Match Analysis: Ewelina Woźniak vs Monika Kučinič – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland
Game Overview
Ewelina Woźniak faces Monika Kučinič in a strawweight MMA bout at KSW 109. Woźniak is known for aggressive striking and grappling, likely to control the fight pace early. Kučinič relies on strategic movement and resilience, which could come into play if the fight goes the distance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Woźniak shows superior recent form with dominant early-round performances. Kučinič's recent odds and form suggest she is less favored but remains tactically sound with strong comeback capability.
- No publicly available direct head-to-head data; however, Woźniak's experience and past KSW performances position her as the more formidable competitor historically.
- No significant recent injuries reported for either fighter, both expected to enter bout at full health.
- Fight location in Warsaw favors Woźniak, providing possible home crowd advantage and motivation.
- Woźniak appears motivated to capitalize on her favored status in front of home fans and maintain winning momentum. Kučinič motivated to cause an upset with tactical game plan.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Woźniak -400, Kučinič +275 | Ewelina Woźniak | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Woźniak -1.5 rounds at -150 | Woźniak -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Ewelina Woźniak to win
Predicted Score: Ewelina Woźniak wins by decision in 3 rounds