Match Analysis: Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs Murray State Racers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 11:07 PM UTC
• Location: AmFirst Stadium

Game Overview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks (1-2) host Murray State Racers (0-3) in a key Conference USA matchup. Jacksonville State shows moderate recent success and strong home advantage while Murray State is struggling severely, winless in 20 straight games, including 36 consecutive losses against the spread and overall.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jacksonville State is 1-2 overall but 2-1 ATS in last 5 games, with the totals tending to go over in recent outings. Murray State is 0-3 with no wins in last 20 games and poor offensive and defensive metrics.
• No recent direct matchup data available, but trends heavily favor Jacksonville State historically due to Murray State's ongoing losing streaks.
• No significant reported injuries impacting Jacksonville State. Murray State also has no major injury updates, but lack of talent depth appears an issue.
• Game played at Jacksonville State’s home stadium with mild weather (82°F, 0% rain, light wind), conditions ideal for good offensive production.
• Jacksonville State motivates to snap a modest losing skid in front of home crowd. Murray State’s prolonged winless streak may depress motivation and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jacksonville State -50000, Murray State +5500	Jacksonville State	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Jacksonville State -35.5 -110, Murray State +35.5 -110	Jacksonville State -35.5	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 60.5 -110, Under 60.5 -110	Over 60.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 60.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 60.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jacksonville State Gamecocks to dominate at home, covering the large spread and pushing the total points well over the line

Predicted Score: 56-14

Top EV Parlay for American Football – September 20, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Texas Longhorns vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction	Over 51.5	-112	42%
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Georgia State Panthers Prediction	Under 52.5	-108	35%
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. Murray State Racers Prediction	Over 60.5	-110	34%

Combined Odds: +596 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $139.19

Match Analysis: Georgia State Panthers vs Murray State Racers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Center Parc Credit Union Stadium

Game Overview

Georgia State Panthers host Murray State Racers in a Week 3 NCAAF matchup; both teams are winless at 0-2, but Georgia State is favored heavily given their FBS status versus FCS Murray State.

Key Factors to Consider

• Georgia State started 0-2 with large defeats (notably 7-63 to Ole Miss), showcasing offensive and defensive struggles but against stronger FBS opponents. Murray State is also 0-2 and winless in many recent games (0-35 SU), indicating severe competitive challenges.
• No recent head-to-head data available; this is likely a mismatch given Georgia State’s FBS status and Murray State’s long-term struggles.
• No current significant injury reports for either team, so lineups expected to be near full strength.
• Game played at home for Georgia State in Atlanta, with warm weather and no rain expected, home-field advantage is in favor of the Panthers.
• Georgia State is highly motivated to get their first win against an FCS opponent, whereas Murray State is under pressure to avoid another loss in a tough 2025 season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -4500, away: +1600	Georgia State Panthers	★★★★★ 90%
Spread	home: -28.5 -110, away: +28.5 -110	Georgia State Panthers -28.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	over: 63.5 -110, under: 63.5 -110	Under 63.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Georgia State Panthers -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 63.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 63.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Georgia State Panthers dominant win expected; they cover the heavy spread and the game has moderately high total points but under 64 points seems more likely due to Georgia State’s recent offensive woes.

Predicted Score: Georgia State Panthers 35 – Murray State Racers 7