Match Analysis: Joe Middleton vs Naglis Kanisauskas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: Indigo at The O2, London, Greater London, England

Game Overview

Joe Middleton and Naglis Kanisauskas face off in a middleweight bout at Indigo at The O2. Middleton enters with strong submission wins recently, while Kanisauskas is favored on the moneyline reflecting perceived advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Joe Middleton has won his last three fights by submission with impressive grappling dominance, while Kanisauskas has a solid record but less recent data on finishes.
• No recorded previous head-to-head encounters between Middleton and Kanisauskas.
• No reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight scheduled at a major venue with strong crowd interest; fight environment neutral but potentially favoring Middleton as a rising grappler.
• Middleton shows high motivation after consecutive submission wins, aiming to continue momentum; Kanisauskas motivated as slight betting favorite to prove superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Joe Middleton +135, Naglis Kanisauskas -175	Naglis Kanisauskas	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Kanisauskas -1.5 rounds	Kanisauskas -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -120, Under 2.5 rounds +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Naglis Kanisauskas -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Naglis Kanisauskas at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Naglis Kanisauskas to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kanisauskas wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Dario Bellandi vs Naglis Kanisauskas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: The PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Dario Bellandi defends his middleweight title against Naglis Kanisauskas in a rematch at CW 183. Bellandi, with a grappling background, seeks his second title defense, while Kanisauskas aims to avenge his previous loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bellandi has won six consecutive fights, including three by decision. Kanisauskas has been impressive since his loss to Bellandi, finishing two fights quickly.
• Bellandi won their first encounter via unanimous decision in July 2023.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Bellandi's home country, Italy, which could provide an advantage.
• Kanisauskas is highly motivated to avenge his loss, while Bellandi seeks to prove his title reign is not a fluke.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-300 for Bellandi, +220 for Kanisauskas	Bellandi	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Dario Bellandi to win.

Predicted Score: Bellandi wins by decision.