Match Analysis: Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Game Overview
UFC 321 features a featherweight prelim bout between veteran Nathaniel Wood and unbeaten rising prospect Jose Miguel Delgado. Delgado enters as the betting favorite with a record of 10-1, while Wood is a seasoned fighter with a 21-6 record, known for his durability and grappling skills. The fight is set for three five-minute rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wood has solid experience with recent performances showing resilience, though not dominant finishes. Delgado remains unbeaten, showcasing a strong striking game and higher finishing rate, especially by KO.
- No previous head-to-head bouts between the fighters; styles clash with Delgado's aggression versus Wood's tactical approach.
- No reported injuries to either fighter impacting the matchup at the time of analysis.
- Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, an international neutral venue; no known external disruptions or travel disadvantages are evident for either fighter.
- Delgado is highly motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and climb rankings, while Wood aims to reassert himself as an elite featherweight contender after mixed recent results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +124, away: -148 | Jose Delgado | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: 3.5 -120, away: -3.5 -110 | Jose Delgado -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 2.5 -110, under: 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jose Delgado -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jose Delgado to win by Knockout/TKO
Predicted Score: Jose Delgado wins by KO in Round 2