Match Analysis: Namsrai Batbayar vs Agulali – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-22
- Time: 9:00 AM UTC
- Location: Road to UFC: Shanghai (Venue TBA)
Game Overview
A flyweight three-round semifinal bout between Namsrai Batbayar and Agulali at 125 pounds, part of the Road to UFC Season 4 Shanghai event.
Key Factors to Consider
- Agulali has shown consistent recent form with strong finishes, favored by bookmakers at around -205/-220 moneyline odds, while Namsrai Batbayar is an underdog currently priced around +165/+163, indicating a perceived gap in competitiveness.
- No documented previous head-to-head encounters found, making direct matchup history unavailable to impact prediction.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both enter in full health.
- The fight is a high-stakes Road to UFC semifinal, enhancing motivation and pressure; held in Shanghai, which should be neutral ground for both fighters.
- Agulali’s slight favorite status suggests higher momentum and betting support, possibly reflecting stronger recent tournament performance or better adaptation to the UFC pathway.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Agulali -205 / Namsrai Batbayar +165 | Agulali | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | No official spread available; implied line favors Agulali by approximately 1 round or more | Agulali by decision or finish (spread equivalent) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds +108 / Under 2.5 rounds -142 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Agulali -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Agulali at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Agulali to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Agulali wins by late stoppage or unanimous decision, fight lasting 2 to 3 rounds