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Nacional vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: EstΓ‘dio da Madeira

Game Overview

CD Nacional hosts Moreirense FC in a Primeira Liga match where Nacional struggles at home (no wins in 3 matches) and Moreirense are higher in the standings in 4th place with strong overall form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional is 13th with 7 points from 7 matches, 2-1-4 record, with poor home form losing all 3 home games conceding 8 goals. Moreirense sits 4th with 15 points, 5 wins and 2 losses, scoring more goals and boasting better overall form.
  • Last meeting ended in a draw. Historically, matches tend to be close and low scoring, with both teams prioritizing defense in recent encounters.
  • No specific injury reports available from data; assume typical squad availability with no major absences reported.
  • Nacional has home advantage but their defensive frailty at home tempers this. Moreirense's away performance is solid though slightly less potent than at home.
  • Moreirense motivated to consolidate top-table position while Nacional aims to escape relegation zone and improve home form; high motivation on both sides but differential favors Moreirense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +135, draw: +210, away: +215 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread home_-0.25: +102, away_+25: -122 Away +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over_2.25: +102, under_2.25: -122 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Braga vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Braga vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: EstΓ‘dio Municipal de Braga

Game Overview

Braga hosts Nacional in the Portuguese Primeira Liga needing to end a four-game winless streak in the league but buoyed by a recent Europa League win, while Nacional struggles near the relegation zone with limited offensive threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga sits 7th with 9 points in 6 matches, recently challenged domestically but confident from Europe; Nacional is 16th with 4 points and poor away form.
  • Braga has a recent home win against Nacional, showing dominance in direct encounters.
  • Braga's Fran Navarro likely returning, key defender Jonatas Noro still injured; Nacional missing midfielder Matheus Dias due to suspension.
  • The match is played at Braga's home ground, which is known to favor the hosts.
  • Braga motivated to rebound from league struggles and consolidate mid-table, Nacional pressured by relegation fight and recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -250, away: 650, draw: 360 Braga β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Braga: -105, Nacional: -115 Braga -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under over: 102, under: -122 Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win moneyline, Braga to cover -1.25 spread, Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Nacional vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: EstΓ‘dio da Madeira, Funchal

Game Overview

The match features Nacional hosting Arouca in Portugal's Primeira Liga at EstΓ‘dio da Madeira. Both teams are close in league standings with Arouca just above Nacional, indicating a tight contest. Nacional struggles at home with no wins this season, while Arouca has a slightly better recent record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional sits 14th with 4 points including 1 win and 3 losses, showing defensive weaknesses with a -4 goal difference. Arouca is 12th with 5 points, marginally better but with a poor defense conceding 13 goals in 5 matches.
  • The last meeting ended 2-1 in favor of Arouca, giving them a psychological edge over Nacional. Overall, head-to-head encounters are competitive with no dominant trend.
  • No major injury updates reported affecting either side significantly ahead of this match.
  • Match played at Nacional's home ground, which could provide home advantage. Pressure is on Nacional to earn their first home win of the season.
  • Nacional highly motivated to break home win drought and improve their league position. Arouca seeking to maintain their slight advantage in standings and build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +188, Nacional: +152, Draw: +212 Arouca β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Arouca: +105, Nacional: -125 Arouca +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: +100 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Arouca at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline pick: Arouca to win. Spread pick: Arouca +0. Confidence pick: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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FC Porto vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: EstΓ‘dio do DragΓ£o

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Nacional in a Portugal Primeira Liga match where Porto leads the league with a perfect record and strong goal difference, while Nacional struggles in the lower half of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto has won all four opening matches with an 11:1 goal difference, showcasing offensive dominance and defensive solidity. Nacional has inconsistent form and lower league position.
  • FC Porto has dominated recent meetings at home with 14 wins out of 18 and a significant goal difference of 44-13. Common result tends to be a 2-0 home win.
  • Porto has a key attacker Samu back from injury but misses Luuk de Jong due to a knee problem. Nacional has no fresh injury concerns.
  • Porto plays at home in front of strong home support at EstΓ‘dio do DragΓ£o, a historically intimidating venue. Nacional's last away win at Porto was in 2011, indicating psychological disadvantage.
  • Porto aims to continue their unbeaten start and maintain top table position, reinforcing strong motivation. Nacional looks to improve but faces big challenges against top teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -625, away: 1400, draw: 600 FC Porto win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread home: -105, away: -125 FC Porto -2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: FC Porto win; Spread: FC Porto -2; Over/Under: Under 3 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Casa Pia vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Casa Pia Stadium

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga match at a home stadium where Casa Pia seeks to build on early season form, while Nacional struggles near the bottom with limited points and poor offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has a slightly better early season form with 3 points in 3 matches, showing inconsistency but home advantage, while Nacional is in 16th place with just 1 point and conceding many goals.
  • Historically, Casa Pia has a slight edge in wins over Nacional, with more recent home success.
  • No major injury reports available for either side; squads expected near full strength.
  • Match played at Casa Pia's home ground, giving them an advantage; early season motivation to gain points is high for both teams but more urgent for struggling Nacional.
  • Casa Pia motivated to consolidate mid-table positioning; Nacional under pressure to escape relegation zone, increasing their urgency but possibly affecting composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia +126, Nacional +235, Draw +210 Casa Pia β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Casa Pia -0.25 (-108), Nacional +25 (-112) Casa Pia -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102), Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring game trending under 2.25 goals, and Casa Pia to cover the -0.25 spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with only one point from two games and have yet to secure a win this season. Historically, Sporting have a strong record against Nacional, winning 90% of recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have shown impressive offensive and defensive form, scoring 8 goals and conceding none in the first two matches. Nacional have struggled offensively and defensively, scoring only one goal while conceding three.
  • Sporting Lisbon have a dominant recent record over Nacional, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter and multiple wins in their last ten meetings.
  • Nacional have significant absences, including Brazilian forward Isaac and defender Miguel Baeza, potentially weakening their attack and defense. Sporting Lisbon reportedly have no major injury concerns affecting their starting lineup.
  • The match takes place at Estadio da Madeira, home to Nacional, but their poor recent home form and Sporting’s superior overall quality and momentum mitigate home advantage.
  • Sporting Lisbon are motivated to maintain their perfect start and reinforce their status as title contenders, while Nacional fight to find their first win and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 875, Sporting Lisbon: -385, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Nacional +1.75: -122, Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102 Sporting Lisbon -1.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (Moneyline), with a spread cover of -1.75 goals and over 3 total goals scored

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Rio Ave FC vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde, Portugal

Game Overview

Rio Ave FC hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga Matchday 2 encounter. Rio Ave seeks to build on a mixed start with solid home form, while Nacional attempts to rebound from a poor start with zero points after a loss in their opener. Both teams have shown offensive capability, making this matchup highly competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rio Ave has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, showing inconsistency but a relatively stronger recent form compared to Nacional, which has 4 losses and 1 win in their last 5 games. Nacional currently sits bottom of the league with zero points, suffering a 0-2 loss in their last match.
  • Recent direct clashes have been competitive and high-scoring, including a thrilling 3-3 draw in their last meeting. The H2H history suggests an entertaining game with potential goals from both sides.
  • No major injury reports currently available for either team that would decisively impact the lineups.
  • Rio Ave enjoys home advantage with fan support at Estadio dos Arcos. No significant external disruptions expected.
  • Rio Ave aims to stabilize their season with positive results at home. Nacional is desperate to escape the relegation zone early after a poor season start, increasing their urgency to perform.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rio Ave FC: 130, Nacional: 215, Draw: 220 Rio Ave FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Rio Ave FC -0.25: -102, Nacional +25: -118 Rio Ave FC -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Rio Ave FC at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave FC to win on the moneyline, covering a narrow spread, with a moderately low-scoring game under 2.25 goals expected.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
NAC Breda vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction NAC Breda 131 39%
Rio Ave FC vs. Nacional Prediction Rio Ave FC 130 38%
Botafogo vs. Palmeiras Prediction Palmeiras 165 38%

Combined Odds: +1308 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $281.59

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Nacional vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The opening match of the Portugal Primeira Liga season pits CD Nacional against Gil Vicente, two teams aiming to start the campaign strong following mixed previous seasons. Nacional hosts Gil Vicente in a fixture expected to be competitive, with both teams showing motivation to improve early form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have had challenging recent seasons, with Nacional showing slight home advantage historically. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities but possess attacking potential.
  • Historically, matches between Nacional and Gil Vicente have been tightly contested with balanced outcomes. No dominant trend favors either side decisively.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, suggesting both squads will likely field close to their full strengths.
  • Playing at Estadio da Madeira provides Nacional some home advantage amid their motivation to claim early points. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be neutral.
  • Both clubs show strong motivation as they open the season, with Nacional keen to leverage home advantage and Gil Vicente looking to build on recent progress.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional 1.48, Gil Vicente 1.93, Draw 2.15 Nacional β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Nacional 0 -130, Gil Vicente 0 +110 Nacional 0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 -115, Under 2.25 -105 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Nacional at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Home win (Nacional), Spread: Nacional 0 -130, Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Rio Ave FC features two mid-table teams with Rio Ave in 10th place (36 points) and Nacional in 13th (33 points). Rio Ave are coming off a solid 2-0 home victory against Estrela, while Nacional have struggled recently with only one win in their last five matches. This game is crucial for both as they aim to improve their mid to lower table standing and avoid relegation troubles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional have shown inconsistent form, losing three out of their last five league games, including a 1-2 loss at home to Vitoria Guimaraes. Rio Ave have been slightly better, winning their last game 2-0 and generally having a more stable points accumulation across the season.
  • Historically and in recent encounters this season, Rio Ave have a slight edge with one win and one draw in their matches against Nacional. The matchup has been fairly balanced, but Rio Ave's recent form suggests they may be the stronger side.
  • No explicit injury updates were found for either team, indicating likely availability of key players for both sides.
  • The match is played at Estadio da Madeira, giving Nacional home advantage, though their recent home form has not been convincing. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no reported issues.
  • With only a few matches remaining in the Primeira Liga season, both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their league positions. Rio Ave, currently higher on the table, will aim to consolidate their spot, whereas Nacional will push hard to close the gap and avoid slipping further.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 100, Rio_Ave_FC: 270, Draw: 235 Nacional win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Nacional_-0.5: 102, Rio_Ave_FC_+50: -122 Nacional to cover -0.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over_2.5: -110, Under_2.5: -110 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the data, Rio Ave FC is favored to win or draw, with Nacional under pressure due to poorer form and home struggles. Expect a closely contested match with Rio Ave having a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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