Match Analysis: Nathan Ghareeb vs Josh Harvey – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: LFA 222
Game Overview
Nathan Ghareeb faces Josh Harvey in a pivotal matchup at LFA 222. Ghareeb is the heavy favorite, with odds reflecting his perceived dominance over Harvey, who is a significant underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nathan Ghareeb has shown consistent dominance in recent fights, with a strong record and high finishing rate. Josh Harvey has struggled against higher-level competition, with recent losses and limited offensive output.
- No previous meetings between Ghareeb and Harvey. Ghareeb’s style and experience give him a clear edge over Harvey’s less proven track record.
- No reported injuries for either fighter. Both are expected to be at full strength.
- Ghareeb is favored by all major sportsbooks, with odds as low as -1000, indicating strong market confidence. Harvey’s odds are as high as +550, reflecting his underdog status.
- Ghareeb is motivated to maintain his winning streak and secure a top ranking. Harvey is fighting for a breakthrough performance and to prove himself against a top-tier opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1000, away: 550 | Nathan Ghareeb | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | home: -1.5, away: +1.5 | Nathan Ghareeb -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Over/under | over: 130, under: -170 | Over 1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nathan Ghareeb -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 50% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nathan Ghareeb to win by decision or submission, likely dominating the fight and controlling the pace.
Predicted Score: Nathan Ghareeb wins by submission in round 2