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Luis Felipe Dias vs. Donavon Hedrick Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Luis Felipe Dias vs Donavon Hedrick – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 8, 2025
  • Time: 12:40 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This matchup features Donavon Hedrick and Luis Felipe Dias at Dana White's Contender Series. The odds slightly favor Donavon Hedrick, indicating a competitive fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form data for both fighters is not extensively detailed, but Donavon Hedrick is considered the favorite by bookmakers.
  • No past head-to-head matchups are noted, making it difficult to gauge their direct competition.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter.
  • External factors like venue and timing could have minimal impact on fighters in such a setting.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to advance in the Contender Series.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -134 for Donavon Hedrick, +114 for Luis Felipe Dias Donavon Hedrick ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +153, Under 1.5 rounds: -175 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Donavon Hedrick 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Donavon Hedrick at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donavon Hedrick is favored to win based on odds and assumed superior experience.

Predicted Score: Not applicable


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Rafael Pergentino vs. Luke Fernandez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rafael Pergentino vs Luke Fernandez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Luke Fernandez, undefeated with a strong grappling background and experience at 205 lbs, faces Rafael Pergentino, a dangerous finisher but unproven at this weight and grappling level. The contest is set for 3 rounds on Dana White's Contender Series Week 9.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Luke Fernandez is 5-0 with mostly finishes including knockouts and submissions, showing dominance and consistency. Pergentino is also undefeated but has only competed at a lower weight class and against lesser competition.
  • No prior matchups between Pergentino and Fernandez.
  • No injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex with equal conditions; Fernandez has the home advantage by nationality and experience at the weight class.
  • Fernandez seeks to continue an unblemished career with strong UFC-level grappling credentials; Pergentino motivated to prove himself at a higher weight class and tougher competitors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luke Fernandez: -1800, Rafael Pergentino: +900 Luke Fernandez ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Luke Fernandez -1.5 rounds: -120, Rafael Pergentino +1.5 rounds: +100 Luke Fernandez -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +316, Under 1.5 rounds: -400 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luke Fernandez -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luke Fernandez to win decisively, likely by stoppage

Predicted Score: Luke Fernandez wins by 2nd round TKO


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Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patchy Mix vs Jakub Wiklacz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

This is a high-stakes MMA bout between Patchy Mix, a former Bellator champion, and Jakub Wiklacz, an up-and-coming European fighter with KSW experience. The fight is at a neutral UFC event, and the betting lines reflect a clear favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Patchy Mix has faced higher-level competition and won consistently, especially as a Bellator champion. Jakob Wiklacz has shown promise but has mainly competed in KSW, which is a tier below UFC and Bellator.
  • No prior head-to-head between these fighters.
  • No reported major injuries for either fighter from available data.
  • No significant external factors (stadium, travel, etc.) reported.
  • Mix is looking to re-establish himself at the elite level after moving to the UFC. Wiklacz is highly motivated to make a statement in his UFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Patchy Mix (-300), Jakub Wiklacz (+250) Patchy Mix wins ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-145), Under 2.5 (125) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Patchy Mix -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Patchy Mix is a heavy favorite for a reason—his experience, skill set, and proven ability against top-tier opposition give him a significant edge, despite Wiklacz's hunger and regional success.

Predicted Score: Patchy Mix by KO/TKO Round 3


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Veronica Hardy vs. Brogan Walker-Sanchez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker-Sanchez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 10:05 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Women's flyweight (125 lbs) clash featuring a significant statistical and betting favorite in Veronica Hardy. Hardy, younger and with superior striking metrics, faces veteran Brogan Walker-Sanchez, who has longer reach but lower volume and accuracy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Veronica Hardy lands 3.12 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy, and defends 49% of incoming strikes. Brogan Walker-Sanchez connects with 2.04 significant strikes per minute at 30% accuracy, defending 47%. Hardy’s higher volume, accuracy, and defensive stats suggest a clear technical edge[1].
  • No prior head-to-head encounters.
  • No public injury concerns for either fighter.
  • Walker-Sanchez is 37, Hardy is 29. Hardy fights out of the southpaw stance; Walker-Sanchez is a switch-stance fighter. Hardy faces a steep betting line indicating market confidence in her dominance[1][3].
  • Hardy is a strong favorite; the betting public expects a decisive win. Walker-Sanchez, as a veteran underdog, will be looking for an upset, but market odds show little expectation of this outcome[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hardy -825, Walker-Sanchez +575 Veronica Hardy to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -374, Under 2.5 rounds +299 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Veronica Hardy -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Veronica Hardy will dominate on the feet, utilizing her higher striking output and accuracy to outstrike Brogan Walker-Sanchez over three rounds. Expect a decisive, but not necessarily early, win for Hardy.

Predicted Score: Veronica Hardy by Unanimous Decision


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Frankie Edgar vs. Jimmie Rivera Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Frankie Edgar vs Jimmie Rivera – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified (BKFC event expected in New Jersey)

Game Overview

This was scheduled to be a high-profile bare-knuckle fight in the BKFC promotion, featuring UFC legend Frankie Edgar coming out of retirement to face high-level striker Jimmie Rivera. However, Edgar was pulled from the event just days before, casting the legitimacy and/or availability of either fighter into question[5][6]. As of now, no replacement opponent for Rivera has been confirmed, and the event status is unclear.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edgar is a former UFC champion with a proven track record in MMA, but he is coming out of retirement and has no recent BKFC experience. Rivera is a skilled striker with a strong MMA base and more recent activity, but both fighters lack bare-knuckle-specific data.
  • No previous direct head-to-head encounters.
  • Edgar was pulled from the event for undisclosed reasons. Rivera's health status is unconfirmed, but based on the latest news, he is still expected to compete, possibly against a replacement opponent[5][6].
  • Edgar's late withdrawal introduces significant uncertainty into the event and specifically this matchup. If the fight does not take place as originally scheduled, all markets are void.
  • Edgar was highly motivated for a late-career challenge, but his withdrawal suggests a change in circumstances. Rivera remains motivated to compete, particularly if a replacement foe is found.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Frankie Edgar (200), Jimmie Rivera (-300) Market void – event canceled for this matchup ☆☆☆☆☆ 0%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Frankie Edgar -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Due to Frankie Edgar's withdrawal, the originally scheduled matchup is off, and no official replacement has been announced as of October 2, 2025[5][6]. Therefore, any prediction based on the original Edgar vs. Rivera bout is invalid. The value in this market is currently zero, as the original fight is canceled. All existing odds should be considered void.

Predicted Score: N/A – Event canceled for original matchup[5][6]


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Mike Perry vs. Jeremy Stephens Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mike Perry vs Jeremy Stephens – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

Mike Perry and Jeremy Stephens face off in a heated BKFC 82 bare-knuckle boxing main event with Perry favored due to his aggression and durability, while Stephens brings veteran experience and knockout power. Both fighters have a knockout threat and a strong rivalry leading to an emotionally charged bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mike Perry is known for his aggressive striking and forward pressure but has a tendency to absorb hits. Jeremy Stephens has solid counter-punching skills and heavy hands, with both undefeated in bare-knuckle boxing so far.
  • No official MMA or BKFC matchups prior to this bout, but pre-fight tensions have been high with a near altercation at BKFC 80, indicating strong motivation from both sides.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the fight, indicating both are physically prepared at peak condition.
  • Fight location in Newark, New Jersey, may slightly favor Mike Perry given his strong fan support and familiarity with the venue environment.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Perry defending his 'King of Violence' title and Stephens looking to assert veteran dominance and respond to pre-fight trash talk.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mike Perry: -400, Jeremy Stephens: +250 Mike Perry ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mike Perry -1.5 rounds: -150, Jeremy Stephens +1.5 rounds: +130 Mike Perry -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: EVEN Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mike Perry -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mike Perry at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Perry to win via knockout

Predicted Score: Mike Perry wins by KO in Round 2


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Nikolay Veretennikov vs. Punahele Soriano Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nikolay Veretennikov vs Punahele Soriano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The UFC 320 prelim bout between Nikolay Veretennikov and Punahele Soriano features two welterweights with differing styles and career trajectories. Soriano is a proven UFC veteran (11-4, 5-4 UFC) with a heavy-handed, aggressive approach, while Veretennikov (13-6, 1-2 UFC) is looking to establish himself at the highest level. Bookmaker odds heavily favor Soriano, reflecting his higher Octagon experience and finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Soriano has a more extensive UFC track record with notable power and durability. Veretennikov is less proven in the UFC, with only four Octagon appearances and a mixed record in the big show. Soriano’s recent form has been stronger, facing higher-level competition and finishing fights with knockouts and submissions[2].
  • No prior fights between the two. However, Soriano’s resume includes bouts against tougher opposition, giving him an edge in big-game experience.
  • No significant public information suggesting injuries for either fighter[1][2].
  • The fight is at altitude in Las Vegas, and both athletes are well-prepared. No external factors stand out as likely to swing this matchup.
  • Soriano has regained momentum with a recent knockout and is looking to climb the welterweight ranks. Veretennikov has more to prove but has shown the ability to upset in the underdog role.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Soriano -332, Veretennikov +272 Soriano ★★★★☆ 81%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds -180, Under 1.5 Rounds +157 Under 1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Punahele Soriano -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Punahele Soriano is the clear favorite, but the betting value is questionable due to the heavy odds. The Over is strongly favored, reflecting both fighters’ finishing instincts and Soriano’s recent tendency to end fights[2].

Predicted Score: Soriano by KO/TKO, Round 1


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Austin Vanderford vs. Ramiz Brahimaj Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Austin Vanderford vs Ramiz Brahimaj – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

UFC 320 welterweight clash, with both fighters seeking momentum in the division. Vanderford, 35, is the slim favorite, facing off against Brahimaj, 32, in what promises to be a striking-focused matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderford (13-2) is riding a two-fight win streak and holds a better striking output (4.08/min, 63% accuracy vs. Brahimaj’s 2.14/min, 45% accuracy). Vanderford is also more defensively sound (51% strike defense vs. Brahimaj’s 43%) and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (2.66 vs. 3.81)[1]. Brahimaj, though, is dangerous on the ground, with a submission-heavy resume, but Vanderford’s wrestling background and better takedown defense make him less likely to be caught.
  • No prior matchups. Vanderford holds a superior record and has faced higher-caliber opposition.
  • No public reports of injuries pre-fight.
  • Fight takes place at altitude in Vegas; both fighters have fought nationally but no obvious edge. No major external distractions reported for either fighter.
  • Vanderford is aiming to solidify contender status at 170 lbs, while Brahimaj urgently needs a win to avoid three straight losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vanderford -300 / Brahimaj +250 Vanderford wins ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -210 / Under 1.5 +180 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin Vanderford 166%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Austin Vanderford at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderford wins by unanimous decision, utilizing superior striking and defensive fundamentals with minimal risk of being finished by Brahimaj.

Predicted Score: Vanderford wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)


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Emanuele Tetti vs. Dimitrios Tzeiranidis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Emanuele Tetti vs Dimitrios Tzeiranidis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rome, Italy (Cage Warriors 195)

Game Overview

This Cage Warriors 195 matchup features Emanuele Tetti, a favored Italian fighter, going against Dimitrios Tzeiranidis. Tetti holds a significant favorite status with strong recent finishes and superior form, while Tzeiranidis is positioned as a substantial underdog despite some submission skills.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Emanuele Tetti has demonstrated dominant performances recently, including fast technical knockouts, showing aggressive striking and effective ground control. Dimitrios Tzeiranidis, despite a solid grappling background and submission wins, has displayed less finishing power and recent form compared to Tetti.
  • No record of previous direct encounters between Tetti and Tzeiranidis, leaving strategy and adaptability as key unknowns.
  • No publicly disclosed injuries affecting either fighter ahead of the matchup, indicating both enter at presumably full strength.
  • The fight takes place in Rome, Italy, offering a home advantage and likely crowd support to Emanuele Tetti. This environment could boost Tetti’s confidence and energy levels.
  • Tetti has notable motivation to maintain undefeated momentum on home soil, while Tzeiranidis appears motivated to upset and advance through Cage Warriors ranks but faces a tough uphill battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Emanuele Tetti: -700, Dimitrios Tzeiranidis: 500 Emanuele Tetti ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Emanuele Tetti -1.5 rounds: -350, Dimitrios Tzeiranidis +1.5 rounds: 275 Emanuele Tetti -1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emanuele Tetti -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Emanuele Tetti to win by knockout or technical knockout

Predicted Score: Emanuele Tetti wins by TKO in Round 1


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Francesco Nuzzi vs. Lucas Rodrigues Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Francesco Nuzzi vs Lucas Rodrigues – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rome

Game Overview

This Cage Warriors fight features Francesco Nuzzi, a strong favorite, against Lucas Rodrigues. Nuzzi's recent performances and statistical advantages position him as the likely winner.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Francesco Nuzzi has shown consistent form, leading to him being favored by bookmakers.
  • There is no established head-to-head history between these fighters, which makes it difficult to use past matchups as a reference.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Rome's home crowd might favor Nuzzi, potentially boosting his motivation.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, but Nuzzi's confidence from recent successes might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -400 (Nuzzi), 300 (Rodrigues) Francesco Nuzzi ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 130 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Francesco Nuzzi 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Francesco Nuzzi is predicted to win based on his form and odds.

Predicted Score: Decision or TKO in favor of Francesco Nuzzi


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