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Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jake Matthews vs Neil Magny – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night Perth

Game Overview

Welterweight MMA bout between Jake Matthews and Neil Magny scheduled for UFC Fight Night in Perth. Matthews enters as a strong favorite with better recent performances and younger age. Magny brings size, reach, and experience but is the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Matthews has been in very good form recently with a strong finishing ability inside the distance, winning by KO or submission. Magny has solid wins but lower finishing rate and is older with slightly declining athleticism.
  • No known direct previous matchups between Matthews and Magny. Styles suggest Matthews' grappling and finishing could challenge Magny despite size/reach advantage.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
  • Fight takes place in Perth, near Matthews' home region (Australia), which may provide slight psychological and crowd support advantage. Magny is traveling internationally.
  • Matthews is motivated to maintain upward trajectory in welterweight division after recent wins. Magny aims to upset a highly favored opponent to regain top contender status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Matthews -380 / Magny +300 Jake Matthews ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Matthews -3.5 (-165) / Magny +3.5 (+120) Jake Matthews -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-145) / Under 2.5 (+114) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jake Matthews -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Matthews to win by knockout or submission inside the distance

Predicted Score: Jake Matthews wins by 2nd round KO


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Justin Tafa vs. Louie Sutherland Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Justin Tafa vs Louie Sutherland – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Heavyweight bout featuring Justin Tafa, a heavier but less experienced UFC competitor, versus Louie Sutherland, a Southpaw with a stronger recent performance record making his UFC debut.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tafa holds a 7-5-0 (1 NC) overall MMA record with moderate UFC experience but recent form has been inconsistent. Sutherland is on a 10-3-0 run and entering UFC with strong momentum and effective striking from the southpaw stance.
  • This will be their first professional meeting, no direct head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout. Tafa had some previous undisclosed issues which are now resolved.
  • Bout taking place in Perth, Australia, close to Sutherland's origin which may offer him slight crowd and comfort advantage. Tafa is heavier with potential power edge.
  • Sutherland motivated by UFC debut progression and career momentum; Tafa motivated to reestablish his UFC standing after inconsistent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Justin Tafa: -118, Louie Sutherland: -102 Justin Tafa ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Justin Tafa -3.5: +105, Louie Sutherland +3.5: -140 Justin Tafa -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: -160, Under 1.5: +124 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Justin Tafa 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 57%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 57% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Justin Tafa, spread cover by Tafa -3.5, under 1.5 rounds total

Predicted Score: Justin Tafa wins by TKO in round 2


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Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tom Nolan vs Charlie Campbell – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Western Australia

Game Overview

Lightweight UFC Fight Night bout between Tom Nolan and Charlie Campbell, two top contenders with strong striking and grappling abilities. Nolan holds a slight edge in recent form and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tom Nolan comes in with a 9-1 record, showing steady improvement and finishing capabilities, whereas Charlie Campbell holds a 9-2 record with a solid mix of striking but slightly less finishing power recently.
  • No known previous direct matchups between Nolan and Campbell, so historical H2H data is unavailable; stylistic analysis favors Nolan's southpaw stance against Campbell's orthodox.
  • No recent or reported injuries to either fighter; both appear fully healthy heading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place at home continent for both fighters, with Nolan slightly younger and possibly better acclimated to fight conditions in Perth.
  • Nolan motivated to solidify his UFC contender status with a marquee win; Campbell aims to rebound after a recent close decision loss, adding slight psychological pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Charlie Campbell: +124, Tom Nolan: -148 Tom Nolan ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Charlie Campbell +3.5: -125, Tom Nolan -3.5: -105 Tom Nolan -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: +140, Under 2.5: -180 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tom Nolan -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Nolan at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Nolan to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Tom Nolan wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Navajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo Bellato Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:40 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night 260, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Navajo Stirling, an undefeated 7-0 light heavyweight known for balanced striking, wrestling, and Brazilian jiu-jitsu, faces Rodolfo Bellato, a more experienced but less consistent fighter with a record of 12-2-1 (1 NC). Stirling is the strong favorite based on odds and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Stirling maintains a 7-0 undefeated record with notable accuracies in striking (56%) and a high strike volume, reflecting consistent dominance; Bellato, despite a solid overall record, has faced recent disruptions including a no-contest due to fouls and lacks Stirling's undefeated momentum.
  • No recorded previous head-to-head bouts, making this a stylistic and form-based analysis rather than direct matchup history.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter heading into this bout, implying both will enter at full physical capacity.
  • Fight is held in Perth, Australia, potentially closer to Stirling's home gym (City Kickboxing). Bellato's recent travel and fight disruptions might affect preparation.
  • Stirling seeks to maintain his perfect record and rise up UFC light heavyweight rankings, providing strong motivation; Bellato aims to rebound from recent setbacks, motivated but underdog status may impact psychological dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Navajo Stirling: -245, Rodolfo Bellato: +200 Navajo Stirling ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Navajo Stirling -7.5: -115, Rodolfo Bellato +7.5: -115 Navajo Stirling -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over 1.5 rounds: -180, under 1.5 rounds: +140 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Navajo Stirling -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navajo Stirling to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Navajo Stirling wins by KO in Round 1 or 2


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Cam Rowston vs. Andre Petroski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cam Rowston vs Andre Petroski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 1:20 AM UTC
  • Location: Perth, Australia

Game Overview

UFC middleweight bout featuring Andre Petroski, a UFC veteran known for grappling and grinding style, against Cam Rowston, a UFC debutant with improved striking and mix of takedowns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Petroski holds a 13-5 record with UFC experience while Rowston is 12-3 and entering with momentum from a recent Contender Series win demonstrating striking and takedown skills.
  • No previous matchups; first meeting between Petroski and Rowston.
  • No significant injury reports on either fighter ahead of the fight.
  • Fight is at Perth, potentially benefiting Rowston as the nearer native fighter; potential crowd support.
  • Rowston motivated to make a strong UFC debut; Petroski motivated to maintain veteran status and impose grappling control.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Andre Petroski: -170, Cam Rowston: +142 Andre Petroski ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Andre Petroski: -3.5 115, Cam Rowston: +3.5 -155 Andre Petroski -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -130, Under 2.5: +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andre Petroski -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andre Petroski to win by decision

Predicted Score: Andre Petroski wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Jonathan Micallef vs. Oban Elliott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jonathan Micallef vs Oban Elliott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Jonathan Micallef (8-1) and Oban Elliott (12-3). Both fighters are similarly sized, Elliott has more experience with 15 fights versus Micallef's 9, and Elliott is favored by bookmakers despite a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oban Elliott holds a 12-3 record with solid UFC experience but recently lost by unanimous decision to Seok Hyun Ko, indicating potential vulnerability. Jonathan Micallef is unbeaten at 8-1, showing strong recent form and possibly rising confidence.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Micallef and Elliott, making tactical adjustments and adaptability important factors.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup.
  • Fight is hosted in Perth, Australia, closer to Micallef’s likely fan base which might aid his motivation. Weather and travel issues appear neutral.
  • Micallef is motivated to prove himself against a more established competitor, while Elliott aims to rebound quickly from a recent loss, applying psychological pressure both ways.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jonathan Micallef: +100, Oban Elliott: -120 Oban Elliott ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Jonathan Micallef +3.5: -215, Oban Elliott -3.5: +155 Oban Elliott -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -245, Under 2.5: +185 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oban Elliott 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oban Elliott at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oban Elliott to win by decision

Predicted Score: Oban Elliott wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Jamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando Bedoya Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jamie Mullarkey vs Rolando Bedoya – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Lightweight matchup between Jamie Mullarkey (17-8) and Rolando Bedoya (14-4) at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are well-matched with close recent form and minimal injury concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mullarkey has shown consistent striking and conditioning but suffered a recent tough loss at UFC 301, whereas Bedoya has been on a positive streak with strong grappling and finishing ability.
  • No prior head-to-head fights, making this an even tactical matchup where styles and in-fight adjustments will be crucial.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter ahead of bout, suggesting both are preparing at full strength.
  • Fight taking place in Australia may slightly favor Mullarkey due to local crowd support and reduced travel fatigue.
  • Mullarkey aims to rebound after a UFC loss, potentially increasing aggression and risk-taking; Bedoya seeks to extend winning run, likely leading to strategic but aggressive approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jamie Mullarkey: -112, Rolando Bedoya: -108 Jamie Mullarkey ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Jamie Mullarkey -3.5: -200, Rolando Bedoya +3.5: 145 Jamie Mullarkey -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -195, Under 2.5 rounds: 150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jamie Mullarkey 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 55%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 55% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Jamie Mullarkey to win; Spread: Mullarkey -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Jamie Mullarkey wins via decision or late stoppage before round 3


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Colby Thicknesse vs. Josias Musasa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

This UFC Bantamweight prelim bout features Josias Musasa, an 8-1 fighter known as 'The KO Wizard,' against Colby Thicknesse, a 7-1 fighter nicknamed 'Slickness.' Both fighters are evenly matched with similar records and complementary styles, vying to improve their rankings in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Josias Musasa has a slightly superior recent form with an 8-1 record compared to Thicknesse’s 7-1, showing more finishing ability and experience in high-pressure bouts. Thicknesse is highly technical but has been the underdog in recent fights, suggesting a slight disadvantage in momentum.
  • There are no recorded head-to-head fights between Musasa and Thicknesse, making this a fresh matchup with limited direct comparative data.
  • Neither fighter currently reports any known injuries affecting their preparation or performance for this bout.
  • The fight being in Perth, Australia, may slightly favor Musasa who has fought in similar international venues recently, while Thicknesse will be traveling internationally, possibly impacting acclimatization.
  • Both fighters have strong motivation to break into higher UFC rankings, with Musasa looking to capitalize on his favorite status and Thicknesse seeking to upset and prove his technical superiority.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Colby Thicknesse: +126, Josias Musasa: -150 Josias Musasa ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Musasa -1.5: -110, Thicknesse +1.5: -110 Musasa -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Josias Musasa -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Josias Musasa to win by decision

Predicted Score: Musasa wins by decision (3 rounds, unanimous)


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Michelle Montague vs. Luana Carolina Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michelle Montague vs Luana Carolina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:50 PM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, AUS

Game Overview

Michelle Montague meets Luana Carolina in a UFC bantamweight matchup at UFC Perth. Montague enters as the strong favorite based on recent betting odds and form, with Carolina viewed as the underdog but possessing potential for an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montague has shown consistent performance in recent bouts, demonstrating superior striking and grappling control compared to Carolina, whose recent fights show some inconsistency.
  • There is no direct previous matchup between Montague and Carolina to provide head-to-head data, meaning the assessment relies on stylistic and recent performance analysis.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter; Carolina was previously removed from a scheduled fight in early 2025 but without injury related reasons, indicating both fighters are likely at full strength.
  • The fight taking place in Perth, Australia, offers a slight geographical advantage for Montague, a New Zealand fighter accustomed to the time zone and conditions; no other significant external distractions noted.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a significant divisional position; Montague, as a favorite, may carry the pressure of expectations, while Carolina may be driven by the underdog role to push aggressively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michelle Montague: -230, Luana Carolina: 190 Michelle Montague ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Montague -1.5: -120, Carolina +1.5: +100 Montague -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -150, Under 2.5: 126 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michelle Montague -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michelle Montague to win via decision

Predicted Score: Michelle Montague wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Brando Pericic vs. Elisha Ellison Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brando Pericic vs Elisha Ellison – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Prelims heavyweight UFC fight between Brando Pericic (4-1) and Elisha Ellison (5-1) at UFC Perth with Pericic favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pericic has a strong recent form including 4 wins and only 1 loss, showing solid striking and grappling versatility; Ellison has a slightly better win ratio (5-1) with physical advantages in height and reach but less experience at this UFC level.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Pericic and Ellison.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter entering this bout.
  • Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, Ellison's home country, which may offer some crowd support. No other known external disruptions.
  • Ellison motivated to leverage home advantage and improve UFC standing; Pericic motivated to maintain momentum and prove UFC caliber.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -225, away: +186 Brando Pericic ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -130, away: +110 Pericic -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: +194, under: -235 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brando Pericic -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brando Pericic at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Brando Pericic to win; Spread: Pericic by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Brando Pericic wins by unanimous decision or late round stoppage, fight lasting 2 to 3 rounds


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