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Alexei Pergande vs. Mike Bardsley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexei Pergande vs Mike Bardsley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-12
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Nashville Municipal Auditorium, Nashville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

This PFL prelims bout features undefeated Alexei Pergande (5-0) vs. Mike Bardsley (5-1) in the featherweight division. The fight is part of the 2025 PFL World Tournament 5: Semifinals event. Pergande is a rising local talent, while Bardsley brings a strong but less formidable record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alexei Pergande is undefeated at 5-0, showing strong early-career momentum and finishing ability. Mike Bardsley is 5-1, with his only loss likely coming against quality opposition. Pergande has a noticeable height and reach advantage (183 cm vs. 170 cm for Bardsley).
  • No previous match history between Pergande and Bardsley.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter as of fight week.
  • Pergande is fighting close to home (Tennessee), which may provide a slight edge in crowd support. The bout is a prelim, so high stakes for both fighters to impress.
  • High motivation for both fighters, but especially for Pergande as an undefeated local prospect seeking to boost his profile in PFL.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alexei Pergande: -701, Mike Bardsley: 501 Alexei Pergande ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexei Pergande 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alexei Pergande at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexei Pergande is favored to win based on undefeated record, physical advantages, and home crowd presence. Bardsley is an underdog with upset potential, but Pergande is the more likely victor.

Predicted Score: Pergande by unanimous decision or late-round finish (most likely: Pergande by decision, confidence >80%)


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Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O'Malley Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Merab Dvalishvili vs Sean O'Malley – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

The highly anticipated rematch between Merab Dvalishvili and Sean O'Malley at UFC 316 is set to take place on June 7, 2025. Dvalishvili, the reigning UFC bantamweight champion, looks to defend his title against O'Malley in a bout that promises intense action and strategic fighting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Merab Dvalishvili has been performing well, with a strong grappling game that allowed him to dominate O'Malley in their first encounter. O'Malley, known for his striking skills, seeks to adjust his strategy to challenge Dvalishvili's grappling prowess.
  • Dvalishvili won the first fight via a unanimous decision, showcasing his superior grappling and control. O'Malley will aim to correct past mistakes and capitalize on any potential weaknesses in Dvalishvili's game.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter, which should ensure a full-strength performance from both.
  • The bout takes place in a neutral venue, with no home advantage for either fighter. However, Dvalishvili's confidence from their previous encounter could play a psychological role.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Dvalishvili seeking to solidify his title reign and O'Malley looking for redemption and a chance to become the new champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Merab Dvalishvili: -285, Sean O'Malley: 230 Merab Dvalishvili ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Merab Dvalishvili: -5.5 100, Sean O'Malley: 5.5 -135 Sean O'Malley +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 4.5 -280, Under: 4.5 210 Under 4.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Merab Dvalishvili -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Merab Dvalishvili is favored to win, given his past performance and grappling skills.

Predicted Score: Merab Dvalishvili by Unanimous Decision or Submission


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Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Julianna Pena vs Kayla Harrison – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-08
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified, but UFC 316 is in Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

UFC women's bantamweight champion Julianna Peña faces challenger Kayla Harrison at UFC 316. Peña enters as a significant underdog, with odds of 6-to-1. Despite being champion, Peña has a history of pulling off upsets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Julianna Peña has shown resilience in her career, often overcoming adversity. Kayla Harrison is a highly skilled grappler but relatively untested at the highest level.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Peña's underdog status might motivate her, while Harrison faces pressure as the favorite.
  • Peña feels disrespected by her underdog status, which could enhance her motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Julianna Peña: 525, Kayla Harrison: -750 Kayla Harrison ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Julianna Peña: +5.5 @ 215, Kayla Harrison: -5.5 @ -310 Julianna Peña +5.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 4.5 @ 150, Under 4.5 @ -195 Under 4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kayla Harrison -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Kayla Harrison is favored to win, but Julianna Peña's history of upsets and her motivational edge make her a dangerous opponent.

Predicted Score: Likely a decision or early stoppage in favor of Kayla Harrison.


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Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vicente Luque vs Kevin Holland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Newark, NJ

Game Overview

Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland at UFC 316 promises a high-energy brawl between two fighters known for their aggressive styles. Luque brings tight combinations and submission skills, while Holland offers rangy kickboxing and opportunistic grappling.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kevin Holland has had a strong start in 2025, rebounding from a loss to defeat Gunnar Nelson. Vicente Luque has a reputation for taking punishment, but his ability to do so has been noted as fading.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters, making past matchups irrelevant.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place in Newark, NJ, which could favor neither fighter specifically.
  • Holland is motivated after finally securing the fight he wanted, while Luque seeks to regain his form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -270 for Kevin Holland, +220 for Vicente Luque Kevin Holland ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -3.5 for Kevin Holland at -165, +3.5 for Vicente Luque at +120 Kevin Holland ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds at -175, Under 1.5 rounds at +135 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kevin Holland -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Holland is favored to win due to his recent performance and Luque’s decline in ability to absorb punishment.

Predicted Score: Kevin Holland via unanimous decision


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Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joseph Pyfer Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kelvin Gastelum vs Joseph Pyfer – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark

Game Overview

This matchup at UFC 316 features Kelvin Gastelum, a seasoned UFC middleweight, facing off against Joe Pyfer, a rising contender. Pyfer is favored due to his youth and recent form, while Gastelum is returning after a period of inactivity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joe Pyfer is in peak form, showcasing strong striking skills and a significant athletic advantage. Kelvin Gastelum, though experienced, has been less active and may be past his prime.
  • This is the first official bout between the two, though they were previously scheduled to fight in March before Pyfer fell ill.
  • Kelvin Gastelum has been dealing with injuries that led to his recent inactivity. Joe Pyfer's last-minute illness from the previous scheduled bout does not appear to be impacting him currently.
  • The fight is part of the UFC 316 main card, which may add pressure but also provides a significant stage for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Pyfer viewing this as a 'layup' opportunity and Gastelum seeking redemption after a period of inactivity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joseph Pyfer: -380, Kelvin Gastelum: 300 Joseph Pyfer ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Joseph Pyfer: -3.5 -170, Kelvin Gastelum: 3.5 125 Joseph Pyfer ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -130, Under: 2.5 100 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joseph Pyfer -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Joe Pyfer is likely to win by TKO/KO in the early rounds, given his striking prowess and physical advantages.

Predicted Score: Joe Pyfer wins by TKO/KO in Round 1 or 2.


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Patchy Mix vs. Mario Bautista Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patchy Mix vs Mario Bautista – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

The bantamweight match between Mario Bautista and Patchy Mix at UFC 316 is expected to be highly competitive. Bautista, currently ranked No. 12 in the UFC bantamweight division, is on a seven-fight winning streak, while Mix, the former Bellator champion, makes his UFC debut with an impressive record of 20-1.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mario Bautista has a strong record with 15-2, known for his high-volume striking and grappling skills. Patchy Mix boasts a 20-1 record with exceptional grappling skills and a significant reach advantage.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The crowd and the venue could favor Patchy Mix as he makes his UFC debut, but Bautista's experience in the UFC might offset this.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Bautista aiming to maintain his top 10 ranking and Mix seeking a successful UFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mario Bautista: 154, Patchy Mix: -185 Patchy Mix ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Mario Bautista: 3.5 -135, Patchy Mix: -3.5 100 Mario Bautista +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -188, Under: 2.5 145 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Patchy Mix -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Patchy Mix at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mario Bautista is favored to win due to his experience and recent form, but Patchy Mix's grappling skills and reach advantage make him a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Patchy Mix


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Bruno Silva vs. Joshua Van Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bruno Silva vs Joshua Van – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 1:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in the search results

Game Overview

This flyweight bout between Bruno Silva and Joshua Van at UFC 316 promises to be an action-packed fight. Joshua Van is on a busy schedule, having his eighth fight in two years, while Bruno Silva will be looking to capitalize on his aggressive style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joshua Van has been highly active, which might affect his performance due to potential fatigue. Bruno Silva, known for his aggressive style, could capitalize on this.
  • No previous head-to-head matches found in the search results.
  • No injury information is available in the search results.
  • The speed and aggression of both fighters will play significant roles. Van's busy schedule could be a factor.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Van's experience with multiple recent fights might give him an edge in managing his pace.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bruno Silva: 470, Joshua Van: -650 Joshua Van ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Bruno Silva: 3.5 175, Joshua Van: -3.5 -245 Bruno Silva +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -154, Under: 2.5 120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joshua Van -25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the odds, Joshua Van is favored to win, but Bruno Silva's aggressive style could make this a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: This fight is expected to be a close, action-heavy bout with potential for a late stoppage or decision. Given the odds, a Van win is predicted, but Silva's aggressive style makes this competitive.


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Brendson Ribeiro vs. Azamat Murzakanov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brendson Ribeiro vs Azamat Murzakanov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC 316 fight between Azamat Murzakanov and Brendson Ribeiro is highly anticipated, with Murzakanov favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong striking performance. Ribeiro's grappling skills pose a threat, but Murzakanov's overall skillset makes him a strong contender.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Murzakanov's 14-0 record and recent KO victory over Alonzo Menifield highlight his dominance. Ribeiro's grappling skills and submission win over Diyar Nurgozhay showcase his potential.
  • No previous head-to-head match.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Murzakanov's experience and undefeated status could influence the fight's dynamics.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ribeiro seeking an upset and Murzakanov aiming to maintain his undefeated record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Azamat Murzakanov: -625, Brendson Ribeiro: +455 Azamat Murzakanov ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Azamat Murzakanov: -3.5 -475, Brendson Ribeiro: +3.5 +300 Brendson Ribeiro +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 1.5 +124, Under: 1.5 -160 Under 1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Azamat Murzakanov -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Azamat Murzakanov is likely to win due to his superior striking and undefeated record.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish


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Khaos Williams vs. Andreas Gustafsson Berg Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson Berg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 7, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, United States

Game Overview

Khaos Williams and Andreas Gustafsson face off in a welterweight bout at UFC 316. Williams, known for his explosive power, is favored over Gustafsson, who is making his UFC debut after a successful stint on Dana White's Contender Series.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Khaos Williams enters with a 15-4 record, showcasing significant knockout power. Andreas Gustafsson has a record of 11-2, with a strong recent performance that earned him a UFC contract.
  • This is their first meeting.
  • There are no reported significant injuries affecting this bout.
  • Gustafsson steps in on short notice, which could impact his performance due to limited preparation time.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Williams seeking to rebound from a recent loss and Gustafsson aiming to make a successful UFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Khaos Williams: -185, Andreas Gustafsson Berg: +160 Khaos Williams ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -165, Under 1.5: +128 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Khaos Williams -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Khaos Williams is predicted to win due to his experience and power, but Gustafsson's skills and recent form make him a formidable opponent.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Sergey Spivak Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs Sergey Spivak – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming fight between Waldo Cortes-Acosta and Sergey Spivak is a heavyweight bout at UFC 316. Both fighters are looking to make a statement in the division. Sergey Spivak is favored to win, with odds reflecting his stronger standing in the matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sergey Spivak is considered the favorite, given his experience and recent performances. Waldo Cortes-Acosta, ranked 11th by the UFC, has been active with a consistent fight schedule.
  • There is no prior head-to-head data available for this matchup.
  • No current injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of UFC 316, and both fighters are motivated to improve their rankings.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to perform well and move up the heavyweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -142 for Spivak, +120 for Cortes-Acosta Sergey Spivak ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -3.5 for Spivak at 110, +3.5 for Cortes-Acosta at -150 Sergey Spivak ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 at +120, Under 2.5 at -154 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sergey Spivak 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sergey Spivak at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergey Spivak is likely to win based on his favor in the odds and his performance history.

Predicted Score: Not applicable in MMA, as it is not scored by points traditionally.


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