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Pouya Rahmani vs. Slim Trabelsi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Pouya Rahmani vs Slim Trabelsi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: United Arab Emirates (PFL Road to Dubai Prelims)

Game Overview

The heavyweight MMA clash between Pouya Rahmani and Slim Trabelsi is a prelim fight within the Professional Fighters League (PFL) 'Road to Dubai' event. Rahmani is the favorite at the sportsbooks with moneyline odds around -300 versus Slim Trabelsi's underdog status at +250. Both fighters stand roughly equal in height and reach (Rahmani 188 cm height / 1.88m reach; Trabelsi 191 cm height / 1.91m reach) with Rahmani showing a slight edge in betting markets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pouya Rahmani shows stronger recent form with superior technical striking and grappling stats according to pre-fight analytics. Rahmani has demonstrated better control in the octagon with higher takedown success and effective striking accuracy.
  • No prior recorded head-to-head matches between Rahmani and Trabelsi, increasing unpredictability but current advantages lie with Rahmani based on comparative fight history against similar opponents.
  • No reported injuries or physical concerns for either fighter leading into the fight, allowing both to perform at expected peak condition.
  • Event location in the UAE favors neutral ground without travel disadvantages; Rahmani may benefit slightly from advanced PFL infrastructure and support.
  • As a prelim heavyweight bout within a high-profile PFL tournament, both fighters exhibit high motivation; Rahmani, positioned as a favorite, carries added pressure to maintain form and advance, likely fueling higher focus.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Pouya Rahmani: -300, Slim Trabelsi: +250 Pouya Rahmani ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Pouya Rahmani: -1.5 (+230), Slim Trabelsi: +1.5 (-270) Pouya Rahmani -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -130, Under 1.5 rounds: +110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pouya Rahmani -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pouya Rahmani to win via moneyline with a fight extending beyond 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Rahmani wins by decision or stoppage after round 2


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Takeshi Izumi vs. Vinicius Cenci Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Takeshi Izumi vs Vinicius Cenci – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai, UAE

Game Overview

PFL Champions Series: Road to Dubai lightweight showdown between Japanese striker Takeshi Izumi (6-4) and Brazilian submission specialist Vinicius Cenci (9-3). No prior head-to-head bouts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Izumi coming off a loss to Makkasharip Zaynukov at PFL Africa 1 in July. Cenci last lost to Brent Primus (UFC veteran) in April 2025, but won by triangle choke against Tony Caruso in June 2025. Cenci has more experience and a higher finish rate.
  • No prior meetings between the two.
  • No recent public reports of significant injuries for either fighter.
  • High-profile event in Dubai with potential implications for future PFL main card opportunities. Local crowd may have neutral or mildly international bias.
  • Both fighters have strong incentives—Cenci aiming to climb PFL ranks, Izumi seeking a signature win on a major card. Slight edge to Cenci for career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Izumi +185, Cenci -220 Vinicius Cenci ML (-220) ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 +110, Under 2.5 -130 Under 2.5 rounds (-130) ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vinicius Cenci -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cenco’s experienced grappling and recent finishing ability give him a clear edge over Izumi, who lacks a signature win over a ranked opponent. Expect Cenci to pressure early and find a finish inside the distance.

Predicted Score: Vinicius Cenci by submission, Round 2


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Vitor Costa vs. Damian Pinas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Vitor Costa vs Damian Pinas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Middleweight matchup between Vitor Costa and Damian Pinas, two rising fighters with similar records, facing off in a three-round fight at Dana White's Contender Series. Both possess strengths in different areas: Costa excels in striking and precision, while Pinas shows strong grappling and ground game potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitor Costa holds an 8-1 professional record, demonstrating a mix of striking power and agility with high recent fight activity and stamina. Damian Pinas is 7-1 with a more grappling-based style and has shown resilience, but slightly less polish in striking.
  • No previous meeting between Costa and Pinas; styles contrast may dictate outcome with Costa likely looking to keep the fight standing and Pinas attempting ground control.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both are expected to be at full health for the fight.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC APEX, removing travel stress and likely resulting in a neutral venue environment. Both fighters motivated to impress for UFC contract status.
  • High for both athletes, as this fight is a pivotal Dana White’s Contender Series bout with UFC contract implications. Costa's recent form and striking advantage may boost confidence, but Pinas’ grappling offers a clear path to victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damian Pinas: -125, Vitor Costa: 105 Damian Pinas ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Damian Pinas -1.5: -145, Vitor Costa +1.5: 125 Damian Pinas -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: 165, Under 1.5: -190 Under 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Damian Pinas -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damian Pinas to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Damian Pinas wins via submission or decision within 2 rounds


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Kurtis Campbell vs. Demba Seck Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kurtis Campbell vs Demba Seck – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

A featherweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series Week 8 featuring undefeated grappler Kurtis Campbell (7-0) versus versatile striker and submission artist Demba Seck (10-2). Both fighters are on significant finish streaks, with Campbell aiming to extend his undefeated record and Seck looking to secure a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Campbell is undefeated with recent wins via submission and knockout, showing improved defensive grappling and composure under pressure. Seck has a 7-fight finish streak with strong striking and submission skills, making the bout competitive.
  • No previous matchup between Campbell and Seck, making this a first direct meeting to analyze styles and adaptability.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter impacting their performance or preparation.
  • Fight at UFC APEX in Las Vegas provides a neutral venue but high-pressure environment with UFC contract on the line for both prospects.
  • Both fighters highly motivated; Campbell to maintain undefeated status and move on to UFC, Seck to maximize finishing streak and earn UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kurtis Campbell: -420, Demba Seck: 350 Kurtis Campbell ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Kurtis Campbell -1.5: +150, Demba Seck +1.5: -180 Kurtis Campbell -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5: -125, Under 1.5: +105 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kurtis Campbell -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Kurtis Campbell win; Spread: Kurtis Campbell by -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Over 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Kurtis Campbell wins by late stoppage or decision in Round 2 or 3


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Rashid Vagabov vs. Paulo da Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rashid Vagabov vs Paulo da Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series – Week 8

Game Overview

This flyweight bout features Rashid Vagabov, a dominant grappler with a four-fight submission streak and strong ground control, facing Paulo da Silva, an 11-fight unbeaten striker with strong finishing power but susceptibility to takedowns and weaker defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vagabov is riding a four-fight submission win streak with notable endurance and wrestling dominance, while da Silva has an 11-fight winning streak primarily via striking and pressure but has shown vulnerability to takedowns.
  • No prior fights between Vagabov and da Silva; styles suggest Vagabov's grappling is favored to neutralize da Silva's striking advantage.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of analysis; both entered in full preparation for the bout.
  • Fighters are contesting for UFC contracts in Dana White's Contender Series, heightening motivation; Vagabov trains with the prestigious Nurmagomedov camp, implying superior grappling preparation.
  • Both competitors are highly motivated to secure UFC contracts, but Vagabov’s recent dominance and stylistic matchup give him a motivational edge to control the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rashid Vagabov: -600, Paulo da Silva: +450 Rashid Vagabov ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Rashid Vagabov -1.5 rounds: +124 Rashid Vagabov to win within 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds: -165, Under 1.5 Rounds: +145 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rashid Vagabov -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 72%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rashid Vagabov wins by submission within 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Vagabov wins by 1st round submission


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Louis Jourdain vs. Magno Dias Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Louis Jourdain vs Magno Dias – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This bantamweight contest at Dana White's Contender Series Week 8 features Louis Jourdain, riding a three-fight unbeaten streak, against Magno Dias, who enters with back-to-back first-round finishes. Both fighters are vying for a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Louis Jourdain holds an 8-3 record with consistent recent wins primarily through striking and durability. Magno Dias, with a 6-1 record, boasts aggressive finishes but has less overall experience at this level.
  • No previous recorded matchups between Jourdain and Dias exist, making this a stylistic matchup with limited direct comparison.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of the fight.
  • Fight held at UFC APEX provides a neutral venue; motivation is high for both as the winner secures a UFC contract. Jourdain’s experience in higher profile fights may provide an edge.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated with UFC contracts on the line, but Jourdain’s recent success streak and fight IQ may better handle pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Louis Jourdain: -185, Magno Dias: +160 Louis Jourdain ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Louis Jourdain -1.5 Rounds: +120, Magno Dias +1.5 Rounds: -140 Louis Jourdain -1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds: -190, Under 1.5 Rounds: +165 Over 1.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Louis Jourdain -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Louis Jourdain to win on moneyline and the fight to go over 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Louis Jourdain wins by decision or late finish after round 2


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Christopher Alvidrez vs. Eliezer Kubanza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Christopher Alvidrez vs Eliezer Kubanza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-01
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 8

Game Overview

Christopher Alvidrez (6-1) and Eliezer Kubanza (7-0) face off in a welterweight bout on Dana White's Contender Series. Alvidrez is a strong finisher with four consecutive KO wins, relying on diverse striking and grappling. Kubanza is undefeated, with strong knockout power but questions around cardio endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alvidrez has demonstrated aggressive finishing ability with key first-round TKOs recently, while Kubanza remains undefeated but tends to fade in later rounds. Both fighters have knockout power, making an early finish likely.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Alvidrez and Kubanza exist, so this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, allowing both to compete at full strength.
  • The fight takes place on Dana White's Contender Series, motivating both fighters to perform at peak to secure UFC contracts. Kubanza’s inexperience at this level could impact his composure under pressure.
  • High for both; Kubanza is undefeated and looking to secure a contract, while Alvidrez is aiming to extend his knockout streak and prove his skillset on a bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christopher Alvidrez +235, Eliezer Kubanza -275 Eliezer Kubanza ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 +105, Under 1.5 -125 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Eliezer Kubanza -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Eliezer Kubanza to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kubanza wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Ulberg vs Dominick Reyes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 4:45 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Carlos Ulberg faces Dominick Reyes in a light heavyweight main event at UFC Fight Night 260. Ulberg enters with a 13-1 record, showing solid grappling and striking efficiency. Reyes, at 15-4, brings experience with slightly better striking accuracy but lower takedown success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ulberg is on a strong upward trajectory with a recent key decision win over Jan Blachowicz, showcasing control and conditioning. Reyes has demonstrated resilience but is coming off mixed results and shows slightly lower takedown accuracy.
  • No prior fights between Ulberg and Reyes; this will be their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading up to the bout, both expected to be in competitive shape.
  • Fight taking place in Perth may favor Ulberg slightly given his recent acclimation to fight outside the US and stronger recent form momentum.
  • Ulberg motivated to break into title contention with a signature win; Reyes looking to reassert himself after setbacks and keep career trajectory positive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Carlos Ulberg: -250, Dominick Reyes: +205 Carlos Ulberg ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Carlos Ulberg -13.5: -180, Dominick Reyes +13.5: +130 Carlos Ulberg -13.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +120, Under 2.5 rounds: -154 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Ulberg -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Ulberg to win by decision

Predicted Score: Carlos Ulberg wins by unanimous decision


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Jim Crute vs. Ivan Erslan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jim Crute vs Ivan Erslan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:15 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Jim Crute, a proven UFC light heavyweight ranked contender with a solid wrestling base and finishing ability, faces Ivan Erslan who is making his UFC debut and seeking his first promotional win after mixed results in other promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Crute holds a 13-4-2 record with recent struggles but better UFC experience and high finishing upside; Erslan is 14-5-0 with one no contest and has yet to secure a UFC victory, showing promising but less proven form.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between Crute and Erslan exist.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight occurs in Crute's hometown of Perth, Australia, which may give him a psychological and crowd advantage. Erslan is traveling to a hostile environment for his UFC debut.
  • Crute looks to bounce back and assert position in the division; Erslan is highly motivated to secure his first UFC win and make a name on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jim Crute -185, Ivan Erslan +154 Jim Crute ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Jim Crute -7.5 -115, Ivan Erslan +7.5 -115 Jim Crute -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 1.5 -135, Under 1.5 +105 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jim Crute -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jimmy Crute to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Jim Crute wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jack Jenkins vs Ramon Taveras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: RAC Arena, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Jack Jenkins faces Ramon Taveras in a Featherweight UFC main card fight. Jenkins (31, 13-4) is a versatile striker with a black belt in Jiu-Jitsu and strong finishing capability, while Taveras (31, 10-3) has a slight height and reach advantage. Both fighters have similar ages and substantial UFC experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jenkins has a slightly better overall record (13-4) and a 4-2 UFC record, showing consistency and resilience in recent fights. Taveras has a solid 10-3 record but fewer UFC fights. Jenkins' recent form shows strong striking and grappling balance, while Taveras excels mainly in boxing with a reach advantage.
  • No previous direct encounters recorded between Jenkins and Taveras.
  • No current injury reports or concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Perth, Australia, Jenkins' home country, potentially providing crowd advantage and local motivation. Both fighters appear mentally prepared, with Jenkins vowing to transform adversity into strength.
  • Jenkins motivated by legacy and hometown fight; Taveras motivated by career progression and defeating a well-rounded opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jack Jenkins: -285, Ramon Taveras: 230 Jack Jenkins ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Jack Jenkins -3.5: -120, Ramon Taveras +3.5: -110 Jack Jenkins -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -180, Under 2.5: 140 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jack Jenkins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jack Jenkins at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jack Jenkins to win on the moneyline, covering the -3.5 spread and the fight to go over 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Jack Jenkins wins by decision or finish after round 2 (between rounds 3 and 5)


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