This heavyweight matchup at KSW 105 features Artur Szpilka against Errol Zimmerman. Both fighters are looking to make a statement in the heavyweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters have a relatively short MMA career, with Szpilka having a 3-1 record and Zimmerman holding a 1-1 record. Szpilka may have a slight advantage due to more experience.
There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is in Poland, which might slightly favor Szpilka due to home crowd support.
Both fighters are highly motivated, as winning could significantly boost their careers.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Artur Szpilka: 130, Errol Zimmerman: -170
Errol Zimmerman
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Errol Zimmerman -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Errol Zimmerman at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the odds and experience, Szpilka may have a slight edge.
Predicted Score: Decision or early finish by Errol Zimmerman.
Middleweight clash between veteran Krzysztof Jotko (25-6-1) and OKTAGON WW champion Ion Surdu (16-6). Surdu shows KO dominance (11 KOs), while Jotko relies on decisions (14 wins) and holds a significant experience edge.
Key Factors to Consider
Surdu: 11/16 wins by KO | Jotko: 14/25 wins by decision
No direct H2H history per available records[1][3][5]
No reported injuries in available data[2][4]
Weight difference notable (Jotko last weighed 93kg vs Surdu's 78kg, though likely typo as both listed at ~185cm height[5])
Surdu defending champion status vs Jotko's experience against higher-level competition
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Surdu -150 | Jotko +110
Jotko moneyline (+110)
★★★☆☆ 60%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ion Surdu 16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ion Surdu at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jotko by decision (55% confidence) – Superior technical striking and cardio likely to overcome Surdu's power in later rounds
Predicted Score: Jotko via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
The bout between Igor Michaliszyn and Artur Szczepaniak is a main card Welterweight division fight at the KSW 105 event in Gliwice, Poland. Both fighters are Polish, with comparable height and reach, and are closely matched in skill and experience within the KSW promotion.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters have demonstrated solid performances in their recent fights with aggressive striking and grappling skills. Michaliszyn has a slight edge in recent form with consistent finishes, whereas Szczepaniak is known for his technical striking and resilience.
There is no recorded direct head-to-head match between Igor Michaliszyn and Artur Szczepaniak, making this encounter a fresh contest to establish superiority.
No publicly available data indicates any current injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading into this match.
The fight being held in Poland provides a home advantage for both fighters, potentially neutralizing crowd support but adding pressure due to local expectations.
Both fighters are highly motivated to gain recognition within KSW's welterweight division, making the stakes high for career advancement and rankings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Artur Szczepaniak: -105, Igor Michaliszyn: -135
Igor Michaliszyn
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Michaliszyn -1.5: -110, Szczepaniak +1.5: -110
Michaliszyn -1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105
Under 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 55%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Igor Michaliszyn 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Igor Michaliszyn at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Igor Michaliszyn’s slight recent form advantage and more favorable odds, he is predicted to win this closely contested fight. However, the match could be competitive and may end by decision or late stoppage.
Predicted Score: Michaliszyn wins by unanimous decision or late round TKO
The upcoming MMA match between Dominik Humburger and Samuel Kristofic will take place as the main event of OKTAGON 70. It is a Middleweight division fight scheduled for three rounds.
Key Factors to Consider
Detailed performance metrics for both fighters are not provided, but Samuel Kristofic is favored in the moneyline odds, indicating he may have a stronger recent performance or overall record.
There is no available head-to-head data between Dominik Humburger and Samuel Kristofic.
No information about injuries affecting either fighter is available.
Environmental factors such as venue could influence the match, but specific impacts are not detailed.
Motivation for both fighters should be high as they compete in a significant main event.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Dominik Humburger: 105, Samuel Kristofic: -145
Samuel Kristofic
★★★★☆ 75%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Samuel Kristofic -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Samuel Kristofic at -12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on moneyline odds, Samuel Kristofic is likely to win this match.
Predicted Score: Samuel Kristofic is favored to win by decision or knockout.
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Welterweight main card bout between Czech Republic's Andrej Kalašnik (height 188cm, reach 188cm) and Hungary's Máté Kertész (height 183cm, reach 183cm, record 15-8-0). Kertesz trains at BSK Crossfight Budapest.
Key Factors to Consider
No historical performance data available for Kalašnik. Kertesz brings significant experience with 23 professional fights.
First recorded meeting between fighters
No injury reports available
Standard Octagon MMA rules apply. No location-specific factors specified.
Kertesz seeks to improve 15-8 record. Kalašnik's career status unclear from available data.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kertesz by decision (55% confidence) due to experience edge, though limited data makes this speculative
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Matthew Elliott and Kenny Mokhonoana are set to face off in a Featherweight bout as part of Cage Warriors CW 188 in Dublin. Both fighters will look to showcase their skills in the early prelims.
Key Factors to Consider
The performance of both fighters will largely depend on their recent form and past performances in the Featherweight division. Elliott's aggression and Mokhonoana's defensive skills could play crucial roles.
There is no reported previous match between Matthew Elliott and Kenny Mokhonoana, making this a new encounter with no clear edge due to past results.
No reported injuries have been noted for either fighter, which could mean both are approaching the bout at full strength.
The crowd in Dublin may favor local fighters, but this match involves international participants, potentially reducing home-team advantages.
Both fighters will be highly motivated to secure a win, as a victory can significantly boost their career momentum in Cage Warriors.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the lack of head-to-head data, predictions lean towards the fighter with a stronger recent performance record or who is perceived to have a slight physical advantage. Without specific statistics or odds listed, it's challenging to make a precise prediction.
Predicted Score: Decision victory for either fighter, with a slight lean towards Kenny Mokhonoana based on youth and reach advantage.
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Location: Cage Warriors Event Venue (exact location not specified)
Game Overview
The upcoming MMA bout between Adam Darby (Ireland) and Tomasz Łangowski (Poland) is a Welterweight prelim fight as part of the Cage Warriors 188 event. Both fighters have similar physical profiles, with Darby standing at 190 cm and Łangowski at 185 cm tall, showcasing comparable reach dynamics. The fight has attracted attention due to the fighters' recent form and balanced skill sets. Detailed fight statistics such as strikes per zone, grappling, and takedown data are available but not fully disclosed here.
Key Factors to Consider
Adam Darby has demonstrated consistent performance in his recent fights, maintaining a solid defensive stance combined with effective striking. Tomasz Łangowski also presents strong striking and grappling capabilities. Neither fighter holds a clear advantage but Darby’s slight height and reach edge may influence stand-up exchanges.
No prior head-to-head fights recorded between Adam Darby and Tomasz Łangowski, making this their first competitive bout against each other.
No publicly available reports indicate injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both are entering the fight in good physical condition.
The fight is taking place under Cage Warriors rules, which typically emphasize striking and grappling balance. Both athletes fight on neutral ground with no home advantage. No travel or environmental issues have been reported.
Both fighters aim to solidify their position within the Welterweight division in Cage Warriors. Darby may have slightly higher motivation given his recent momentum and desire to break into higher rankings, while Łangowski seeks to capitalize on this opportunity for international recognition.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Adam Darby: -145, Tomasz Łangowski: +125, Draw: +2500
Adam Darby to win
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Adam Darby -1.5 rounds: -110, Tomasz Łangowski +1.5 rounds: -110
Adam Darby to win within 2 rounds
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100
Fight to go over 2.5 rounds
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Home 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Adam Darby is favored to win due to his slight physical advantages, consistent recent performances, and potential reach superiority. The fight is expected to be competitive and possibly decided by striking effectiveness or ground control.
Predicted Score: Adam Darby wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3 or 4
The upcoming MMA match between Augusto Sakai and Szymon Bajor is highly anticipated. Augusto Sakai, known for his strong performances in the heavyweight division, faces a challenging opponent in Szymon Bajor.
Key Factors to Consider
Augusto Sakai has a strong background with recent fights against notable opponents. Szymon Bajor has shown resilience but might be at a disadvantage given Sakai's recent performance trajectory.
There is no prior match history between these two fighters, which could make for an unpredictable contest.
No significant injury reports for either fighter have been noted up to this point.
Home advantage might not play a significant role since the venue details are not specified.
Both fighters are likely highly motivated, but Sakai's experience and recent performances might give him a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Sakai: -450, Bajor: 275
Augusto Sakai
★★★★☆ 70%
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Augusto Sakai -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Augusto Sakai is favored to win this contest due to his recent performances and experience.
The upcoming match between Marek Mazuch and Piotr Wawrzyniak is set to take place in the OKTAGON MMA event, with Mazuch facing off against Wawrzyniak on the main card. The fight promises to be intense, given the competitive odds and the high-profile nature of the event.
Key Factors to Consider
Both fighters are likely to come in well-prepared, with recent performances influencing the odds. However, specific stats are not available.
No previous head-to-head matches reported.
No injury reports have been highlighted for either fighter.
The event's location and audience could impact fighter performance, but details are scarce.
Both fighters should be highly motivated given the profile of the event.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Marek Mazuch: +145, Piotr Wawrzyniak: -185
Piotr Wawrzyniak
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Piotr Wawrzyniak -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Piotr Wawrzyniak at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Piotr Wawrzyniak is favored to win due to the moneyline odds.
