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NEC Nijmegen vs. Groningen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Goffertstadion

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts Groningen in a mid-table Eredivisie clash where the home side is favored by bettors and oddsmakers, but neither team is in blistering form. Both sides have a habit of scoring and conceding, suggesting goals at both ends are likely, yet recent trends hint at fewer goals than the total suggests.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen has scored and conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches, showing defensive vulnerability but consistent attacking output. Groningen, meanwhile, has both scored and conceded in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Neither side is in peak form, with NEC coming off a 1-0 loss to Utrecht despite dominating possession, and Groningen drawing 1-1 with Twente despite a solid home performance[1][2].
  • In the last 5 meetings, Nijmegen leads 3-1-1, including a 2-1 win in July 2025. Historically, both teams have scored in over half of their encounters, with both scoring in 5 of the last 10 meetings at Nijmegen's ground[2][7].
  • No major injury updates available in the provided data. Both teams are expected to field close to full-strength squads.
  • No significant external factors reported (weather, suspensions, etc.).
  • Both teams are mid-table with little separating them, but NEC's home advantage and recent H2H edge could boost morale. Groningen's away form has been respectable, keeping them in contention[2][7].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -103, Groningen +275, Draw +245 NEC Nijmegen win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread NEC Nijmegen -0.5 (-102), Groningen +50 (-118) NEC Nijmegen -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-112), Under 2.75 (-108) Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tight, competitive match with goals at both ends, but not a high-scoring affair. Nijmegen's home strength and recent H2H record edges it, but Groningen's resilience makes them dangerous. The total goals market is the most intriguing given recent trends.

Predicted Score: NEC Nijmegen 1-0 Groningen


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FC Utrecht vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 3:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts NEC Nijmegen in a mid-table Eredivisie clash. Utrecht has shown inconsistent form at home, while NEC has demonstrated a surprisingly strong attacking record in recent H2H matchups. Both teams are closely matched in overall performance, but NEC has outscored Utrecht in their last several meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Utrecht has a 3-1-1 record in their last 5 home games, but overall form is poor with only three home wins this season. NEC is in mixed form, with one away win, but has scored 27 goals (2.7 per game) against Utrecht historically, compared to Utrecht's 19 (1.9 per game).
  • Utrecht leads the all-time H2H 17-15, but NEC has a +8 goal difference in recent meetings. NEC has outscored Utrecht in their last several encounters, indicating a shift in attacking dominance.
  • No major injuries reported for either side, but both teams have had rotation issues due to fixture congestion.
  • Utrecht is playing at home, but their home record is not dominant. NEC has shown resilience on the road and has a strong attacking record against Utrecht.
  • Both teams are fighting for mid-table stability, with little to no relegation or European qualification pressure. Motivation is high for both to secure points and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 114, away: 240, draw: 230 NEC Nijmegen Not available
Spread home: -118, away: -102 NEC Nijmegen +0.25 Not available
Over/under over: 102, under: -122 Over 3 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Utrecht 53%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: FC Utrecht at 53% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win or draw (Double Chance) at odds of +156, and over 2.5 goals at odds of -122. NEC's superior attacking record in H2H and Utrecht's poor form make NEC a strong value play for the double chance, while both teams' attacking tendencies suggest a high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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FC Zwolle vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MACΒ³PARK stadion, Zwolle

Game Overview

A mid-table Eredivisie clash between 14th placed FC Zwolle and 11th placed NEC Nijmegen, with NEC favored due to better recent form and overall higher league standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen holds a better recent form (DLDLW last 5) compared to FC Zwolle's struggles (LDLLD last 5), scoring 37 goals in the season vs. Zwolle's 30, and achieving more points (29 vs. 26).
  • Historically NEC Nijmegen has a superior record with 56.64% estimated win probability versus Zwolle's 27.82%, and past matches favor NEC in both results and goal difference.
  • No significant absentees reported for either side impacting the match, indicating both teams can field close to full strength.
  • Venue is home for FC Zwolle which may marginally boost their motivation, but for NEC Nijmegen, their superior quality on away matches (~80% performance in last 5 away) is a critical external advantage.
  • NEC Nijmegen aims to push higher in league standings with 14 points from 9 matches, whereas Zwolle is under pressure near relegation zone, making motivation high but underdog pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Zwolle: +220, NEC Nijmegen: +106, Draw: +275 NEC Nijmegen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread FC Zwolle: +102 (25), NEC Nijmegen: -122 (-0.25) NEC Nijmegen -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3 Goals: -122, Under 3 Goals: +102 Under 3 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win on the moneyline, with a cautious lean towards a low-scoring game under the 3 goals line considering Zwolle's defensive issues but NEC's balanced attack.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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NEC Nijmegen vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs FC Twente Enschede – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen host FC Twente Enschede in a tightly contested Eredivisie match where both teams are close in the standings (6th and 7th respectively) with identical points. NEC enjoys a strong home record, while Twente comes in with recent good form and momentum from consecutive wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC has a solid home record with three wins and one loss in the last four home games, scoring consistently but conceding as well. Twente arrives on a three-game winning streak with stable defense and effective attacking form, especially away from home.
  • Historically, Twente leads the H2H record with 11 away wins to NEC's 5 home wins, and more goals scored overall. However, recent matches show a balanced competition, including a 3-2 win for Twente in their last official meeting.
  • No major injury concerns reported explicitly for key players on either side, suggesting both squads should be near full strength.
  • NEC has home advantage at Stadion de Goffert, which has been favorable historically. No noted adverse weather or other external issues impacting the match.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain crucial points in the mid-table battle. NEC may have slightly more motivation to capitalize on home ground, while Twente aims to extend their winning streak and climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 136 Home β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread -125 NEC Nijmegen 0 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under -122 (Over 3) Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 92%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 92% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Stoke City vs. Wrexham AFC Prediction Stoke City -111 122%
NEC Nijmegen vs. FC Twente Enschede Prediction NEC Nijmegen 136 92%
LA Galaxy vs. Minnesota United FC Prediction Minnesota United FC 150 58%

Combined Odds: +1022 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $224.31

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NEC Nijmegen vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen (7th place, 9 points) hosts AZ Alkmaar (5th place, 11 points) in an Eredivisie clash where both teams seek vital points. NEC has an aggressive style but inconsistent form, while AZ is unbeaten away and defensively solid.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar demonstrates consistent form with 3 wins and 2 draws, unbeaten away, scoring 12 and conceding 7 goals; NEC Nijmegen has scored 19 but conceded 12 with mixed results and a recent home defeat.
  • Last meetings were closely contested, including a thrilling 3-3 draw. Historically tight matchups suggest competitive, attacking games.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI.
  • Match at NEC's home stadium with normal conditions; no reported adverse environmental factors.
  • Both teams motivated to improve standings; AZ aims to maintain unbeaten run, NEC seeks rebound from recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: +108, NEC Nijmegen: +189, Draw: +295 AZ Alkmaar β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread AZ Alkmaar -0.25: -110, NEC Nijmegen +25: -110 AZ Alkmaar -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.25: -108, Under 3.25: -112 Over 3.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: AZ Alkmaar at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar to win (Moneyline), AZ Alkmaar -0.25 on spread, Over 3.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1 AZ Alkmaar


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Heerenveen vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen meet in a closely contested Eredivisie fixture where both teams have shown mixed recent form, with NEC slightly more efficient offensively, but traveling away from home. The match is expected to be tight with scoring chances on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have struggled for wins early this season, showing possession control but poor finishing. NEC Nijmegen have scored well but also conceded heavily recently, suffering back-to-back losses including a 5-3 loss to PSV.
  • Recent encounters suggest a very narrow margin; the previous H2H saw Heerenveen narrowly win 1-0 away, indicating a competitive but low-margin matchup.
  • No major injury reports contradicting either side's usual first-choice lineup; squads expected near full strength.
  • Match played at Abe Lenstra Stadion gives Heerenveen home advantage. No significant weather or other disruptive factors reported.
  • Heerenveen are eager to turn their slow start into positive results at home, while NEC seek to regain form and stop a losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Heerenveen: +134, NEC Nijmegen: +159, Draw: +300 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Heerenveen 0: -122, NEC Nijmegen 0: +102 NEC Nijmegen +0 (Asian Handicap) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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NEC Nijmegen vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven face off in a tightly contested Eredivisie matchup with both teams level on 9 points early in the season. PSV enters as favorites due to recent away form and overall squad strength, while NEC’s strong home performances keep the game competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have identical records (3-0-1) with 9 points each. PSV shows strong attacking output with multiple players contributing goals and assists, while NEC has defensive resilience to consider.
  • Recent matchups have been competitive; last season they played twice with balanced outcomes. Head-to-head does not heavily favor either side but PSV holds a slight edge in overall quality.
  • No major injuries reported for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups or key player availability.
  • Match played at NEC’s home ground, Stadion de Goffert, gives them a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal with no disruptive external factors.
  • Both teams are motivated to maintain their strong start and climb the standings. PSV aims to assert dominance as a top contender, while NEC seeks to leverage home advantage to stay competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC +390, PSV -165, Draw +325 PSV Eindhoven β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread NEC +1 (-115), PSV -1 (-105) PSV Eindhoven -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-120), Under 3.5 (+100) Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 26%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven to win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Fortuna Sittard vs. NEC Nijmegen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen enters as the strong favorite against struggling Fortuna Sittard, with NEC unbeaten and leading the Eredivisie early in the season. Fortuna has underperformed, holding only 1 point from 3 matches, while NEC boasts a perfect record and dominant goal difference.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen is top of the league with 9 points from 3 wins and a goal difference of +11 (12 scored, 1 conceded). Fortuna Sittard has just 1 point from 3 matches and sits 14th in the table, showing fragile defense but some attacking potential.
  • Recent H2H stats favor NEC, who have shown superiority in scoring and results. Predictions and algorithms lean toward NEC to win, with Fortuna occasionally scoring but unlikely to halt NEC's attack.
  • No significant injury news found for either team; both likely to field strong lineups.
  • Home advantage for Fortuna Sittard could offer some resistance but is insufficient against NEC's current form and confidence.
  • NEC motivated to maintain their perfect start and extend their lead at the top; Fortuna motivated to improve poor early-season form and avoid further slide.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortuna Sittard +196, NEC Nijmegen +120, Draw +285 NEC Nijmegen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Fortuna Sittard +25 -111, NEC Nijmegen -0.25 -109 NEC Nijmegen -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 -113, Under 2.75 -107 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: NEC Nijmegen at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen to win on the moneyline, NEC -0.25 spread, Over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-3


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NEC Nijmegen vs. NAC Breda Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen hosts NAC Breda in the Eredivisie with NEC currently ranked 1st and NAC Breda 8th.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen has shown strong form, scoring 16 goals in their last 5 matches. NAC Breda has scored 5 goals over the same period.
  • The head-to-head record slightly favors NAC Breda with 8 wins to NEC's 3, but NEC has been dominant in recent meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported.
  • Home advantage could be significant, given NEC's recent performances.
  • Both teams are motivated, but NEC's higher ranking adds pressure to perform.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen: -192, NAC Breda: 475, Draw: 325 NEC Nijmegen β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread NAC Breda: 1 -108, NEC Nijmegen: -1 -112 NEC Nijmegen -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over: 2.75 -115, Under: 2.75 -105 Over 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

NEC Nijmegen is likely to win given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: NEC Nijmegen 3-1 NAC Breda


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