Match Analysis: Mohammad Alaqraa vs Ayman Galal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
Mohammad Alaqraa (8-1) faces Ayman Galal (4-1, 2 NC) in the PFL MENA Welterweight Semifinal. Alaqraa is a 2024 PFL MENA Welterweight Finalist with a strong record and experience advantage. Both fighters made weight successfully, competing in a main event semifinal fight with high stakes for PFL MENA Finals qualification.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mohammad Alaqraa has an 8-1 record with experience in PFL Finals last year, showing consistent form and finishing ability. Ayman Galal holds a 4-1 record with 2 no contests and less fight experience, indicating less proven consistency at this level.
- No previous head-to-head encounters recorded between the fighters, implying analysis must rely on individual styles and recent form.
- No current injury reports or weight issues for either fighter; both made official weigh-in limits safely a day before the fight.
- Fight takes place at The Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia — neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters equally motivated by the tournament semifinal stakes and significant prize money.
- Alaqraa seeks to capitalize on prior Finals experience to advance and pursue a lucrative six-figure prize, while Galal looks to prove himself against an established opponent and make a breakthrough in the PFL MENA scene.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Mohammad Alaqraa: -2000, Ayman Galal: +1040 | Mohammad Alaqraa | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | -1.5 Alaqraa -130 | Mohammad Alaqraa -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Under 2.5 rounds -115 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Mohammad Alaqraa -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohammad Alaqraa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mohammad Alaqraa to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Mohammad Alaqraa wins by 2nd round TKO