEC's strong home performance is a factor. Weather or pitch conditions are not specified.
  • NEC are highly motivated, sitting 2nd and aiming for UEFA Champions League contention. PSV aim to maintain or improve league position and continue their historically strong record against NEC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen: 390, PSV Eindhoven: -165, Draw: 325 PSV Eindhoven win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread NEC Nijmegen: 1 -115, PSV Eindhoven: -1 -105 PSV -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: -120, Under 3.5: 100 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: PSV Eindhoven at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven are favored to win given their historical dominance, better offensive efficiency, and current form, but NEC's strong home unbeaten run and motivation could keep it close. A cautious prediction favors a PSV win with a margin of 1 goal.

Predicted Score: 2-3


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Fortuna Sittard vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard-Geleen, Netherlands

Game Overview

Fortuna Sittard hosts NEC Nijmegen in an early-season Eredivisie clash. NEC is currently undefeated with a strong start (3 wins, 0 losses), while Fortuna has a more modest record (0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). The match at Fortuna's home ground presents a competitive setting with NEC as favorites given their form and squad strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen is in excellent form, undefeated with 3 wins and 9 points, signaling potent offensive and defensive displays. Fortuna Sittard has scored fewer points with a record of 0-1-1, indicating early struggles in the season.
  • Recent matches between Fortuna Sittard and NEC Nijmegen are competitive with no overwhelming dominance. The games tend to be balanced, but NEC may hold a slight advantage due to current season form.
  • No specific injuries reported for either team affecting key players; both teams expected to field their strongest lineups.
  • The match is at Fortuna Sittard's home stadium which could give them some advantage, yet NEC's overall momentum and higher league standing may compensate for away conditions.
  • NEC Nijmegen is highly motivated to maintain their unbeaten start and top position in the league. Fortuna aims to improve home form and secure their first win of the season, providing a strong incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortuna Sittard: 1.96, NEC Nijmegen: 1.2, Draw: 2.85 NEC Nijmegen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Fortuna Sittard: -0.25 @ -111, NEC Nijmegen: +25 @ -109 NEC Nijmegen -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -113, Under 2.75: -107 Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win with a probable close scoreline considering Fortuna's home advantage and NEC's current strong form.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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NEC Nijmegen vs. NAC Breda Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts NAC Breda in the Eredivisie Round 3 match at Goffertstadion. NEC Nijmegen currently ranks 1st in the league, showing strong recent form, while NAC Breda is positioned 8th. The teams have a competitive head-to-head history, and NEC has demonstrated a solid home advantage with recent dominant wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen has impressive recent results including a 5-0 win over Excelsior and a 3-0 victory over NAC Breda in past encounters, scoring 16 goals in the last 5 matches. NAC Breda has shown moderate scoring ability with 5 goals over the last 5 games. NEC’s attacking power is stronger and they have been awarded the most penalties this season.
  • Historically, NEC Nijmegen has 3 wins, NAC Breda 8 wins, and there have been 6 draws between them. NEC and NAC Breda have not drawn in their last 5 matches. NEC defeated NAC Breda 3-0 recently indicating current dominance in their meetings.
  • No explicit data available on current injuries for either team, suggesting squads likely near full strength. Lineups typically confirmed closer to match time.
  • The match is played at NEC’s home ground, Goffertstadion, providing a home advantage. Referee Bas Nijhuis will officiate, with no unusual external disruptions reported.
  • NEC Nijmegen, topping the table, is motivated to maintain their lead and home dominance. NAC Breda, mid-table, aims to improve position and challenge a strong opponent away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen: -192, NAC Breda: 475, Draw: 325 NEC Nijmegen to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread NEC Nijmegen: -1 -112, NAC Breda: +1 -108 NEC Nijmegen -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -115, Under 2.75: -105 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen is favored to win based on current form, home advantage, and recent head-to-head dominance. The match is expected to be competitive but with NEC holding clear upper hand.

Predicted Score: NEC Nijmegen 3 – 1 NAC Breda


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