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Simone Patrizi vs. Chris Bungard Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Simone Patrizi vs Chris Bungard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle

Game Overview

The lightweight division bout between Scottish veteran Chris Bungard and Italy's Simone Patrizi is set for the main card at Cage Warriors 193 on September 13, 2025, in Newcastle. Bungard comes into the fight in strong recent form with several finishes, while Patrizi brings technical striking and grappling skills, making this a potentially tactical matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Chris Bungard is currently in red-hot form with a series of finishes, showing aggressive striking and control. Patrizi has solid technique with a balanced striking and grappling arsenal, but has faced tougher competition with mixed results.
  • There are no recorded previous encounters between Simone Patrizi and Chris Bungard, making this their first official meeting.
  • No publicly known injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this bout, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • The fight is held in Newcastle, favoring local support for Chris Bungard, who is Scottish and used to UK fight environments. Patrizi may face slight travel adjustment.
  • Bungard is motivated to maintain momentum and solidify his regional standing with another finish, while Patrizi aims to upset a hot prospect and boost his own ranking in the lightweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Bungard: -115, Simone Patrizi: -125 Simone Patrizi β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Chris Bungard -1.5: +150, Simone Patrizi +1.5: -170 Simone Patrizi +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Bungard -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Chris Bungard at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Bungard is favored to win due to his current momentum, finishing ability, and home region advantage. The fight is likely to be competitive but Bungard has the edge in confidence and recent fight sharpness.

Predicted Score: Chris Bungard wins by decision or late stoppage


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Connor Patterson vs. Jake McHugh Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Connor Patterson vs Jake McHugh – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle, England

Game Overview

The featherweight main card fight between Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh is part of the Cage Warriors 193 event held in Newcastle. This is a high-stakes bout featuring two competitive featherweight fighters vying for ascendancy in the Cage Warriors promotion. Both fighters carry strong records and aims to establish themselves as contenders within the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh have similar competitive records and styles typical of featherweight contenders in Cage Warriors. Patterson has a slight recent edge in performance metrics and community voting, showing effective striking and grappling balance. McHugh, also proven, is known for resilience and counter-striking.
  • There is no publicly recorded previous matchup between Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh, making this their first direct confrontation.
  • No reported injuries or withdrawals affecting either fighter prior to the event.
  • The fight takes place at home ground advantage for Connor Patterson in Newcastle, which may influence fighter motivation and crowd support. The event will be streamed live on UFC Fight Pass, ensuring high visibility.
  • Connor Patterson fights on home turf seeking to solidify his rising career status. Jake McHugh aims to upset the home favorite and gain recognition in a major promotion fight card, boosting his climb in featherweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Connor Patterson: -135, Jake McHugh: -105 Connor Patterson β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Connor Patterson: -1.5, Jake McHugh: +1.5 Connor Patterson by more than 1 round or dominant performance β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under over: 2.5 rounds -110, under: 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds (fight likely to be tactical with possibility of early finish under pressure) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Connor Patterson -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Connor Patterson at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Connor Patterson is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to his slight statistical edge in recent performance and home advantage, with Jake McHugh posing a credible threat to extend the fight and capitalize on counter opportunities.

Predicted Score: Connor Patterson wins via unanimous decision or late round TKO, 3 rounds to 0


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Andrew Fisher vs. Orlando Wilson Prins Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Andrew Fisher vs Orlando Wilson Prins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vertu Motors Arena

Game Overview

The upcoming lightweight main card Cage Warriors fight between Andrew Fisher (England) and Orlando Wilson Prins (Netherlands) is scheduled for 3 rounds. This bout is part of Cage Warriors 193 event, with both fighters in the UFC Lightweight category, competing to establish dominance in the division. Fisher is slightly younger at 25 years with a 178 cm height and 1.74 m reach, while Prins is 40 years old, standing 175 cm tall with a 1.75 m reach[1][2].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Andrew Fisher is undefeated and has impressed with a strong six-fight run in European MMA promotions including OKTAGON MMA. Prins is the more experienced but older fighter. Both are consistent competitors in lightweight with contrasting styles; Fisher’s youth and momentum versus Prins’ experience and technical skill[3].
  • No direct head-to-head previous matchups are recorded between Andrew Fisher and Orlando Wilson Prins, making the fight a fresh competitive encounter with no prior psychological advantage established.
  • No publicly reported injury information is available for either fighter ahead of this match, indicating both are expected to enter at full health[1][2].
  • The fight will take place at Vertu Motors Arena in Newcastle, which could slightly favor Andrew Fisher, given his English nationality and possible local fan advantage. Weather and travel are not expected to be significant factors in this indoor MMA setting.
  • Andrew Fisher is an undefeated rising prospect likely motivated to maintain his perfect record and increase his prominence. Orlando Wilson Prins, an experienced veteran, will be strongly motivated to prove longevity and skill against a younger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Andrew Fisher: +100, Orlando Wilson Prins: -140 Orlando Wilson Prins to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Andrew Fisher +1.5 rounds: +110, Orlando Wilson Prins -1.5 rounds: -130 Andrew Fisher +1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Orlando Wilson Prins -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Orlando Wilson Prins at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the younger age, undefeated status, and home advantage, Andrew Fisher is predicted to edge the victory, likely through striking or decision over three rounds, although Prins’ experience could make it competitive.

Predicted Score: Andrew Fisher wins by unanimous decision over 3 rounds


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Ieuan Mackenzie vs. Keir Harvie Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Ieuan Mackenzie vs Keir Harvie – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle, England

Game Overview

This Cage Warriors 193 Bantamweight main card fight features Ieuan Mackenzie from Scotland and Keir Harvie from Wales. Both fighters bring strong credentials into the contest, with Harvie holding more overall wins and a slight size advantage, while Mackenzie boasts a strong submission record and solid recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ieuan Mackenzie has a record of 4 wins and 2 losses, with 4 submission wins and no KO/TKO victories, indicating a grappling-heavy style. Keir Harvie holds an 8-4-2 record, showing more overall experience, with 2 KO/TKO wins and a mixed finish style. Both fighters have impressive winning streaks and last match victories, suggesting peak form.
  • There is no direct previous fight recorded between Ieuan Mackenzie and Keir Harvie, making this a first-time matchup where stylistic contrasts will be key.
  • No injury reports or concerns are currently noted for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • The bout takes place in Newcastle, England, effectively a home advantage for Keir Harvie, potentially influencing crowd energy and fighter motivation. Both fighters make Bantamweight limits close to 61 kg.
  • Keir Harvie may have extra motivation fighting in front of a home crowd and to further solidify his standing with a high-profile Cage Warriors win. Ieuan Mackenzie is likely motivated to prove his grappling dominance against a striker and gain title contention momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ieuan Mackenzie: 115, Keir Harvie: -155 Keir Harvie β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Ieuan Mackenzie +1.5 rounds: 110, Keir Harvie -1.5 rounds: -130 Ieuan Mackenzie +1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Keir Harvie -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Keir Harvie at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Keir Harvie is favored to win due to size advantage, home crowd support, and a balanced finishing ability appeal to an aggressive striking and decision-based style. However, Mackenzie's submission prowess and recent form make this a competitive bout likely stretching to later rounds. A close decision or late submission by Mackenzie remains possible.

Predicted Score: Keir Harvie wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Gjoni Palokaj vs. Jakub Batfalsky Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gjoni Palokaj vs Jakub Batfalsky – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

The featherweight bout between Gjoni Palokaj and Jakub Batfalsky is a highly anticipated fight scheduled for three rounds at Oktagon MMA 75 in Hannover. Palokaj, with a record of 11-3-0, faces Batfalsky, who holds an 8-1-0 record. Both fighters are known for striking, with equal numbers of KO/TKO and submission victories. The fight pits an experienced, rising German-Albanian fighter stepping in on short notice against a younger, longer-reach Czech prospect.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palokaj has more overall wins (11) with a balance of KO/TKO (4), submissions (2), and decisions (5). Batfalsky holds an 8-1 record with a similar distribution of finishes but fewer fights, suggesting a strong, somewhat less tested competitor.
  • There is no prior recorded matchup between Palokaj and Batfalsky; their styles show similarities in striking but Batfalsky carries a physical reach advantage (183 cm vs. 173 cm).
  • No explicit injury reports were found for either fighter leading into the match.
  • Palokaj is reportedly stepping in on just two weeks' notice replacing a teammate, which may affect preparation. The event is on home turf for Palokaj in Germany, potentially providing a psychological edge.
  • Palokaj aims to prove himself worthy of a title shot and has expressed confidence despite short notice. Batfalsky, as a younger prospect, will likely be motivated to maintain an undefeated-like momentum and capitalize on his physical advantages.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gjoni Palokaj: -120, Jakub Batfalsky: -120 Gjoni Palokaj to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Gjoni Palokaj -1.5: +150, Jakub Batfalsky +1.5: -170 Batfalsky +1.5 (underdog cover) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gjoni Palokaj -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Gjoni Palokaj at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the experience, home advantage, and motivation of Palokaj against the youth and reach of Batfalsky, a competitive striking battle is expected. Palokaj's versatility and readiness to fight on short notice slightly tilt the edge in his favor for a decision victory.

Predicted Score: Palokaj wins by decision after 3 rounds


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David Dvorak vs. Mohammed Walid Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: David Dvorak vs Mohammed Walid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ZAG Arena, Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

This is a Flyweight division main card MMA bout held at Oktagon MMA 75 between David DvoΕ™Γ‘k, a UFC veteran from the Czech Republic, and Mohammed Walid, an undefeated top contender representing Iraq. The match is scheduled for three rounds and is highly anticipated within the flyweight category, showcasing a battle between experience and rising talent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • David DvoΕ™Γ‘k brings extensive UFC experience, known for his striking versatility, good reach of 1.73m, and solid fight record. Mohammed Walid is an undefeated fighter with a strong KO and submission rate, showing aggressive style and high finishing ability. Both have competitive recent form but DvoΕ™Γ‘k’s fight IQ and experience in international bouts favor him slightly.
  • No previous head-to-head matches found between David DvoΕ™Γ‘k and Mohammed Walid, making their stylistic matchup and adaptability crucial factors.
  • No reported injuries or recent fitness concerns were noted for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Germany at ZAG Arena with a neutral venue for both fighters. There are no notable external disruptions or conditions expected to impact performance.
  • Both fighters have strong incentive; Walid looks to maintain undefeated status and climb ranks, while DvoΕ™Γ‘k aims to leverage experience for a high-profile win that could lead to a title shot. Interview insights indicate Walid considers this his toughest test, signaling high motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David DvoΕ™Γ‘k: -600, Mohammed Walid: 350 David DvoΕ™Γ‘k β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread David DvoΕ™Γ‘k -1.5 rounds: -150, Mohammed Walid +1.5 rounds: +130 David DvoΕ™Γ‘k to win before or within 2 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Dvorak 283%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: David Dvorak at 283% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 80.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

David DvoΕ™Γ‘k is predicted to win due to his experience, technical striking, and fight IQ advantage over Mohammed Walid in a closely contested bout.

Predicted Score: David DvoΕ™Γ‘k wins via decision or late TKO in round 3


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Luis Henrique Barbosa vs. Lazar Todev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Luis Henrique Barbosa vs Lazar Todev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

This heavyweight division fight features Luis Henrique Barbosa, a Brazilian veteran with extensive experience including UFC and KSW bouts, against Lazar Todev, a rising Bulgarian contender and former Enfusion ECE champion fighting under the OKTAGON MMA promotion. The match is scheduled for the main card at OKTAGON 75 in Hannover.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Luis Henrique Barbosa has a professional MMA record with experience at high-level competitions but has had mixed recent results, including a release from UFC in 2018. Lazar Todev is a younger contender with strong momentum in OKTAGON and a reputation as a tough, aggressive fighter called the 'Bulgarian Tank'. Both fighters have comparable physical stats with similar height and reach.
  • There is no publicly available record of previous head-to-head encounters between Luis Henrique Barbosa and Lazar Todev, indicating this is their first meeting.
  • No publicly reported current injuries or issues affecting either fighter ahead of this match have been noted.
  • The fight takes place at OKTAGON 75 in Hannover, Germany, which may favor Lazar Todev slightly given his association with a German training camp. The event carries high significance within the heavyweight division of OKTAGON MMA, likely motivating both fighters to perform optimally.
  • Lazar Todev aims to solidify his position as a top heavyweight contender and achieve OKTAGON heavyweight championship status. Luis Henrique Barbosa seeks to leverage his veteran experience and reclaim momentum against an ascending opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazar Todev: -140, Luis Henrique Barbosa: 100 Lazar Todev to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Lazar Todev: -1.5 at -110, Luis Henrique Barbosa: +1.5 at -110 Lazar Todev to win by more than 1.5 rounds or decisive finish β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 Over 2.5 rounds, expecting a competitive, possibly full-length bout β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazar Todev -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lazar Todev at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazar Todev is favored to win due to his momentum, youth, and training environment, supported by current betting odds and community sentiment, but Luis Henrique Barbosa's experience and skill mean an upset is plausible.

Predicted Score: Lazar Todev wins via unanimous decision or late-round TKO


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Mitchell Mckee vs. Pedro Nobre Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mitchell Mckee vs Pedro Nobre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

The main event of LFA 217 features an undefeated Mitch McKee (9-0) facing experienced Pedro Nobre (22-8-2) in a catchweight bout. McKee has a perfect record but less overall fight experience than Nobre, who holds a wealth of fights and some losses but also greater ring time. This matchup tests McKee's unbeaten momentum versus Nobre's seasoned toughness in the Legacy Fighting Alliance promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mitchell McKee holds an undefeated record (9-0), demonstrating consistent winning performance with a strong skill set. Pedro Nobre has more fights (22-8-2) and experience but has suffered multiple losses, indicating potential vulnerability against highly skilled opponents.
  • There are no records or data indicating previous matches between McKee and Nobre, making this their first encounter.
  • No publicly reported injuries or health concerns have been noted for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight is hosted in McKee’s home state of Minnesota, potentially providing crowd support advantage. The fight card is on UFC Fight Pass, increasing visibility pressure. No other major external disruptions or conditions appear relevant.
  • McKee is motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and gain prominence in the LFA. Nobre is driven to leverage his experience to upset the rising star and improve his record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mitchell_Mckee: -3800, Pedro_Nobre: 1500 Mitchell McKee to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Over/under Over_2.5: 177, Under_2.5: -205 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mitchell Mckee -19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given McKee’s undefeated status, home advantage, and favored position in the betting odds, the prediction leans toward a Mitchell McKee victory, though Nobre’s experience makes this a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Mitchell McKee wins by decision or late stoppage within 2 to 3 rounds


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Cristina Brador vs. Mackenzie Stiller Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cristina Brador vs Mackenzie Stiller – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Showroom, Prior Lake, Minnesota

Game Overview

Cristina Brador and Mackenzie Stiller face off in a 3-round strawweight bout at LFA 217. Brador (3-1) has solid striking and mainly wins via decision or submission, while Stiller (4-1) boasts a strong Brazilian jiu-jitsu background with a high submission rate. The fight is evenly matched with contrasting styles: Brador aiming to keep the fight standing and Stiller seeking grappling control.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brador has a 3-1 record with 25% submission wins and 50% decisions, no KO/TKOs. Stiller has a 4-1 record with 60% submission finishes, no KO/TKOs, and typically pressures opponents on the ground.
  • This is the first meeting between Brador and Stiller, no prior head-to-head history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fight is held at LFA 217 in Minnesota, a home setting favoring Brador's motivation. Both fighters have expressed strong confidence and preparedness in recent interviews.
  • Brador fights to prove her striking dominance; interviews suggest determination for a finish. Stiller is motivated by grappling strength and recent submission success, confident and healthy ahead of the event.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cristina Brador: 145, Mackenzie Stiller: -170 Mackenzie Stiller β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mackenzie Stiller -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 28%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mackenzie Stiller is slightly favored due to her grappling and higher finishing rate, but Cristina Brador's striking and takedown defense provide a solid chance to win via decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Mackenzie Stiller wins by submission in Round 3


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Gable Steveson vs. Braden Peterson Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Gable Steveson vs Braden Peterson – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Minnesota, USA

Game Overview

The match features Olympic wrestling gold medalist Gable Steveson making his professional MMA debut against rising heavyweight Braden Peterson at LFA 217. Steveson is a decorated wrestler transitioning to MMA, while Peterson holds a 1-0 record with a notable 14-second knockout victory. The fight is a heavyweight bout at 265 lbs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gable Steveson is an elite wrestler with multiple NCAA titles and Olympic gold, although this is his first professional MMA fight. Braden Peterson is less experienced (1-0) but has demonstrated knockout power with a quick KO in his last fight.
  • This is the first meeting between Gable Steveson and Braden Peterson, with no head-to-head history.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • The fight is in Steveson's home state, which may give him crowd advantage. Additionally, Peterson has been publicly motivated and encouraged by MMA veterans Daniel Cormier and Chael Sonnen, increasing his confidence and pressure.
  • Steveson is motivated to prove himself in MMA following his wrestling career, while Peterson benefits from veteran support and the opportunity to upset a high-profile debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gable Steveson: -2000, Braden Peterson: 1000 Gable Steveson to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 1.5: 252, Under 1.5: -310 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gable Steveson -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gable Steveson is favored to win based on his superior wrestling credentials and physical tools, but Peterson's knockout ability and motivation present an upset threat. The most likely outcome is a Steveson win by decision or ground control.

Predicted Score: Gable Steveson wins by decision after controlling the fight for 2-3 rounds


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