Najee Lopez vs. Kalvin Henderson Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Najee Lopez vs Kalvin Henderson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Osceola Heritage Park, Kissimmee, United States

Game Overview

Najee Lopez faces Kalvin Henderson in a 10-round Light Heavyweight bout. Lopez is the strong favorite given his undefeated 14-0 record with 11 KOs, age, reach and height advantages, and higher knockout rate. Henderson has more experience with 19-2-1 record but is the underdog with longer odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Najee Lopez is undefeated (14-0) with 79% KO rate; Kalvin Henderson has a 19-2-1 record with 68% KO rate. Lopez is younger and less experienced but stronger and more powerful on paper.
  • No recorded head-to-head bouts between Lopez and Henderson.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight is at home venue for both fighters (U.S.), with no travel disadvantages. Scheduled for 10 rounds at light heavyweight weight limit (175 lbs).
  • Lopez seeks to maintain undefeated record and continue upward trajectory with top WBA and IBF rankings. Henderson aims to deliver an upset and improve ranking. Lopez has higher motivation as rising star.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1400, away: +700 Najee Lopez ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -400, away: +320 Najee Lopez -3.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under over_8.5: -150, under_8.5: +120 Over 8.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Najee Lopez -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Najee Lopez at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Najee Lopez to win by knockout or decision

Predicted Score: Najee Lopez wins by 9th round TKO


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