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Alexander O'Sullivan vs. Manuel Lancioli Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alexander O'Sullivan vs Manuel Lancioli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PalaPellicone, Rome

Game Overview

The lightweight matchup between Alexander O'Sullivan and Manuel Lancioli features a contrast of styles, with O'Sullivan known for striking power and Lancioli excelling in grappling and endurance. O'Sullivan's heavy favorite status is reflected in the moneyline odds, while Lancioli offers significant value as the underdog in submission attempts.

Key Factors to Consider

  • O'Sullivan has consistently demonstrated knockout power with a strong recent winning streak, including a unanimous decision win over Lancioli previously. Lancioli shows durability and grappling prowess but has struggled to finish top opponents.
  • O'Sullivan holds a unanimous decision victory over Lancioli (29-28 across judges) from a prior encounter, suggesting a tactical edge in their direct matchup.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both should be at full health.
  • Fighting in Rome at Cage Warriors 195, O'Sullivan may have fewer local fans than Lancioli, an Italian favorite, but his professional experience offsets crowd advantage.
  • O'Sullivan aims to solidify dominance and pursue higher-profile fight opportunities, while Lancioli seeks an upset on home soil to boost his standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -1700 / +875 Alexander O'Sullivan ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread +1.5 Lancioli +275, -1.5 O'Sullivan -400 Alexander O'Sullivan -1.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 +135, Under 1.5 -155 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alexander O'Sullivan -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander O'Sullivan to win by decision

Predicted Score: Alexander O'Sullivan wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Pietro Mochetti vs. Jack Foote Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Pietro Mochetti vs Jack Foote – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Palapellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Pietro Mochetti faces Jack Foote at Cage Warriors 195 in a bantamweight contest. Mochetti is a striking specialist with recent strong momentum, while Foote relies on grappling and ground control, supported by strong endurance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mochetti has shown consistent striking dominance in recent bouts with good defense and pace control. Foote’s grappling-heavy approach has been effective but faces challenges dealing with high-level striking pressure.
  • No recorded direct H2H matchup exists between Mochetti and Foote, making fight dynamics reliant on stylistic matchup analysis.
  • No recent reports of injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The bout takes place in Rome, Italy, potentially favoring Mochetti due to proximity and possible crowd support. Both fighters appear equally prepared with no notable external disruptions.
  • Mochetti has momentum from recent performances and looks to extend his rising trajectory, while Foote aims to impose his grappling to secure a definitive win and improve ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -140, away: +120 Mochetti ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mochetti -1.5: -115, Foote +1.5: -105 Mochetti -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: +130, Under 2.5: -150 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Pietro Mochetti 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pietro Mochetti at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pietro Mochetti to win by decision or KO via striking control.

Predicted Score: Mochetti wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Dylan Hazan vs. Igor Wojtas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dylan Hazan vs Igor Wojtas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors event

Game Overview

Flyweight division main card fight between Dylan Hazan and Igor Wojtas at Cage Warriors 195.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dylan Hazan is the strong favorite with a -400 moneyline, indicating superior recent form and likely better overall skills in this matchup. Igor Wojtas, while respected, shows weaker odds at +300, reflecting underdog status.
  • No direct previous matchups between Hazan and Wojtas are recorded, reducing head-to-head impact but focusing more on recent form and stylistic matchup data.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter leading into the bout, implying both are at full health.
  • Both fighters are competing under standard Cage Warriors conditions without notable external disruptions or advantage factors such as home crowd edge.
  • As a main card fight in a prominent regional promotion, motivation is expected to be high for both fighters; Hazan’s favorite status may offer additional confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +300 Dylan Hazan ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -1.5, away: +1.5 Dylan Hazan -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dylan Hazan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dylan Hazan moneyline win, with under 2.5 rounds total

Predicted Score: Dylan Hazan wins by finish in round 2


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Daniele Battaglia vs. Theodor Berggren Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniele Battaglia vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Palapellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Featherweight bout scheduled for 3 rounds at Cage Warriors 195 featuring Daniele Battaglia and Theodor Berggren.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Theodor Berggren has consistently shown stronger recent form and holds a slight edge on the moneyline odds, reflecting market confidence. Daniele Battaglia has performed well but is the underdog in this matchup.
  • No direct H2H data was found for a previous matchup between these two fighters, indicating this is likely their first encounter.
  • No recent or reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight takes place in Rome, Italy, which is Daniele Battaglia’s home country, possibly providing him with home crowd advantage and motivation.
  • Berggren appears highly motivated to solidify his position as a top featherweight prospect in Cage Warriors, while Battaglia aims to capitalize on home advantage to upset the favored fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniele Battaglia: +185, Theodor Berggren: -220 Theodor Berggren ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds: -145, Daniele Battaglia +1.5 rounds: +125 Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +130, Under 2.5 rounds: -150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Theodor Berggren -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Theodor Berggren to win; Spread: Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Theodor Berggren wins by TKO in Round 2


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Dario Bellandi vs. Claudio Ribeiro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dario Bellandi vs Claudio Ribeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rome

Game Overview

Middleweight (185lbs) title fight for Cage Warriors 195, five rounds. Bellandi (Italy, 9-1-0) is a rising contender with strong recent form and a well-rounded skill set. Ribeiro (Brazil, 13-6-0) is a tough, experienced striker but has shown inconsistency against top grappling pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bellandi has won recent bouts and shown durability and composure under pressure, with a 5-round decision win in his last title fight. Ribeiro has faced tougher UFC-level competition but has struggled against wrestlers and strong athletic grapplers.
  • First professional meeting.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter as of the fight date.
  • Bellandi fights at home, which may provide a cardio and crowd advantage in the championship rounds.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated—Bellandi aiming to cement himself as CW’s top local star, Ribeiro seeking redemption after a tough UFC stint.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: 115 Dario Bellandi by decision (moneyline) Not available
Over/under over: -165, under: 145 Over 1.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dario Bellandi 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dario Bellandi at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bellandi’s grappling, cardio, and hometown edge present significant stylistic challenges for Ribeiro, who struggles when pressured by strong wrestlers.

Predicted Score: Bellandi defeats Ribeiro by unanimous decision (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)


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Luca Borando vs. Tariel Abbasov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Luca Borando vs Tariel Abbasov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Luca Borando vs. Tariel Abbasov is a highly anticipated matchup in the Featherweight division of Cage Warriors 195. Borando is known for his striking power and aggressive style, while Abbasov boasts a strong grappling background and excellent takedown skills. The odds slightly favor Borando, but Abbasov's capabilities on the ground could lead to an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Borando's striking prowess and Abbasov's grappling skills are key factors in this matchup.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the two fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Fight conditions such as referee assignments and crowd influence could impact the outcome.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as this is a significant bout in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luca Borando: -220, Tariel Abbasov: 185 Luca Borando ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 1.5: -185, Under 1.5: 161 Over 1.5 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luca Borando -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luca Borando is favored to win due to his striking advantage, but Tariel Abbasov's grappling could lead to an upset.

Predicted Score: Luca Borando via Split Decision or TKO


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Jaime Cordero vs. Samuel Kristofic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jaime Cordero vs Samuel Kristofic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Jaime Cordero and Samuel Kristofic is a highly anticipated matchup. Cordero, a skilled middleweight with a record of 9-2, is known for his aggressive style and current three-fight finish streak. Kristofic, with a record of 17-7, is a formidable opponent with a strong background in the OKTAGON MMA circuit.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jaime Cordero is on a three-fight finish streak, indicating strong recent form. Samuel Kristofic has a more extensive fight history and is known for his aggression.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups have been recorded between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • The event's atmosphere and fan support could play a role, but specific details are not provided.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Cordero looking to extend his win streak and Kristofic seeking a major victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 for Jaime Cordero, +110 for Samuel Kristofic Jaime Cordero ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Jaime Cordero -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Jaime Cordero at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jaime Cordero is favored to win due to his recent form and aggressive fighting style.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA fights


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Richie Smullen vs. Ivan Buchinger Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Richie Smullen vs Ivan Buchinger – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Tipos Arena, Bratislava

Game Overview

Lightweight division main card fight in Oktagon MMA between Ivan Buchinger and Richie Smullen.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ivan Buchinger has shown consistent striking and grappling balance with effective takedowns and solid striking defense, while Richie Smullen demonstrates strong recent form with aggressive striking but less takedown success.
  • No recorded previous encounters between Buchinger and Smullen, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter that would impact performance.
  • Fight taking place in Bratislava, giving a slight home crowd advantage to Ivan Buchinger (Slovakia).
  • Both fighters are motivated; Buchinger returning home seeking to assert dominance, Smullen aiming to continue upward trajectory in Oktagon MMA lightweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ivan Buchinger: +110, Richie Smullen: -150 Ivan Buchinger ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Ivan Buchinger -0.5: -120, Richie Smullen +50: -110 Ivan Buchinger -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -130, Under 1.5 rounds: +110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Richie Smullen 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Richie Smullen at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Ivan Buchinger on the moneyline due to home advantage, well-rounded skill set, and value in odds.

Predicted Score: Ivan Buchinger wins by decision


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Ayton De Paepe vs. Karol Rosa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ayton De Paepe vs Karol Rosa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Ayton De Paepe vs Karol Rosa is a competitive matchup in the MMA world. Both fighters have distinct strengths that could influence the outcome.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ayton De Paepe is favored, possibly due to recent form or style advantages. Karol Rosa, however, has extensive experience and a strong record.
  • No past head-to-head data available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Fighter motivation and external factors like training camp quality could impact performance.
  • Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -145 for Ayton De Paepe, +105 for Karol Rosa Ayton De Paepe ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ayton De Paepe -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ayton De Paepe at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ayton De Paepe is favored to win due to being the odds favorite and potential advantages in recent performances.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction applicable for MMA fights.


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Hojat Khajevand vs. Krzysztof Jotko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Hojat Khajevand vs Krzysztof Jotko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Unspecified

Game Overview

Hojat Khajevand and Krzysztof Jotko face off in a high-stakes MMA bout at OKTAGON 77. Jotko, with his extensive UFC experience, is favored over Khajevand, who is younger and hungrier for a major victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jotko's UFC background gives him an edge in experience, having competed in 17 UFC fights with 11 wins. Khajevand relies on his wrestling skills.
  • No prior H2H matchups exist between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • The Tipsport Gamechanger tournament offers significant financial and professional incentives for both fighters.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Jotko seeking to prove his elite status and Khajevand looking for a career-defining win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hojat Khajevand: 400, Krzysztof Jotko: -700 Krzysztof Jotko ★★★★☆ 84%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Krzysztof Jotko -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Krzysztof Jotko at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Krzysztof Jotko is favored to win due to his UFC experience and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Cannot provide for this MMA matchup as it does not involve a traditional score format.


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