Match Analysis: Muslim Salikhov vs Uros Medic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Vegas 111

Game Overview

Muslim Salikhov faces Uros Medic in a welterweight UFC matchup. Salikhov is a seasoned striker known for dynamic stand-up, while Medic is a powerful knockout artist with recent momentum, having defeated Gilbert Urbina via first-round KO in August 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salikhov has a versatile striking style but recent performances show less finishing power, whereas Medic has demonstrated significant knockout capability recently, boosting his confidence and form.
• No prior head-to-head matchup exists between Salikhov and Medic, making this a first encounter with limited direct comparative data.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into this bout.
• Fight takes place at UFC Vegas 111, a neutral venue with no significant travel disadvantages for either fighter. Both competitors have shown robustness in similar environments.
• Medic's recent KO victory and rising momentum provide high motivation; Salikhov seeks to re-establish himself against a younger contender, adding personal stakes for redemption.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-148 for Uros Medic, +124 for Muslim Salikhov	Uros Medic	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Muslim Salikhov +3.5 at 105, Uros Medic -3.5 at -140	Uros Medic -3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds at 140, Under 1.5 rounds at -180	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Uros Medic -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Uros Medic to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Uros Medic wins by KO/TKO late in round 2 or early round 3

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – November 8, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Tecia Torres vs. Denise Gomes Prediction	Under 2.5	280	158%
Muslim Salikhov vs. Uros Medic Prediction	Over 1.5	140	44%
Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis Prediction	Over 1.5	120	32%

Combined Odds: +1906 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $401.28

Match Analysis: Carlos Leal vs Muslim Salikhov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

Carlos Leal and Muslim Salikhov meet in a welterweight MMA bout at UFC Abu Dhabi with contrasting styles and statistics. Leal is the heavy favorite with faster strike output, while Salikhov's defense and striking accuracy remain notable.

Key Factors to Consider

• Leal has a higher significant strike rate (9.65/min) and accuracy (50%) but takes more incoming strikes (7.73/min). Salikhov lands fewer strikes (3.38/min) but defends better, absorbing only 2.90 significant strikes/min and blocking 62%.
• No direct head-to-head history between Leal and Salikhov available for this matchup, making form and style matchup critical.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight takes place in Abu Dhabi, neutral ground likely minimizing travel fatigue impacts. Both fighters compete professionally to advance welterweight rankings.
• Leal is favored heavily and likely motivated to justify his status, while Salikhov as underdog aims to capitalize on defensive strengths and upset potential.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Carlos Leal -500 / Muslim Salikhov +375	Carlos Leal	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Not explicitly provided; implied -1.5 rounds for Leal	Carlos Leal by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -145 / Under 1.5 rounds +115	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Carlos Leal -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Leal to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Carlos Leal wins by TKO in round 2