Alfie Middlemiss vs. Mohammed Wako Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alfie Middlemiss vs Mohammed Wako – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: AO Arena, Manchester, Lancashire

Game Overview

A four-round featherweight boxing bout between undefeated Alfie Middlemiss and Mohammed Wako, who has struggled with a 1-5 record. The fight features two orthodox stance fighters and no belts on the line. Middlemiss, from Manchester, carries a clean 3-0 record into this fight, while Wako, from York and originally Ethiopia, is aiming to reverse his fortunes after multiple losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alfie Middlemiss is undefeated (3-0) with all wins, showing strong early potential though his previous opponents were not highly ranked. Mohammed Wako has a struggling record of 1 win and 5 losses, indicating challenges in competitive performance at this level.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between Alfie Middlemiss and Mohammed Wako have been recorded.
  • No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter prior to this match.
  • The fight is held in Middlemiss's hometown (Manchester), possibly favoring him with home crowd support. The event is streamed by DAZN, indicating good media coverage and pressure to perform, especially on Middlemiss.
  • Middlemiss is motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and build his reputation, while Wako is driven by the need to redeem himself after a poor fight history.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alfie Middlemiss: -6000, Mohammed Wako: 1800 Alfie Middlemiss to win ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Alfie Middlemiss: -4.5 rounds, Mohammed Wako: +4.5 rounds Alfie Middlemiss to win by a comfortable margin ★★★★☆ 88%
Over/under Over 3.5 rounds: -150, Under 3.5 rounds: +120 Under 3.5 rounds, predicting a relatively quick finish ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alfie Middlemiss -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alfie Middlemiss at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alfie Middlemiss is strongly favored to win this match given his undefeated record, home advantage, and opponent's poor fight record.

Predicted Score: Alfie Middlemiss wins by unanimous decision or stoppage within 4 rounds


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