Match Analysis: David Dvorak vs Mohammed Walid – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 9:00 AM UTC
- Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany
Game Overview
Flyweight bout at Oktagon MMA 75 between UFC veteran David Dvorak and rising contender Mohammed Walid over 3 rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
- David Dvorak holds a more extensive and higher-level record (20-6-0), showing UFC experience, while Mohammed Walid is an undefeated (11-0-0) regional top flyweight with momentum. Dvorak has faced tougher competition overall.
- No recorded head-to-head matchups exist between Dvorak and Walid.
- No reports of injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the bout.
- Fight is scheduled in a neutral venue in Germany, minimizing travel disruption for both fighters. Event part of prominent Oktagon MMA card.
- Walid is motivated as the top local flyweight prospect looking to make a statement; Dvorak aims to reaffirm his UFC-caliber credentials and secure another title shot.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -600 / +350 | David Dvorak | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Dvorak -1.5 rounds (-140) / Walid +1.5 rounds (+120) | Dvorak -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds (-110) / Under 2.5 rounds (-110) | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | David Dvorak -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: David Dvorak at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
David Dvorak to win by decision
Predicted Score: David Dvorak wins via unanimous decision after full 3 rounds