Match Analysis: Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Rio, Brazil

Game Overview

Deiveson Figueiredo and Montel Jackson face off in a bantamweight bout at UFC Rio. Jackson enters as the betting favorite based on recent superior form and statistical advantages. Figueiredo, although known for finishing ability, is viewed as the underdog due to Jackson’s steady performances and favorable recent outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montel Jackson has displayed consistent form with unanimous decision wins and good durability. Figueiredo has power and finishing capability but has shown vulnerability recently and fewer finishes in his last fights.
• No previous fights between Figueiredo and Jackson; thus, no direct historical comparison exists, increasing the importance of recent form and style matchups.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
• The fight takes place in Brazil, potentially favoring Figueiredo with home crowd advantage, but Jackson’s mental readiness and current momentum may offset this.
• Jackson appears highly motivated to solidify his rising status in the bantamweight division, whereas Figueiredo aims to return to winning form after setbacks, which could impact strategy and risk-taking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Deiveson Figueiredo: +235, Montel Jackson: -290	Montel Jackson	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Deiveson Figueiredo +3.5: -110, Montel Jackson -3.5: -120	Montel Jackson -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -195, Under 2.5: +150	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Montel Jackson -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 50%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montel Jackson to win via unanimous decision

Predicted Score: Montel Jackson wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds