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Santos Verdinez vs. Alex Coover Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Santos Verdinez vs Alex Coover – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

This heavyweight MMA bout features Santos Verdinez (7-2) known for his strong ground game and submission skills, against Alex Coover (9-3) who excels in striking with notable knockout power. Verdinez has a slight edge on grappling exchanges while Coover's striking threat is a key factor. The match is part of the LFA event at Mystic Lake Casino Hotel.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Verdinez has demonstrated dominance in ground fighting with several submission wins, while Coover relies on striking with several knockouts. Both fighters have solid records and recent wins, indicating good form.
  • There is no record of a previous matchup between Verdinez and Coover, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • The fight is held at a neutral venue with no known external factors such as travel or altitude affecting either fighter significantly.
  • Both fighters are motivated to secure a high-profile win on this major LFA card to enhance prospects for UFC opportunities.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Coover: +152, Santos Verdinez: -177 Santos Verdinez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Santos Verdinez: -1.5, Alex Coover: +1.5 Santos Verdinez to win by more than 1.5 rounds or by finish β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 1.5: +149, Under 1.5: -170 Under 1.5 rounds – likely a relatively short fight due to styles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos Verdinez -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Santos Verdinez at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santos Verdinez is favored to win due to his ground control advantage, although Alex Coover's striking power keeps the fight competitive.

Predicted Score: Santos Verdinez wins by submission in round 2


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Cheyanne Bowers vs. Maritza Sanchez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cheyanne Bowers vs Maritza Sanchez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 217, Prior Lake, Minnesota, USA

Game Overview

The match between Cheyanne Bowers and Maritza Sanchez at LFA 217 features two well-matched flyweight fighters, each holding a 6-2 professional record. Bowers is known for her aggressive striking and strong takedown defense, aiming for a finish early or a gritty three-round war. Sanchez is a versatile fighter with solid skills in both striking and grappling, making her a dangerous opponent who can adapt to different fight scenarios.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters share similar records (6-2) and have demonstrated skillful performances recently. Bowers is favored due to her aggressive style and takedown defense while Sanchez's well-rounded skill set poses a significant challenge.
  • No previous direct confrontations between Cheyanne Bowers and Maritza Sanchez have been recorded, thus this match serves as their first competitive encounter.
  • No current injury reports or issues have been disclosed for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The fight takes place at LFA 217 in Prior Lake, Minnesota, which is considered a home environment for Bowers. This could give her a slight edge in motivation and crowd support.
  • Bowers views this fight as a crucial stepping stone akin to a Contender Series bout, aiming for a swift victory to launch into a major league opportunity. Sanchez is motivated by her all-around capabilities to upset the favored Bowers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cheyanne Bowers: -400, Maritza Sanchez: 300 Cheyanne Bowers to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Cheyanne Bowers -1.5 rounds: -150, Maritza Sanchez +1.5 rounds: +130 Cheyanne Bowers -1.5 rounds (winning before halfway through the fight or decisively) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 165, Under 2.5 rounds: -190 Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to end before going the distance) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cheyanne Bowers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Cheyanne Bowers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering Bowers’ aggressive game plan, strong takedown defense, and home advantage, combined with the odds and motivational factors, the prediction leans towards a Cheyanne Bowers win, likely by a finish in the first couple of rounds or a competitive unanimous decision if the fight goes the distance.

Predicted Score: Cheyanne Bowers wins by TKO or submission in Round 2


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Joey Hart vs. Christian Turner Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Joey Hart vs Christian Turner – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

The upcoming featherweight MMA bout between Joey Hart (7-3) and Christian Turner (8-2) is set for September 12, 2025, at LFA 217 hosted at the Mystic Lake Casino Hotel in Prior Lake, Minnesota. Both fighters have competitive records in the LFA promotion, with Turner slightly favored by sportsbooks. The fight is expected to be closely contested given both fighters' solid performances in the featherweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joey Hart holds a 7-3 record with solid striking and well-rounded skills, whereas Christian Turner has an 8-2 record and is known for his aggressive style and strong finishing ability. Turner has been favored in recent betting lines, including a -110 line before recent shifts. Turner's recent odds suggest confidence in his ability to secure a finish or decision.
  • This fight marks a highly anticipated matchup as the two fighters have not faced each other before. Both have matched similar competition levels in LFA events, though no direct previous encounters exist to gauge head-to-head tendencies.
  • No publicly known injuries have been reported for either Joey Hart or Christian Turner leading up to this bout, indicating both athletes appear to be in full health.
  • Competing at the Mystic Lake Casino Hotel in Minnesota provides a neutral venue but can offer a significant audience presence. The event is part of a major LFA card featuring notable fighters, increasing the fighters' motivation and exposure.
  • Christian Turner appears highly motivated, as indicated by his confident public statements about securing a KO in this fight. Joey Hart will also be incentivized to prove himself against a favored opponent and continue his upward trajectory in LFA.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Christian Turner: 138, Joey Hart: -158 Joey Hart β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Joey Hart: -1.5, Christian Turner: +1.5 Joey Hart -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over_1.5: -140, under_1.5: +120 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joey Hart 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Joey Hart at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Turner is favored to win given the better odds, his aggressive style, and recent betting market confidence; however, Joey Hart's resilience and experience make this a competitive matchup with potential for multiple outcomes.

Predicted Score: Joey Hart wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Chasen Blair vs. Samuel Sanches Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Chasen Blair vs Samuel Sanches – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Chasen Blair is seeking a UFC contract on Dana White's Contender Series for the second time, facing the rising Brazilian prospect Samuel Sanches, who boasts a 10-1 record with powerful striking and improving takedown defense. The match promises a clash between Blair's grappling skills and Sanches' explosive knockout power and speed.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Blair has strong grappling credentials with multiple submission wins but limited knockout power, while Sanches has six knockouts in his ten wins and excels in striking and quick finishes. Blair recently went 5-0 with eight finishes (seven KOs, one submission), but Sanches' knockout streak and striking evolution give him a momentum edge.
  • This is their first encounter, making it a fresh matchup with no head-to-head history influencing the fight dynamics.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the match, suggesting both enter at full health.
  • The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, where Blair has prior experience, possibly giving him a slight comfort advantage. The event is broadcast on ESPN+ in the USA, contributing to heightened competitive pressure.
  • Blair is motivated by the chance to secure a UFC contract on his second attempt, while Sanches aims to extend his momentum and establish himself as a top lightweight prospect at only 22 years old.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chasen Blair: -105, Samuel Sanches: -115 Samuel Sanches β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under over_1.5_rounds: -128, under_1.5_rounds: 108 Under 1.5 rounds (early finish expected) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chasen Blair -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 35%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Samuel Sanches is favored to win, leveraging his superior striking speed, power, and improved takedown defense to potentially finish Blair inside two rounds.

Predicted Score: Samuel Sanches wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Anthony Guarascio vs. Steven Asplund Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Anthony Guarascio vs Steven Asplund – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-09
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The main event heavyweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series Week 5 (September 9, 2025) features undefeated Anthony Guarascio (3-0-0) facing Steven Asplund (5-1-0), who is stepping in on short notice. Both fighters have displayed strong striking and finishing capabilities, with Guarascio having more submission wins and Asplund more KO/TKO victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Guarascio fights out of Gracie Tampa West under coach Tom Desantis with a 3-0 undefeated record, demonstrating a balanced finishing style with 2 KOs and 1 submission. Asplund holds a 5-1 record with a high KO/TKO finish rate (4 KOs), showing aggressive striking power but less submission experience.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Guarascio and Asplund have occurred, making this a fresh encounter with styles to be tested directly.
  • No publicly reported injuries afflicting either fighter ahead of the match have been disclosed.
  • Asplund is taking the bout on short notice, which could affect his preparation and stamina but may increase his motivation. The fight is held at the UFC APEX, a familiar venue for both competitors.
  • Asplund expressed excitement and motivation, considering this fight a significant opportunity to showcase his skills on a major platform. Guarascio, undefeated, aims to maintain his perfect record and continue his progression within the heavyweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Anthony Guarascio: -175, Steven Asplund: 150 Anthony Guarascio to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Anthony Guarascio: -1.5, Steven Asplund: +1.5 Anthony Guarascio to win by at least 2 rounds or via stoppage β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: 165, Under 1.5 rounds: -190 Under 1.5 rounds (a shorter fight expected) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Anthony Guarascio -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Anthony Guarascio at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Guarascio is favored to win due to his undefeated record, tactical balance, and slightly better-conditioned preparation compared to short-notice entrant Steven Asplund. However, Asplund's power striking and motivation make the fight competitive with potential for a finish on either side.

Predicted Score: Guarascio wins by TKO in round 2


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Lerryan Douglas vs. Cam Teague Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Lerryan Douglas vs Cam Teague – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

Lerryan Douglas and Cam Teague face off in a Featherweight main card fight at Dana White's Contender Series, with Douglas favored heavily in the betting lines. Both fighters have strong striking skills but have contrasting weaknesses in grappling and wrestling defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Douglas has a 12-5 record with a striking-heavy style focusing on knockout power, especially effective leg kicks and finishing ability. Teague holds a 9-1 record with a high KO ratio as well, but a smaller striking volume. Douglas trains with Bloodline Combat Sports under Cub Swanson; Teague fights out of AMP Mixed Martial Arts with Mike Barnett.
  • This is their first meeting. Douglas is favored due to his recent striking performance and finishing ability while Teague has a strong overall record with a single loss.
  • No recent injury reports disclosed for either fighter.
  • The fight is part of an important showcase event for both fighters, aiming for UFC contracts, increasing motivation and stakes. Douglas's exposure in Dana White's Contender Series adds pressure to perform.
  • Douglas aims to continue his winning streak and secure a UFC contract; Teague is also motivated with a solid career record to make a statement.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lerryan Douglas: -500, Cam Teague: 375 Lerryan Douglas β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: 105, Under 1.5 rounds: -125 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lerryan Douglas -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lerryan Douglas is predicted to win by knockout or TKO given his proven striking power and finishing ability. Teague’s chances diminish against Douglas's dynamic striking and kickboxing strengths.

Predicted Score: Lerryan Douglas wins by TKO in Round 1


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Shanelle Dyer vs. Carol Foro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Shanelle Dyer vs Carol Foro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

This flyweight MMA match features undefeated British prospect Shanelle Dyer (6-0) facing Brazilian Carol Foro (8-1) in a high-stakes Dana White's Contender Series co-main event. Both fighters have strong finishing abilities with a focus on knockouts, promising a potentially short, explosive bout with UFC contract implications.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shanelle Dyer fights out of Great Britain Top Team and holds a perfect 6-0 record with 4 knockouts in total, demonstrating strong striking ability. Carol Foro, fighting out of RPLAY THAI in Brazil, has an 8-1 record with 7 finishes (mostly KOs), showing comparable aggressive finishing skills.
  • No previous fights between Shanelle Dyer and Carol Foro have been recorded; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • Dyer recently left PFL seeking competition at natural weight (115lbs), motivated to join UFC and win the strawweight belt. Foro enters motivated with solid international experience; both fighters are young and hungry to prove themselves on a big platform.
  • Shanelle Dyer is highly motivated to secure a UFC contract and prove herself as a top prospect. Carol Foro aims to capitalize on her experience and maintain momentum with a strong performance on a big stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Shanelle Dyer: -150, Carol Foro: 130 Shanelle Dyer β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -137, Under 2.5: 117 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Shanelle Dyer -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shanelle Dyer is favored to win the match based on her unbeaten record, recent progression in seeking optimal weight division, and UFC aspirations. Both fighters’ aggressive styles indicate a likely finish by knockout or TKO within early rounds.

Predicted Score: Shanelle Dyer wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Freddy Vidal vs. Felipe Franco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Freddy Vidal vs Felipe Franco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, USA

Game Overview

Freddy Vidal and Felipe Franco face off in a catchweight MMA bout at Dana White's Contender Series (DWCS) Season 9, Week 5. Vidal stepped in on short notice and missed weight by five pounds, forfeiting 25% of his purse to Franco. Vidal holds a 3-0 undefeated record with a 67% KO/TKO rate, while Franco is an 8-0 undefeated fighter with a proven finishing rate via knockouts and submissions. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds and streamed live on ESPN+ in the USA.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Felipe Franco boasts an 8-0 record with 50% of wins by KO/TKO and 38% by submission, showing well-rounded finishing skills. Freddy Vidal has a smaller sample size of 3-0 with a 67% KO rate but lacks experience at higher competition levels. Vidal also missed weight, potentially impacting his performance and stamina.
  • There is no previous head-to-head fight between Freddy Vidal and Felipe Franco, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, but Vidal’s short-notice entry and weight miss imply possible preparation challenges.
  • Vidal's catchweight bout due to missing weight suggests a physical disadvantage, and the fight being at UFC Apex with ESPN+ broadcast could add pressure. Vidal forfeited part of his purse to Franco as a penalty.
  • Felipe Franco enters with momentum and a desire to maintain his undefeated record, while Vidal’s motivation includes proving himself despite short notice and weight issues. Franco, as the favorite, likely has confidence boosted by recent performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Felipe_Franco: -450, Freddy_Vidal: +350 Felipe Franco to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Felipe_Franco: -1.5 (-230), Freddy_Vidal: +1.5 (+190) Felipe Franco to win by more than 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over_1.5: +207, under_1.5: -250 Under 1.5 rounds (fight likely to end before round 2) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Felipe Franco -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Felipe Franco is favored to win due to his momentum, experience, and Vidal's short notice and weight miss. Franco's versatility in finishing fights via KO or submission adds to his advantage, and the odds strongly support his victory.

Predicted Score: Felipe Franco wins by KO/TKO in Round 1


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Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 9:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

The main event of UFC Fight Night 258 features middleweight contenders Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho headlining the event at the Accor Arena in Paris. Imavov has a 16-4 record and is riding a four-fight win streak, including a recent TKO over former champion Israel Adesanya. Borralho is 17-1, undefeated in nine UFC fights, and known for his well-rounded skill set, combining improved striking with elite grappling. This bout is a pivotal middleweight title eliminator with implications for the division's future matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Imavov is on a strong winning streak with a recent highlight victory against a former titleholder. Borralho shows versatility with grappling as his main strength and significantly improved striking, demonstrated in his last fight against Jared Cannonier. Both fighters have well-rounded skill sets, with Borralho slightly favored in grappling and Imavov with solid striking.
  • There is no prior head-to-head matchup between Imavov and Borralho. Both have steadily climbed the middleweight rankings, with Imavov ranked No. 4 and Borralho No. 6 by ESPN.
  • No current injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match. Previous bout cancellations or withdrawals at this event do not affect these fighters.
  • The fight marks UFC's return to Paris after a year and is held in a major arena, potentially influencing fighter motivation. The winner may earn a title shot against champion Khamzat Chimaev, elevating the stakes.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated given the title eliminator status. Borralho's preparation includes gearing for a potential matchup with champion Chimaev. Imavov’s recent momentum and victory over a former champion add confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Caio Borralho: -125, Nassourdine Imavov: 105 Caio Borralho β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Caio Borralho: -5.5 150, Nassourdine Imavov: 5.5 -205 Nassourdine Imavov +5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 4.5: -195, Under 4.5: 150 Under 4.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Caio Borralho -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 75%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Borralho's superior grappling combined with improved striking skills is projected to give him the edge over Imavov in a closely contested fight. While Imavov's recent KT victory demonstrates his power and finishing ability, Borralho's versatility and recent improvements suggest a probable win.

Predicted Score: Borralho wins by decision or late-round submission around round 4


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Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Benoit Saint-Denis vs Mauricio Ruffy – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 9:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night, Paris, France

Game Overview

This lightweight UFC bout features Benoit Saint-Denis against Mauricio Ruffy. Saint-Denis is widely regarded as the more established fighter with superior skill and grappling ability. Ruffy, although competitive, has less proven grappling defense and experience at this level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benoit Saint-Denis has shown consistent high-level performance in recent fights with solid striking and grappling, making him a favorite. Mauricio Ruffy, while talented, has not faced grapplers of Saint-Denis' caliber and may struggle under pressure.
  • No recorded previous matches between Saint-Denis and Ruffy, making this their first direct encounter.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues affecting either fighter leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Paris, potentially favoring the home crowd's support for Saint-Denis. Event timing and preparation appear normal without external disruptions.
  • Saint-Denis is motivated to confirm his lightweight contender status, while Ruffy seeks to establish himself with an upset victory, though the experience gap is notable.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benoit Saint-Denis: +145, Mauricio Ruffy: -175 Mauricio Ruffy β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Benoit Saint-Denis +3.5: +100, Mauricio Ruffy -3.5: -135 Mauricio Ruffy -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -160, Under 1.5 rounds: +124 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mauricio Ruffy -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benoit Saint-Denis is predicted to win by controlling grappling exchanges and applying pressure. The likelihood of Saint-Denis securing a victory via decision or late finish is high due to his superior ground game and fight IQ.

Predicted Score: Mauricio Ruffy wins by decision in 3 rounds


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