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FC Porto vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 17, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts CD Nacional in the closing match of the Primeira Liga Portugal regular season. Porto aims to maintain their third place in the league, while Nacional has nothing to play for. Porto has won nine of their last ten matches, showcasing strong form, whereas Nacional is winless in four matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto has shown strong performance, winning 9 out of their last 10 matches. Nacional, on the other hand, has not won in four matches.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not extensively detailed, but historically, Porto tends to perform better against lower-ranked teams.
  • There is no specific mention of injuries affecting this match.
  • Weather conditions are not mentioned as a factor, but being a home match, Porto may have an advantage.
  • Porto is motivated to secure third place in the league, while Nacional lacks any significant motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Porto: -325, Nacional: 800, Draw: 420 FC Porto to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread FC Porto: -1.5 -110, Nacional: 1.5 -110 FC Porto to cover the spread ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over: 2.75 -125, Under: 2.75 105 Over 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form, FC Porto is expected to win against Nacional.

Predicted Score: FC Porto 3, CD Nacional 1


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Nacional vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

The upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Rio Ave FC features two mid-table teams with Rio Ave in 10th place (36 points) and Nacional in 13th (33 points). Rio Ave are coming off a solid 2-0 home victory against Estrela, while Nacional have struggled recently with only one win in their last five matches. This game is crucial for both as they aim to improve their mid to lower table standing and avoid relegation troubles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional have shown inconsistent form, losing three out of their last five league games, including a 1-2 loss at home to Vitoria Guimaraes. Rio Ave have been slightly better, winning their last game 2-0 and generally having a more stable points accumulation across the season.
  • Historically and in recent encounters this season, Rio Ave have a slight edge with one win and one draw in their matches against Nacional. The matchup has been fairly balanced, but Rio Ave's recent form suggests they may be the stronger side.
  • No explicit injury updates were found for either team, indicating likely availability of key players for both sides.
  • The match is played at Estadio da Madeira, giving Nacional home advantage, though their recent home form has not been convincing. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no reported issues.
  • With only a few matches remaining in the Primeira Liga season, both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their league positions. Rio Ave, currently higher on the table, will aim to consolidate their spot, whereas Nacional will push hard to close the gap and avoid slipping further.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 100, Rio_Ave_FC: 270, Draw: 235 Nacional win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Nacional_-0.5: 102, Rio_Ave_FC_+50: -122 Nacional to cover -0.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over_2.5: -110, Under_2.5: -110 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the data, Rio Ave FC is favored to win or draw, with Nacional under pressure due to poorer form and home struggles. Expect a closely contested match with Rio Ave having a slight advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Nacional (13th) hosts Vitória SC (5th) in a Liga Portugal clash. Vitória SC holds a stronger league position and away form, though Nacional has historical H2H success. Nacional struggles defensively (13 losses overall), while Vitória SC demonstrates consistency (9 wins, 11 draws).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional: 7W-5D-13L overall, 6W-2D-4L at home. Vitória SC: 9W-11D-5L overall, 3W-6D-4L away. Vitória SC has superior defensive organization (only 5 losses) compared to Nacional.
  • 11-7-10 in Nacional's favor across 28 meetings (34-36 goals scored). Recent form favors Vitória SC, who won four away games this season[5].
  • No injury data available from provided sources.
  • Estadio da Madeira's home advantage for Nacional (6 home wins) balances Vitória SC's superior squad quality.
  • Vitória SC fights for European qualification, while Nacional battles mid-table security.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional +310, Draw +240, Vitória SC -115 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Nacional +50 (-108), Vitória SC -0.5 (-112) Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-125), Under 2.25 (+105) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC moneyline victory due to better organization and away form, though a close match expected. Under 2.25 goals likely given Vitória SC's cautious style.

Predicted Score: 0-1 Vitória SC


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Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cônegos, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Moreirense FC and Nacional on April 27, 2025, is expected to be closely contested, with Moreirense slightly favored due to their home advantage and higher league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense FC, positioned 10th, holds a slight edge over Nacional, placed 13th. However, Nacional's away performances have been challenging, with a high loss rate.
  • Recent head-to-head statistics are not detailed, but Moreirense's home advantage could be pivotal.
  • No specific injury details are available, but their impact should be considered for both teams.
  • The match being in the Primeira Liga, the pressure for points could influence team strategies.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Moreirense might have more pressure to secure a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense -115, Draw +200, Nacional +265 Moreirense to win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Moreirense -0.25 -120, Nacional +25 100 Moreirense to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 64%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moreirense FC is predicted to have a slight advantage, but the match could be closely contested with a possibility of a low-scoring outcome.

Predicted Score: Moreirense 2-0 Nacional


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Vitoria vs. Grêmio Prediction Vitoria 140 69%
Moreirense FC vs. Nacional Prediction Moreirense FC 115 64%
VfL Bochum vs. Union Berlin Prediction VfL Bochum 125 58%

Combined Odds: +1061 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.2

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Nacional vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-19
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Game Overview

CD Nacional hosts Gil Vicente in a crucial Liga Portugal match on April 19, 2025. Both teams are struggling in the league, with Nacional ranked 11th and Gil Vicente 14th. Recent performances indicate that Nacional may face defensive challenges, while Gil Vicente has shown inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional has eight wins, five draws, and fourteen losses. Gil Vicente has six wins, eight draws, and thirteen losses. Nacional's recent loss to Santa Clara influenced morale, while Gil Vicente boosted confidence with a win over Boavista.
  • Gil Vicente won the recent encounter 2-1, and historically, they have shown mixed results against Nacional.
  • No detailed injury reports are available, but any absences could impact team strategies.
  • Home advantage might favor Nacional, but Gil Vicente's recent win could give them an edge.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 140, Gil Vicente: 210, Draw: 200 Nacional win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Gil Vicente: 25 -125, Nacional: -0.25 105 Cover Nacional -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nacional 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nacional is favored due to home advantage and recent form improvement needs, though Gil Vicente's confidence boost could lead to an upset.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Nacional


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Boavista Porto vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Boavista Porto vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 12 April 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do Bessa XXI, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Boavista Porto and Nacional promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams looking to gain valuable points in the Primeira Liga. Boavista, currently struggling in 18th place, faces a strong opponent in Nacional, who ranks 11th. The head-to-head record slightly favors Nacional, but Boavista is expected to put up a formidable fight at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boavista has been struggling with form, winning only 4 matches out of 28. Nacional, meanwhile, has managed 8 wins in the same period. Recent performances indicate Nacional might have a slight edge.
  • In their last 26 meetings, Nacional has won 11 matches compared to Boavista's 8 wins. However, at home, Boavista has managed 5 wins and 2 draws in the last 12 encounters.
  • Boavista does not have significant injuries reported, while Nacional suffers from injuries to players like Daniel dos Santos Penha and Miguel Baeza.
  • The home advantage could play a significant role for Boavista. However, Nacional's recent form and past performances against Boavista might negate this.
  • Boavista is highly motivated to escape the relegation zone, while Nacional aims to secure a mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boavista Porto: 185, Nacional: 155, Draw: 200 Boavista Porto win is the riskier but possible outcome ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Even (0) with Boavista +102, Nacional -122 Boavista to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5: 122, Under 2.5: -148 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline N/A
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, a draw seems plausible. However, due to the home advantage and Boavista's desperation for points, they might push for a narrow win.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Nacional vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-06
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

CD Nacional hosts CF Estrela Amadora in the Liga Portugal Betclic. Nacional is currently ranked 11th with 29 points, while Estrela Amadora is 15th with 23 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional has shown stronger recent form compared to Estrela Amadora, winning 2 out of their last 7 matches, while Estrela won only once in the same period.
  • Historically, Estrela Amadora has a slight edge, winning 4 out of the last 7 head-to-head matches against Nacional.
  • No specific injury updates for key players are available at this time.
  • Motivation could be high for both teams as they aim to improve their league standings.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Nacional may have an advantage playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Nacional is likely to win due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Nacional


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Santa Clara vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-30
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

Santa Clara hosts Nacional in a Primeira Liga match. Santa Clara currently ranks 5th, while Nacional is at 11th in the standings. Recent performances show Santa Clara beating Nacional in the past more frequently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has won 13 matches out of 26, while Nacional has won 8 out of 26. Santa Clara's recent form is less consistent than Nacional's, with both teams experiencing mixed results.
  • In the last 13 meetings, Santa Clara has won 5 times, with 4 draws and 4 wins for Nacional. The goal difference favors Santa Clara with 23-16.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Playing at home could be an advantage for Santa Clara, but the team's inconsistent recent form might impact performance.
  • Both teams have motivation to win, but Santa Clara may have more pressure to perform well at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 for Santa Clara, 340 for Nacional, 210 for Draw Santa Clara ★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread -0.5 for Santa Clara at -105, +50 for Nacional at -115 Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 53%
Over_under Over 2 at -115, Under 2 at -105 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara is favored to win due to their home advantage and slightly better head-to-head statistics.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Santa Clara


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Nacional vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Nacional vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-16
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Nacional faces Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga match. Nacional has mixed form, winning six home games, while Casa Pia is in poor form but has won four away games. Casa Pia ranks 6th, and Nacional is 12th in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional has a mixed record in the league, with six home wins. Casa Pia, despite poor form, has shown resilience in away games.
  • Nacional has won three times in their past eight meetings with Casa Pia, who have won four times.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings, but Casa Pia's higher ranking may give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 195, Nacional: 140, Draw: 210 Nacional ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Casa Pia: 25 -128, Nacional: -0.25 108 Nacional ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 2.25 -102, Under: 2.25 -118 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia is slightly favored due to their league position, but Nacional's home advantage could make it a competitive match.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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