Match Analysis: Murtaza Talha vs Baysangur Susurkaev – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Contender Series 2025 Venue (Exact location not specified)
Game Overview
Murtaza Talha (7-1) faces undefeated Baysangur Susurkaev (8-0) on short notice at middleweight in DWCS 2025. Talha is the more experienced fighter with strong wrestling and aggressive ground-and-pound but has had an ACL injury and loss in CS before. Susurkaev is a fast-finishing knockout artist, unbeaten, taking the fight on short notice. Both fighters have a combined 12 first-round finishes, with contrasting styles presenting an intriguing matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Talha has a 7-1 record with 7 finishes (4 KOs, 3 subs) but recently struggled with an ACL injury and contested a higher weight class previously. Susurkaev is 8-0 with 7 KOs, showing explosive power and pace. Both fighters have heavy finishes; Talha never goes to decision, while Susurkaev has mostly KO wins and one decision.
- No previous fights between Talha and Susurkaev. Both bring early finish styles and aggressive approaches, making outcomes highly dependent on fight start conditions and preparation.
- Talha is returning from ACL surgery within the last year and had a layoff before his last CS fight. Susurkaev is taking this bout on short notice, which may impact conditioning.
- Susurkaev stepping in on short notice might put him at a conditioning disadvantage but could be highly motivated to keep his undefeated streak. Talha has home advantage being prepared for this event and fighting at closer to his natural weight.
- Talha wants to redeem himself after a previous CS loss and prove durability post-injury. Susurkaev is motivated to maintain 8-0 undefeated record and capitalize on an opportunity in DWCS for UFC entry.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baysangur Susurkaev: -275, Murtaza Talha: 215 | Away (Baysangur Susurkaev) | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Susurkaev -1.5: -110, Talha +1.5: -110 | Susurkaev -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -120, Under 1.5 rounds: 100 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baysangur Susurkaev -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Baysangur Susurkaev at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baysangur Susurkaev to win by KO/TKO
Predicted Score: Baysangur Susurkaev wins by KO/TKO in Round 1