Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Napoli – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: San Siro, Milan
Game Overview
A highly competitive Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, both sides demonstrating strong form with Napoli undefeated (4-0-0) and AC Milan solid with a 3-0-1 record. Napoli leads the standings with 12 points, Milan with 9.
Key Factors to Consider
- Napoli is undefeated (4 wins) versus Milanβs 3 wins and 1 loss in their last 4 Serie A matches. Napoli holds an away record of 2-0, Milan a home record of 1-0-1. Napoliβs offense is potent and consistent, while Milanβs recent loss shows slight vulnerability.
- Balanced H2H history with both teams winning 4 matches each and 2 draws in recent meetings, indicating evenly matched tactical contests.
- No major player injuries reported for either side ahead of the match, keeping both lineups close to full strength.
- Match played at Milanβs home ground San Siro, favoring AC Milan slightly by venue advantage but Napoliβs form away is flawless.
- Napoli leads the league standings and will aim to maintain momentum, while Milan needs points to close gap, suggesting high motivation for an intense match.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 132 | AC Milan | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | -102 | AC Milan -0.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | -115 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AC Milan -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AC Milan moneyline
Predicted Score: 2-1