Endrit Brajshori and Jan Malach face off in an MMA match on May 17, 2025. Brajshori, with odds of -155, is favored over Malach at +115. The match is part of OKTAGON 71: Poppeck vs. Langer. There is no history of head-to-head matches between them.
Key Factors to Consider
Limited information on recent performance. Brajshori is favored, suggesting a stronger perceived performance.
No previous matches between the two fighters.
No reported injuries.
Standard conditions expected.
Both fighters equally motivated to win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Endrit Brajshori: -155, Jan Malach: +115
Endrit Brajshori
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Endrit Brajshori -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Endrit Brajshori is predicted to win based on the odds.
Shem Rock returns to the octagon after nearly a year out due to opponents pulling out and injury, now facing Attila Korkmaz on short notice at Oktagon 71. Initially scheduled to face higher-ranked opponents, changes due to a car accident and visa issues brought Korkmaz, ranked #6 Lightweight, into the matchup. This catchweight bout at 73kg (161 lbs) is highly anticipated, with the winner likely moving into the top 5 of the division.
Key Factors to Consider
Shem Rock has shown strong fighting skills but has been inactive for almost a year, which can affect timing and performance. Attila Korkmaz, a seasoned former Bellator fighter, is coming off a recent September loss but has been eager to fight and ready on short notice, suggesting good physical and mental preparedness.
There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Shem Rock and Attila Korkmaz, making this their first encounter.
Shem Rock had a prior injury that contributed to his nearly year-long hiatus. There are no current reported injuries for either fighter leading into this match.
The short-notice nature of Korkmaz stepping in last minute could impact his preparation, but his readiness and experience may offset that. The bout being at catchweight and the change in opponents may also influence fight strategies.
Both fighters have strong motivation; Shem Rock to make a successful return after a long layoff and disrupted fight schedule, and Korkmaz to rebound from a recent loss and capitalize on the opportunity to climb back in the rankings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Shem Rock: -300, Attila Korkmaz: 200
Shem Rock to win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Shem Rock -1.5 rounds: -110, Attila Korkmaz +1.5 rounds: -110
Shem Rock by more than 1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Shem Rock -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Shem Rock at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Shem Rock is favored to win due to his superior ranking and skill set despite inactivity, supported by Korkmaz's readiness to fight but recent defeat. The fight may go to the judges but Rock’s edge in technical grappling and striking could secure a decision victory.
Predicted Score: Shem Rock wins by unanimous decision after 3 competitive rounds
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This match is a significant challenge for Shem Rock, who faces the experienced Attila Korkmaz on short notice. Korkmaz is stepping in after Rock's original opponents withdrew due to various reasons.
Key Factors to Consider
Shem Rock is a rising star with a strong background, but he faces a tough test against Korkmaz, who has experience from Bellator. Korkmaz is known for being ready to fight at any time.
There is no prior head-to-head data between these two fighters.
Shem Rock has experienced a layoff due to injuries, while no recent injuries are reported for Korkmaz.
The fight is taking place in Munich, Germany, and the short-notice nature may affect both fighters' preparation.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Rock seeking a statement win and Korkmaz looking to regain momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the short notice and Korkmaz's experience, this is a closely contested match. However, Rock's youth and aggression might give him an edge.
Predicted Score: Shem Rock wins by decision or late stoppage
The fight between Arijan Topallaj and Denis Frimpong is a highly anticipated lightweight bout scheduled for May 17, 2025, at OKTAGON MMA 71 in München. This match carries extra intensity due to a recent heated rivalry sparked by a cageside altercation and previous fight cancellations. Both fighters bring strong finishing ability and momentum, making this a key contest on the main card in the catchweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
Arijan Topallaj holds a near-perfect record with 7 wins all by first-round finishes, showcasing exceptional knockout power and finishing skill, especially notable for his rapid victories over fighters like Paulus and Ryšavý. Denis Frimpong, the aggressive Irish contender, has demonstrated steady dominance with recent wins inside OKTAGON against quality opponents including Robin Frank, whose first career loss was handed by Frimpong. Both fighters are in strong form entering this bout.
This will be the first official fight between Arijan Topallaj and Denis Frimpong. However, tensions have been rising due to a canceled bout earlier in the year caused by Topallaj's injury and a physical confrontation at a previous event, adding an intense psychological and emotional edge to this matchup.
No current injury concerns have been reported for either fighter ahead of this match, with Topallaj fully recovered from his previous injury that caused the fight delay.
The fight is hosted in München, Germany, giving a slight home advantage ambiance to German fighter Topallaj. The bout is part of a major OKTAGON MMA event and has significant viewer attention, possibly increasing pressure and motivation for both fighters. The pre-fight animosity and provocations also heighten the stakes.
Both fighters are highly motivated — Topallaj aims to maintain his flawless finishing streak and assert dominance in the lightweight division, while Frimpong is driven to prove himself by avenging delays and confrontations, with his recent wins fuelling his confidence and desire to silence his opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arijan Topallaj: -115, Denis Frimpong: -125
Denis Frimpong
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Arijan Topallaj: +1.5, Denis Frimpong: -1.5
Denis Frimpong -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110
Over 1.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Denis Frimpong -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Denis Frimpong at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Topallaj's exceptional finishing rate and home advantage tempered by Frimpong’s recent dominant performances and fighting spirit, the fight is expected to be closely contested. However, Topallaj's power and early aggression give him a slight edge for a first-round finish. Frimpong remains a strong threat to push the fight beyond early rounds or to decision if he withstands initial pressure.
Predicted Score: Fight to last 2 rounds with Frimpong edging a decision or Topallaj winning by early stoppage if he lands decisive strikes in round 1
This upcoming MMA fight between Jakub Dohnal and Wanderley Junior is part of the OKTAGON MMA series, taking place in the Featherweight division. The match is scheduled for May 17, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
Detailed performance metrics for both fighters are not available, but their past performances will be crucial in determining the outcome.
No head-to-head history between the fighters is provided.
No injury reports are available for either fighter.
External factors such as crowd support could influence the fight, but venue specifics are not provided.
Both fighters are likely motivated to win, but specific motivational factors are not detailed.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Jakub Dohnal: +123, Wanderley Junior: -153
Wanderley Junior
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Wanderley Junior -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Wanderley Junior at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the odds, Wanderley Junior is favored to win.
UFC 315 features a welterweight championship main event between Belal Muhammad (24-3, 5 KO, 1 SUB) and Jack Della Maddalena (17-2, 12 KO, 2 SUB). Muhammad is defending his title for the first time, riding an 11-fight win streak, and is known for his relentless pressure, high fight IQ, and strong cardio. Maddalena, the dark horse, is on a 17-fight win streak, with 12 KOs, and is a highly accurate, high-output striker capable of finishing fights early. Both fighters are evenly matched physically (same height, 1 inch reach difference). Muhammad's grappling and endurance could be decisive in a five-round fight, while Maddalena's striking and knockout power make him a threat at any moment.
Key Factors to Consider
Muhammad has a higher fight IQ, superior cardio, and relentless pressure, with significant grappling skills. Maddalena excels in striking accuracy and knockout power, but is weaker on the ground.
First meeting between the two. Muhammad's 11-fight win streak vs. Maddalena's 17-fight streak.
No major injuries reported ahead of the fight.
Low ticket sales reported, but not expected to affect in-ring performance. Fight held in Canada, a neutral venue.
Muhammad aims to solidify his legacy with a first title defense. Maddalena seeks to claim the belt and announce himself as the new face of the division.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Belal Muhammad: -180, Jack Della Maddalena: 150
Belal Muhammad
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Belal Muhammad: -5.5 120, Jack Della Maddalena: 5.5 -165
Belal Muhammad covers -5.5 points (win by decision or more than 1 round margin)
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 4.5 -200, Under: 4.5 154
Over (fight goes the distance or deep into championship rounds)
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Belal Muhammad -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 4.5 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Belal Muhammad is favored due to his elite cardio, grappling, and proven five-round ability, making him a tough matchup for Maddalena. However, Maddalena's knockout power and accuracy pose a significant upset risk. The fight is expected to be competitive, with a slight edge to Muhammad by decision or late stoppage if his pressure and wrestling prevail.
Predicted Score: Belal Muhammad by Unanimous Decision (49-46, 49-46, 48-47)
The highly anticipated UFC 315 co-main event features Valentina Shevchenko defending her women's flyweight title against undefeated challenger Manon Fiorot. Shevchenko is making her first title defense in her second reign after regaining the belt from Alexa Grasso, while Fiorot returns from a year-long hiatus holding a perfect UFC record of 7-0. The fight is expected to be a five-round battle showcasing elite striking, grappling, and championship-level determination.
Key Factors to Consider
Shevchenko brings extensive championship experience with a UFC record of 13-3-1 and recent success avenging her loss to Grasso. Fiorot, on the other hand, is an undefeated rising star known for her strong striking and tactical approach, coming off a unanimous decision win after her hiatus.
They have not fought before, making this a fresh matchup with contrasting styles—Shevchenko’s seasoned, precise striking and grappling versus Fiorot’s aggressive, unbeaten momentum and power.
No significant injuries reported for either fighter as of the latest information, indicating both are likely to compete at full strength.
The fight takes place at the Bell Centre in Montreal, which is neutral ground with no clear home advantage. There is notable psychological tension, with Shevchenko feeling disrespected by Fiorot’s pre-fight comments, adding motivation for Shevchenko.
Shevchenko is motivated to solidify her legacy with a successful title defense, while Fiorot aims to maintain her perfect UFC record and claim the flyweight crown, driving a high-stakes competitive atmosphere.
Manon Fiorot to win by more than 5.5 points (rounds equivalent)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over: 4.5 -315, Under: 4.5 230
Under 4.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Manon Fiorot -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 4.5 82%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The prediction leans slightly towards Manon Fiorot securing a victory by decision if she can maintain control and pace, while Shevchenko could win by KO/TKO utilizing her precision striking and experience. The fight is expected to be closely contested but Fiorot’s momentum and odds favor her edging this matchup.
Predicted Score: Manon Fiorot wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds
Location: UFC 315 Venue (Exact location not specified)
Game Overview
The upcoming MMA bout features veteran José Aldo (32-9) facing rising contender Aiemann Zahabi (12-2) at UFC 315. Aldo brings extensive experience and a high knockout rate, while Zahabi is younger and on an upward trajectory. The fight is set to be a bantamweight clash testing Aldo's resilience against Zahabi's aggressive style.
Key Factors to Consider
José Aldo has a solid record of 32 wins with 17 by knockout, and has recently shown some inconsistency with two losses and three wins in his last five fights. Aldo's fights average around 3.4 rounds. Zahabi holds a strong 12-2 record with six KOs, maintaining a good finishing rate and averaging 2.5 rounds in recent fights, indicating aggressive but slightly shorter fights.
This fight is the first recorded face-off between Aldo and Zahabi, with no prior direct contests to analyze for tactical matchups.
No specific injury reports for either fighter have been disclosed leading up to the fight.
The fight takes place at UFC 315, likely giving Aldo some advantage due to his veteran status and experience with large events. Fight timing and venue conditions appear standard with no unusual external factors.
Aldo, at age 38, looks to maintain relevance in the bantamweight division after recent mixed outcomes, while Zahabi, at 37, aims to capitalize on momentum and a rising trajectory with a win over a legend.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
José Aldo: -192, Aiemann Zahabi: 160
José Aldo to win
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
José Aldo (-3.5): 125, Aiemann Zahabi (+3.5): -175
José Aldo to beat the spread (-3.5 rounds)
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -410, Under 2.5 rounds: 290
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 75%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
José Aldo -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: José Aldo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Aldo's vast experience, power, and ability to endure longer fights, combined with Zahabi's aggressive style and finishing capability, this fight leans slightly in favor of Aldo due to his higher skill ceiling and previous elite competition. A decision or late-round finish for Aldo is probable, though Zahabi’s youth and form make an upset plausible.
Predicted Score: José Aldo wins by unanimous decision after 3 to 4 rounds
The UFC 315 women’s flyweight bout between former champion Alexa Grasso and rising contender Natalia Silva is a high-stakes matchup. Grasso, a skilled boxer with submission prowess, aims to bounce back from a recent loss to Valentina Shevchenko to reclaim top contender status. Silva, undefeated in the UFC with a 6-0 streak, relies on athleticism, southpaw long-range striking, and a high pace, seeking to solidify her claim for a title shot. The fight is expected to showcase contrasting styles—Grasso's pressure and hand striking versus Silva's kicks and range control.
Key Factors to Consider
Alexa Grasso has a record of 16-4-1 and a history of championship experience including a previous title win over Shevchenko, though she recently suffered a decisive loss to Shevchenko. Natalia Silva holds an 18-5-1 record and has been unbeaten in the UFC (6-0), including a dominant win over former champion Jessica Andrade, showing strong momentum and confidence.
No prior head-to-head matches exist between Grasso and Silva, making this fight a fresh tactical battle between a former champion and a surging contender.
No notable injuries reported for either fighter leading up to this match.
The fight takes place at the Bell Centre in Montreal, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters are highly motivated, with Silva chasing a title shot and Grasso seeking to regain top contender status.
Natalia Silva is highly motivated, viewing this fight as critical for a title shot opportunity. Alexa Grasso is equally determined to rebound from a previous loss and reestablish herself as a top-tier UFC flyweight contender.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alexa Grasso: +205, Natalia Silva: -250
Natalia Silva
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Alexa Grasso +3.5: -140, Natalia Silva -3.5: +100
Natalia Silva -3.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -475, Under 2.5 rounds: +325
Over 2.5 rounds
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Natalia Silva -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -18%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Natalia Silva at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Natalia Silva is favored to win based on current UFC performance momentum, undefeated streak, and recent form, with a probability edge due to range control and athleticism. Alexa Grasso’s experience and striking power keep the fight highly competitive, but Silva’s pace and recent dominance make her the likely victor.
Predicted Score: Natalia Silva wins by unanimous decision after a hard-fought 3-round contest
The UFC 315 Lightweight bout pits Benoit Saint-Denis against Kyle Prepolec. Saint-Denis, ranked #13, was originally set to fight Joel Alvarez but now faces Prepolec, a late replacement with a record of 18-8, stepping in on short notice. Saint-Denis is eager to compete on home soil in Quebec after a recent hiatus since September last year. Prepolec is making a UFC comeback after a strong regional winning streak and a new four-fight UFC deal. Both fighters bring contrasting momentum: Saint-Denis as a highly ranked contender with a solid takedown game, and Prepolec as a motivated veteran with something to prove after returning from release and pandemic delays.
Key Factors to Consider
Saint-Denis has a record of 13-3 with a takedown accuracy of 37% and takedown defense of 68%, showing a strong grappling base. Prepolec holds an 18-8 record with recent victories on the regional circuit, riding a three-fight win streak, indicating good form despite UFC layoff.
No prior encounters between Benoit Saint-Denis and Kyle Prepolec have been reported, making this their first matchup.
No injuries have been publicly reported for either fighter going into the bout, though Prepolec accepted the fight on 5 days' notice which could affect preparation.
Saint-Denis fights at home in Quebec, a significant motivational factor referencing the legacy of local champions. Prepolec deals with short notice acceptance but has signed a four-fight UFC contract, signaling strong motivation. The bout is a late replacement fight due to Alvarez's withdrawal. COVID-19 pandemic impacted Prepolec’s fighting schedule previously.
Saint-Denis is highly motivated to not delay his first fight of 2025 and to perform well on home turf. Prepolec is equally motivated to prove himself after a UFC release and is capitalizing on this UFC return opportunity.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Benoit Saint-Denis -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.5 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the odds, form, and home advantage, Benoit Saint-Denis is heavily favored to win by decision or late finish based on his grappling advantage and higher UFC rank. Prepolec’s momentum and experience could make it competitive, but short notice and less UFC exposure weigh against him.
Predicted Score: Saint-Denis wins by decision or stoppage in round 2 or 3