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Jayde Sheeley vs. Aline David Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jayde Sheeley vs Aline David – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Seneca Niagara Resort & Casino, Niagara Falls, New York

Game Overview

This is a women's strawweight bout at Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) 223 between Jayde Sheeley (3-2) and Aline David (3-1). The match is scheduled for five three-minute rounds with both fighters weighing in around 115 lbs. Sheeley, a police officer and daughter of K-1 fighter Scott Sheeley, has a grappling advantage with two submission wins but recently lost a decision in the same arena. David, fighting out of Los Angeles and a black belt in Muay Thai, is coming off a highlight KO victory with a 12-second front kick knockout and has demonstrated striking power and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jayde Sheeley has a balanced record with a strong submission game, while Aline David has more recent momentum with a 12-second KO 'of the year' contender and back-to-back wins, including strikes leading to a KO and submission. Sheeley has more fights but less recent dominance.
  • No direct previous matchups noted between Sheeley and David.
  • No reported injuries or weight issues for either fighter; both made weight properly at 115.2 and 115.4 lbs respectively.
  • The bout takes place in New York at a major LFA event. Sheeley has home region support from Ohio and perhaps more experience with the venue, but David trains at a well-regarded LA gym with a strong striking background. No travel or significant external stress reported.
  • Sheeley seeks to rebound from a recent decision loss on the same stage to re-establish her LFA standing. David aims to build on her highlight-reel KO and continuing upward trajectory with a second consecutive stoppage win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aline David: -300, Jayde Sheeley: 220 Aline David β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Aline David -1.5 rounds: -110, Jayde Sheeley +1.5 rounds: -110 Aline David -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -115 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aline David -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given David’s striking superiority, recent form, and finishing ability versus Sheeley’s grappling and experience, the prediction favors an Aline David win by knockout or decision. The momentum and finishing power likely give David an edge despite Sheeley’s durability and submission skill.

Predicted Score: Aline David wins by KO/TKO in Round 3


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Damon Wilson vs. Aiden Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 10:15 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Damon Wilson faces Aiden Lee in the main event of Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, a pivotal featherweight bout with top contender implications. The fight is scheduled for three rounds at 145 lbs and will be broadcast live on UFC Fight Pass. Wilson, known as 'The Nomad', brings a strong record and notable reach advantage, while Lee has a wealth of experience and a recent winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Damon Wilson (9-3) has shown consistent improvement, with a recent run of wins and a reputation for durability and striking. Aiden Lee (13-10) has a more varied record but has won four of his last five fights, demonstrating resilience and adaptability. Wilson's reach and height give him a physical edge, while Lee's experience and recent form suggest he can handle pressure.
  • This is the first meeting between Wilson and Lee. No prior direct matchups or shared opponents with significant recent results are available for direct comparison.
  • No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which may provide a slight home advantage for Lee, who fights out of the UK. The event is part of a high-profile Cage Warriors card, increasing the stakes and media attention.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a top contender spot, with the winner likely to be in line for a title shot. Wilson aims to solidify his status as a rising star, while Lee seeks to prove he remains a top-tier featherweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aiden Lee: 110, Damon Wilson: -150 Damon Wilson Not available
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds at -120, Under 2.5 rounds at +100 Over 2.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Damon Wilson -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Damon Wilson is favored to win due to his physical advantages and recent form. However, Aiden Lee's experience and recent success make him a dangerous opponent. The fight is expected to be competitive, with Wilson likely to edge out a decision or secure a late finish.

Predicted Score: Damon Wilson wins by decision or late finish in round 3


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Chase Hooper vs. Nikola Kacperska Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chase Hooper vs Nikola Kacperska – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: TBA

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA bout features Chase Hooper, a rising UFC lightweight prospect, against Nikola Kacperska, a Polish strawweight fighter with a solid regional record. The matchup is unusual due to the significant weight and experience disparity, with Hooper competing at a higher level and with more high-profile exposure. Kacperska is known for her technical striking and grappling, but faces a steep challenge against Hooper’s well-rounded skill set and UFC pedigree.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chase Hooper has competed in the UFC and Dana White's Contender Series, facing top-tier competition and demonstrating strong grappling and submission skills. Nikola Kacperska has a 3-2 record in regional promotions, with wins over less experienced opponents. Hooper’s resume is far more impressive, with higher-level training and competition.
  • There is no prior head-to-head history between Chase Hooper and Nikola Kacperska. This is their first professional encounter.
  • No recent injuries have been reported for either fighter leading up to this bout.
  • The bout is likely to be contested at a catchweight or with Hooper moving down, which could impact his strength and stamina. Kacperska’s experience is primarily in strawweight, while Hooper is a natural lightweight.
  • Hooper is motivated to rebound from recent setbacks and reestablish himself in the UFC. Kacperska is seeking a breakthrough win against a higher-profile opponent to boost her international profile.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chase Hooper: -200, Nikola Kacperska: 150 Chase Hooper β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Chase Hooper -1.5 Chase Hooper covers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over/Under 2.5 rounds Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chase Hooper 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Chase Hooper at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chase Hooper is favored to win this matchup due to his superior experience, skill set, and competition level. Nikola Kacperska will likely push the pace and test Hooper’s adaptability, but Hooper’s grappling and fight IQ should prevail. The most likely outcome is a decision or submission win for Hooper.

Predicted Score: Chase Hooper wins by decision or submission in round 3


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Jake Woodley vs. Adland Benson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jake Woodley vs Adland Benson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Seneca Niagara Resort and Casino, Niagara Falls, New York, United States

Game Overview

Jake Woodley faces Adland Benson in a Middleweight bout at LFA 223. Both fighters are American, with Woodley entering the fight with a 5-1 professional record and Benson at 6-4. The fight is scheduled for three rounds and is a key matchup on the LFA card, with Woodley favored by the odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jake Woodley has won his last five fights, all by decision, and is known for his wrestling pedigree and strong cardio. Adland Benson has a more varied record, with 5 wins (3 KO/TKO, 2 submission) and 4 losses (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 2 decision). Benson has fought multiple times for LFA and is looking to rebound after a recent loss.
  • There is no prior head-to-head history between Jake Woodley and Adland Benson.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The fight takes place at the Seneca Niagara Resort and Casino, a venue familiar to both fighters. The event is part of the Legacy Fighting Alliance, which typically features regional talent and up-and-coming prospects.
  • Jake Woodley is motivated to continue his winning streak and make a statement in the middleweight division. Adland Benson is looking to get back on track after a recent loss and prove himself against a highly regarded opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adland Benson: 325, Jake Woodley: -550 Jake Woodley Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jake Woodley -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jake Woodley at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Woodley is favored to win this fight due to his recent form, wrestling background, and the odds. Adland Benson has the potential to cause an upset, but Woodley's consistency and skill set make him the likely winner.

Predicted Score: Jake Woodley wins by decision


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Elton Armindo vs. Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Elton Armindo vs Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors 197, Manchester

Game Overview

Elton Armindo, a 23-year-old fighter with a 7-0 record, faces Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo, who holds a 7-1 record, in a featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 197. This is a short-notice matchup with Armindo moving up to featherweight for this competition. Mastrogiacomo enters as the favored fighter based on current betting odds, though Armindo's undefeated record and youth present intriguing contrarian value.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Elton Armindo maintains a perfect 7-0 record with 4 KO/TKO wins, 0 submissions, and 3 decisions, demonstrating well-rounded striking capabilities. Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo counters with a 7-1 record featuring 3 KO/TKO wins, 2 submissions, and 2 decisions, indicating a more diverse offensive arsenal with grappling proficiency. Mastrogiacomo's submission wins represent a technical advantage in ground control.
  • No previous matchup history exists between these fighters. This is their first encounter, eliminating historical data patterns that typically inform prediction confidence.
  • No injury information is publicly available for either fighter at this time. Both competitors are listed as active and scheduled for competition.
  • Armindo is moving up in weight class on short notice, which typically disadvantages the fighter making the jump. This weight class transition for Armindo could impact his strength advantage and cardio efficiency. The event is held at Cage Warriors 197 in Manchester, with the bout airing exclusively on UFC Fight Pass.
  • Mastrogiacomo appears motivated to maintain his elite status and leverage his slight betting favorite positioning. Armindo has significant motivation to prove his undefeated record transcends weight classes and establish himself as a legitimate threat in the featherweight division despite limited preparation time.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Elton Armindo -135 | Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo -105 Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo is predicted to win this bout via decision or submission. His technical grappling advantage, prior fight experience at this weight class, and favorable odds positioning suggest a likely victory. However, Armindo's perfect record and knockout power create meaningful upset potential, particularly if he quickly establishes striking range before potential grappling exchanges.

Predicted Score: Mastrogiacomo 29-28 or submission win in Round 2. Alternative scenario: Armindo 30-27 by decision if he controls striking exchanges and avoids takedowns.


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Damiano Scogna vs. Richard Kallos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Damiano Scogna vs Richard Kallos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 8:35 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

The Bantamweight main card fight between Damiano Scogna and Richard Kallos is scheduled for three rounds at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Scogna enters with a record of 5-1-1, including a mix of KO and submission wins, while Kallos holds a record of 4-2, with a strong submission profile. This matchup is set at the BEC Arena in Manchester and is part of Cage Warriors' exclusive invite-only event.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Damiano Scogna has a slightly better overall record (5-1-1) than Richard Kallos (4-2), with 33% of his wins by KO/TKO and 50% by submission. Kallos has a high submission rate (67% of wins). Scogna's recent form and ability to finish fights either by strikes or submissions indicate versatile skills. Both fighters have strong grappling threats, with Scogna more balanced between striking and submission.
  • No record of previous direct encounters between Scogna and Kallos is found, making this their first official fight against each other.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The fight takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester during an invite-only Cage Warriors event, which might add pressure but also motivation for both fighters to perform well in a prestigious setting.
  • Both fighters are motivated to advance their careers in the competitive Bantamweight division; Scogna is slightly favored in betting markets, suggesting he may have greater confidence or momentum. Kallos may be motivated to overcome the betting underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Damiano Scogna: -700, Richard Kallos: 400 Damiano Scogna β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Damiano Scogna: -1.5 rounds favored, Richard Kallos: +1.5 rounds Damiano Scogna to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds (likely finish before full 3 rounds) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Damiano Scogna -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Damiano Scogna at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damiano Scogna is favored to win due to his slightly superior record, more diverse fight-ending skills, and stronger betting support (-700 moneyline). The prediction confidence is moderately high given no prior head-to-head data but supported by current form and odds.

Predicted Score: Damiano Scogna wins via submission or TKO in round 2


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Manuel Del Valle vs. Pedro Henrique Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Pedro Henrique – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 8:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Manchester, England, Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged

Game Overview

The fight is a Welterweight (170 lbs) bout scheduled for 3 rounds at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, with Manuel Del Valle facing Pedro Henrique Dias. Del Valle enters the fight with a record of 5 wins and 1 loss, while Henrique Dias has 3 wins and 2 losses. The bout pits two aggressive fighters with a propensity for KO/TKO finishes, especially Del Valle, who has a higher KO rate and fewer losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manuel Del Valle has a stronger overall record (5-1) compared to Pedro Henrique Dias (3-2). Del Valle's wins include 3 KOs and 1 submission, showing versatility in finishing fights. Henrique Dias has fewer wins and more losses, with a notable number of KO losses. Del Valle's recent form and finishing ability give him an edge.
  • No documented prior encounters between Manuel Del Valle and Pedro Henrique Dias; this is a first-time matchup, adding an element of uncertainty.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are in expected optimal condition for the fight.
  • The fight is held in Manchester, England, relatively neutral territory for both fighters, minimizing home advantage impact. Both fighters are competing on the preliminary card streamed on UFC Fight Pass, indicating medium-profile event pressure.
  • Both fighters aim to enhance their standing within Cage Warriors with victories. Del Valle, as the favorite with a superior record and finishing power, likely has strong motivation to maintain momentum. Henrique Dias is motivated to upset the odds and improve a less dominant record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manuel Del Valle: -450, Pedro Henrique: 275 Manuel Del Valle β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Manuel Del Valle -1.5: -120, Pedro Henrique +1.5: 100 Manuel Del Valle covers the spread (-1.5 rounds) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manuel Del Valle -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is strongly favored to win via KO/TKO or decision due to his superior record, higher finishing rate, and status as betting favorite. Pedro Henrique Dias, while dangerous, is less likely to overcome Del Valle’s striking and fight control. Expect Del Valle to control the pace and secure a finish or safe decision win.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins by KO/TKO in round 2


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Jake McHugh vs. Seyed Hossein Mousavi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jake McHugh vs Seyed Hossein Mousavi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Manchester, England, Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged

Game Overview

Jake McHugh and Seyed Hossein Mousavi are scheduled to face off in a 3-round featherweight bout at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Both fighters have similar professional records of 3 wins and 1 loss. The fight features stylized contrasts: McHugh has more submission wins while Mousavi boasts more KO/TKO victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jake McHugh holds a 3-1 record with a strong submission rate (50%) and no KO/TKO wins, indicating a grappling and ground game focus. Seyed Hossein Mousavi shares a 3-1 record but has demonstrated 50% KO/TKO finishes, suggesting striking power advantage alongside some submission skills.
  • No prior head-to-head meeting recorded between Jake McHugh and Seyed Hossein Mousavi.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Manchester, England under the Cage Warriors Fighting Championship banner, a prominent European MMA organization. Both fighters appear motivated, with social media and public statements indicating readiness and confidence. Mousavi’s last recorded fight was on September 13, 2025.
  • Both fighters are coming into this high-profile Cage Warriors event focused on advancing their featherweight standing. Social media activity suggests Jake McHugh is highly motivated with visible public support and confidence. Mousavi’s motivation is underscored by his recent activity and KO power.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jake McHugh: -300, Seyed Hossein Mousavi: 200 Jake McHugh β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Jake McHugh: -1.5 rounds, Seyed Hossein Mousavi: +1.5 rounds Jake McHugh to win by clear margin β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: EV (even odds), Under 2.5 rounds: EV (even odds) Under 2.5 rounds due to potential early submission or KO finish β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jake McHugh -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Jake McHugh at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake McHugh is favored to win based on grappling dominance and the moneyline odds. However, Mousavi's KO power makes the contest competitive, with a potential for an upset if he capitalizes on striking opportunities.

Predicted Score: Jake McHugh wins by submission in round 2


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Anthony Orozco vs. Evaldo Santos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Anthony Orozco vs Evaldo Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 21, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Anthony Orozco vs Evaldo Santos is a welterweight (170 lbs) main event bout at Cage Warriors 197 in Manchester. Orozco enters as a significant favorite with an undefeated record, while Santos brings more experience with a well-rounded record. This matchup represents a notable step up in competition for Orozco against a seasoned opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Anthony Orozco holds an impressive 8-0 record with 4 KO/TKO wins and 4 decisions, demonstrating both striking power and well-rounded skills. Evaldo Santos has a more extensive career record of 17-7-1 (with 1 NC) featuring 8 KO/TKO wins, 1 submission, and 3 decisions, showcasing significant striking volume and finishing ability across his career.
  • No prior head-to-head history exists between these fighters. This is their first matchup.
  • No injury information is available from the search results for either fighter at this time.
  • This bout serves as the main event of Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged in Manchester, indicating promotional emphasis on this matchup. The event's 'Unplugged' designation suggests a special format or presentation. Notably, one search result indicates this bout was listed as 'Cancelled' though current betting odds and event information suggest the bout is scheduled to proceed.
  • Orozco continues his perfect record pursuit and faces his most experienced opponent to date, providing significant motivation for an impressive victory. Santos seeks to prove himself against undefeated competition and potentially secure a notable upset victory that could elevate his standing in the promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Anthony Orozco -4000 | Evaldo Santos +1600 Anthony Orozco Victory β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds at -140 | Under 1.5 Rounds at -160 Over 1.5 Rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Anthony Orozco 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 40%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Orozco is predicted to secure a victory via decision or early finish against Evaldo Santos. While Santos brings more experience and proven finishing power, Orozco's undefeated record, well-rounded skill set, and the extreme betting odds suggest the bookmakers and market perceive a significant skill advantage favoring the younger, undefeated fighter. However, the extreme moneyline odds indicate substantial uncertainty in the market regarding value.

Predicted Score: Anthony Orozco wins by Decision (29-28 or 30-27) or TKO in Round 2


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Marc-Philippe Ngatchou vs. Yusuf Nazokatov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Marc-Philippe Ngatchou vs Yusuf Nazokatov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-21
  • Time: 6:55 PM UTC
  • Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

The match between Marc-Philippe Ngatchou and Yusuf Nazokatov is scheduled as a lightweight bout (155 lbs) for Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. It is set for three rounds under standard CWFC rules. Ngatchou enters with a professional record of 1-1-0, showing a striking-heavy style, while Nazokatov holds a 2-2-0 record, known for a balanced approach with grappling and striking skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ngatchou has demonstrated strong striking power though without recorded KOs/TKOs yet; his sole loss came by decision. Nazokatov has been less consistent with a 2-2 record, including a KO/TKO loss, but brings technical grappling which could neutralize Ngatchou's stand-up advantage.
  • This fight marks their first professional meeting with no previous direct encounters.
  • No reported injuries or cancellations affecting either fighter ahead of this match.
  • The fight takes place in a neutral venue, BEC Arena in Manchester, potentially benefiting neither fighter. Both appear motivated based on social media and fight preparations.
  • Ngatchou aims to assert himself with striking dominance, while Nazokatov looks to leverage grappling to control the fight dynamics. Both fighters seem eager to improve their standings in the lightweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Marc-Philippe Ngatchou: -300, Yusuf Nazokatov: 200 Marc-Philippe Ngatchou β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Ngatchou: -1.5, Nazokatov: +1.5 Ngatchou to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marc-Philippe Ngatchou -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Marc-Philippe Ngatchou at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marc-Philippe Ngatchou is favored to win by decision or possibly a late finish due to his striking edge, but Yusuf Nazokatov’s grappling could extend the fight and limit Ngatchou’s power shots, making a close decision likely.

Predicted Score: Ngatchou wins by decision 29-28


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