Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec
Game Overview
Nashville SC, showing strong recent form and defensive solidity, visits struggling CF Montreal who are winless this season, making Nashville the clear favorite despite the road setting.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC holds a 3-1-2 form with 10 points and strong defensive stats, conceding fewer shots and goals than the league average. CF Montreal is 0-2-4 with only 2 points and poor offensive output.
- Historically, Nashville has had the upper hand recently, with stronger away performances against Montreal, who have struggled to score and defend effectively.
- No major injury concerns reported that would significantly alter either lineup or team strength at this stage.
- Montreal plays at home but lacks momentum; possible external pressures from early season struggles could impact performance. Weather and venue conditions expected neutral.
- Nashville aims to solidify playoff position with consistent points, while Montreal seeks their first win to avoid early season collapse, but confidence is low.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal +265, Nashville SC -113, Draw +290 | Nashville SC | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | CF Montreal +50 -112, Nashville SC -0.5 -118 | Nashville SC -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -175, Under 2.5 +131 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nashville SC 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 50% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nashville SC to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, in a match finishing under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Nashville SC 1 – 0 CF Montreal