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Michal Michalski vs. Andi Vrtacic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michal Michalski vs Andi Vrtacic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw

Game Overview

This KSW 109 MMA main card fight features Michal Michalski versus Andi Vrtacic, two skilled middleweights with contrasting styles. Michalski is considered the slight favorite going into this sanctioned bout, demonstrating solid recent performances in the promotion, while Vrtacic brings a resilient and strategic approach, intending to capitalize on any openings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Michal Michalski has displayed consistent form with precise striking and grappling transitions, leading to favorable odds. Andi Vrtacic, despite being the underdog, has shown improvements and resilience in recent fights, making this matchup competitive.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Michalski and Vrtacic are recorded, introducing an element of unpredictability in stylistic matchups and strategy.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter at this time, suggesting both competitors will perform at their expected physical capacities.
  • The fight takes place at ATM Studio in Warsaw, granting Michalski a probable home crowd advantage and familiarity with local conditions. Vrtacic has recently returned from a recovery period, potentially impacting his ring rust or motivation.
  • Vrtacic shows strong motivation for a career-defining win returning to spotlight on a prominent KSW card. Michalski seeks to maintain his winning momentum and solidify his standing within the promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Michal Michalski: -135, Andi Vrtacic: -105 Michal Michalski ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Michal Michalski: -1.5 rounds @ -115, Andi Vrtacic: +1.5 rounds @ -105 Michal Michalski -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michal Michalski 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michal Michalski at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Michalski is favored to win by a decision due to his technical superiority and crowd advantage, with an expected closely contested bout.

Predicted Score: Michal Michalski wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Piotr Kuberski vs. Radoslaw Paczuski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Piotr Kuberski vs Radoslaw Paczuski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

KSW 109 features a highly anticipated middleweight title fight between Piotr Kuberski and Radoslaw Paczuski. Kuberski, with a strong record of 16-1-0, challenges Paczuski, the reigning middleweight champion, who holds an 8-2-0 record. The bout is scheduled for five rounds at 185 lbs and is the main event of the evening.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kuberski enters the fight with a high winning ratio and dominance in previous matchups, while Paczuski is known for his resilience and championship experience. Kuberski's superior winning record indicates consistent performance, whereas Paczuski's two losses suggest he can be vulnerable but has championship pressure experience.
  • No direct previous encounters have been recorded between Kuberski and Paczuski, making this a first-time matchup that adds uncertainty to predictions.
  • No current injury reports or fitness concerns have been noted for either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are expected to be at peak condition.
  • The fight venue in Warsaw may offer a home advantage for Kuberski, who is Polish, potentially impacting crowd support and fighter morale.
  • Kuberski is highly motivated to claim the middleweight title, marking a career milestone, whereas Paczuski aims to defend his championship status, which provides strong incentive for both fighters.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Piotr Kuberski: -350, Radoslaw Paczuski: 225 Piotr Kuberski ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Piotr Kuberski: -1.5, Radoslaw Paczuski: +1.5 Piotr Kuberski to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 1.80, under: 2.00 Over 4.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Piotr Kuberski 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Piotr Kuberski at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Piotr Kuberski is favored to win the match due to his superior record, physical condition, and home advantage. The prediction leans toward Kuberski securing a victory either by decision or stoppage within five rounds.

Predicted Score: Kuberski wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 4 or 5


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Alain Van De Merckt vs. Borys Dzikowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alain Van De Merckt vs Borys Dzikowski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: KSW 109, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

The upcoming middleweight bout between Alain Van De Merckt and Borys Dzikowski at KSW 109 promises a competitive matchup given their contrasting fighting records and styles. Van De Merckt, aged 32, has an 8-1-0 record with notable submission skills, while 27-year-old Dzikowski holds a 4-2-0 record, favoring striking with multiple KO/TKO wins. The fight will test Dzikowski's reach advantage against Van De Merckt's grappling proficiency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Van De Merckt is the more experienced and accomplished fighter with 8 wins predominantly by submissions (5) and KO/TKO (3), compared to Dzikowski's 4 wins, mainly striking-based with 2 KOs and 2 decisions. Van De Merckt has only 1 loss, indicating strong consistency and durability. Dzikowski has 2 losses, suggesting some vulnerabilities. The fighters' recent performances show Van De Merckt as the favorite in skill adaptability.
  • This will be their first recorded meeting; thus, no head-to-head history exists to provide direct matchup insight.
  • No publicly available information indicates either fighter is entering the bout with any injury concerns.
  • The fight is taking place at KSW 109 in Warsaw, Poland. Dzikowski is Polish, which could provide a psychological advantage from the home crowd, whereas Van De Merckt is presumably the away competitor. This local support could factor into Dzikowski's motivation and performance.
  • Dzikowski, as the hometown fighter with fewer career wins, may be highly motivated to prove himself on a big stage. Van De Merckt, with a stronger record and higher betting odds in his favor, will be motivated to maintain his winning momentum and status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alain Van De Merckt: -200, Borys Dzikowski: 150 Alain Van De Merckt to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Alain Van De Merckt: -1.5, Borys Dzikowski: +1.5 Van De Merckt by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 rounds (suggesting a stoppage finish before full three 5-minute rounds) ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alain Van De Merckt 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alain Van De Merckt at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alain Van De Merckt is more likely to win due to his superior experience, proven submission ability, and better overall record. While Dzikowski's reach and youth provide upside, Van De Merckt's grappling and finishing capability give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Van De Merckt wins by submission in round 2


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Kerim Engizek vs. Mick Stanton Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kerim Engizek vs Mick Stanton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Prague, Czech Republic

Game Overview

The match between Kerim Engizek and Mick Stanton is a high-stakes quarterfinal in the Tipsport Gamechanger tournament at OKTAGON 74, featuring the undefeated German middleweight champion Engizek with a 15-fight winning streak against the English grappling specialist Mick Stanton, a two-time Cage Warriors champion. Engizek is known for his knockout power, while Stanton relies on his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu black belt and ground game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kerim Engizek is undefeated in OKTAGON and has an impressive 15-fight winning streak, displaying strong striking and KO power. Mick Stanton is a seasoned veteran and grappling expert with a black belt in BJJ and two Cage Warriors titles, making him dangerous on the ground.
  • No previous direct fights reported between Engizek and Stanton. The fight represents a classic striker vs grappler clash with contrasting styles.
  • No current injury reports for either fighter have been found from available data.
  • The fight takes place in Prague for the OKTAGON 74 event, with a substantial prize of 1 million euros creating high motivation and pressure. Both fighters’ legacies and financial incentives add intensity to the bout.
  • Engizek aims to extend his undefeated streak and claim the tournament prize, while Stanton, known for confidently calling Engizek his easiest opponent, is highly motivated to upset the champion using his grappling skills.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kerim Engizek: -260, Mick Stanton: 175 Kerim Engizek to win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds (-130), Mick Stanton +1.5 rounds (+110) Kerim Engizek -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kerim Engizek -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kerim Engizek at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans slightly toward Kerim Engizek to win by knockout or technical knockout due to his undefeated record and striking dominance. However, Mick Stanton’s grappling and submission skills present a significant threat, making a submission victory a plausible alternate outcome.

Predicted Score: Kerim Engizek wins by KO/TKO in round 2


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Mark De La Rosa vs. Dominik Humburger Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mark De La Rosa vs Dominik Humburger – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Mark De La Rosa faces Dominik Humburger in a Middleweight MMA bout on August 8, 2025. De La Rosa, favored with a strong moneyline, has a solid record and experience in the UFC. Humburger, a Czech professional with a 10-2 record known for aggressive style, will be a challenging opponent. This fight presents a classic matchup of De La Rosa's experience versus Humburger's youthful aggression.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mark De La Rosa has a consistent fight history with UFC-level experience, while Dominik Humburger is an emerging fighter with a 10-2 record, Czech middleweight champion, and known for aggressive striking and determination.
  • No direct previous fights or head-to-head data available between Mark De La Rosa and Dominik Humburger.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight is part of a main card event in the Middleweight division occurring in early August 2025. No venue or environmental factors noted that might affect performance.
  • Mark De La Rosa looks to maintain his standing and capitalize on his experience, while Dominik Humburger is motivated as a rising fighter aiming to establish dominance in higher-profile matches.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -320, away: 210 Mark De La Rosa ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark De La Rosa 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark De La Rosa at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark De La Rosa is favored to win due to experience and current betting odds, though Humburger's aggressive style could make the fight competitive.

Predicted Score: Mark De La Rosa to win by decision or late stoppage, reflecting his technical experience over Humburger's aggression.


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Krzysztof Jotko vs. Marek Mazuch Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Krzysztof Jotko vs Marek Mazuch – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA Event Venue (specific location not provided)

Game Overview

The fight features UFC veteran Krzysztof Jotko (26-6-0-1NC) against Oktagon middleweight contender Marek Mazuch (9-3-0). Scheduled for August 8, 2025, the bout is part of OKTAGON 74. Jotko has a significant experience advantage, with a record that includes multiple decision wins reflecting durability and technical skill. Mazuch is younger and less experienced but has shown power with 5 KO/TKO wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jotko’s career is marked by consistent decision victories (15 out of 26 wins), indicating strong endurance and strategic fighting. Mazuch relies more on KO power with 5 of his 9 wins by KO/TKO, though his decision wins are fewer (2). Jotko has fought at a higher competition level, including UFC bouts, suggesting a competitive edge.
  • No prior fights recorded between Krzysztof Jotko and Marek Mazuch, both fighters bring their distinct styles and resumes into this first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the fight.
  • The bout is part of the Oktagon MMA promotion, which may impact fight conditions, but no specific external factors such as travel issues or altitude affecting either fighter noted.
  • Jotko appears motivated to assert his veteran status by finishing Mazuch, aiming to avoid leaving the outcome to decision. Mazuch's motivation stems from continuing his ascent in OKTAGON and proving himself against a UFC veteran.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Krzysztof Jotko: -600, Marek Mazuch: 350 Krzysztof Jotko ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Krzysztof Jotko: -1.5, Marek Mazuch: +1.5 Krzysztof Jotko to win by more than 1.5 rounds difference (implying a clear win) ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Over 2.5 rounds, expecting a tactical fight lasting beyond early rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Krzysztof Jotko -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Krzysztof Jotko at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Krzysztof Jotko is favored to win by decision or late stoppage, leveraging his experience and tactical fight IQ to neutralize Mazuch's power.

Predicted Score: Krzysztof Jotko wins by decision after 3 or more rounds


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Kamil Oniszczuk vs. David Zawada Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kamil Oniszczuk vs David Zawada – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: OKTAGON MMA event (venue not explicitly stated)

Game Overview

This Middleweight division bout between Kamil Oniszczuk and David Zawada is the main card fight at OKTAGON MMA on August 9, 2025. Oniszczuk is known for his striking ability, while Zawada has an edge in grappling and experience in major promotions. The bout has a strong competitive angle with both fighters having solid records and contrasting strengths.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kamil Oniszczuk has demonstrated strong striking skills and recent performances favor him in betting odds. David Zawada is a seasoned fighter with grappling expertise and significant experience in leading MMA promotions, indicating durability and strategy depth.
  • There is no confirmed prior head-to-head matchup data available explicitly. Both fighters come from different backgrounds with contrasting fight styles, which makes the bout stylistically intriguing.
  • No publicly reported injuries or fitness issues were indicated for either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The fight is held under OKTAGON MMA, a well-regarded European promotion with a strong fan base. No obvious external factors such as location bias or environmental concerns have been noted.
  • Both fighters have high motivation to prove themselves — Oniszczuk to solidify his standing via striking dominance, and Zawada to leverage experience and grappling to pull off an upset on major promotional ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -170, away: 130 Kamil Oniszczuk ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread oniszczuk_spread: -1.5 Oniszczuk to cover the -1.5 rounds/points spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: 1.9, under_2.5_rounds: 1.9 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kamil Oniszczuk 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kamil Oniszczuk at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kamil Oniszczuk to win by decision or technical knockout, leveraging superior striking, but a cautious approach is warranted given Zawada's grappling skills.

Predicted Score: Oniszczuk wins by unanimous decision or TKO within 3 to 4 rounds


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Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Rodolfo Vieira and Tresean Gore face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 108. Vieira is a highly decorated Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu multiple-time world champion turned MMA fighter known for his grappling dominance and submission finishes. Gore is a switch stance dynamic prospect with solid boxing and Muay Thai skills and some submission capabilities. Vieira's fight strategy focuses on ground control and submissions, with all UFC wins via submission. Gore is a versatile striker and capable grappler but tends to allow more significant strikes defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodolfo Vieira holds a 10-3 record and averages 3.33 significant strikes per minute with a 55% strike accuracy and allows 4.40 strikes per minute to opponents, defending 49% of incoming strikes. Tresean Gore holds a 6-3 record with 2.77 significant strikes landed per minute at 46% accuracy, but defensively he is less effective, allowing 8.16 strikes per minute and defending only 39% of strikes.
  • The fighters have not faced each other previously, so no direct matchup data exists.
  • No significant injury reports or recent physical issues have been reported for either fighter before this bout.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both fighters. Vieira is slightly older (35) compared to Gore (31), but Vieira has a slight reach disadvantage (73" vs 75"). Training camps and motivational factors appear stable with no reported disruptions.
  • Vieira aims to add to his submission-heavy winning record and maintain status as a top grappler in MMA. Gore is motivated to validate his prospect status with a win over a decorated grappler and extend his winning streak, showing his evolving ground and striking capabilities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rodolfo Vieira: -198, Tresean Gore: 164 Rodolfo Vieira ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Rodolfo Vieira: -3.5 -140, Tresean Gore: +3.5 100 Rodolfo Vieira -3.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: 114 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rodolfo Vieira -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Vieira is predicted to win by submission or ground dominance given his elite grappling pedigree and strong defensive striking stats. Tresean Gore will rely on striking and dynamic movement, but his defensive liability and lower grappling credentials decrease his odds. Vieira is favored to control the fight pace and finish on the ground.

Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission in Round 2


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Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

The MMA matchup at UFC Vegas 108 features Kevin Vallejos versus Danny Silva in the featherweight division (145 lbs). Vallejos enters with a 15-1 record, is 23 years old, with a 5'7" height and 68" reach, known as 'El Chino.' Silva, aged 28, nicknamed 'El Puma,' has a 10-1 record, stands 5'11" tall with a 70" reach. Both are switch fighters and have strong striking stats, but Vallejos has a slight edge in defensive metrics and youth, which may influence the fight outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vallejos holds a superior record (15-1) compared to Silva (10-1). Vallejos connects on 51% of significant strikes at 6.48 per minute and absorbs fewer strikes per minute (5.70), while Silva lands 7.36 strikes per minute with 59% accuracy but takes more hits (7.96 per minute). Vallejos shows better strike defense (57%) than Silva (61%).
  • No prior bouts between Vallejos and Silva have been recorded, making this a first-time encounter. Both fighters have demonstrated strong recent performances, with Vallejos showing momentum and youth advantage.
  • No current injury reports or concerns have been noted for either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue. No significant external factors like travel issues or weight-cutting problems have been reported.
  • Vallejos aims to continue his rapid career progression with a high win rate and youth on his side, while Silva seeks to validate his strong record and fighting skills against a rising contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Danny Silva: +330, Kevin Vallejos: -425 Kevin Vallejos ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Danny Silva: 3.5 @ +165, Kevin Vallejos: -3.5 @ -225 Kevin Vallejos to win by more than 3.5 (dominant performance expected) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120 Over 2.5 rounds (expecting a fight going past two rounds) ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kevin Vallejos -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos is favored to win due to his youth, superior record, and better defensive striking statistics. There is a possibility of a finish on the feet or a decision win for Vallejos if he controls the bout pace and defense effectively.

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by decision or late stoppage after three to four rounds


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Rafael Estevam vs. Felipe Bunes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael Estevam vs Felipe Bunes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rafael Estevam and Felipe Bunes face off in a flyweight bout at UFC Vegas 108. Estevam, undefeated with a 13-0 record, is a 28-year-old orthodox fighter known for his balanced striking and strong defensive metrics. Bunes brings more experience with a 14-7 record and boasts a higher volume striking rate but tends to absorb more damage. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and expected to be a test of Estevam's defense and ground control against Bunes' aggressive striking and submission skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estevam holds a perfect 13-0 record with a solid mix of KO (31%), submissions (23%), and decisions (46%). Bunes has 14 wins with a greater emphasis on submissions (43%) and fewer KO finishes (14%), but carries 7 losses. Estevam has superior significant strike defense, allowing 2.94 strikes per minute compared to Bunes' 7.86. Offensively, Bunes lands more significant strikes per minute (4.49) but less efficiently (53%) than Estevam's 2.06 strikes per minute at 57% accuracy.
  • No direct previous bouts between Rafael Estevam and Felipe Bunes. Records and style contrast serve as the main comparative measure.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight taking place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, allowing Estevam who is younger and possibly more accustomed to high-level UFC environments to have a potential edge. Weight category and fight time (night event) present standard conditions.
  • Estevam aims to extend his undefeated streak to 14-0, bolstering his rising UFC flyweight trajectory. Bunes looks to rebalance his career with a win over a top prospect, leveraging his experience against an undefeated opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Felipe Bunes: +410, Rafael Estevam: -550 Rafael Estevam ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Felipe Bunes +3.5: 140, Rafael Estevam -3.5: -195 Rafael Estevam -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -154, Under 2.5 rounds: 120 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rafael Estevam -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rafael Estevam at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rafael Estevam is favored to win due to his undefeated record, better defensive striking stats, younger age, and balanced skill set. The likely outcome is a decision win or possibly a submission, contingent on Estevam's ground dominance.

Predicted Score: Estevam wins via unanimous decision after full 3 rounds


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