Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Game Overview
UFC women's Bantamweight prelim fight between undefeated rising prospect Alice Pereira (5-0) and experienced contender Montserrat Rendon (6-1). Pereira is debuting in UFC showcasing high finishing rate, while Rendon is a seasoned competitor with one loss.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alice Pereira holds a perfect 5-0 record with a high KO finish rate (66.7%), showing aggressive striking and finishing ability. Montserrat Rendon is 6-1, more experienced but with a lower finish rate, often going to decision.
- No prior head-to-head meetings between Pereira and Rendon, making styles and form decisive.
- No known injuries reported for either fighter, both appear fully fit for the matchup.
- Fight is at UFC prelims in San Antonio, neutral venue favoring neither. Pereira is making UFC debut which may add motivation.
- Pereira highly motivated to impress in UFC debut, while Rendon aims to maintain rank and prove superiority over newcomer.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alice Pereira -148, Montserrat Rendon +124 | Alice Pereira | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Alice Pereira -3.5 +150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5 -205 | Montserrat Rendon +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -280, Under 2.5 +210 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alice Pereira -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 120% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alice Pereira to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by 2nd round KO