Georgia State Panthers vs. Murray State Racers Prediction NCAAF in American Football

this is test

Match Analysis: Georgia State Panthers vs Murray State Racers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Center Parc Credit Union Stadium

Game Overview

Georgia State Panthers host Murray State Racers in a Week 3 NCAAF matchup; both teams are winless at 0-2, but Georgia State is favored heavily given their FBS status versus FCS Murray State.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Georgia State started 0-2 with large defeats (notably 7-63 to Ole Miss), showcasing offensive and defensive struggles but against stronger FBS opponents. Murray State is also 0-2 and winless in many recent games (0-35 SU), indicating severe competitive challenges.
  • No recent head-to-head data available; this is likely a mismatch given Georgia State’s FBS status and Murray State’s long-term struggles.
  • No current significant injury reports for either team, so lineups expected to be near full strength.
  • Game played at home for Georgia State in Atlanta, with warm weather and no rain expected, home-field advantage is in favor of the Panthers.
  • Georgia State is highly motivated to get their first win against an FCS opponent, whereas Murray State is under pressure to avoid another loss in a tough 2025 season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -4500, away: +1600 Georgia State Panthers ★★★★★ 90%
Spread home: -28.5 -110, away: +28.5 -110 Georgia State Panthers -28.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under over: 63.5 -110, under: 63.5 -110 Under 63.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Georgia State Panthers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 63.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia State Panthers dominant win expected; they cover the heavy spread and the game has moderately high total points but under 64 points seems more likely due to Georgia State’s recent offensive woes.

Predicted Score: Georgia State Panthers 35 – Murray State Racers 7


0 1