Match Analysis: Napoli vs Empoli – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-14
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy

Game Overview

Napoli vs Empoli is a Serie A match where Napoli, currently in second place with 65 points, faces Empoli, positioned 18th with 24 points. Napoli is favored to win, given their stronger performance in Serie A and their home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli has mixed form in Serie A but has a strong record at home. Empoli has struggled in their last five matches, failing to win any of them.
• Napoli has won 8 of their past 21 matches against Empoli, with Empoli winning 9 and 4 draws. However, since 2022, Napoli has dominated with 3 wins out of 5 encounters without any draws.
• Notable absences include Nikita Contini, Leonardo Spinazzola, Scott McTominay, and others for both teams, but specific impact is unclear.
• Home advantage and recent form favor Napoli.
• Napoli's motivation is high to secure a Champions League spot, while Empoli fights to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Napoli: -300, Empoli: 825, Draw: 420	Napoli win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Empoli: 1.5 -122, Napoli: -1.5 102	Napoli -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Napoli 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is predicted to win this match due to their strong home record and the urgency to secure a high position in Serie A.

Predicted Score: 2-0 in favor of Napoli

Match Analysis: Napoli vs AC Milan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 30, 2025
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples, Italy

Game Overview

Napoli and AC Milan face off in Serie A, with Napoli currently leading in the standings and AC Milan looking to improve their position. The match promises to be intense, with both teams featuring talented players like Romelu Lukaku for Napoli and Christian Pulisic for Milan.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli is the league leader, while AC Milan is struggling to find consistency. Napoli has been strong at home, but AC Milan has shown improvement recently under Sergio Conceicao.
• In their head-to-head encounters, AC Milan historically has an edge with 70 wins compared to Napoli's 52, but Napoli won the earlier meeting this season 2-0.
• AC Milan faces injuries to players like Y. Musah and Emerson Royal, which could affect their performance.
• The match will be played at Napoli's home stadium, which typically gives them an advantage. However, the pressure to maintain their league position could impact their performance.
• Napoli is highly motivated to stay on top of the league, while AC Milan aims to climb higher in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	AC Milan: 290, Napoli: -110, Draw: 265	Napoli	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	AC Milan 50 -112, Napoli -0.5 -108	Napoli -0.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5 -102, Under 2.5 -118	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Napoli to win given their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0

Match Analysis: Venezia vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 16 March 2025
• Time: 11:30 AM UTC
• Location: Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice, Italy

Game Overview

Venezia, currently in 19th place with 19 points, will face Napoli, who are in 2nd place with 60 points. Napoli has been performing well, winning 61% of their games this season, while Venezia has struggled, winning only 2 of their last 23 matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli has shown strong form overall but has only won one of their last six Serie A matches. Venezia's recent performances have been poor, with three losses in their last six games.
• Napoli has dominated Venezia in recent encounters, winning their last three matches against them with clean sheets. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of these matches.
• Napoli is recovering from a small injury crisis, with key players like Pasquale Mazzocchi and David Neres returning to training. Venezia has several players sidelined, including J. Yeboah and R. Sagrado.
• The match will be played at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, which could provide Venezia with some home advantage, but Napoli's overall strength and recent form against Venezia are significant factors.
• Napoli is highly motivated to maintain their position in the league, while Venezia needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Napoli: -190, Venezia: 500, Draw: 320	Napoli	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Napoli: -1 -110, Venezia: 1 -110	Napoli -1	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122	Under 2.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is likely to win due to their superior form and head-to-head record against Venezia.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Napoli

Match Analysis: Napoli vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-09
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Game Overview

Napoli, currently second in Serie A, hosts Fiorentina, who are seventh. Napoli has a strong head-to-head record against Fiorentina, winning 22 out of 43 matches. Both teams have shown mixed form recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli has been consistent at home, while Fiorentina has struggled with away performances. Napoli averages 1.74 goals per match, and Fiorentina averages 1.98 goals per match.
• Napoli has a significant advantage in head-to-head matches, winning 22 out of 43 encounters. The average goals per match in these encounters is 2.67.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but no significant external factors are noted.
• Napoli is highly motivated to maintain their position in Serie A, while Fiorentina seeks to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Napoli: -175, Fiorentina: 500, Draw: 310	Napoli	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Napoli: -1 100, Fiorentina: 1 -120	Napoli -1	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100	Over 2.25	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is likely to win due to their strong home form and head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: Napoli 2, Fiorentina 1

Match Analysis: Como vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 11:30 AM UTC
• Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Game Overview

Como faces a tough challenge against Napoli, who are in strong form and leading Serie A. Como has struggled to win at home, while Napoli has been successful away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli is in mixed form but has a strong away record, winning 8 games. Como is in poor form, having won only four home games.
• In their past meeting, Napoli won 3-1 against Como. However, historical data from other sources suggests a different head-to-head record, but recent data indicates Napoli's superiority.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Weather and crowd factors could influence the game, but no specific information is available.
• Napoli is highly motivated as they are in contention for the Serie A title and UEFA Champions League qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Como: 250, Napoli: 120, Draw: 210	Napoli	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Como: 0.25 -105, Napoli: -0.25 -115	Napoli	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under	Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is likely to win due to their strong form and past performance against Como.

Predicted Score: 1-2