Match Analysis: Moktar Benkaci vs Nawras Abzakh – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
Bantamweight semifinal bout in the PFL MENA 3 tournament featuring Moktar Benkaci of France against Nawras Abzakh of Jordan, both weighing in at approximately 61 kg.
Key Factors to Consider
- Moktar Benkaci holds a slight edge with more professional MMA experience and a short winning streak, showing versatility with 39% KO, 31% decision, and 29% submission wins. Nawras Abzakh similarly has a balanced finishing portfolio but is considered an underdog currently.
- No direct professional head-to-head records available; however, given their PFL MENA bantamweight trajectories and recent performances, Benkaci is favored based on experience and form.
- No recent injury reports or weigh-in issues for either fighter, both made weight successfully at the official weigh-in.
- Fight is at a neutral location in Riyadh with no reported travel or environmental concerns. Both fighters motivated to advance in the tournament semifinals.
- Both fighters highly motivated with high stakes to reach the PFL MENA final, but Benkaci’s recent winning form and experience suggest a stronger psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -290, away: +235 | Moktar Benkaci | ★★★★☆ 76% |
| Spread | Moktar Benkaci -1.5: -130, Nawras Abzakh +1.5: +110 | Moktar Benkaci -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_2.5_rounds: +105, under_2.5_rounds: -125 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Moktar Benkaci -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Moktar Benkaci at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moktar Benkaci to win by knockout
Predicted Score: Moktar Benkaci wins by KO in Round 2