Match Analysis: Cody Brundage vs Mansur Abdul-Malik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated middleweight bout between undefeated Mansur Abdul-Malik and seasoned fighter Cody Brundage. Abdul-Malik boasts an unblemished record of 8-0, with seven wins by knockout, highlighting his formidable striking abilities. Brundage, with a record of 11-6, has shown resilience and knockout power, making him a formidable opponent despite being the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mansur Abdul-Malik is known for his knockout power, while Cody Brundage brings experience and a strong knockout record.
• The fighters have no previous head-to-head encounters.
• There are no reported injuries affecting this match.
• The fight's location and the crowd's energy may influence the fighters' performance, but both are experienced enough to handle these factors.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Abdul-Malik seeking to extend his undefeated streak and Brundage looking to upset a rising star.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage: 550, Mansur Abdul-Malik: -800	Mansur Abdul-Malik	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Cody Brundage: +3.5 350, Mansur Abdul-Malik: -3.5 -575	Cody Brundage +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 1.5: 145, Under 1.5: -188	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mansur Abdul-Malik -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 47%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mansur Abdul-Malik is favored to win based on his undefeated record and knockout prowess.

Predicted Score: Mansur Abdul-Malik by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-15
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Game Overview

Welterweight matchup featuring Michael Chiesa (18-7-0) vs Court McGee (23-13-0). Chiesa, a southpaw wrestler with a 9:20 average fight time, is more active with his submissions, while McGee, an orthodox fighter with a 12:32 average fight time, lands more significant strikes per minute. Chiesa is four years younger, but both fighters are experienced veterans showing recent activity with Chiesa last fighting around six months ago and McGee around eight months ago. The odds heavily favor Chiesa.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chiesa has a strong wrestling base and is dangerous on the ground, with 12 of his 18 wins coming by submission. McGee is a durable and veteran striker who lands more significant strikes per minute (4.60 vs Chiesa’s 1.81) but absorbs more strikes as well (takes 3.59 per minute vs Chiesa’s 1.66 allowed). Chiesa has a slight edge in strike defense (54% vs McGee’s 61%), but McGee’s higher output and endurance are notable[2][4][5].
• No prior head-to-head fights between Chiesa and McGee[1][5].
• No major injuries reported for either fighter leading to the event[2][5].
• Both fighters have faced top competition recently, have similar activity levels, and have been training for this bout. Chiesa is slightly more accustomed to the pace of top-tier fights, but both have comparable experience[5].
• Chiesa is seen as being in his prime for the late-stage of his career, while McGee will likely look to prove he can still compete at a high level. Both are motivated to extend their UFC tenure and maintain relevance in the division[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Court McGee: +275, Michael Chiesa: -345	Michael Chiesa	High
Spread	Court McGee: +3.5 (110), Michael Chiesa: -3.5 (-150)	Michael Chiesa -3.5	Moderate
Over/under	over: Over 2.5 (-180), under: Under 2.5 (140)	Over 2.5	High

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michael Chiesa -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Chiesa will likely utilize his wrestling and submission skills to control the fight, particularly if it goes to the ground. McGee’s striking output is a threat, but Chiesa’s ability to dictate where the fight takes place and his recent track record against tough competition give him an edge. Expect Chiesa to win by submission or decision.

Predicted Score: Michael Chiesa wins via submission or decision, with the fight likely going over 2.5 rounds.

Match Analysis: Cody Durden vs Jose Ochoa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 12:25 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Game Overview

UFC flyweight bout between Cody Durden (17-7-1) and Jose Ochoa (7-1, 1 NC) at UFC Fight Night Atlanta. No titles are on the line. Durden is a home-state veteran with more experience, while Ochoa is a young, aggressive prospect with a high knockout rate.

Key Factors to Consider

• Durden averages 3.52 sig. strikes/min, lands 45% of attempts, and absorbs 4.29/min with 49% defense. Ochoa averages 3.33 sig. strikes/min, lands 31% of attempts, and absorbs 3.40/min with 59% defense. Ochoa has a higher defense rate and a strong finish rate, but less professional experience.
• No prior head-to-head meetings between Durden and Ochoa.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Durden fights in his home state, potentially boosting local support and motivation. Ochoa is the younger, less experienced fighter.
• Durden seeks to rebound from a recent loss, while Ochoa looks to continue his ascent in the division and avenge his sole pro loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Durden: +160, Jose Ochoa: -192	Jose Ochoa favored, but with expected close margin	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Cody Durden: 3.5 -120, Jose Ochoa: -3.5 -110	Jose Ochoa to cover -3.5 (win by decision or stoppage within rounds, not guaranteed due to Durden’s resilience)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -130, Under: 2.5 +100	Under 2.5 rounds (fight ends before 2:30 of round 3) is a slight value, but Over 2.5 is a reasonable hedge given both fighters’ abilities to go the distance.	★★★☆☆ 50%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jose Ochoa -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jose Ochoa at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a closely matched fight due to similar physical stats and fighting styles. Ochoa is favored by oddsmakers, likely due to his recent performances and high finish rate, but Durden's experience and home advantage could make this more competitive than the odds suggest. Both fighters have shown vulnerability, but Ochoa's youth and defense efficiency may give him a slight edge. However, Durden’s experience and home crowd could be a difference-maker in a fight that could go the distance or feature a late finish.

Predicted Score: Jose Ochoa by decision (unanimous or split), or late TKO in round 3.

Match Analysis: Philip Rowe vs Ange Loosa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Game Overview

Phil Rowe faces Ange Loosa in a welterweight bout at UFC Atlanta. Both fighters have comparable records, with Rowe offering a significant height and reach advantage. Loosa, known for his resilience, could challenge Rowe's inconsistent performance history.

Key Factors to Consider

• Phil Rowe's inconsistent performance and Ange Loosa's resilience will be key. Rowe's best win was against Niko Price, while Loosa has faced tougher opponents like Gabriel Bonfim.
• This is their first meeting, so there's no head-to-head data.
• No reported injuries.
• The crowd at State Farm Arena might favor Rowe due to his physical stature and potential for explosive finishes.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a win and boost their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ange Loosa: -130, Philip Rowe: 110	Ange Loosa	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -275, Under 2.5: 206	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ange Loosa -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ange Loosa at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ange Loosa might have a slight edge due to his recent performances, but Rowe's physical advantages could lead to an upset.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA

Match Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

This MMA match between Malcolm Wellmaker and Kris Moutinho is part of UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley. Wellmaker, a rising star, faces the experienced Moutinho in a bantamweight bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Malcolm Wellmaker is undefeated with a 9-0 record, while Kris Moutinho has a 14-6 record. Wellmaker's undefeated status and potentially strong support from the home crowd could give him an edge.
• No previous head-to-head matchups between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight taking place in Atlanta might give Wellmaker an advantage due to home support.
• Both fighters are motivated, but Wellmaker's undefeated record might add extra pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1800/1000	Malcolm Wellmaker	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	-3.5 -1000 / 3.5 500	Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5	★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under	Over 1.5 +135 / Under 1.5 -175	Under 1.5	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Malcolm Wellmaker -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Malcolm Wellmaker at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker is expected to win due to his undefeated record and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker wins by decision or early stoppage.

Match Analysis: Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

Rodolfo Bellato and Paul Craig are set to face off in a light heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night. Bellato, a Dana White's Contender Series alum, is looking to capitalize on his recent performances, while Craig seeks to break his losing streak. The fight is expected to be intense, with both fighters known for their ability to finish fights early.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bellato has a strong record with 7 of his 12 wins by knockout, while Craig has 13 submissions in 17 victories. Bellato's youth and aggressive style might give him an edge over Craig's experience but current form is a concern.
• There is no direct head-to-head history between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Craig's recent losing streak might affect his confidence, but his experience in the UFC could still be a significant factor.
• Bellato is highly motivated to rise in the rankings, while Craig aims to revive his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rodolfo Bellato: -395, Paul Craig: 310	Rodolfo Bellato	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Rodolfo Bellato: -3.5 -250, Paul Craig: 3.5 180	Rodolfo Bellato -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 -125, Under: 1.5 -105	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rodolfo Bellato -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodolfo Bellato at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Bellato is expected to win based on his recent form and odds.

Predicted Score: Rodolfo Bellato by KO/TKO

Match Analysis: Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Vanessa Demopoulos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

Jamey-Lyn Horth (7-2-0) faces Vanessa Demopoulos (11-7-0) in a women's flyweight bout at UFC Atlanta. Horth is favored significantly due to her size, consistent performance, and superior striking defense. Demopoulos, traditionally a strawweight, is moving up in weight class and enters on a losing streak but brings dynamic grappling and submission skills.

Key Factors to Consider

• Horth lands 2.72 significant strikes per minute at 51%, absorbs 2.58, defends 60%. Demopoulos lands 3.49 per minute at 41%, absorbs 5.23, defends 41%. Horth has a notable size advantage (height and reach). Demopoulos is experienced but has lost two in a row and is moving up in weight class.
• No prior fights between Horth and Demopoulos.
• No reported injuries to either fighter.
• Demopoulos is switching weight classes, which may negatively impact her power and durability. The bout is a late-notice pairing, but preparation for both seems adequate.
• Horth is favored and expected to perform well; Demopoulos seeks to rebound from recent losses and prove herself at a higher weight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jamey-Lyn Horth: -600, Vanessa Demopoulos: 425	Jamey-Lyn Horth	High (78%)
Over/under	Over 2.5 Rounds: -410, Under 2.5 Rounds: 290	Over 2.5 Rounds	High (80%)

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jamey-Lyn Horth -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jamey-Lyn Horth is expected to control the fight using her reach and striking defense, likely leading to a decision or late stoppage. Demopoulos may have moments on the ground, but Horth’s size and technique should prevail.

Predicted Score: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)

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Match Analysis: Rico Verhoeven vs Artem Vakhitov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ahoy, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

GLORY 100 headliner features a heavyweight title defense by long-reigning champion Rico Verhoeven against former light heavyweight champion Artem Vakhitov. Verhoeven is undefeated in GLORY since 2014, with 12 title defenses. Vakhitov returns from MMA (briefly signed to UFC), bringing his speed and Muay Thai background to challenge Verhoeven's dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rico Verhoeven is dominant in GLORY, with 27 wins, 1 loss, and an average fight time of 9:22. He lands 9.17 strikes per minute (SLpM) at 52% accuracy and has a knockdown ratio of 14:5. Vakhitov is a former light heavyweight champion known for speed and recent MMA experience, but has less experience at heavyweight and is giving up significant size and reach.
• No direct head-to-head record exists between Verhoeven and Vakhitov in GLORY. Vakhitov has pedigree in lower weight classes and has beaten rivals like Alex Pereira.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
• Home advantage for Verhoeven in Rotterdam. Vakhitov is adapting to heavyweight after an MMA stint and declined a UFC contract to return to GLORY.
• Verhoeven is motivated to extend his legacy as GLORY heavyweight king. Vakhitov, returning from MMA, is highly motivated to achieve greatness by dethroning the champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Verhoeven: -200, Vakhitov: +160	Rico Verhoeven	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Verhoeven -2.5 (EVEN), Vakhitov +2.5 (-120)	Verhoeven covers the spread	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-150), Under 2.5 rounds (+120)	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rico Verhoeven is favored due to his size, reach, and proven dominance at heavyweight, but Vakhitov's speed and technical skill make him a dangerous challenger. The fight is likely to be competitive, but Verhoeven's experience and physical advantages give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Rico Verhoeven wins by unanimous decision or late stoppage (Rounds 4-5)

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Match Analysis: Karlos Vémola vs Attila Végh – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Fortuna Arena (Eden), Prague, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Karlos Vémola and Attila Végh meet for the third and final time in their legendary MMA trilogy. This fight is for the custom Infinity Belt, designed to crown the definitive winner after their previous encounters were split evenly. Both fighters have announced this as their last professional bout, making it a decisive moment for their legacies and Czech-Slovak MMA history. The series is currently tied 1-1: Végh won by knockout in 2019, while Vémola avenged the loss with a second-round submission in 2024[1][5][2].

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters are among the most accomplished in Czech-Slovak MMA history. Vémola is the current OKTAGON light-heavyweight champion and has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, especially after avenging his previous loss. Végh showed early dominance with a knockout but was subdued in the rematch.
• The series stands at 1-1. Végh won by first-round knockout in 2019; Vémola won by second-round submission in 2024[1][5][2].
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout. Both have been preparing intensively for this finale.
• The fight is held at the Fortuna Arena, a venue where Vémola has already experienced a major victory in front of a massive crowd. The atmosphere and home crowd advantage could play a role in motivation and performance[1][5][2].
• This is the final fight of both fighters' careers, making motivation extremely high for both. Both aim to cement their legacy as the best in Czech-Slovak MMA history. Vémola seeks to secure his reputation as champion, while Végh is eager to reclaim his standing[1][2][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Vémola: -150, Végh: +120 (estimated; official live odds not published as of this analysis)	Vémola by decision or late submission	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Vémola -1.5 (approx. +180), Végh +1.5 (approx. -200) (estimated)	Vémola to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: +150 (estimated)	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the statistical tie and momentum from Vémola’s recent victory, combined with home advantage, Vémola is favored to win a closely contested match, most likely by decision or late stoppage. However, Végh’s proven knockout power and desire for redemption make him a dangerous challenger.

Predicted Score: Vémola wins by unanimous decision or late submission (Round 3 or later)

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Match Analysis: Donovan Wisse vs Michael Boapeah – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rotterdam Ahoy

Game Overview

This hypothetical MMA match between Donovan Wisse and Michael Boapeah would be highly competitive, with both fighters known for their kickboxing skills. Given their backgrounds, it would be a striking-heavy fight with potential for knockouts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have strong kickboxing backgrounds, but MMA requires additional skills like grappling and submissions.
• Assuming a first-time MMA encounter, no previous head-to-head data exists.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The crowd in Rotterdam could favor Boapeah due to his Dutch connection.
• Boapeah's motivation to avenge a previous loss and potentially transition to MMA could be a significant factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-150 for Wisse, +120 for Boapeah	Wisse to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-2.5 for Wisse, +2.5 for Boapeah	Wisse to cover	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -150, Under 2.5 rounds +120	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their kickboxing skills, it's likely to be a closely contested fight with a slight edge to Donovan Wisse due to his experience as a champion.

Predicted Score: Wisse winning by unanimous decision or late-round knockout.