Match Analysis: Nathan Kelly vs Frederik Dupras – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ

Game Overview

Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras face off in a featherweight bout as part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals. Both fighters have strong records with Kelly at 11-4 and Dupras at 8-2, competing for a place in PFL standing legitimacy.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nathan Kelly holds a more experienced record with 15 fights compared to Dupras' 10, showing a solid winning percentage and experience in the PFL circuit. Recent form for both shows activity and competitive fights, but Kelly's experience edges Dupras.
• No previous documented head-to-head matches between Nathan Kelly and Frederik Dupras, rendering this a fresh competitive encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout, indicating both will enter the fight in optimal physical condition.
• The fight takes place at a neutral but high-profile venue in Atlantic City during a major PFL event, which does not financially or geographically favor either fighter.
• Both fighters are motivated by tournament progression and significant prize money; however, Kelly’s slight edge comes from having competed longer in PFL with more experience in high-stakes matches, potentially increasing his composure under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nathan Kelly: -150, Frederik Dupras: +125	Nathan Kelly	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds -140, Frederik Dupras +1.5 rounds +120	Nathan Kelly -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nathan Kelly -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nathan Kelly at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nathan Kelly to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Nathan Kelly wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Nathan Kelly vs Tae Kyun Kim – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-03
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: –

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Nathan Kelly and Tae Kyun Kim promises to be a challenging bout for both fighters. Nathan Kelly brings a strong background with decisive wins in the PFL and Bellator, while Tae Kyun Kim has shown impressive performance as a veteran of the Brave CF title match. Kim's undefeated record in terms of knockouts or submissions is noteworthy, making this a competitive fight.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have impressive records; Nathan Kelly is known for his knockout power and submission skills, while Tae Kyun Kim has shown a blend of striking and grappling skills, having never been knocked out or submitted in a professional fight.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Nathan Kelly and Tae Kyun Kim, making this a fresh contest.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter have been noted.
• Given that the event's specific venue has not been disclosed, the home advantage for Nathan Kelly may be less significant.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Tae Kyun Kim seeking to prove himself in the PFL and Nathan Kelly looking to continue his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nathan Kelly: +110, Tae Kyun Kim: -130	Tae Kyun Kim	★★★☆☆ 57%

Predicted Outcome

Tae Kyun Kim is favored to win based on his skilled performance and consistency in avoiding knockouts and submissions.

Predicted Score: N/A