Match Analysis: Mohsen Mohammadseifi vs Mohammad Fahmi – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
The match is a Lightweight division semifinal fight in the 2025 PFL MENA tournament featuring Mohsen Mohammadseifi, the 2024 PFL MENA Lightweight Champion with a record of 8-2 from Iran, against the undefeated Iraqi fighter Mohammad Fahmi, who holds a 5-0 record. The bout is part of the PFL MENA Semifinals taking place at The Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mohsen Mohammadseifi has extensive experience with 8 wins and 2 losses, holding a prior championship title in the PFL MENA Lightweight division. Conversely, Mohammad Fahmi is undefeated with a 5-0 record, indicating rising momentum and confidence. Mohammadseifi’s experience in high-pressure matches contrasts with Fahmi’s unbeaten but shorter professional tenure.
- This appears to be the first recorded professional encounter between the two fighters, with no previous head-to-head statistics available.
- No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the match; both made weight successfully and seem in typical pre-fight condition.
- The fight occurs at a neutral venue in Riyadh during the PFL MENA 2025 semifinals, under standard tournament conditions. Both fighters come from Middle Eastern backgrounds, potentially reducing travel fatigue or acclimatization issues.
- Mohsen Mohammadseifi aims to reclaim his spot as PFL MENA Lightweight champion, motivated by previous success. Mohammad Fahmi seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and make a breakthrough by advancing to the finals, highlighting strong incentive for both.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mohsen Mohammadseifi: -460, Mohammad Fahmi: 360 | Mohsen Mohammadseifi to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Mohsen Mohammadseifi: -3.5, Mohammad Fahmi: +3.5 | Mohsen Mohammadseifi -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: 1.85, under: 1.95 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mohsen Mohammadseifi -9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohsen Mohammadseifi at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mohsen Mohammadseifi is favored to win due to his superior experience and championship pedigree, though Mohammad Fahmi's undefeated record and momentum could enable an upset. The prediction leans towards Mohammadseifi with an expectation of a tactical and competitive bout.
Predicted Score: Mohsen Mohammadseifi wins by decision or late stoppage in Round 3