Match Analysis: Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas
Game Overview
The match between Muslim Salikhov and Uros Medic is set for UFC Vegas 111 at the UFC APEX facility in Las Vegas on November 8, 2025. Salikhov, a veteran striker renowned as the 'King of Kung Fu,' aims to extend a three-fight winning streak, approaching this fight with significant knockout power and precision striking. Medic, younger and slightly taller with a reach advantage, is a dangerous finisher with multiple performance bonuses and a strong UFC tenure marked by explosive knockouts but has yet to win by decision.
Key Factors to Consider
- Salikhov holds a superior professional record of 22 wins to 5 losses, with a balanced mix of 13 KOs, 2 submissions, and 5 decisions. Medic owns an 11-3 pro record with 9 KOs and 2 submissions and no decision victories, indicating a strong finisher but less endurance advantage. Both fighters are 4-2 in their last six UFC bouts, showing comparable recent form but differing fight styles and experience.
- There is no prior head-to-head matchup history between Muslim Salikhov and Uros Medic. Their contrasting styles—Salikhov's striking finesse versus Medic's knockout power—set the stage for a compelling contest without direct past encounter data to inform prediction.
- No reported injuries or fight camp issues for either fighter have been noted leading up to the bout, suggesting both athletes will enter in full health and readiness.
- The fight takes place in Las Vegas where both fighters are relatively accustomed to the venue. As the main card event on ESPN+, the fighters have motivation for performance bonuses and increased exposure. Given Medic's younger age and physical dimensions, slight physical advantages are balanced by Salikhov's experience and technical prowess.
- Salikhov is motivated to solidify his status as a top contender in the welterweight division following recent highlight knockouts. Medic looks to improve his UFC record and continue his reputation as a dynamic finisher, seeking to capitalize on his youth and recent finishing streaks.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Muslim Salikhov: +136, Uros Medic: -162 | Uros Medic to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Muslim Salikhov +3.5: +105, Uros Medic -3.5: -140 | Uros Medic to win by more than 3.5 points (likely stoppage) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: +130, Under 1.5 rounds: -166 | Under 1.5 rounds (early finish likely) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Uros Medic -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Uros Medic is favored to win this fight primarily due to the moneyline odds and his youth advantage, with a probable knockout finish. However, Salikhov’s experience, technical striking, and recent form provide a strong counterbalance and potential for an upset or decision win.
Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by KO/TKO in Round 1 or early Round 2