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Curtis Blaydes vs. Rizvan Kuniev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Curtis Blaydes vs Rizvan Kuniev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The fight features Curtis Blaydes, the No. 5-ranked heavyweight in the UFC, facing off against debuting heavyweight Rizvan Kuniev. The match is part of UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr., scheduled to take place at Baku Crystal Hall. Blaydes is an experienced top-tier heavyweight known for his wrestling and ground control, while Kuniev enters with less UFC experience but high motivation, making his debut against a top-10 opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Curtis Blaydes has consistently demonstrated strong wrestling, ground control, and pressure fighting in the heavyweight division. Rizvan Kuniev, although less experienced at the UFC level, has shown promise with aggressive striking and submission skills in regional circuits. Blaydes' experience and ranking provide a performance edge.
  • This will be the first meeting between Curtis Blaydes and Rizvan Kuniev, with no prior head-to-head record.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter have been disclosed prior to the bout.
  • The event location in Baku, Azerbaijan, might offer slight regional support for Kuniev, but Blaydes' experience in international venues mitigates any home advantage. The UFC appears eager to stage this fight, possibly to boost Kuniev's profile and test Blaydes against fresh competition.
  • Blaydes aims to maintain or improve his top-5 heavyweight ranking, while Kuniev is highly motivated to make a strong UFC debut against an established opponent, possibly leading to a high-intensity performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Curtis Blaydes: -238, Rizvan Kuniev: 195 Curtis Blaydes to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Curtis Blaydes: -3.5 -150, Rizvan Kuniev: +3.5 110 Curtis Blaydes covers -3.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -105, Under: 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Curtis Blaydes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Curtis Blaydes is favored to win due to his experience, ranking, and wrestling dominance, with a high probability of controlling the fight on the ground. Kuniev’s debut and striking skills present an upset potential but are less favored against Blaydes' pressure and grappling.

Predicted Score: Curtis Blaydes wins via 3rd round TKO


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Tofiq Musayev vs. Myktybek Orolbai Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tofiq Musayev vs Myktybek Orolbai – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC lightweight bout features Tofiq Musayev, an Azerbaijani power striker known for his 18 knockout wins in 22 victories, against Kyrgyzstan's Myktybek Orolbai, a technical fighter with 13 wins and strong recent UFC experience. Musayev is making his UFC debut after competing in Rizin and Bellator, while Orolbai aims to rebound following a close split decision loss and a solid professional streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Musayev boasts a record of 22-5 with 18 KOs, showcasing superior striking power and finishing ability. Orolbai holds a 13-2-1 record, with 6 knockouts, and recently earned 'Fight of the Night' honors despite his loss, illustrating competitiveness and durability.
  • There is no previous head-to-head history between Musayev and Orolbai, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter have been disclosed ahead of the matchup.
  • The fight takes place in Baku, Azerbaijan, giving hometown advantage and likely crowd support to Tofiq Musayev. Orolbai has publicly stated readiness and confidence, hinting at intense preparation for this bout.
  • Musayev is highly motivated to impress in his UFC debut on home soil after recent knockout success. Orolbai is eager to bounce back from a close UFC loss and prove his competitive edge against a powerful striker.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tofiq Musayev: 130, Myktybek Orolbai: -155 Myktybek Orolbai to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Tofiq Musayev +3.5: -150, Myktybek Orolbai -3.5: 110 Myktybek Orolbai to cover -3.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -260, Under 1.5 rounds: 195 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Myktybek Orolbai -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 112%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 112% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Musayev's knockout power, hometown advantage, and recent form, he is favored to win, but Orolbai's durability and experience in the UFC present a credible challenge, especially if he can withstand early pressure and take the fight into the later rounds or decision.

Predicted Score: Musayev by KO/TKO Round 2


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Nazim Sadykhov vs. Nikolas Motta Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nazim Sadykhov vs Nikolas Motta – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The Lightweight UFC Fight Night bout between Nazim Sadykhov and Nikolas Motta is set to take place on June 21, 2025, at Baku Crystal Hall. Sadykhov, fighting on home soil, carries an impressive 10-1-1 record and a strong striking accuracy, while Motta, with a 15-5 record, promises an exciting and intense contest. Both fighters bring contrasting styles with Sadykhov's southpaw stance and Motta's orthodox approach, setting the stage for a tactical and action-packed matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sadykhov boasts a significant strike accuracy of 46%, landing 4.7 strikes per minute but absorbs 5.66 strikes per minute with a 47% defense rate. Motta lands fewer strikes at 3.64 per minute with 37% accuracy but exhibits better defensive skills, blocking 56% of incoming strikes and absorbing 4.5 strikes per minute.
  • This is a first-time matchup between Nazim Sadykhov and Nikolas Motta, thus no direct head-to-head record exists.
  • No current information about injuries for either fighter has been reported ahead of the fight.
  • The fight takes place in Baku, Azerbaijan, which favors Nazim Sadykhov as the home fighter, potentially granting him crowd support and familiarity with the environment.
  • Nikolas Motta has declared the fight will be a 'war' and has shown great respect for Sadykhov, indicating high motivation and readiness for a competitive bout. Sadykhov, fighting at home, is motivated to defend his territory and maintain his near-perfect record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nazim Sadykhov: -485, Nikolas Motta: 370 Nazim Sadykhov ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Nazim Sadykhov: -3.5 -280, Nikolas Motta: +3.5 200 Nazim Sadykhov -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5: -120, Under 1.5: -110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nazim Sadykhov -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nazim Sadykhov is predicted to win the bout due to his higher striking accuracy, home advantage, and strong recent form, despite Motta's solid defense and motivation. The fight is expected to be competitive and action-packed but with Sadykhov edging out the victory.

Predicted Score: Nazim Sadykhov wins by decision or late-round stoppage


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Muhammadjon Naimov vs. Bogdan Grad Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Muhammadjon Naimov vs Bogdan Grad – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

This featherweight UFC bout features Muhammadjon Naimov, a Tajik striker with a 12-3 record, against Bogdan Grad, an Austrian fighter with a 15-2 record known for his powerful striking and recent TKO win. Both fighters have solid UFC experience and come in with strong winning momentum, making this a highly competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Naimov holds a 12-3 professional record with notable UFC wins via decision, showing a well-rounded striking and grappling skill set. Grad has a 15-2 record, with recent wins by TKO, indicating strong finishing ability and striking power. Naimov's consistency in decisions contrasts with Grad's aggressiveness and stoppage capability.
  • This is their first professional encounter, so no direct head-to-head data exists. Comparisons rely on styles and recent performances.
  • No current injury reports or setbacks have been disclosed for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are in optimal condition.
  • The fight takes place at Baku Crystal Hall, potentially giving Naimov a slight environmental familiarity advantage as his region is closer than Grad's Austria. No other external factors such as travel issues or recent changes have been reported.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a prominent win in the featherweight division. Grad aims to leverage his striking power to upset a solid UFC competitor, while Naimov seeks to continue his UFC winning streak and demonstrate mixed skill dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Muhammadjon Naimov: -278, Bogdan Grad: 225 Muhammadjon Naimov ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Muhammadjon Naimov: -140, Bogdan Grad: 100 Muhammadjon Naimov by more than 3.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -250, Under 1.5 rounds: 190 Under 1.5 rounds (early stoppage unlikely but fight may extend) ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Muhammadjon Naimov -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 74%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 74% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Muhammadjon Naimov is favored to win given his more balanced fight history, superior odds, and consistency, but Bogdan Grad’s striking power and finishing potential keep the fight highly competitive.

Predicted Score: Muhammadjon Naimov wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Seok Hyun Ko vs. Oban Elliott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Seok Hyun Ko vs Oban Elliott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The upcoming welterweight MMA bout features Seok Hyun Ko of South Korea against Oban Elliott from Wales in a UFC on ABC 8 event. Both fighters have strong records, with Ko at 11-2 and Elliott at 12-2, representing contrasting styles: Ko relies on fight control and endurance with recent wins by decision, while Elliott is known for his power and KO finishes. This bout will be held in Baku's Crystal Hall with no championship belts at stake, making it a high-stakes contest for their UFC trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seok Hyun Ko is coming off a unanimous decision win over a tough opponent, showing tactical maturity and control. Oban Elliott has demonstrated finishing ability with a recent KO victory. Both have similar fight experience, but Elliott’s power and precision may give him an edge in early exchanges.
  • Seok Hyun Ko and Oban Elliott have no prior head-to-head encounters, meaning no direct matchup data is available to influence predictive models.
  • No reported injuries have been disclosed publicly for either fighter leading up to the contest, suggesting both are expected to be in peak condition.
  • The fight being on neutral ground in Baku, Azerbaijan, negates any home advantage. The rescheduling of the fight, confirmed on May 25, 2025, does not appear to have affected either fighter’s preparation significantly.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to impress at this UFC event to climb the welterweight rankings, with Ko aiming to leverage his recent strong performance and Elliott looking to capitalize on his knockout power.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oban Elliott: -500, Seok Hyun Ko: 380 Oban Elliott ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Oban Elliott: -3.5 -195, Seok Hyun Ko: +3.5 140 Oban Elliott -3.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -160, Under: 2.5 124 Under 2.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oban Elliott -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oban Elliott is favored to win due to his higher moneyline odds and demonstrated finishing power. While Seok Hyun Ko’s durability and fight IQ make a competitive bout likely, Elliott’s aggressive style and recent KO form give him an estimated edge with a close but decisive victory anticipated.

Predicted Score: Oban Elliott wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Ismail Naurdiev vs. Jun Yong Park Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ismail Naurdiev vs Jun Yong Park – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

This Middleweight prelim fight between Ismail Naurdiev and Jun Yong Park takes place at UFC Fight Night in Baku. Naurdiev, the Austrian Wonderboy, enters with a 24-7 record, known for strong striking and resilience. Park, the Iron Turtle, holds an 18-6 record, demonstrating strategic fighting and durability. Both fighters are closely matched in height and weight and bring different styles and recent victories into this bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Naurdiev recently secured a unanimous decision win over Bruno Silva, showing strong striking durability. Park won a split decision against Brad Tavares, reflecting his tactical approach and ability to overcome experienced opponents.
  • There are no records of previous meetings between Naurdiev and Park, making this an opening head-to-head contest that relies on their individual performance histories and styles.
  • No publicly available reports of injuries for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The fight is held at Baku Crystal Hall, an international venue which could slightly favor Naurdiev given his European ties, though both fighters have proven adaptability on the road.
  • Both fighters aim to move up in the Middleweight rankings and make a statement on the prelim card of a major UFC event. Naurdiev looks to build momentum after a solid win, while Park seeks to prove consistency by defeating a durable striker.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ismail Naurdiev: +166, Jun Yong Park: -191 Jun Yong Park ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 Rounds: -155, Under 2.5 Rounds: +125 Under 2.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jun Yong Park -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jun Yong Park is favored to win due to current odds and recent performance, but Naurdiev’s striking power and resilience keep the bout competitive. The fight likely to be decided by decision or a late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Fight expected to last about 2 to 3 rounds, likely decided by judges or a late finish favoring Jun Yong Park.


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Melissa Mullins vs. Darya Zheleznyakova Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Melissa Mullins vs Darya Zheleznyakova – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night (Venue unspecified)

Game Overview

The MMA match between Melissa Mullins and Darya Zheleznyakova is scheduled for June 21, 2025, at UFC Fight Night. Melissa Mullins enters as the favorite with a record of 7-1-0, known for her striking and ground and pound tactics. Darya Zheleznyakova also has a 7-1 record, emphasizing aggressive ground and pound and submission skills. This matchup features two evenly matched fighters with similar records but contrasting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melissa Mullins has demonstrated consistent success with a strong striking background and has ended 4 of her wins by KO. Darya Zheleznyakova is slightly less experienced on bigger stages but has a strong ground game and submission potential.
  • There is no recorded direct encounter between Melissa Mullins and Darya Zheleznyakova prior to this match, making head-to-head data unavailable and increasing unpredictability.
  • No publicly known injuries reported for either fighter leading into this match, suggesting both athletes are competing at full fitness.
  • The fight is hosted at UFC Fight Night, which could favor Melissa Mullins given potential home crowd support and familiarity with event setups, but no explicit external conditions strongly favor either competitor.
  • Both fighters are eager to solidify their standing in the MMA scene with similar records and upcoming UFC exposure, implying high motivation to win decisively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melissa Mullins: -235, Darya Zheleznyakova: 200 Melissa Mullins ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Melissa Mullins: -1.5 at -115, Darya Zheleznyakova: +1.5 at -105 Melissa Mullins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5: -105, under_2.5: -125 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melissa Mullins -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melissa Mullins is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to her proven striking power and experience in high-profile fights, with strong confidence in her overall game plan and adaptability.

Predicted Score: Melissa Mullins wins by decision or KO in round 3


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Irina Alekseeva vs. Klaudia Syguła Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Irina Alekseeva vs Klaudia Syguła – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The bantamweight bout between Irina Alekseeva and Klaudia Sygula at UFC on ABC 8 in Baku features two evenly matched orthodox fighters standing at 5'8" and competing at 135 lbs. Alekseeva brings a record of 5-2 with a slightly higher significant strikes landed per minute (3.84) and better strike accuracy (43%) compared to Sygula's 1.89 strikes per minute and 37% accuracy. Defensively, Alekseeva allows fewer significant strikes (3.55 vs. 6.00) and has a higher strike defense rate (48% vs. 36%), indicating a durability edge. Both fighters recently lost to the same opponent, Melissa Mullins, but maintain solid career records, making this a competitive match-up.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alekseeva has shown consistency in applying pressure and striking volume with a solid defense, while Sygula tends to have a more cautious striking output but maintains resilience. Both fighters have comparable experience with 7 and 8 total fights respectively.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts exist between Alekseeva and Sygula, making this matchup their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both will be at full competitive strength.
  • The fight takes place in Baku, Azerbaijan, which may offer slight home advantage to Alekseeva given her European background and the event location, although neither fighter is from Azerbaijan.
  • Both fighters seek redemption following recent losses to the same opponent, Melissa Mullins, raising their motivation to rebound strongly and improve their UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Irina Alekseeva: -275, Klaudia Sygula: 235 Irina Alekseeva ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Alekseeva -1.5: -140, Sygula +1.5: 120 Alekseeva -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -135, Under 2.5 rounds: 105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Irina Alekseeva -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Alekseeva's superior striking volume, accuracy, and defensive metrics, combined with her experience and slight home-region advantage, the prediction favors Irina Alekseeva to win by decision or technical striking dominance.

Predicted Score: Irina Alekseeva wins by unanimous decision, 3-0 rounds


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Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Azat Maksum Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tagir Ulanbekov vs Azat Maksum – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

The flyweight bout between Tagir Ulanbekov and Azat Maksum at UFC Baku features two highly skilled southpaw fighters evenly matched in height and weight. Ulanbekov holds a professional record of 16-2 and boasts superior significant strike accuracy and defense compared to Maksum, who has a 15-1 record but recently lost via unanimous decision. Both fighters have solid grappling skills, though Ulanbekov's experience against higher-caliber opponents and his ability to limit significant strikes taken stand out.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ulanbekov connects on 3.13 significant strikes per minute with 47% accuracy and defends 49% of opponent strikes, while Maksum connects on 2.80 strikes per minute at 23% accuracy and defends 55%. Ulanbekov's higher striking efficiency and lower damage intake rate give him an edge.
  • No previous head-to-head bouts recorded between Ulanbekov and Maksum, making this their first competitive matchup at UFC Baku.
  • No disclosed injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Baku, Azerbaijan, Maksum's home region (Kazakhstan is nearby), potentially giving a slight crowd support advantage to Maksum. Ulanbekov, a Russian fighter, will rely on experience and composure in this environment.
  • Ulanbekov aims to add a win to his strong career at age 33, maintaining his top contender status. Maksum, coming off a recent loss, has motivation to rebound and prove himself against a veteran opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tagir Ulanbekov: -450, Azat Maksum: 350 Tagir Ulanbekov ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Tagir Ulanbekov -1.5: -300, Azat Maksum +1.5: +240 Tagir Ulanbekov -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -225, Under 2.5 rounds: +185 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tagir Ulanbekov -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tagir Ulanbekov is favored to win due to higher striking accuracy, better defense, and experience edge. The fight is expected to go to a decision with Ulanbekov controlling the pace and minimizing damage.

Predicted Score: Ulanbekov wins by unanimous decision, 29-28 across the judges


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Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Mohammed Usman Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hamdy Abdelwahab vs Mohammed Usman – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Baku Crystal Hall, Baku, Azerbaijan

Game Overview

Hamdy Abdelwahab and Mohammed Usman face off in a UFC Heavyweight prelims bout at UFC Fight Night in Baku. Abdelwahab enters undefeated with a 6-0-0 record, physically strong with 264 lbs and a 72-inch reach. Usman brings more experience with an 11-4-0 record, weighing 239 lbs but possessing a longer 79-inch reach. Both fighters have similar striking output rates, but Abdelwahab shows higher accuracy and better defense metrics overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Abdelwahab is undefeated (6-0-0) and connects on 51% of significant strikes with a strong defense allowing 3.87 significant strikes per minute. Usman has more fights (11-4-0), connects on 36% of strikes, and allows 4.41 significant strikes per minute. Abdelwahab's power and accuracy give him an edge in striking efficiency.
  • No known previous encounters between Hamdy Abdelwahab and Mohammed Usman have been recorded, making this their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight takes place at Baku Crystal Hall in Azerbaijan, which is a neutral venue for both fighters. The event is part of UFC Fight Night on June 21, 2025.
  • Abdelwahab seeks to maintain his undefeated record and establish himself as a rising heavyweight force. Usman aims to leverage his experience to secure a crucial win to boost his standing in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamdy_Abdelwahab: -160, Mohammed_Usman: 140 Hamdy Abdelwahab to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Hamdy_Abdelwahab: -1.0, Mohammed_Usman: +1.0 Hamdy Abdelwahab to cover -1.0 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over_2.5: -220, Under_2.5: 180 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Hamdy Abdelwahab -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 96%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 96% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Hamdy Abdelwahab is favored to win due to his undefeated record, superior striking accuracy, and defensive capabilities. The bout is expected to be competitive, but Abdelwahab's physicality and efficiency should secure him the victory.

Predicted Score: Hamdy Abdelwahab wins by decision or late round finish within 3 rounds


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