Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Event – Noche UFC 3 (venue not explicitly stated in sources)
Game Overview
This UFC prelims Bantamweight bout features Alice Pereira making her UFC promotional debut against Montserrat Rendon. Pereira enters undefeated at 6-0, while Rendon carries a strong 6-1 record. Both fighters are relatively new to the UFC scene, with Pereira being the youngest female fighter in UFC history. The fight poses a competitive matchup between a young rising prospect and an experienced contender.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alice Pereira is undefeated with 6 wins and no losses, showing strong striking skills and aggressive style. Montserrat Rendon holds a 6-1 record, demonstrating resilience and experience with one loss and several wins against solid competition.
- No prior head-to-head fights between Alice Pereira and Montserrat Rendon are recorded, making this a fresh matchup without historical overlap.
- No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the match according to available data.
- As Pereia's UFC debut and being the youngest female in UFC history, external expectations and pressure could affect performance. The fight is part of prelims at the Noche UFC 3 event.
- Pereira has high motivation to establish herself strongly in UFC with an undefeated record. Rendon motivated to prove experience and secure a win to climb rankings further.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alice Pereira: -148, Montserrat Rendon: 124 | Alice Pereira | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Alice Pereira -3.5: 150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5: -205 | Alice Pereira to cover -3.5 spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -280, Under 2.5 rounds: 210 | Under 2.5 rounds – likely a shorter fight | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alice Pereira -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 102% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 102% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alice Pereira is favored to win based on her undefeated record, younger age, and more aggressive style, with a close but clear edge over Montserrat Rendon in this prelim Bantamweight bout.
Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds