Match Analysis: Mohsen Mohammadseifi vs Mohammad Fahmi – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
Lightweight Tournament Semifinal between Mohsen Mohammadseifi, the 2024 PFL MENA Lightweight Champion with an 8-2 record, and undefeated Muhammad Fahmi (5-0), taking place at the PFL MENA 2025 Semifinals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mohsen Mohammadseifi has extensive pro experience (8-2) with proven success in PFL MENA, including a 3-0 run in 2024 showing consistent form. Fahmi remains undefeated at 5-0 but with fewer fights and less top-level experience.
- No prior direct matchups between the two fighters, making this a fresh tactical contest based on stylistic matchup and recent performances.
- No reported injuries or issues at weigh-ins for either fighter. Both came in at or near lightweight limit without difficulties.
- Fight takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, with neutral location dynamics. No clear home advantage but strong fan interest for regional fighters. Broadcast via Starzplay and PFL apps.
- Mohammadseifi aims to reclaim his title stronghold and progress to the finals, motivated by championship pedigree and experience. Fahmi carries the momentum of an undefeated streak and seeks to solidify his standing on a bigger stage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mohsen Mohammadseifi: -460, Mohammad Fahmi: +360 | Mohsen Mohammadseifi | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Mohsen Mohammadseifi -1.5: -150, Mohammad Fahmi +1.5: +130 | Mohsen Mohammadseifi -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mohsen Mohammadseifi -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohsen Mohammadseifi at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mohsen Mohammadseifi to win by decision
Predicted Score: Mohsen Mohammadseifi wins by unanimous decision after controlling the bout with strategic striking and grappling, limiting early finish opportunities.